Jasmine Paolini and Lucia Bronzetti will clash against each other in the quarter of the Jasmin Open Tunisia for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 1:00 pm on Center Court. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jasmine Paolini who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Jasmine Paolini is the pick to win this match.
Jasmine Paolini -> 1.52
Lucia Bronzetti -> 2.53
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Prediction and head to head Jasmine Paolini vs. Lucia Bronzetti
This will be the 3rd time that Jasmine Paolini and Lucia Bronzetti face off. The head to head is 1-1 for Paolini and Bronzetti (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on hard.
The last time that they locked horns, Paolini won 7-6(11) 2-6 6-2 in the semifinal in the Florence back in May 2023.
Jasmine Paolini
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 24-12 | 12-6 | 10-4 | 0-1 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 43-30 | 20-16 | 16-8 | 5-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 30-25 | 14-11 | 10-10 | 6-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 34-24 | 17-13 | 12-7 | 5-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 7-15 | 1-8 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 30 (career-high), the Italian reached the quarter after defeating Alize Cornet 6-4 6-2 and Petra Marcinko 6-4 3-6 6-2.
In the 2nd round, The Italian defeated Marcinko (6-4 3-6 6-2). During the match, Paolini scored 92 points vs Marcinko’s 84. Jasmine was extremely aggressive to blast 37 winners.
Talking about the service games, Paolini scored just 1 ace during the match and she committed only 3 double faults. Jasmine Paolini lost the serve 7 times and she saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Paolini put 71% of her first serves in, winning 57% (37/65) of the points behind her 1st serve and 38% (10/26) on the 2nd serve. Jasmine broke Marcinko 8 times after converting 47% of her break points (8/17).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Jasmine has lost 1 set in this event to win 54% of the points she played.
Paolini has favorable win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 57% of her matches (318-238). 18-15 on hard in 2023. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Paolini has a composed 106-86 record in the last years on hard.
Her best result of the season was winning the title the Florence where she overcame Taylor Townsend in the final 6-3 7-5.
The Italian has an overall 38-28 win-loss record in 2023, 18-15 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Monastir
The Italian has never competed in this tournament before.
Lucia Bronzetti
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 12-20 | 6-11 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 32-30 | 15-17 | 10-9 | 4-2 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 36-26 | 18-10 | 13-10 | 3-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 53-23 | 14-4 | 38-14 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 11-11 | 0-2 | 5-4 | 6-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 62, the Italian reached the quarter after beating Kristina Kucova 6-1 6-1 and Sara Errani 6-3 6-4.
In the 2nd round, Lucia had a good straight sets win against Errani (6-3 6-4). During the match Bronzetti scored 70 points vs Errani’s 54. Bronzetti was very aggressive to blast 21 winners.
Talking about serving, Bronzetti scored just 1 ace during the entire match and she committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Lucia Bronzetti lost the serve twice and she saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Bronzetti put 59% of her first serves in, winning 70% (21/30) of the points behind her 1st serve and 52% (11/21) on the 2nd serve. The Italian broke Errani 5 times after converting 45% of her break points (5/11).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Bronzetti hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 61% of the points she played.
Her best result of the current year was conquering the title in Rabat where she beat Julia Grabher in the final 6-4 5-7 7-5.
Bronzetti has a composed 32-29 win-loss record in 2023, 15-16 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Paolini | Bronzetti |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 5 | 4 |
| Tot Games | 45 | 33 |
| Pts | 155-130 | 126-80 |
| Total Points | 285 | 206 |
| Winners | 63 | 36 |
| %Winners | 41% | 29% |
Both Paolini and Bronzetti played 2 matches. At the moment, Jasmine Paolini conceded 1 set while Lucia Bronzetti hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Paolini has played 1 set more than Bronzetti (5 vs 4). Therefore, Paolini played 12 games more than Bronzetti. The Italian scored 63 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, Lucia blasted 36 winners (29%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Paolini | Bronzetti |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 1 | 2 |
| Avg per match | 0.5 | 1 |
| 1st in | 107/151 | 51/91 |
| %1st in | 71% | 56% |
| 1st pts | 63/107 | 36/51 |
| %1st pts | 59% | 71% |
| 2nd pts | 22/44 | 26/40 |
| %2nd pts | 50% | 65% |
Paolini scored 1 ace (0.5 per match). Bronzetti also struck 2 aces (1 per match). Paolini won 59% points on her first serve. She quite strong on her second serve to win 50% of the points. On the other side, Bronzetti won 71% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 65% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Paolini | Bronzetti |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 13 | 10 |
| Converted | 13/24 | 10/19 |
| % Converted | 54% | 53% |
| Conceded | 18 | 6 |
| Saved | 9 | 4 |
| % Saved | 50% | 67% |
| Times Broken | 9 | 2 |
Paolini broke her opponents 13 times with a 54% conversion rate. The Italian lost her serve 9 times and she saved 50% of the break points that she conceded. Lucia broke her opponents 10 times with a 53% conversion rate. The Italian conceded her serve twice and she saved 67% of the break points that she conceded.
| Paolini | ||||
| R1 Cornet |
R2 Marcinko |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-2 | 6-4 3-6 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 27 | 45 | |
| pts | 63-46 | 92-84 | 155-130 | |
| Total points | 109 | 176 | 285 | |
| Winners | 26 | 37 | 63 | |
| %Winners | 41% | 40% | 41% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 42/60 | 65/91 | 107/151 | |
| % 1st in | 70% | 71% | 71% | |
| 1st pts | 26/42 | 37/65 | 63/107 | |
| % 1st pts | 62% | 57% | 59% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/18 | 10/26 | 22/44 | |
| % 2nd pts | 67% | 38% | 50% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 5 | 8 | 13 | |
| Converted | 5/7 | 8/17 | 13/24 | |
| Converted % | 71% | 47% | 54% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 11 | 18 | |
| Saved | 5/7 | 4/11 | 9 | |
| Saved % | 71% | 36% | 54% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 7 | 9 | |
| Bronzetti | ||||
| R1 Kucova |
R2 Errani |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-1 | 6-3 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 14 | 19 | 33 | |
| pts | 56-26 | 70-54 | 126-80 | |
| Total points | 82 | 124 | 206 | |
| Winners | 15 | 21 | 36 | |
| %Winners | 27% | 30% | 29% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 1 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 21/40 | 30/51 | 51/91 | |
| % 1st in | 53% | 59% | 56% | |
| 1st pts | 15/21 | 21/30 | 36/51 | |
| % 1st pts | 71% | 70% | 71% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/19 | 11/21 | 26/40 | |
| % 2nd pts | 79% | 52% | 65% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 5 | 5 | 10 | |
| Converted | 5/8 | 5/11 | 10/19 | |
| Converted % | 63% | 45% | 53% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 4 | 6 | |
| Saved | 2/2 | 2/4 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 50% | 75% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 2 | 2 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWLWWWWWW
LWLWLLLWWL 
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