Mariano Navone and Andrea Pellegrino will play each other in the final of the Santa Fe 2 Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 3:00 pm on CANCHA CENTRAL. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Mariano Navone who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Mariano Navone is the pick to win this match.
Mariano Navone -> 1.74
Andrea Pellegrino -> 2.04
Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).
To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Â
Prediction and head to head Mariano Navone vs. Andrea Pellegrino
There is no head to head record between Mariano Navone and Andrea Pellegrino since this will be the first time that they will face off in the main tour.
Mariano Navone
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 25-13 | 0-1 | 25-11 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 40-23 | 0-1 | 40-21 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 44-25 | 0-1 | 44-24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 40-24 | 0-0 | 40-24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 23-8 | 4-2 | 19-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 146 (career-high), the Argentine reached the final after defeating Alex Barrena 6-77 6-2 6-2, Francisco Comesana 6-3 3-6 6-4, Tomas Barrios Vera 7-62 6-4 and Thiago Moura Monteiro 7-5 6-4.
In the semifinal, Mariano had a good straight sets win against Moura Monteiro (7-5 6-4). During the match, Navone scored 69 points vs Moura Monteiro’s 63. The Argentine was quite aggressive to blast 32 winners.
Talking about the service games, Navone managed to score 2 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Overall, Mariano Navone was pretty effective on serve to win 73% (32/44) of his 1st serve and 59% (13/22) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Argentine broke Moura Monteiro 3 times after converting 43% of his break points (3/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Navone has conceded 2 set in this tournament to win 53% of the points he played.
Navone has a solid win-loss record in the last 6 years having won 64% of his matches (185-103). 35-20 on clay in 2023. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Navone has an overall181-98 match record in the last 6 years on clay.
His best result of the current year was winning the title the Poznan Challenger where he defeated Tomas Barrios Vera in the final 7-5 6-3 and the Santa Fe Challenger where he beat Adolfo Daniel Vallejo in the final 6-2 6-4 and the Santa Cruz de la Sierra Challenger where he defeated Francisco Comesana in the final 4-6 7-5 6-1 and the Buenos Aires Challenger where he beat Federico Coria in the final 2-6 6-3 6-4.
Mariano has a composed 35-22 win-loss record in 2023, 35-20 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Santa Fe 2 Challenger
Andrea Pellegrino
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 11-15 | 0-1 | 11-14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 30-29 | 2-2 | 28-26 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 30-28 | 0-3 | 27-20 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 24-29 | 2-3 | 22-23 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 17-14 | 0-1 | 14-6 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 169, the Italian reached the final after beating Jan Choinski 6-4 3-0 ret., Marco Trungelliti 6-1 2-6 6-4, Federico Coria 6-0 3-2 ret. and Vit Kopriva 6-1 6-3.
In the semifinal, Andrea had a good straight sets win against Kopriva (6-1 6-3). During the match Pellegrino scored 53 points vs Kopriva’s 36. Andrea was extremely aggressive to blast 22 winners.
Talking about serving, Pellegrino scored just 1 ace during the entire match and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Andrea Pellegrino lost the serve once. Furthermore, Pellegrino put 71% of his first serves in, winning 69% (22/32) of the points behind his 1st serve and 54% (7/13) on the 2nd serve. The Italian broke Kopriva 5 times after converting 63% of his break points (5/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Andrea has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.
His best result of the year was conquering the title the Bad Waltersdorf Challenger where he defeated Dennis Novak in the final 1-6 7-6(5) 6-3.
Andrea has an aggregate 29-27 win-loss record in 2023, 27-24 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Navone | Pellegrino |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 10 | 11 |
| Tot Games | 102 | 65 |
| Pts | 347-310 | 227-170 |
| Total Points | 657 | 397 |
| Winners | 143 | 85 |
| %Winners | 41% | 37% |
Both Navone and Pellegrino played 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Mariano Navone dropped 2 sets, while Andrea Pellegrino conceded 1 set. Navone has played 1 set(s) less than Pellegrino (10 vs 11). However, it’s interesting to notice that Navone played 37 games more than Pellegrino. Mariano scored 143 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, The Italian scored 85 winners (37%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Navone | Pellegrino |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 4 | 6 |
| Avg per match | 1 | 1.5 |
| 1st in | 210/316 | 133/183 |
| %1st in | 66% | 73% |
| 1st pts | 143/210 | 85/133 |
| %1st pts | 68% | 64% |
| 2nd pts | 58/106 | 30/50 |
| %2nd pts | 55% | 60% |
Navone recorded 4 aces (1 per match). Pellegrino managed to score 6 aces (1.5 per match). Navone won 68% points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 55% of the points. On the other side, Pellegrino won 64% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 60% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Navone | Pellegrino |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 18 | 19 |
| Converted | 18/49 | 19/32 |
| % Converted | 37% | 59% |
| Conceded | 28 | 11 |
| Saved | 18 | 5 |
| % Saved | 64% | 45% |
| Times Broken | 10 | 6 |
The Argentine broke his opponents 18 times with a 37% conversion rate. Navone conceded his serve 10 times and he saved 64% of the break points that he conceded. Pellegrino broke his opponents 19 times with a 59% conversion rate. The Italian conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 45% of the break points that he conceded.
| Navone | ||||||
| R1 Barrena |
R2 Comesana |
1/4 Tomas Barrios Vera |
1/2 Moura Monteiro |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-77 6-2 6-2 | 6-3 3-6 6-4 | 7-62 6-4 | 7-5 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10 | |
| Tot Games | 29 | 28 | 23 | 22 | 102 | |
| pts | 106-85 | 99-98 | 73-64 | 69-63 | 347-310 | |
| Total points | 191 | 197 | 137 | 132 | 657 | |
| Winners | 39 | 44 | 28 | 32 | 143 | |
| %Winners | 37% | 44% | 38% | 46% | 41% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 52/83 | 76/103 | 38/64 | 44/66 | 210/316 | |
| % 1st in | 63% | 74% | 59% | 67% | 66% | |
| 1st pts | 39/52 | 44/76 | 28/38 | 32/44 | 143/210 | |
| % 1st pts | 75% | 58% | 74% | 73% | 68% | |
| 2nd pts | 17/31 | 13/27 | 15/26 | 13/22 | 58/106 | |
| % 2nd pts | 55% | 48% | 58% | 59% | 55% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 6 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 18 | |
| Converted | 6/17 | 6/17 | 3/8 | 3/7 | 18/49 | |
| Converted % | 35% | 35% | 38% | 43% | 37% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 19 | 3 | 3 | 28 | |
| Saved | 1/3 | 14/19 | 1/3 | 2/3 | 18 | |
| Saved % | 33% | 74% | 33% | 67% | 52% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 10 | |
| Pellegrino | ||||||
| R1 Choinski |
R2 Trungelliti |
1/4 Coria |
1/2 Kopriva |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 3-0 ret. | 6-1 2-6 6-4 | 6-0 3-2 ret. | 6-1 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 13 | 25 | 11 | 16 | 65 | |
| pts | 48-31 | 80-78 | 46-25 | 53-36 | 227-170 | |
| Total points | 79 | 158 | 71 | 89 | 397 | |
| Winners | 19 | 27 | 17 | 22 | 85 | |
| %Winners | 40% | 34% | 37% | 42% | 37% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 24/35 | 53/74 | 24/29 | 32/45 | 133/183 | |
| % 1st in | 69% | 72% | 83% | 71% | 73% | |
| 1st pts | 19/24 | 27/53 | 17/24 | 22/32 | 85/133 | |
| % 1st pts | 79% | 51% | 71% | 69% | 64% | |
| 2nd pts | 7/11 | 13/21 | 3/5 | 7/13 | 30/50 | |
| % 2nd pts | 64% | 62% | 60% | 54% | 60% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 3 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 19 | |
| Converted | 3/6 | 6/11 | 5/7 | 5/8 | 19/32 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 55% | 71% | 63% | 59% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 11 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 3/7 | 2/3 | 0/1 | 5 | |
| Saved % | – | 43% | 67% | 0% | 28% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 6 | |
Head 2 Head
LLWLLWWWWL
LLWLWLWLWW 
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Andrea PellegrinoPellegrino – Mariano NavoneNavone (0-0) – H2H and prediction
