Pavel Kotov and Gael Monfils will face off in the final of the Stockholm Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 3:00 pm on CENTRE COURT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Gael Monfils who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Gael Monfils is the pick to win this match.
Gael Monfils -> 1.5
Pavel Kotov -> 2.59

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Prediction and head to head Pavel Kotov vs. Gael Monfils

There is no head to head record between Pavel Kotov and Gael Monfils since this will be the first time that they will fight against each other in the main tour.

Pavel Kotov

Pavel Kotov

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
85
High
50
LLLLLLWWWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 20-25 9-11 11-9 0-4 0-1 0-0
2023 45-32 13-14 20-12 9-2 3-4 0-0
2022 37-20 5-3 20-9 12-8 0-0 0-0
2021 29-25 5-5 7-11 17-9 0-0 0-0
2020 12-10 0-0 0-1 12-8 0-0 0-1

Ranked no. 109, the Russian reached the final after defeating Vitaliy Sachko 6-4 7-64, Otto Virtanen 6-4 6-4, Christopher Eubanks 6-72 6-3 7-65, Lorenzo Sonego 6-4 7-5, Tallon Griekspoor 7-64 6-2 and Miomir Kecmanovic 6-3 6-4.

In the semifinal, Pavel had a good straight sets win against Kecmanovic (6-3 6-4). During the match, Kotov scored 68 points vs Kecmanovic’s 55. The Russian was extremely aggressive to blast 37 winners.

Regarding the service games, Kotov recorded 3 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Pavel Kotov was pretty effective on serve to win 79% (37/47) of his 1st serve and 53% (10/19) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Pavel broke Kecmanovic twice after converting 67% of his break points (2/3).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Kotov started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has lost 1 set in this event to conquer 53% of the points he played.

Kotov has a solid match record in the last 8 years having won 61% of his matches (249-158). 6-0 on indoor hard courts in 2023. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Kotov has a compiled84-43 win-loss record in the last 8 years on indoor hard courts.

The Russian’s best result of the season was reaching the final in the Braunschweig Challenger.

Pavel has an overall 42-30 win-loss record in 2023, 6-0 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS)

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Previously in Stockholm

Stockholm
Kotov's Record

Gael Monfils

Gael Monfils

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
55
High
6
WLWWWLLWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 25-21 15-11 3-6 2-2 5-2 0-0
2023 16-15 8-8 2-4 6-3 0-0 0-0
2022 14-7 13-5 1-1 0-1 0-0 0-0
2021 18-17 8-7 2-4 7-3 1-3 0-0
2020 16-7 7-3 0-3 9-1 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 140, Monfils got to the final after beating Marton Fucsovics 2-6 6-2 7-5, Filip Misolic 6-4 6-3, Adrian Mannarino 7-5 7-63 and Laslo Djere 7-5 6-2.

In the semifinal, Gael had a good straight sets win against Djere (7-5 6-2). During the match Monfils scored 71 points vs Djere’s 43. The French player was very aggressive to blast 29 winners.

About the serving games, Monfils struck 9 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Gael Monfils was pretty effective on serve to win 83% (29/35) of his 1st serve and 55% (11/20) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Monfils broke Djere 5 times after converting 71% of his break points (5/7).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Gael has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points he played.

Gael’s best result of the season was getting to the semifinal in Stockholm.

Gael has a composed 14-13 win-loss record in 2023, 4-1 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Stockholm

Previously, he won this tournament once in 2011. See his history.

Stockholm
Monfils's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

P.Kotov
G.Monfils
!
10h:54
10h:54
Time on court​
6h:31
6h:31
1h:31
1h:31
Last match​
1h:15
1h:15
!
6
6
Match played
4
4
140
140
Games Played​
92
92
13
13
Set played​​
9
9
474
474
Total points​
304
304
79
79
Avg point​
76
76
228
228
Winners
135
135
38
38
Avg Winners​
33.8
33.8
48%
48%
Ratio winners
44%
44%
-- Serve --
16
16
Aces
34
34
2.7
2.7
Avg Aces
8.5
8.5
14
14
Double Faults
12
12
2.3
2.3
Avg Double Faults
3
3
228/299
228/299
1st won total​
135/170
135/170
!
76%
76%
1st won %
!
79%
79%
79/141
79/141
2nd won total​
52/102
52/102
56%
56%
2nd won %
51%
51%
-- Break Points --
13/34
13/34
BP won
15/32
15/32
2.2/5.7
2.2/5.7
Avg BP won
3.8/8
3.8/8
38%
38%
Won
47%
47%
22
22
Conceded
19
19
3.7
3.7
Avg Conceded
4.8
4.8
3
3
Broken
7
7
!
0.5
0.5
Avg Broken
1.8
1.8
19
19
Saved
12
12

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Kotov Monfils
Match played 6 4
Tot Set 13 9
Tot Games 140 92
Pts 474-413 304-250
Total Points 887 554
Winners 228 135
%Winners 48% 44%

Kotov played 6 matches while Monfils competed in 4 matches. Kotov started his run from the qualifications while Monfils had a direct access to the main draw. Both players lost a set in the event. Pavel Kotov dropped 1 set, while Gael Monfils dropped 1 set. Kotov has played 4 sets more than Monfils (13 vs 9). Therefore, Kotov played 48 games more than Monfils. Kotov scored 228 winners (48% of the total points). On the other side, Gael struck 135 winners (44%).

Serve Performance

Serve Kotov Monfils
Aces 16 34
Avg per match 2.7 8.5
1st in 299/440 170/272
%1st in 68% 63%
1st pts 228/299 135/170
%1st pts 76% 79%
2nd pts 79/141 52/102
%2nd pts 56% 51%

Kotov struck 16 aces (2.7 per match). Monfils made 34 aces (8.5 per match). Kotov won 76% points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 56% of the points. On the other side, Monfils won 79% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 51% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Kotov Monfils
Won 13 15
Converted 13/34 15/32
% Converted 38% 47%
Conceded 22 19
Saved 19 12
% Saved 86% 63%
Times Broken 3 7

Kotov broke his opponents 13 times with a 38% conversion rate. The Russian surrendered his serve 3 times and he saved 86% of the break points that he conceded. Gael broke his opponents 15 times with a 47% conversion rate. Gael conceded his serve 7 times and he saved 63% of the break points that he conceded.

Kotov
Q1
Sachko
Q3
Virtanen
R1
Eubanks
R2
Sonego
1/4
Griekspoor
1/2
Kecmanovic
Total
Score 6-4 7-64 6-4 6-4 6-72 6-3 7-65 6-4 7-5 7-64 6-2 6-3 6-4
Tot Set 2 2 3 2 2 2 13
Tot Games 23 20 35 22 21 19 140
pts 87-75 73-58 105-102 68-59 73-64 68-55 474-413
Total points 162 131 207 127 137 123 887
Winners 35 32 57 31 36 37 228
%Winners 40% 44% 54% 46% 49% 54% 48%
SERVE
Aces 1 5 4 0 3 3 16
Double Faults 1 1 6 3 2 1 14
1st in 48/74 42/57 70/108 40/61 52/74 47/66 299/440
% 1st in 65% 74% 65% 66% 70% 71% 68%
1st pts 35/48 32/42 57/70 31/40 36/52 37/47 228/299
% 1st pts 73% 76% 81% 78% 69% 79% 76%
2nd pts 17/26 11/15 19/38 9/21 13/22 10/19 79/141
% 2nd pts 65% 73% 50% 43% 59% 53% 56%
Breaks
Won 2 2 1 4 2 2 13
Converted 2/9 2/8 1/4 4/6 2/4 2/3 13/34
Converted % 22% 25% 25% 67% 50% 67% 38%
Conceded 5 2 3 3 7 2 22
Saved 4/5 2/2 3/3 1/3 7/7 2/2 19
Saved % 80% 100% 100% 33% 100% 100% 86%
Times Broken 1 0 0 2 0 0 3
Monfils
R1
Fucsovics
R2
Misolic
1/4
Mannarino
1/2
Djere
Total
Score 2-6 6-2 7-5 6-4 6-3 7-5 7-63 7-5 6-2
Tot Set 3 2 2 2 9
Tot Games 28 19 25 20 92
pts 94-91 66-53 73-63 71-43 304-250
Total points 185 119 136 114 554
Winners 37 31 38 29 135
%Winners 39% 47% 52% 41% 44%
SERVE
Aces 9 11 5 9 34
Double Faults 6 2 1 3 12
1st in 49/96 35/53 51/68 35/55 170/272
% 1st in 51% 66% 75% 64% 63%
1st pts 37/49 31/35 38/51 29/35 135/170
% 1st pts 76% 89% 75% 83% 79%
2nd pts 22/47 7/18 12/17 11/20 52/102
% 2nd pts 47% 39% 71% 55% 51%
Breaks
Won 4 3 3 5 15
Converted 4/12 3/7 3/6 5/7 15/32
Converted % 33% 43% 50% 71% 47%
Conceded 8 1 3 7 19
Saved 5/8 1/1 1/3 5/7 12
Saved % 63% 100% 33% 71% 45%
Times Broken 3 0 2 2 7

Upcoming matches in the draw