Rio Noguchi and Hiroki Moriya will clash against each other in the 2nd round of the Sydney Challenger for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 10:00 am on COURT 4. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Rio Noguchi who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Rio Noguchi is the pick to win this match.
Rio Noguchi -> 1.67
Hiroki Moriya -> 2.11
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Prediction and head to head Rio Noguchi vs. Hiroki Moriya
This will be the 4th time that Rio Noguchi and Hiroki Moriya square off. The head to head is 2-1 for Moriya (see full H2H stats), 2-1 on hard.
The last time that they played each other, Moriya won 7-5 4-6 6-2 in the 2nd round in the Playford Challenger back in October 2023.
Rio Noguchi
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 22-18 | 17-11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 19-31 | 12-18 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 54-22 | 41-10 | 9-9 | 0-1 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 25-26 | 18-18 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 14-12 | 5-6 | 0-3 | 3-2 | 6-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 422, Rio got to the 2nd round after beating Seong Chan Hong 6-2 6-2.
In the 1st round, Rio had a good straight sets win against Chan Hong (6-2 6-2). During the match, Noguchi scored 61 points vs Chan Hong’s 35. Noguchi was quite aggressive to blast 25 winners.
Regarding the service games, Noguchi wasn’t able to score even 1 ace for the entire match and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Rio Noguchi was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 74% (25/34) of his 1st serve and 59% (10/17) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Noguchi broke Chan Hong 5 times after converting 71% of his break points (5/7).
Noguchi has a solid record in the last 8 years having won 60% of his matches (284-191). 10-14 on hard in 2023. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Noguchi has a compiled186-114 match record in the last 8 years on hard.
The Japanese has an overall 15-25 win-loss record in 2023, 10-14 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Sydney Challenger
Hiroki Moriya
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 19-17 | 19-15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 31-28 | 31-27 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 27-30 | 18-19 | 0-0 | 7-9 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| 2021 | 22-28 | 13-17 | 0-0 | 8-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 |
| 2020 | 7-15 | 5-5 | 1-2 | 0-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 |
Ranked no. 457, Moriya reached the 2nd round after defeating Jayden Court 6-3 3-6 6-4, Nam Hoang Ly 6-73 6-3 6-3 and Naoki Nakagawa 6-3 7-68.
In the 1st round, Hiroki had a good straight sets win against Nakagawa (6-3 7-68). During the match Moriya scored 77 points vs Nakagawa’s 62. The Japanese was very aggressive to blast 33 winners.
About the serving games, Moriya scored just 1 ace during the entire match and he was quite solid in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Hiroki Moriya lost the serve 4 times and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Moriya put 71% of his first serves in, winning 67% (33/49) of the points behind his 1st serve and 55% (11/20) on the 2nd serve. Moriya broke Nakagawa 5 times after converting 71% of his break points (5/7).
Moriya’s best result of the year was getting to the final in M25 Jakarta and M25 Nakhon Si Thammarat.
Hiroki has a composed 26-23 win-loss record in 2023, 26-23 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Sydney Challenger
The Japanese has never competed in this tournament before.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Noguchi | Moriya |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 8 |
| Tot Games | 16 | 81 |
| Pts | 61-35 | 275-241 |
| Total Points | 96 | 516 |
| Winners | 25 | 108 |
| %Winners | 41% | 39% |
Noguchi played 1 match while Moriya competed in 3 matches. Moriya started his run from the qualifications while Noguchi had a direct access to the main draw. At the moment, Hiroki Moriya lost 2 sets while Rio Noguchi hasn’t lost a set so far. Noguchi has played 6 set(s) less than Moriya (2 vs 8). Therefore, Noguchi played 65 games less than Moriya. The Japanese scored 25 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, Hiroki blasted 108 winners (39%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Noguchi | Moriya |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 0 | 5 |
| Avg per match | 0 | 1.7 |
| 1st in | 34/51 | 162/259 |
| %1st in | 67% | 63% |
| 1st pts | 25/34 | 108/162 |
| %1st pts | 74% | 67% |
| 2nd pts | 10/17 | 54/97 |
| %2nd pts | 59% | 56% |
Noguchi didn’t manage to fire a single ace to far. Moriya bagged 5 aces (1.7 per match). Noguchi won 74% points on his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 59% of the points. On the other side, Moriya won 67% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 56% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Noguchi | Moriya |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 5 | 16 |
| Converted | 5/7 | 16/30 |
| % Converted | 71% | 53% |
| Conceded | 7 | 22 |
| Saved | 6 | 11 |
| % Saved | 86% | 50% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 11 |
Noguchi broke his opponent 5 times with a 71% conversion rate. The Japanese surrendered his serve once and he saved 86% of the break points that he conceded. The Japanese broke his opponents 16 times with a 53% conversion rate. Moriya conceded his serve 11 times and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded.
| Noguchi | |||
| R1 Chan Hong |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 16 | |
| pts | 61-35 | 61-35 | |
| Total points | 96 | 96 | |
| Winners | 25 | 25 | |
| %Winners | 41% | 41% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 0 | 0 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 34/51 | 34/51 | |
| % 1st in | 67% | 67% | |
| 1st pts | 25/34 | 25/34 | |
| % 1st pts | 74% | 74% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/17 | 10/17 | |
| % 2nd pts | 59% | 59% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/7 | 5/7 | |
| Converted % | 71% | 71% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 7 | |
| Saved | 6/7 | 6 | |
| Saved % | 86% | 86% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
| Moriya | |||||
| Q1 Court |
Q3 Hoang Ly |
R1 Nakagawa |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 3-6 6-4 | 6-73 6-3 6-3 | 6-3 7-68 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 28 | 31 | 22 | 81 | |
| pts | 87-84 | 111-95 | 77-62 | 275-241 | |
| Total points | 171 | 206 | 139 | 516 | |
| Winners | 37 | 38 | 33 | 108 | |
| %Winners | 43% | 34% | 43% | 39% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 51/84 | 62/106 | 49/69 | 162/259 | |
| % 1st in | 61% | 58% | 71% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 37/51 | 38/62 | 33/49 | 108/162 | |
| % 1st pts | 73% | 61% | 67% | 67% | |
| 2nd pts | 19/33 | 24/44 | 11/20 | 54/97 | |
| % 2nd pts | 58% | 55% | 55% | 56% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 3 | 8 | 5 | 16 | |
| Converted | 3/9 | 8/14 | 5/7 | 16/30 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 57% | 71% | 53% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 11 | 6 | 22 | |
| Saved | 3/5 | 6/11 | 2/6 | 11 | |
| Saved % | 60% | 55% | 33% | 148% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 5 | 4 | 11 | |
Head 2 Head
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LWLLLLWWLL Tennis Scores in Sydney Challenger
- Shintaro MochizukiMochizuki – Kaichi UchidaUchida (7-610 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Taro DanielDaniel – Luke SavilleSaville (6-4 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Marc PolmansPolmans – Arthur WeberWeber (6-4 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Blake MottMott – Ryan SeggermanSeggerman (6-2 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Hiroki MoriyaMoriya – Rio NoguchiNoguchi (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Ji Sung NamSung Nam – Dane SweenySweeny (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Thanasi KokkinakisKokkinakis – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Blake MottMott – Marc PolmansPolmans (5-1) – H2H and prediction
