Jannik Sinner and Alex De Minaur will play each other in the 3rd round of the Rolex Paris Masters for the 6th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 5:00 pm on COURT CENTRAL. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jannik Sinner who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Jannik Sinner is the pick to win this match.
Jannik Sinner -> 1.33
Alex De Minaur -> 3.32
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Prediction and head to head Jannik Sinner vs. Alex De Minaur
This will be the 6th time that Jannik Sinner and Alex De Minaur face off. The head to head is 5-0 for Sinner (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on indoor hard courts.
The last time that they locked horns, Sinner won 6-4 6-1 in the final in Toronto back in August 2023.
Highlights Jannik Sinner vs Alex De Minaur – Toronto 13-August-2023
Jannik Sinner
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 58-6 | 24-3 | 11-2 | 15-0 | 8-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 73-8 | 40-5 | 11-2 | 13-0 | 9-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 64-15 | 28-7 | 8-3 | 20-2 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 47-16 | 21-6 | 15-4 | 7-4 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 49-22 | 22-8 | 10-6 | 17-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 4 (career-high), the Italian reached the 3rd round after defeating Mackenzie Mcdonald 6-76 7-5 6-1.
In the 2nd round against Mcdonald, The Italian recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (6-76 7-5 6-1). During the match, Sinner scored 98 points vs Mcdonald’s 75. Sinner was quite aggressive to blast 41 winners.
Regarding the service games, Sinner struck 4 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Jannik Sinner was very effective on serve to win 85% (41/48) of his 1st serve and 66% (23/35) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Sinner broke Mcdonald 4 times after converting 50% of his break points (4/8).
Sinner has a fantastic win-loss record in the last 6 years having won 70% of his matches (266-112). 13-1 on indoor hard courts in 2023. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Sinner has an aggregate80-24 record in the last 6 years on indoor hard courts.
His best result of the year was winning the title in Montpellier where he beat Maxime Cressy in the final 7-6(3) 6-3 and in Toronto where he defeated Alex De Minaur in the final 6-4 6-1 and in Beijing where he defeated Daniil Medvedev in the final 7-6(2) 7-6(2) and in Vienna where he overcame Daniil Medvedev in the final 7-6(7) 4-6 6-3.
Jannik has an aggregate 57-14 win-loss record in 2023, 13-1 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Paris
Alex De Minaur
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 56-24 | 30-11 | 10-5 | 13-6 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 47-21 | 19-6 | 10-5 | 11-9 | 7-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 46-26 | 26-12 | 4-5 | 10-6 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 47-25 | 19-10 | 9-6 | 12-5 | 7-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 25-25 | 10-10 | 4-5 | 3-7 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 13, De Minaur reached the 3rd round after defeating Andy Murray 7-65 4-6 7-5 and Dusan Lajovic 4-6 6-4 6-4.
In the 2nd round against Lajovic, The Australian recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-4 6-4). During the match De Minaur scored 99 points vs Lajovic’s 84. Alex was very aggressive to blast 42 winners.
Talking about serving, De Minaur fired 10 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Overall, Alex De Minaur was quite efficient on serve to win 81% (42/52) of his 1st serve and 54% (22/41) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Alex broke Lajovic 3 times after converting 50% of his break points (3/6).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Alex has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 51% of the points he played.
His best result of the current season was winning the title in Acapulco where he defeated Tommy Paul in the final 3-6 6-4 6-1.
De Minaur has an overall 44-24 win-loss record in 2023, 8-4 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Paris
Previously, his best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2019, 2020 and 2022. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Sinner | De Minaur |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 6 |
| Tot Games | 32 | 65 |
| Pts | 98-75 | 206-196 |
| Total Points | 173 | 402 |
| Winners | 41 | 86 |
| %Winners | 42% | 42% |
Sinner played 1 match while De Minaur competed in 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Jannik Sinner conceded 1 set, while Alex De Minaur surrendered 2 sets. Sinner has played 3 set(s) less than De Minaur (3 vs 6). Therefore, Sinner played 33 games less than De Minaur. Jannik scored 41 winners (42% of the total points). On the other side, The Australian managed to score 86 winners (42%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Sinner | De Minaur |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 4 | 17 |
| Avg per match | 4 | 8.5 |
| 1st in | 48/83 | 116/205 |
| %1st in | 58% | 57% |
| 1st pts | 41/48 | 86/116 |
| %1st pts | 85% | 74% |
| 2nd pts | 23/35 | 43/89 |
| %2nd pts | 66% | 48% |
Sinner bagged 4 aces . De Minaur scored 17 aces (8.5 per match). Sinner won 85% points behind his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 66% of the points. On the other side, De Minaur won 74% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 48% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Sinner | De Minaur |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 4 | 8 |
| Converted | 4/8 | 8/12 |
| % Converted | 50% | 67% |
| Conceded | 1 | 18 |
| Saved | 0 | 11 |
| % Saved | 0% | 61% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 7 |
The Italian broke his opponent 4 times with a 50% conversion rate. Sinner surrendered his serve once and he saved 0% of the break points that he conceded. The Australian broke his opponents 8 times with a 67% conversion rate. De Minaur conceded his serve 7 times and he saved 61% of the break points that he conceded.
| Sinner | |||
| R2 Mcdonald |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-76 7-5 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 32 | 32 | |
| pts | 98-75 | 98-75 | |
| Total points | 173 | 173 | |
| Winners | 41 | 41 | |
| %Winners | 42% | 42% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 4 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 48/83 | 48/83 | |
| % 1st in | 58% | 58% | |
| 1st pts | 41/48 | 41/48 | |
| % 1st pts | 85% | 85% | |
| 2nd pts | 23/35 | 23/35 | |
| % 2nd pts | 66% | 66% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/8 | 4/8 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1 | |
| Saved | 0/1 | 0 | |
| Saved % | 0% | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
| De Minaur | ||||
| R1 Murray |
R2 Lajovic |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-65 4-6 7-5 | 4-6 6-4 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 35 | 30 | 65 | |
| pts | 107-112 | 99-84 | 206-196 | |
| Total points | 219 | 183 | 402 | |
| Winners | 44 | 42 | 86 | |
| %Winners | 41% | 42% | 42% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 7 | 10 | 17 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 1 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 64/112 | 52/93 | 116/205 | |
| % 1st in | 57% | 56% | 57% | |
| 1st pts | 44/64 | 42/52 | 86/116 | |
| % 1st pts | 69% | 81% | 74% | |
| 2nd pts | 21/48 | 22/41 | 43/89 | |
| % 2nd pts | 44% | 54% | 48% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 5 | 3 | 8 | |
| Converted | 5/6 | 3/6 | 8/12 | |
| Converted % | 83% | 50% | 67% | |
| Conceded | 11 | 7 | 18 | |
| Saved | 6/11 | 5/7 | 11 | |
| Saved % | 55% | 71% | 126% | |
| Times Broken | 5 | 2 | 7 | |
Head 2 Head
WWWWWWWWWW
LWLLLWWLWW Tennis Scores in Paris
- Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – Casper RuudRuud (7-5 6-4) – See score progression
- Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Felix Auger-AliassimeAuger-Aliassime (6-3 7-64) – See score progression
- Botic Van De ZandschulpVan De Zandschulp – Tommy PaulPaul (6-4 2-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Hubert HurkaczHurkacz – Roberto Bautista AgutBautista Agut (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Dusan LajovicLajovic (4-6 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Mackenzie McdonaldMcdonald (6-76 7-5 6-1) – See score progression
- Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Daniil MedvedevMedvedev (6-3 6-74 7-62) – See score progression
- Ivan Dodig/Austin KrajicekDodig/Austin Krajicek – Sadio Doumbia/Fabien ReboulDoumbia/Fabien Reboul (3-6 6-3 10-4) – See score progression
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Ugo HumbertHumbert (6-4 6-73 7-65) – See score progression
- Holger RuneRune – Dominic ThiemThiem (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Andrey RublevRublev – Yoshihito NishiokaNishioka (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Daniel AltmaierAltmaier – Taylor FritzFritz (w/o) – See score progression
- Alexander BublikBublik – Nicolas JarryJarry (7-63 7-63) – See score progression
- Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Laslo DjereDjere (6-4 7-5) – See score progression
- Roman SafiullinSafiullin – Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor – Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
- Holger RuneRune – Dominic ThiemThiem (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Mackenzie McdonaldMcdonald (6-7(6) 7-5 6-1) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Novak DjokovicDjokovic – Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alexander BublikBublik – Grigor DimitrovDimitrov (3-2) – H2H and prediction
- Botic Van De ZandschulpVan De Zandschulp – Andrey RublevRublev (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Karen KhachanovKhachanov – Roman SafiullinSafiullin (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Daniel AltmaierAltmaier – Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Alexander ZverevZverev (8-4) – H2H and prediction
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Alex De MinaurDe Minaur (5-0) – H2H and prediction
- Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – Hubert HurkaczHurkacz (0-1) – H2H and prediction
