Aleksandar Kovacevic and Lorenzo Giustino will clash against each other in the quarter of the Shenzhen 2 Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 1:30 pm on COURT 6. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Aleksandar Kovacevic who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Aleksandar Kovacevic is the pick to win this match.
Aleksandar Kovacevic -> 1.22
Lorenzo Giustino -> 4.05
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Prediction and head to head Aleksandar Kovacevic vs. Lorenzo Giustino
This will be the 2nd time that Aleksandar Kovacevic and Lorenzo Giustino square off. The head to head is 1-0 for Kovacevic (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they squared off, Kovacevic won 3-6 7-6(2) 6-1 in the qualifications in at the U.S. Open back in 2021.
Aleksandar Kovacevic
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 19-18 | 14-7 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 43-27 | 34-15 | 0-5 | 7-2 | 2-5 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 41-31 | 22-18 | 4-4 | 15-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 20-17 | 11-10 | 2-3 | 7-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 5-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 112, Kovacevic got to the quarter after defeating Charles Chen 6-3 6-1 and Beibit Zhukayev 6-4 6-71 6-0.
In the 2nd round, The American defeated Zhukayev (6-4 6-71 6-0). During the match, Kovacevic scored 100 points vs Zhukayev’s 80. The American was quite aggressive to blast 37 winners.
Regarding the service games, Kovacevic made 12 aces and he committed only 6 double faults. Overall, Aleksandar Kovacevic was very efficient on serve to win 82% (37/45) of his 1st serve and 59% (23/39) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Kovacevic broke Zhukayev 5 times after converting 38% of his break points (5/13).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The American has lost 1 set in this event to conquer 58% of the points he played.
Kovacevic has a winning win-loss record in the last 7 years having won 56% of his matches (144-111). 28-14 on hard in 2023. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Kovacevic has a composed91-67 record in the last 7 years on hard.
His best result of the current year was winning the title the Cleveland Challenger where he defeated Yibing Wu in the final 3-6 7-5 7-6(2) and the Waco Challenger where he beat Alexandre Muller in the final 6-3 4-6 6-2 and the Shenzhen 1 Challenger where he defeated Nuno Borges in the final 7-6(4) 7-6(5).
Aleksandar has an aggregate 35-24 win-loss record in 2023, 28-14 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Shenzhen 2 Challenger
Lorenzo Giustino
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 26-18 | 2-4 | 22-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 27-38 | 14-16 | 10-19 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 22-37 | 3-5 | 19-26 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 21-39 | 3-8 | 14-26 | 4-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 16-19 | 6-7 | 7-9 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 290, Lorenzo reached the quarter after beating Rigele Te 6-4 6-3 and Colin Sinclair 6-3 6-4.
In the 2nd round, The Italian had a good straight sets win against Sinclair (6-3 6-4). During the match Giustino scored 71 points vs Sinclair’s 58. Lorenzo was exceptionally aggressive to blast 28 winners.
Talking about serving, Giustino managed to score 6 aces and he committed only 6 double faults. Overall, Lorenzo Giustino was pretty effective on serve to win 76% (28/37) of his 1st serve and 53% (10/19) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Lorenzo broke Sinclair 4 times after converting 44% of his break points (4/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Lorenzo hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 57% of the points he played.
The Italian’s best result of the year was reaching the semifinal in the Francavilla Challenger.
Giustino has an overall 27-34 win-loss record in 2023, 14-15 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Kovacevic | Giustino |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 5 | 4 |
| Tot Games | 45 | 38 |
| Pts | 162-119 | 140-107 |
| Total Points | 281 | 247 |
| Winners | 54 | 56 |
| %Winners | 33% | 40% |
Both Kovacevic and Giustino played 2 matches. At the moment, Aleksandar Kovacevic dropped 1 set while Lorenzo Giustino hasn’t dropped a set so far. Kovacevic has played 1 set more than Giustino (5 vs 4). Therefore, Kovacevic played 7 games more than Giustino. Kovacevic scored 54 winners (33% of the total points). On the other side, The Italian struck 56 winners (40%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Kovacevic | Giustino |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 17 | 8 |
| Avg per match | 8.5 | 4 |
| 1st in | 64/127 | 75/121 |
| %1st in | 50% | 62% |
| 1st pts | 54/64 | 56/75 |
| %1st pts | 84% | 75% |
| 2nd pts | 39/63 | 24/46 |
| %2nd pts | 62% | 52% |
Kovacevic managed to score 17 aces (8.5 per match). Giustino blasted 8 aces (4 per match). Kovacevic won 84% points behind his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 62% of the points. On the other side, Giustino won 75% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 52% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Kovacevic | Giustino |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 9 | 8 |
| Converted | 9/27 | 8/17 |
| % Converted | 33% | 47% |
| Conceded | 4 | 8 |
| Saved | 3 | 5 |
| % Saved | 75% | 63% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 3 |
Kovacevic broke his opponents 9 times with a 33% conversion rate. Kovacevic lost his serve once and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded. Lorenzo broke his opponents 8 times with a 47% conversion rate. The Italian conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 63% of the break points that he conceded.
| Kovacevic | ||||
| R1 Chen |
R2 Zhukayev |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-1 | 6-4 6-71 6-0 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 29 | 45 | |
| pts | 62-39 | 100-80 | 162-119 | |
| Total points | 101 | 180 | 281 | |
| Winners | 17 | 37 | 54 | |
| %Winners | 27% | 37% | 33% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 5 | 12 | 17 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 6 | 11 | |
| 1st in | 19/43 | 45/84 | 64/127 | |
| % 1st in | 44% | 54% | 50% | |
| 1st pts | 17/19 | 37/45 | 54/64 | |
| % 1st pts | 89% | 82% | 84% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/24 | 23/39 | 39/63 | |
| % 2nd pts | 67% | 59% | 62% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 5 | 9 | |
| Converted | 4/14 | 5/13 | 9/27 | |
| Converted % | 29% | 38% | 33% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 3 | 4 | |
| Saved | 1/1 | 2/3 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 67% | 84% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Giustino | ||||
| R1 Te |
R2 Sinclair |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-3 | 6-3 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 19 | 38 | |
| pts | 69-49 | 71-58 | 140-107 | |
| Total points | 118 | 129 | 247 | |
| Winners | 28 | 28 | 56 | |
| %Winners | 41% | 39% | 40% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 2 | 6 | 8 | |
| Double Faults | 6 | 6 | 12 | |
| 1st in | 38/65 | 37/56 | 75/121 | |
| % 1st in | 58% | 66% | 62% | |
| 1st pts | 28/38 | 28/37 | 56/75 | |
| % 1st pts | 74% | 76% | 75% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/27 | 10/19 | 24/46 | |
| % 2nd pts | 52% | 53% | 52% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 4 | 8 | |
| Converted | 4/8 | 4/9 | 8/17 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 44% | 47% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 2 | 8 | |
| Saved | 4/6 | 1/2 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 50% | 59% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 1 | 3 | |
Head 2 Head
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