Jannik Sinner and Andrey Rublev will face off in the semifinal of the Erste Bank Open for the 6th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 3:30 pm on CENTER COURT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jannik Sinner who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Jannik Sinner is the pick to win this match.
Jannik Sinner -> 1.5
Andrey Rublev -> 2.59

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Prediction and head to head Jannik Sinner vs. Andrey Rublev

This will be the 6th time that Jannik Sinner and Andrey Rublev fight against each other. The head to head is 3-2 for Sinner (see full H2H stats), but Rublev leads 1-0 on indoor hard courts.

The last time that they competed against each other, Sinner won 6-2 6-4 in the 4th round in Miami back in March 2023.

Highlights Jannik Sinner vs Andrey Rublev – Miami 28-March-2023

Jannik Sinner

Jannik Sinner

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
2
High
1
WWWWWWWWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 58-6 24-3 11-2 15-0 8-1 0-0
2024 73-8 40-5 11-2 13-0 9-1 0-0
2023 64-15 28-7 8-3 20-2 8-3 0-0
2022 47-16 21-6 15-4 7-4 4-2 0-0
2021 49-22 22-8 10-6 17-6 0-2 0-0

Ranked no. 4 (career-high), Jannik got to the semifinal after defeating Ben Shelton 7-62 7-5, Lorenzo Sonego 6-2 6-4 and Frances Tiafoe 6-3 6-4.

In the quarter, Jannik had a good straight sets win against Tiafoe (6-3 6-4). During the match, Sinner scored 66 points vs Tiafoe’s 45. The Italian was very aggressive to blast 32 winners.

Talking about the service games, Sinner recorded 5 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Jannik Sinner was extremely effective on serve to win 84% (32/38) of his 1st serve and 71% (12/17) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Sinner broke Tiafoe twice after converting 50% of his break points (2/4).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Italian hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this competition to conquer 56% of the points he played.

Sinner has a fantastic win-loss record in the last 6 years having won 70% of his matches (263-112). 10-1 on indoor hard courts in 2023. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Sinner has a composed77-24 record in the last 6 years on indoor hard courts.

His best result of the current year was conquering the title in Montpellier where he overcame Maxime Cressy in the final 7-6(3) 6-3 and in Toronto where he beat Alex De Minaur in the final 6-4 6-1 and in Beijing where he defeated Daniil Medvedev in the final 7-6(2) 7-6(2).

Jannik has an aggregate 54-14 win-loss record in 2023, 10-1 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Vienna

Vienna
Sinner's Record

Andrey Rublev

Andrey Rublev

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
16
High
5
LWWLLLLLWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 34-25 16-13 8-6 6-4 4-2 0-0
2024 43-26 26-11 11-6 6-7 0-2 0-0
2023 56-26 23-12 19-5 6-7 8-2 0-0
2022 51-20 19-7 14-6 18-6 0-1 0-0
2021 53-23 25-10 9-5 12-6 7-2 0-0

Ranked no. 5 (career-high), Andrey got to the semifinal after beating Alexei Popyrin 7-65 6-4, Matteo Arnaldi 7-5 6-3 and Alexander Zverev 6-1 6-75 6-3.

In the quarter, Rublev defeated Zverev (6-1 6-75 6-3). During the match Rublev scored 102 points vs Zverev’s 94. The Russian was exceptionally aggressive to blast 55 winners.

About the serving games, Rublev recorded 6 aces and he was pretty solid in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Andrey Rublev conceded no breaks for the entire match to save 6 break points. Furthermore, Rublev put 66% of his first serves in, winning 79% (55/70) of the points behind his 1st serve and 44% (16/36) on the 2nd serve. Rublev broke Zverev 3 times after converting 30% of his break points (3/10).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Rublev has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.

His best result of the season was winning the title in Carlo where he defeated Holger Rune in the final 5-7 6-2 7-5 and in Bastad where he overcame Casper Ruud in the final 7-6(3) 6-0.

The Russian has a compiled 53-21 win-loss record in 2023, 3-2 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Vienna

Previously, he won this tournament once in 2020. See his history.

Vienna
Rublev's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

J.Sinner
A.Rublev
4h:36
4h:36
Time on court​
5h:32
5h:32
1h:19
1h:19
Last match​
!
2h:30
2h:30
3
3
Match played
3
3
62
62
Games Played​
73
73
6
6
Set played​​
7
7
215
215
Total points​
250
250
71.7
71.7
Avg point​
83.3
83.3
115
115
Winners
123
123
38.3
38.3
Avg Winners​
41
41
53%
53%
Ratio winners
49%
49%
-- Serve --
14
14
Aces
20
20
4.7
4.7
Avg Aces
6.7
6.7
2
2
Double Faults
1
1
0.7
0.7
Avg Double Faults
0.3
0.3
115/143
115/143
1st won total​
123/160
123/160
!
80%
80%
1st won %
!
77%
77%
26/41
26/41
2nd won total​
43/84
43/84
!
63%
63%
2nd won %
51%
51%
-- Break Points --
6/16
6/16
BP won
9/26
9/26
2/5.3
2/5.3
Avg BP won
3/8.7
3/8.7
38%
38%
Won
35%
35%
9
9
Conceded
13
13
3
3
Avg Conceded
4.3
4.3
0
0
Broken
3
3
!
0
0
Avg Broken
1
1
9
9
Saved
10
10

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Sinner Rublev
Match played 3 3
Tot Set 6 7
Tot Games 62 73
Pts 215-167 250-221
Total Points 382 471
Winners 115 123
%Winners 53% 49%

Both Sinner and Rublev played 3 matches. At the moment, Andrey Rublev lost 1 set while Jannik Sinner hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Sinner has played 1 set(s) less than Rublev (6 vs 7). Therefore, Sinner played 11 games less than Rublev. Jannik scored 115 winners (53% of the total points). On the other side, Andrey bagged 123 winners (49%).

Serve Performance

Serve Sinner Rublev
Aces 14 20
Avg per match 4.7 6.7
1st in 143/184 160/244
%1st in 78% 66%
1st pts 115/143 123/160
%1st pts 80% 77%
2nd pts 26/41 43/84
%2nd pts 63% 51%

Sinner made 14 aces (4.7 per match). Rublev managed to score 20 aces (6.7 per match). Sinner won 80% points behind his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 63% of the points. On the other side, Rublev won 77% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 51% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Sinner Rublev
Won 6 9
Converted 6/16 9/26
% Converted 38% 35%
Conceded 9 13
Saved 9 10
% Saved 100% 77%
Times Broken 0 3

Jannik broke his opponents 6 times with a 38% conversion rate. Jannik had a solid display on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 9 break points. Rublev broke his opponents 9 times with a 35% conversion rate. Andrey conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 77% of the break points that he conceded.

Sinner
R1
Shelton
R2
Sonego
1/4
Tiafoe
Total
Score 7-62 7-5 6-2 6-4 6-3 6-4
Tot Set 2 2 2 6
Tot Games 25 18 19 62
pts 80-69 69-53 66-45 215-167
Total points 149 122 111 382
Winners 48 35 32 115
%Winners 60% 51% 48% 53%
SERVE
Aces 8 1 5 14
Double Faults 1 0 1 2
1st in 57/71 48/58 38/55 143/184
% 1st in 80% 83% 69% 78%
1st pts 48/57 35/48 32/38 115/143
% 1st pts 84% 73% 84% 80%
2nd pts 8/14 6/10 12/17 26/41
% 2nd pts 57% 60% 71% 63%
Breaks
Won 1 3 2 6
Converted 1/5 3/7 2/4 6/16
Converted % 20% 43% 50% 38%
Conceded 4 2 3 9
Saved 4/4 2/2 3/3 9
Saved % 100% 100% 100% 100%
Times Broken 0 0 0 0
Rublev
R1
Popyrin
R2
Arnaldi
1/4
Zverev
Total
Score 7-65 6-4 7-5 6-3 6-1 6-75 6-3
Tot Set 2 2 3 7
Tot Games 23 21 29 73
pts 74-68 74-59 102-94 250-221
Total points 142 133 196 471
Winners 33 35 55 123
%Winners 45% 47% 54% 49%
SERVE
Aces 8 6 6 20
Double Faults 1 0 0 1
1st in 48/77 42/61 70/106 160/244
% 1st in 62% 69% 66% 66%
1st pts 33/48 35/42 55/70 123/160
% 1st pts 69% 83% 79% 77%
2nd pts 15/29 12/19 16/36 43/84
% 2nd pts 52% 63% 44% 51%
Breaks
Won 4 2 3 9
Converted 4/7 2/9 3/10 9/26
Converted % 57% 22% 30% 35%
Conceded 6 1 6 13
Saved 3/6 1/1 6/6 10
Saved % 50% 100% 100% 83%
Times Broken 3 0 0 3

Tennis Scores in Vienna

  • Nathaniel Lammons/Jack WithrowLammons/Jack WithrowSadio Doumbia/Fabien ReboulDoumbia/Fabien Reboul (4-6 7-61 10-7) – Stats, scores, rankings

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