Andrey Rublev and Matteo Arnaldi will face off in the 2nd round of the Erste Bank Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 11:45 am on CENTER COURT. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Andrey Rublev who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Andrey Rublev is the pick to win this match.
Andrey Rublev -> 1.2
Matteo Arnaldi -> 4.55
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Prediction and head to head Andrey Rublev vs. Matteo Arnaldi
There is no head to head record between Andrey Rublev and Matteo Arnaldi since this will be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.
Andrey Rublev
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 43-26 | 26-11 | 11-6 | 6-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 56-26 | 23-12 | 19-5 | 6-7 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 51-20 | 19-7 | 14-6 | 18-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 53-23 | 25-10 | 9-5 | 12-6 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 41-10 | 17-4 | 10-2 | 14-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 5 (career-high), the Russian got to the 2nd round after defeating Alexei Popyrin 7-65 6-4.
In the 1st round, Rublev had a good straight sets win against Popyrin (7-65 6-4). During the match, Rublev scored 74 points vs Popyrin’s 68. Andrey was exceptionally aggressive to blast 33 winners.
Talking about the service games, Rublev scored 8 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Andrey Rublev lost the serve 3 times and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Rublev put 62% of his first serves in, winning 69% (33/48) of the points behind his 1st serve and 52% (15/29) on the 2nd serve. The Russian broke Popyrin 4 times after converting 57% of his break points (4/7).
Rublev has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 65% of his matches (413-226). 1-2 on indoor hard courts in 2023. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Rublev has a composed 121-63 match record in the last years on indoor hard courts.
His best result of the current season was winning the title in Carlo where he overcame Holger Rune in the final 5-7 6-2 7-5 and in Bastad where he beat Casper Ruud in the final 7-6(3) 6-0.
Andrey has a composed 51-21 win-loss record in 2023, 1-2 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Vienna
Matteo Arnaldi
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 29-26 | 17-13 | 10-9 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 51-26 | 21-15 | 23-7 | 4-3 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 50-35 | 9-3 | 37-20 | 4-11 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 56-24 | 2-1 | 51-18 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 17-9 | 16-4 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 |
Ranked no. 46, Matteo got to the 2nd round after beating Albert Ramos-Vinolas 7-64 7-62.
In the 1st round, Matteo had a good straight sets win against Ramos-Vinolas (7-64 7-62). During the match Arnaldi scored 91 points vs Ramos-Vinolas’s 85. The Italian was pretty aggressive to blast 43 winners.
About the serving games, Arnaldi blasted 11 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Matteo Arnaldi lost the serve twice and he saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Arnaldi put 63% of his first serves in, winning 72% (43/60) of the points behind his 1st serve and 49% (17/35) on the 2nd serve. The Italian broke Ramos-Vinolas twice after converting 50% of his break points (2/4).
His best result of the season was winning the title the Tenerife 2 Challenger where he overcame Raul Brancaccio in the final 6-1 6-2 and the Murcia Challenger where he overcame Borna Gojo in the final 6-4 7-6(4) and the Heilbronn Challenger where he overcame Facundo Diaz Acosta in the final 7-6(4) 6-1.
The Italian has an aggregate 50-24 win-loss record in 2023, 3-1 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Vienna
Matteo has never competed in this tournament before.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Rublev | Arnaldi |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 23 | 26 |
| Pts | 74-68 | 91-85 |
| Total Points | 142 | 176 |
| Winners | 33 | 43 |
| %Winners | 45% | 47% |
Both Rublev and Arnaldi played 1 match. Both players have not dropped a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Rublev and Arnaldi have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Rublev played 3 games less than Arnaldi. Rublev scored 33 winners (45% of the total points). On the other side, Matteo made 43 winners (47%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Rublev | Arnaldi |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 8 | 11 |
| Avg per match | 8 | 11 |
| 1st in | 48/77 | 60/95 |
| %1st in | 62% | 63% |
| 1st pts | 33/48 | 43/60 |
| %1st pts | 69% | 72% |
| 2nd pts | 15/29 | 17/35 |
| %2nd pts | 52% | 49% |
Rublev fired 8 aces . Arnaldi scored 11 aces . Rublev won 69% points behind his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 52% of the points. On the other side, Arnaldi won 72% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 49% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Rublev | Arnaldi |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 4 | 2 |
| Converted | 4/7 | 2/4 |
| % Converted | 57% | 50% |
| Conceded | 6 | 3 |
| Saved | 3 | 1 |
| % Saved | 50% | 33% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 2 |
Andrey broke his opponent 4 times with a 57% conversion rate. Andrey surrendered his serve 3 times and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded. Matteo broke his opponent twice with a 50% conversion rate. Arnaldi conceded his serve twice and he saved 33% of the break points that he conceded.
| Rublev | |||
| R1 Popyrin |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-65 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 23 | 23 | |
| pts | 74-68 | 74-68 | |
| Total points | 142 | 142 | |
| Winners | 33 | 33 | |
| %Winners | 45% | 45% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 8 | 8 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 48/77 | 48/77 | |
| % 1st in | 62% | 62% | |
| 1st pts | 33/48 | 33/48 | |
| % 1st pts | 69% | 69% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/29 | 15/29 | |
| % 2nd pts | 52% | 52% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/7 | 4/7 | |
| Converted % | 57% | 57% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 6 | |
| Saved | 3/6 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 | |
| Arnaldi | |||
| R1 Ramos-Vinolas |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-64 7-62 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 26 | 26 | |
| pts | 91-85 | 91-85 | |
| Total points | 176 | 176 | |
| Winners | 43 | 43 | |
| %Winners | 47% | 47% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 11 | 11 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 60/95 | 60/95 | |
| % 1st in | 63% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 43/60 | 43/60 | |
| % 1st pts | 72% | 72% | |
| 2nd pts | 17/35 | 17/35 | |
| % 2nd pts | 49% | 49% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 2 | 2 | |
| Converted | 2/4 | 2/4 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 3 | |
| Saved | 1/3 | 1 | |
| Saved % | 33% | 33% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
Head 2 Head
LLLWLLWWLW
LLLWLWLWWL Tennis Scores in Vienna
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