Daniil Medvedev and Jannik Sinner will face off in the final of the Erste Bank Open for the 8th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 2:00 pm on CENTER COURT. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Daniil Medvedev who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Daniil Medvedev is the pick to win this match.
Daniil Medvedev -> 1.615
Jannik Sinner -> 2.31
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Prediction and head to head Daniil Medvedev vs. Jannik Sinner
This will be the 8th time that Daniil Medvedev and Jannik Sinner fight against each other. The head to head is 6-1 for Medvedev (see full H2H stats), 5-0 on indoor hard courts.
The last time that they squared off, Sinner won 7-6(2) 7-6(2) in the final in Beijing back in October 2023.
Highlights Jannik Sinner vs Daniil Medvedev – Beijing 04-October-2023
Daniil Medvedev
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 20-5 | 18-4 | 2-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 66-18 | 38-8 | 10-3 | 11-4 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 45-19 | 26-8 | 3-2 | 8-6 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 63-13 | 33-5 | 5-3 | 18-3 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 28-10 | 14-4 | 0-2 | 14-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 3, Daniil reached the final after beating Arthur Fils 6-4 6-2, Grigor Dimitrov 3-6 6-2 6-4, Karen Khachanov 6-3 3-6 6-3 and Stefanos Tsitsipas 6-4 7-66.
In the semifinal, The Russian had a good straight sets win against Tsitsipas (6-4 7-66). During the match, Medvedev scored 73 points vs Tsitsipas’s 66. Medvedev was very aggressive to blast 41 winners.
Regarding the service games, Medvedev scored 5 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Daniil Medvedev was quite efficient on serve to win 84% (41/49) of his 1st serve and 58% (11/19) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Russian broke Tsitsipas once after converting 20% of his break points (1/5).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Medvedev has conceded 2 set in this event to conquer 54% of the points he played.
Medvedev has a great win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 72% of his matches (487-192). 9-0 on indoor hard courts in 2023. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Medvedev has an overall 125-51 match record in the last years on indoor hard courts.
His best result of the year was conquering the title in Rotterdam where he defeated Jannik Sinner in the final 5-7 6-2 6-2 and in Doha where he beat Andy Murray in the final 6-4 6-4 and in Dubai where he defeated Andrey Rublev in the final 6-2 6-2 and in Miami where he overcame Jannik Sinner in the final 7-5 6-3 and in Rome where he overcame Holger Rune in the final 7-5 7-5.
The Russian has an aggregate 64-14 win-loss record in 2023, 9-0 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Vienna
Jannik Sinner
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 26-2 | 17-1 | 4-1 | 5-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 64-15 | 28-7 | 8-3 | 20-2 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 47-16 | 21-6 | 15-4 | 7-4 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 49-22 | 22-8 | 10-6 | 17-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 20-14 | 2-6 | 7-3 | 11-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 4 (career-high), Sinner got to the final after defeating Ben Shelton 7-62 7-5, Lorenzo Sonego 6-2 6-4, Frances Tiafoe 6-3 6-4 and Andrey Rublev 7-5 7-65.
In the semifinal, The Italian had a good straight sets win against Rublev (7-5 7-65). During the match Sinner scored 81 points vs Rublev’s 69. The Italian was extremely aggressive to blast 37 winners.
About the serving games, Sinner fired 10 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Overall, Jannik Sinner was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 82% (37/45) of his 1st serve and 54% (15/28) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Jannik broke Rublev 3 times after converting 60% of his break points (3/5).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Jannik hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 56% of the points he played.
His best result of the season was winning the title in Montpellier where he overcame Maxime Cressy in the final 7-6(3) 6-3 and in Toronto where he overcame Alex De Minaur in the final 6-4 6-1 and in Beijing where he beat Daniil Medvedev in the final 7-6(2) 7-6(2).
The Italian has an overall 55-14 win-loss record in 2023, 11-1 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Vienna
Previously, his best result was reaching the semifinal in 2021. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Medvedev | Sinner |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 10 | 8 |
| Tot Games | 95 | 87 |
| Pts | 315-270 | 296-236 |
| Total Points | 585 | 532 |
| Winners | 154 | 152 |
| %Winners | 49% | 51% |
Both Medvedev and Sinner played 4 matches. At the moment, Daniil Medvedev dropped 2 sets while Jannik Sinner hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Medvedev has played 2 sets more than Sinner (10 vs 8). Therefore, Medvedev played 8 games more than Sinner. The Russian scored 154 winners (49% of the total points). On the other side, Jannik struck 152 winners (51%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Medvedev | Sinner |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 30 | 24 |
| Avg per match | 7.5 | 6 |
| 1st in | 190/289 | 188/257 |
| %1st in | 66% | 73% |
| 1st pts | 154/190 | 152/188 |
| %1st pts | 81% | 81% |
| 2nd pts | 52/99 | 41/69 |
| %2nd pts | 53% | 59% |
Medvedev scored 30 aces (7.5 per match). Sinner made 24 aces (6 per match). Medvedev won 81% points on his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 53% of the points. On the other side, Sinner won 81% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 59% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Medvedev | Sinner |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 10 | 9 |
| Converted | 10/24 | 9/21 |
| % Converted | 42% | 43% |
| Conceded | 13 | 15 |
| Saved | 9 | 13 |
| % Saved | 69% | 87% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 2 |
Medvedev broke his opponents 10 times with a 42% conversion rate. Daniil surrendered his serve 4 times and he saved 69% of the break points that he conceded. Sinner broke his opponents 9 times with a 43% conversion rate. Sinner conceded his serve twice and he saved 87% of the break points that he conceded.
| Medvedev | ||||||
| R1 Fils |
R2 Dimitrov |
1/4 Khachanov |
1/2 Tsitsipas |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-2 | 3-6 6-2 6-4 | 6-3 3-6 6-3 | 6-4 7-66 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 27 | 27 | 23 | 95 | |
| pts | 64-40 | 85-79 | 93-85 | 73-66 | 315-270 | |
| Total points | 104 | 164 | 178 | 139 | 585 | |
| Winners | 28 | 40 | 45 | 41 | 154 | |
| %Winners | 44% | 47% | 48% | 56% | 49% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 5 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 30 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 10 | |
| 1st in | 31/41 | 54/91 | 56/89 | 49/68 | 190/289 | |
| % 1st in | 76% | 59% | 63% | 72% | 66% | |
| 1st pts | 28/31 | 40/54 | 45/56 | 41/49 | 154/190 | |
| % 1st pts | 90% | 74% | 80% | 84% | 81% | |
| 2nd pts | 8/10 | 17/37 | 16/33 | 11/19 | 52/99 | |
| % 2nd pts | 80% | 46% | 48% | 58% | 53% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 10 | |
| Converted | 3/5 | 4/8 | 2/6 | 1/5 | 10/24 | |
| Converted % | 60% | 50% | 33% | 20% | 42% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 13 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 6/9 | 0/1 | 3/3 | 9 | |
| Saved % | – | 67% | 0% | 100% | 42% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | |
| Sinner | ||||||
| R1 Shelton |
R2 Sonego |
1/4 Tiafoe |
1/2 Rublev |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-62 7-5 | 6-2 6-4 | 6-3 6-4 | 7-5 7-65 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 25 | 18 | 19 | 25 | 87 | |
| pts | 80-69 | 69-53 | 66-45 | 81-69 | 296-236 | |
| Total points | 149 | 122 | 111 | 150 | 532 | |
| Winners | 48 | 35 | 32 | 37 | 152 | |
| %Winners | 60% | 51% | 48% | 46% | 51% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 8 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 24 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 57/71 | 48/58 | 38/55 | 45/73 | 188/257 | |
| % 1st in | 80% | 83% | 69% | 62% | 73% | |
| 1st pts | 48/57 | 35/48 | 32/38 | 37/45 | 152/188 | |
| % 1st pts | 84% | 73% | 84% | 82% | 81% | |
| 2nd pts | 8/14 | 6/10 | 12/17 | 15/28 | 41/69 | |
| % 2nd pts | 57% | 60% | 71% | 54% | 59% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9 | |
| Converted | 1/5 | 3/7 | 2/4 | 3/5 | 9/21 | |
| Converted % | 20% | 43% | 50% | 60% | 43% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 15 | |
| Saved | 4/4 | 2/2 | 3/3 | 4/6 | 13 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | 100% | 67% | 92% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | |
Head 2 Head
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Upcoming matches in the draw
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Jannik SinnerSinner (6-1) – H2H and prediction
