Alexei Popyrin and Shintaro Mochizuki will fight against each other in the quarter of the Rakuten Japan Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 8:30 pm on COLOSSEUM. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Alexei Popyrin who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Alexei Popyrin is the pick to win this match.
Alexei Popyrin -> 1.46
Shintaro Mochizuki -> 2.72
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Prediction and head to head Alexei Popyrin vs. Shintaro Mochizuki
There is no head to head record between Alexei Popyrin and Shintaro Mochizuki since this will be the first time that they will face off in the main tour.
Alexei Popyrin
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 12-10 | 7-4 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 36-29 | 18-14 | 15-6 | 1-4 | 2-5 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 24-31 | 7-16 | 7-4 | 3-5 | 7-6 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 32-26 | 13-11 | 8-6 | 10-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 14-16 | 3-4 | 5-5 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-1 |
Ranked no. 41, Alexei reached the quarter after beating Karen Khachanov 6-4 6-2 and Cristian Garin 4-6 7-63 6-2.
In the 2nd round against Garin, The Australian recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 7-63 6-2). During the match, Popyrin scored 119 points vs Garin’s 107. The Australian was very aggressive to blast 51 winners.
Regarding the service games, Popyrin scored 8 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Overall, Alexei Popyrin was pretty effective on serve to win 75% (51/68) of his 1st serve and 51% (21/41) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. The Australian broke Garin 3 times after converting 33% of his break points (3/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Australian has dropped 1 set in this tournament to win 53% of the points he played.
Popyrin has a winning win-loss record in the last 8 years having won 56% of his matches (242-187). 18-13 on hard in 2023. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Popyrin has an aggregate119-90 win-loss record in the last 8 years on hard.
His best result of the year was winning the title in Umag where he defeated Stan Wawrinka in the final 6-7(5) 6-3 6-4.
The Australian has an overall 35-25 win-loss record in 2023, 18-13 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Tokyo
Shintaro Mochizuki
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 14-16 | 5-8 | 7-5 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 41-33 | 22-16 | 13-8 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 37-34 | 18-17 | 13-12 | 6-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 35-30 | 11-10 | 18-11 | 5-7 | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| 2020 | 20-14 | 14-12 | 6-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 215, Shintaro reached the quarter after defeating Tomas Martin Etcheverry 6-4 7-65 and Taylor Fritz 0-6 6-4 7-62.
In the 2nd round against Fritz, Mochizuki recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (0-6 6-4 7-62). During the match Mochizuki scored 88 points vs Fritz’s 87. The Japanese was pretty aggressive to blast 40 winners.
About the serving games, Mochizuki managed to score 5 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Shintaro Mochizuki lost the serve 4 times and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Mochizuki put 61% of his first serves in, winning 69% (40/58) of the points behind his 1st serve and 54% (20/37) on the 2nd serve. Shintaro broke Fritz twice after converting 40% of his break points (2/5).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Mochizuki has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 51% of the points he played.
His best result of the current year was winning the title the Barletta Challenger where he beat Santiago Rodriguez Taverna in the final 6-1 6-4.
Shintaro has an aggregate 35-29 win-loss record in 2023, 18-13 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Tokyo
Previously, his best result was reaching the 1st round in 2022. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Popyrin | Mochizuki |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 5 | 5 |
| Tot Games | 49 | 52 |
| Pts | 188-166 | 166-161 |
| Total Points | 354 | 327 |
| Winners | 86 | 72 |
| %Winners | 46% | 43% |
Both Popyrin and Mochizuki played 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Alexei Popyrin dropped 1 set, while Shintaro Mochizuki lost 1 set. Talking about their workload, Popyrin and Mochizuki have played the same amount of sets 5. However, Popyrin played 3 games less than Mochizuki. Popyrin scored 86 winners (46% of the total points). On the other side, Shintaro made 72 winners (43%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Popyrin | Mochizuki |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 19 | 7 |
| Avg per match | 9.5 | 3.5 |
| 1st in | 113/180 | 107/174 |
| %1st in | 63% | 61% |
| 1st pts | 86/113 | 72/107 |
| %1st pts | 76% | 67% |
| 2nd pts | 30/67 | 40/67 |
| %2nd pts | 45% | 60% |
Popyrin recorded 19 aces (9.5 per match). Mochizuki bagged 7 aces (3.5 per match). Popyrin won 76% points on his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 45% of the points. On the other side, Mochizuki won 67% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 60% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Popyrin | Mochizuki |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 7 | 4 |
| Converted | 7/19 | 4/13 |
| % Converted | 37% | 31% |
| Conceded | 17 | 13 |
| Saved | 14 | 8 |
| % Saved | 82% | 62% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 5 |
Alexei broke his opponents 7 times with a 37% conversion rate. Popyrin conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 82% of the break points that he conceded. The Japanese broke his opponents 4 times with a 31% conversion rate. The Japanese conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 62% of the break points that he conceded.
| Popyrin | ||||
| R1 Khachanov |
R2 Garin |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-2 | 4-6 7-63 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 31 | 49 | |
| pts | 69-59 | 119-107 | 188-166 | |
| Total points | 128 | 226 | 354 | |
| Winners | 35 | 51 | 86 | |
| %Winners | 51% | 43% | 46% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 11 | 8 | 19 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 4 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 45/71 | 68/109 | 113/180 | |
| % 1st in | 63% | 62% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 35/45 | 51/68 | 86/113 | |
| % 1st pts | 78% | 75% | 76% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/26 | 21/41 | 30/67 | |
| % 2nd pts | 35% | 51% | 45% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 3 | 7 | |
| Converted | 4/10 | 3/9 | 7/19 | |
| Converted % | 40% | 33% | 37% | |
| Conceded | 8 | 9 | 17 | |
| Saved | 7/8 | 7/9 | 14 | |
| Saved % | 88% | 78% | 83% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 2 | 3 | |
| Mochizuki | ||||
| R1 Etcheverry |
R2 Fritz |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 7-65 | 0-6 6-4 7-62 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 23 | 29 | 52 | |
| pts | 78-74 | 88-87 | 166-161 | |
| Total points | 152 | 175 | 327 | |
| Winners | 32 | 40 | 72 | |
| %Winners | 41% | 45% | 43% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 2 | 5 | 7 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 49/79 | 58/95 | 107/174 | |
| % 1st in | 62% | 61% | 61% | |
| 1st pts | 32/49 | 40/58 | 72/107 | |
| % 1st pts | 65% | 69% | 67% | |
| 2nd pts | 20/30 | 20/37 | 40/67 | |
| % 2nd pts | 67% | 54% | 60% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Converted | 2/8 | 2/5 | 4/13 | |
| Converted % | 25% | 40% | 31% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 9 | 13 | |
| Saved | 3/4 | 5/9 | 8 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 56% | 66% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 4 | 5 | |
Head 2 Head
WWLWLLLLLW
LLLWWLWWWL Tennis Scores in Tokyo
- Marcelo Arevalo/Jean-Julien RojerArevalo/Jean-Julien Rojer – Ben Mclachlan/Yoshihito NishiokaMclachlan/Yoshihito Nishioka (6-3 7-63) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Jamie Murray/Michael VenusMurray/Michael Venus – Sander Gille/Joran VliegenGille/Joran Vliegen (4-6 7-5 10-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Tommy PaulPaul – (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Aslan KaratsevKaratsev (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime – Marcos GironGiron (3-0) – H2H and prediction
