Novak Djokovic and Holger Rune will fight against each other in the quarter of the Rolex Paris Masters for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 7:30 pm on COURT CENTRAL. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Novak Djokovic who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Novak Djokovic is the pick to win this match.
Novak Djokovic -> 1.191
Holger Rune -> 4.7
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Prediction and head to head Novak Djokovic vs. Holger Rune
This will be the 4th time that Novak Djokovic and Holger Rune play each other. The head to head is 2-1 for Rune (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on indoor hard courts.
The last time that they fought against each other, Rune won 6-2 4-6 6-2 in the quarter in Rome back in May 2023.
Highlights Holger Rune vs Novak Djokovic – Rome 17-May-2023
Novak Djokovic
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 12-7 | 12-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 37-9 | 15-5 | 16-3 | 1-0 | 5-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 56-7 | 27-1 | 12-3 | 11-2 | 6-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 42-7 | 2-1 | 14-4 | 19-2 | 7-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 55-7 | 19-3 | 18-3 | 11-1 | 7-0 | 0-0 |
Currently world no. 1 Novak reached the quarter after beating Tomas Martin Etcheverry 6-3 6-2 and Tallon Griekspoor 4-6 7-62 6-4.
In the 3rd round against Griekspoor, The Serbian recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 7-62 6-4). During the match, Djokovic scored 102 points vs Griekspoor’s 101. The Serbian was quite aggressive to blast 51 winners.
Regarding the service games, Djokovic made 9 aces and he committed only 7 double faults. Novak Djokovic lost the serve 3 times and he saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Djokovic put 62% of his first serves in, winning 77% (51/66) of the points behind his 1st serve and 45% (18/40) on the 2nd serve. Novak broke Griekspoor 3 times after converting 43% of his break points (3/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Djokovic has lost 1 set in this tournament to win 52% of the points he played.
Djokovic has an impressive record in the last 10 years having won 87% of his matches (536-79). 3-0 on indoor hard courts in 2023. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Djokovic has an aggregate 83-14 match record in the last years on indoor hard courts.
His best result of the current year was winning the title in Adelaide where he beat Sebastian Korda in the final 6-7(8) 7-6(3) 6-4 and at the Australian Open where he beat Stefanos Tsitsipas in the final 6-3 7-6(4) 7-6(5) and at the French Open where he beat Casper Ruud in the final 7-6(1) 6-3 7-5 and in Cincinnati where he defeated Carlos Alcaraz in the final 5-7 7-6(7) 7-6(4) and at the U.S. Open where he beat Daniil Medvedev in the final 6-3 7-6(5) 6-3.
Novak has a composed 48-5 win-loss record in 2023, 3-0 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Paris
Holger Rune
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 17-11 | 9-5 | 6-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 45-24 | 21-12 | 11-6 | 10-4 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 44-24 | 10-10 | 16-4 | 11-8 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 50-27 | 8-9 | 21-11 | 21-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 73-29 | 11-5 | 41-17 | 21-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 7, Rune reached the quarter after defeating Dominic Thiem 6-4 6-2 and Daniel Altmaier 6-3 6-3.
In the 3rd round, The Dane had a good straight sets win against Altmaier (6-3 6-3). During the match Rune scored 63 points vs Altmaier’s 47. Rune was pretty aggressive to blast 25 winners.
Talking about serving, Rune bagged 5 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Holger Rune was exceptionally effective on serve to win 81% (25/31) of his 1st serve and 63% (15/24) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Holger broke Altmaier 3 times after converting 75% of his break points (3/4).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Dane hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 56% of the points he played.
His best result of the season was winning the title in Munich where he beat Botic Van De Zandschulp in the final 6-4 1-6 7-6(3).
The Dane has a compiled 43-21 win-loss record in 2023, 10-5 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Paris
Previously, he won this tournament once in 2022. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Djokovic | Rune |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 5 | 4 |
| Tot Games | 50 | 36 |
| Pts | 160-145 | 126-98 |
| Total Points | 305 | 224 |
| Winners | 77 | 55 |
| %Winners | 48% | 44% |
Both Djokovic and Rune played 2 matches. At the moment, Novak Djokovic dropped 1 set while Holger Rune hasn’t conceded a set so far. Djokovic has played 1 set more than Rune (5 vs 4). Therefore, Djokovic played 14 games more than Rune. Novak scored 77 winners (48% of the total points). On the other side, The Dane scored 55 winners (44%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Djokovic | Rune |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 15 | 11 |
| Avg per match | 7.5 | 5.5 |
| 1st in | 98/158 | 68/115 |
| %1st in | 62% | 59% |
| 1st pts | 77/98 | 55/68 |
| %1st pts | 79% | 81% |
| 2nd pts | 30/60 | 26/47 |
| %2nd pts | 50% | 55% |
Djokovic fired 15 aces (7.5 per match). Rune struck 11 aces (5.5 per match). Djokovic won 79% points on his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 50% of the points. On the other side, Rune won 81% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 55% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Djokovic | Rune |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 6 | 6 |
| Converted | 6/14 | 6/10 |
| % Converted | 43% | 60% |
| Conceded | 10 | 8 |
| Saved | 7 | 8 |
| % Saved | 70% | 100% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 0 |
Djokovic broke his opponents 6 times with a 43% conversion rate. Djokovic lost his serve 3 times and he saved 70% of the break points that he conceded. Rune broke his opponents 6 times with a 60% conversion rate. Holger was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 8 break points.
| Djokovic | ||||
| R2 Etcheverry |
R3 Griekspoor |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-2 | 4-6 7-62 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 33 | 50 | |
| pts | 58-44 | 102-101 | 160-145 | |
| Total points | 102 | 203 | 305 | |
| Winners | 26 | 51 | 77 | |
| %Winners | 45% | 50% | 48% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 6 | 9 | 15 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 7 | 10 | |
| 1st in | 32/52 | 66/106 | 98/158 | |
| % 1st in | 62% | 62% | 62% | |
| 1st pts | 26/32 | 51/66 | 77/98 | |
| % 1st pts | 81% | 77% | 79% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/20 | 18/40 | 30/60 | |
| % 2nd pts | 60% | 45% | 50% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| Converted | 3/7 | 3/7 | 6/14 | |
| Converted % | 43% | 43% | 43% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 9 | 10 | |
| Saved | 1/1 | 6/9 | 7 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 67% | 84% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 3 | 3 | |
| Rune | ||||
| R2 Thiem |
R3 Altmaier |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-2 | 6-3 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 18 | 36 | |
| pts | 63-51 | 63-47 | 126-98 | |
| Total points | 114 | 110 | 224 | |
| Winners | 30 | 25 | 55 | |
| %Winners | 48% | 40% | 44% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 6 | 5 | 11 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 37/60 | 31/55 | 68/115 | |
| % 1st in | 62% | 56% | 59% | |
| 1st pts | 30/37 | 25/31 | 55/68 | |
| % 1st pts | 81% | 81% | 81% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/23 | 15/24 | 26/47 | |
| % 2nd pts | 48% | 63% | 55% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| Converted | 3/6 | 3/4 | 6/10 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 75% | 60% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 3 | 8 | |
| Saved | 5/5 | 3/3 | 8 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Head 2 Head
LLLWWWWWLL
LWLWWWWWLL Tennis Scores in Paris
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Jannik SinnerSinner (w/o) – See score progression
- Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Roman SafiullinSafiullin (4-6 6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor (4-6 7-62 6-4) – See score progression
- Holger RuneRune – Daniel AltmaierAltmaier (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Alexander BublikBublik (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
- Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Alexander ZverevZverev (7-62 6-4) – See score progression
- Andrey RublevRublev – Botic Van De ZandschulpVan De Zandschulp (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Hubert HurkaczHurkacz – Francisco CerundoloCerundolo (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Holger RuneRune – Daniel AltmaierAltmaier (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Hubert HurkaczHurkacz – Grigor DimitrovDimitrov (0-3) – H2H and prediction
- Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Karen KhachanovKhachanov (6-1) – H2H and prediction
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Andrey RublevRublev (3-1) – H2H and prediction
