Felix Auger-Aliassime and Marcos Giron will face off in the quarter of the Rakuten Japan Open for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 3:30 pm on COLOSSEUM. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Felix Auger-Aliassime who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Felix Auger-Aliassime is the pick to win this match.
Felix Auger-Aliassime -> 1.49
Marcos Giron -> 2.62
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Prediction and head to head Felix Auger-Aliassime vs. Marcos Giron
This will be the 4th time that Felix Auger-Aliassime and Marcos Giron clash against each other. The head to head is 3-0 for Auger-Aliassime (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on hard.
The last time that they played each other, Auger-Aliassime won 6-3 5-7 6-3 in the 1st round in Halle back in 2022.
Highlights Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Marcos Giron – Halle 14-June-2022
Felix Auger-Aliassime
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 17-7 | 13-6 | 0-0 | 4-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 32-25 | 6-10 | 17-8 | 9-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 23-19 | 13-13 | 1-3 | 9-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 60-27 | 14-9 | 11-7 | 31-7 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 38-24 | 19-10 | 4-6 | 5-5 | 10-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 17, Felix got to the quarter after defeating Aleksandar Vukic 7-63 6-72 6-2 and Sebastian Ofner 6-4 6-1.
In the 2nd round, Felix had a good straight sets win against Ofner (6-4 6-1). During the match, Auger-Aliassime scored 73 points vs Ofner’s 58. Auger-Aliassime was extremely aggressive to blast 34 winners.
Talking about the service games, Auger-Aliassime recorded 5 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Felix Auger-Aliassime lost the serve twice and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Auger-Aliassime put 76% of his first serves in, winning 76% (34/45) of the points behind his 1st serve and 21% (3/14) on the 2nd serve. Felix broke Ofner 5 times after converting 31% of his break points (5/16).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Auger-Aliassime has surrendered 1 set in this event to conquer 54% of the points he played.
Auger-Aliassime has a solid match record in the last 9 years having won 63% of his matches (301-176). 13-12 on hard in 2023. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Auger-Aliassime has an aggregate101-72 match record in the last 9 years on hard.
The Canadian’s best result of the current year was reaching the semifinal in Doha.
The Canadian has an aggregate 17-17 win-loss record in 2023, 13-12 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Tokyo
Auger-Aliassime has never competed in this tournament before.
Marcos Giron
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 10-6 | 9-6 | 0-0 | 1-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 29-27 | 6-11 | 3-8 | 11-4 | 9-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 32-30 | 17-15 | 7-6 | 5-5 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 23-31 | 11-13 | 3-9 | 6-5 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 33-24 | 12-10 | 5-5 | 11-6 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 79, Marcos reached the quarter after beating Kaichi Uchida 6-4 6-3, Yasutaka Uchiyama 6-3 6-2, Yoshihito Nishioka 7-614 4-6 6-1 and Casper Ruud 6-3 6-4.
In the 2nd round, Marcos had a good straight sets win against Ruud (6-3 6-4). During the match Giron scored 62 points vs Ruud’s 50. Giron was exceptionally aggressive to blast 30 winners.
Talking about serving, Giron fired 9 aces and he was extremely steady in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Marcos Giron lost the serve once. Furthermore, Giron put 72% of his first serves in, winning 79% (30/38) of the points behind his 1st serve and 40% (6/15) on the 2nd serve. Giron broke Ruud 4 times after converting 57% of his break points (4/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Giron started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 56% of the points he played.
The American has a compiled 29-26 win-loss record in 2023, 16-14 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Auger-Aliassime | Giron |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 5 | 9 |
| Tot Games | 51 | 85 |
| Pts | 197-169 | 310-244 |
| Total Points | 366 | 554 |
| Winners | 79 | 150 |
| %Winners | 40% | 48% |
Auger-Aliassime played 2 matches while Giron competed in 4 matches. Giron started his run from the qualifications while Auger-Aliassime had a direct access to the main draw. Both players lost a set in the event. Felix Auger-Aliassime dropped 1 set, while Marcos Giron lost 1 set. Auger-Aliassime has played 4 set(s) less than Giron (5 vs 9). Therefore, Auger-Aliassime played 34 games less than Giron. The Canadian scored 79 winners (40% of the total points). On the other side, The American scored 150 winners (48%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Auger-Aliassime | Giron |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 18 | 33 |
| Avg per match | 9 | 8.3 |
| 1st in | 107/158 | 183/260 |
| %1st in | 68% | 70% |
| 1st pts | 79/107 | 150/183 |
| %1st pts | 74% | 82% |
| 2nd pts | 23/51 | 40/77 |
| %2nd pts | 45% | 52% |
Auger-Aliassime fired 18 aces (9 per match). Giron recorded 33 aces (8.3 per match). Auger-Aliassime won 74% points on his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 45% of the points. On the other side, Giron won 82% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 52% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Auger-Aliassime | Giron |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 10 | 12 |
| Converted | 10/32 | 12/26 |
| % Converted | 31% | 46% |
| Conceded | 14 | 9 |
| Saved | 9 | 7 |
| % Saved | 64% | 78% |
| Times Broken | 5 | 2 |
Felix broke his opponents 10 times with a 31% conversion rate. Auger-Aliassime conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 64% of the break points that he conceded. Giron broke his opponents 12 times with a 46% conversion rate. Giron conceded his serve twice and he saved 78% of the break points that he conceded.
| Auger-Aliassime | ||||
| R1 Vukic |
R2 Ofner |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-63 6-72 6-2 | 6-4 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 34 | 17 | 51 | |
| pts | 124-111 | 73-58 | 197-169 | |
| Total points | 235 | 131 | 366 | |
| Winners | 45 | 34 | 79 | |
| %Winners | 36% | 47% | 40% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 13 | 5 | 18 | |
| Double Faults | 6 | 4 | 10 | |
| 1st in | 62/99 | 45/59 | 107/158 | |
| % 1st in | 63% | 76% | 68% | |
| 1st pts | 45/62 | 34/45 | 79/107 | |
| % 1st pts | 73% | 76% | 74% | |
| 2nd pts | 20/37 | 3/14 | 23/51 | |
| % 2nd pts | 54% | 21% | 45% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 5 | 5 | 10 | |
| Converted | 5/16 | 5/16 | 10/32 | |
| Converted % | 31% | 31% | 31% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 7 | 14 | |
| Saved | 4/7 | 5/7 | 9 | |
| Saved % | 57% | 71% | 64% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Giron | ||||||
| Q1 Uchida |
Q3 Uchiyama |
R1 Nishioka |
R2 Ruud |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-3 | 6-3 6-2 | 7-614 4-6 6-1 | 6-3 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 17 | 30 | 19 | 85 | |
| pts | 63-50 | 66-40 | 119-104 | 62-50 | 310-244 | |
| Total points | 113 | 106 | 223 | 112 | 554 | |
| Winners | 34 | 28 | 58 | 30 | 150 | |
| %Winners | 54% | 42% | 49% | 48% | 48% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 7 | 4 | 13 | 9 | 33 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 43/56 | 30/42 | 72/109 | 38/53 | 183/260 | |
| % 1st in | 77% | 71% | 66% | 72% | 70% | |
| 1st pts | 34/43 | 28/30 | 58/72 | 30/38 | 150/183 | |
| % 1st pts | 79% | 93% | 81% | 79% | 82% | |
| 2nd pts | 6/13 | 8/12 | 20/37 | 6/15 | 40/77 | |
| % 2nd pts | 46% | 67% | 54% | 40% | 52% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 3 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 12 | |
| Converted | 3/6 | 3/6 | 2/7 | 4/7 | 12/26 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 50% | 29% | 57% | 46% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 9 | |
| Saved | 2/2 | 0/0 | 5/6 | 0/1 | 7 | |
| Saved % | 100% | – | 83% | 0% | 92% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
Head 2 Head
LWLLWWWWLW
LLWWWLWLWW Tennis Scores in Tokyo
- Marcelo Arevalo/Jean-Julien RojerArevalo/Jean-Julien Rojer – Ben Mclachlan/Yoshihito NishiokaMclachlan/Yoshihito Nishioka (6-3 7-63) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Jamie Murray/Michael VenusMurray/Michael Venus – Sander Gille/Joran VliegenGille/Joran Vliegen (4-6 7-5 10-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Zhizhen ZhangZhang – Aslan KaratsevKaratsev (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Tommy PaulPaul – (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime – Marcos GironGiron (3-0) – H2H and prediction
