Alex Molcan and Mattia Bellucci will face off in the quarter of the Olbia Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 5:00 pm on CENTRALE. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Mattia Bellucci who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Mattia Bellucci is the pick to win this match.
Mattia Bellucci -> 1.82
Alex Molcan -> 1.94
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Prediction and head to head Alex Molcan vs. Mattia Bellucci
There is no head to head record between Alex Molcan and Mattia Bellucci since this will be the first time that they will fight against each other in the main tour.
Alex Molcan
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 9-10 | 3-4 | 6-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 26-27 | 10-8 | 13-13 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 29-24 | 7-8 | 18-9 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 65-24 | 8-3 | 42-14 | 13-6 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 6-11 | 2-3 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 115, Alex got to the quarter after defeating Dimitar Kuzmanov 7-65 ret. and Marius Copil 6-2 6-2.
In the 2nd round, The Slovakian had a good straight sets win against Copil (6-2 6-2). During the match, Molcan scored 70 points vs Copil’s 46. Alex was extremely aggressive to blast 23 winners.
Talking about the service games, Molcan scored just 1 ace throughout the encounter and he was extremely consistent in conceding no double faults. Overall, Alex Molcan was pretty effective on serve to win 79% (23/29) of his 1st serve and 57% (8/14) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Slovakian broke Copil 5 times after converting 56% of his break points (5/9).
Molcan has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 61% of his matches (250-163). 9-7 on hard in 2023. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Molcan has a composed 65-39 record in the last years on hard.
Molcan’s best result of the season was reaching the semifinal in Banja Luka and the Bratislava 1 Challenger.
The Slovakian has a compiled 22-23 win-loss record in 2023, 9-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Olbia Challenger
Alex has never competed in this tournament before.
Mattia Bellucci
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 13-16 | 4-8 | 4-1 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 33-34 | 22-19 | 2-9 | 4-3 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 66-23 | 30-4 | 25-12 | 11-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 39-18 | 29-10 | 5-3 | 5-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 15-6 | 13-3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-1 |
Ranked no. 152, Mattia got to the quarter after beating Benoit Paire 6-4 3-6 6-2 and Raul Brancaccio 6-4 6-4.
In the 2nd round, Bellucci had a good straight sets win against Brancaccio (6-4 6-4). During the match Bellucci scored 70 points vs Brancaccio’s 61. Mattia was quite aggressive to blast 30 winners.
About the serving games, Bellucci recorded 5 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Mattia Bellucci was extremely efficient on serve to win 86% (30/35) of his 1st serve and 54% (14/26) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Italian broke Brancaccio twice after converting 25% of his break points (2/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Italian has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.
His best result of the year was conquering the title the Cassis Challenger where he overcame Tomas Machac in the final 6-3 6-4.
Mattia has an overall 33-32 win-loss record in 2023, 22-18 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Molcan | Bellucci |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 5 |
| Tot Games | 29 | 47 |
| Pts | 118-90 | 151-134 |
| Total Points | 208 | 285 |
| Winners | 45 | 60 |
| %Winners | 38% | 40% |
Both Molcan and Bellucci played 2 matches. At the moment, Mattia Bellucci lost 1 set while Alex Molcan hasn’t dropped a set so far. Molcan has played 1 set(s) less than Bellucci (4 vs 5). Therefore, Molcan played 18 games less than Bellucci. Molcan scored 45 winners (38% of the total points). On the other side, Mattia fired 60 winners (40%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Molcan | Bellucci |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 3 | 7 |
| Avg per match | 1.5 | 3.5 |
| 1st in | 61/89 | 76/132 |
| %1st in | 69% | 58% |
| 1st pts | 45/61 | 60/76 |
| %1st pts | 74% | 79% |
| 2nd pts | 15/28 | 29/56 |
| %2nd pts | 54% | 52% |
Molcan fired 3 aces (1.5 per match). Bellucci scored 7 aces (3.5 per match). Molcan won 74% points behind his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 54% of the points. On the other side, Bellucci won 79% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 52% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Molcan | Bellucci |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 7 | 7 |
| Converted | 7/13 | 7/17 |
| % Converted | 54% | 41% |
| Conceded | 8 | 7 |
| Saved | 5 | 3 |
| % Saved | 63% | 43% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 4 |
Molcan broke his opponents 7 times with a 54% conversion rate. Alex dropped his serve 3 times and he saved 63% of the break points that he conceded. Bellucci broke his opponents 7 times with a 41% conversion rate. Bellucci conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 43% of the break points that he conceded.
| Molcan | ||||
| R1 Kuzmanov |
R2 Copil |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-65 ret. | 6-2 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 1 | 2 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 13 | 16 | 29 | |
| pts | 48-44 | 70-46 | 118-90 | |
| Total points | 92 | 116 | 208 | |
| Winners | 22 | 23 | 45 | |
| %Winners | 46% | 33% | 38% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 2 | 1 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 32/46 | 29/43 | 61/89 | |
| % 1st in | 70% | 67% | 69% | |
| 1st pts | 22/32 | 23/29 | 45/61 | |
| % 1st pts | 69% | 79% | 74% | |
| 2nd pts | 7/14 | 8/14 | 15/28 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 57% | 54% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 2 | 5 | 7 | |
| Converted | 2/4 | 5/9 | 7/13 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 56% | 54% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 3 | 8 | |
| Saved | 3/5 | 2/3 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 60% | 67% | 64% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 1 | 3 | |
| Bellucci | ||||
| R1 Paire |
R2 Brancaccio |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 3-6 6-2 | 6-4 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 27 | 20 | 47 | |
| pts | 81-73 | 70-61 | 151-134 | |
| Total points | 154 | 131 | 285 | |
| Winners | 30 | 30 | 60 | |
| %Winners | 37% | 43% | 40% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 2 | 5 | 7 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 4 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 41/71 | 35/61 | 76/132 | |
| % 1st in | 58% | 57% | 58% | |
| 1st pts | 30/41 | 30/35 | 60/76 | |
| % 1st pts | 73% | 86% | 79% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/30 | 14/26 | 29/56 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 54% | 52% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 5 | 2 | 7 | |
| Converted | 5/9 | 2/8 | 7/17 | |
| Converted % | 56% | 25% | 41% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 3 | 7 | |
| Saved | 0/4 | 3/3 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 0% | 100% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 0 | 4 | |
Head 2 Head
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WWLWWLLWLW Tennis Scores in Olbia Challenger
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Upcoming matches in the draw
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- Ugo BlanchetBlanchet – Kyrian JacquetJacquet (2-2) – H2H and prediction
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