Tommy Paul and Ben Shelton will fight against each other in the quarter of the Rakuten Japan Open for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 1:00 pm on COLOSSEUM. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Tommy Paul who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Tommy Paul is the pick to win this match.
Tommy Paul -> 1.727
Ben Shelton -> 2.11
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Prediction and head to head Tommy Paul vs. Ben Shelton
This will be the 3rd time that Tommy Paul and Ben Shelton play each other. The head to head is 1-1 for Paul and Shelton (see full H2H stats),but they are 1-1 on hard.
The last time that they competed against each other, Shelton won 6-4 6-3 4-6 6-4 in the 4th round in at the U.S. Open back in September 2023.
Highlights Ben Shelton vs Tommy Paul – U.S. Open 03-September-2023
Tommy Paul
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 22-10 | 10-6 | 7-3 | 4-0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 46-29 | 29-13 | 5-6 | 3-5 | 9-5 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 39-27 | 21-12 | 2-6 | 9-5 | 7-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 33-23 | 12-12 | 9-7 | 12-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 21-14 | 12-6 | 5-4 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 12 (career-high), the American got to the quarter after defeating Daniel Altmaier 3-6 6-1 6-3 and Mackenzie Mcdonald 6-4 6-2.
In the 2nd round, The American had a good straight sets win against Mcdonald (6-4 6-2). During the match, Paul scored 62 points vs Mcdonald’s 39. The American was exceptionally aggressive to blast 21 winners.
Talking about the service games, Paul scored 6 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Tommy Paul was extremely efficient on serve to win 95% (21/22) of his 1st serve and 79% (15/19) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Paul broke Mcdonald 3 times after converting 33% of his break points (3/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Paul has conceded 1 set in this competition to win 57% of the points he played.
Paul has a solid win-loss record in the last 9 years having won 63% of his matches (348-202). 29-12 on hard in 2023. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Paul has an aggregate175-100 win-loss record in the last 9 years on hard.
The American’s best result of the season was getting to the final in Acapulco,the Aix En Provence Challenger and Eastbourne.
Paul has a composed 44-26 win-loss record in 2023, 29-12 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Tokyo
The American has never competed in this tournament before.
Ben Shelton
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 19-12 | 9-6 | 8-4 | 2-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 28-26 | 21-13 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 40-11 | 16-9 | 0-0 | 24-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 18-7 | 7-3 | 5-2 | 6-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 19 (career-high), Shelton reached the quarter after beating Taro Daniel 3-6 6-4 7-62 and Jordan Thompson 6-75 6-4 6-3.
In the 2nd round against Thompson, The American recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (6-75 6-4 6-3). During the match Shelton scored 117 points vs Thompson’s 99. Ben was pretty aggressive to blast 50 winners.
Talking about serving, Shelton bagged 13 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Overall, Ben Shelton was pretty efficient on serve to win 81% (50/62) of his 1st serve and 56% (19/34) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The American broke Thompson 3 times after converting 27% of his break points (3/11).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Ben has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 52% of the points he played.
The American’s best result of the season was getting to the semifinal in the Cagliari Challenger and at the U.S. Open .
Ben has an overall 25-24 win-loss record in 2023, 18-13 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Paul | Shelton |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 5 | 6 |
| Tot Games | 43 | 64 |
| Pts | 156-116 | 210-191 |
| Total Points | 272 | 401 |
| Winners | 58 | 94 |
| %Winners | 37% | 45% |
Both Paul and Shelton played 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Tommy Paul surrendered 1 set, while Ben Shelton dropped 2 sets. Paul has played 1 set(s) less than Shelton (5 vs 6). Therefore, Paul played 21 games less than Shelton. Paul scored 58 winners (37% of the total points). On the other side, The American blasted 94 winners (45%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Paul | Shelton |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 13 | 18 |
| Avg per match | 6.5 | 9 |
| 1st in | 69/121 | 122/186 |
| %1st in | 57% | 66% |
| 1st pts | 58/69 | 94/122 |
| %1st pts | 84% | 77% |
| 2nd pts | 31/52 | 35/64 |
| %2nd pts | 60% | 55% |
Paul made 13 aces (6.5 per match). Shelton scored 18 aces (9 per match). Paul won 84% points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 60% of the points. On the other side, Shelton won 77% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 55% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Paul | Shelton |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 7 | 5 |
| Converted | 7/18 | 5/16 |
| % Converted | 39% | 31% |
| Conceded | 4 | 6 |
| Saved | 2 | 3 |
| % Saved | 50% | 50% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 3 |
Paul broke his opponents 7 times with a 39% conversion rate. Tommy dropped his serve twice and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded. Shelton broke his opponents 5 times with a 31% conversion rate. Shelton conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded.
| Paul | ||||
| R1 Altmaier |
R2 Mcdonald |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 3-6 6-1 6-3 | 6-4 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 25 | 18 | 43 | |
| pts | 94-77 | 62-39 | 156-116 | |
| Total points | 171 | 101 | 272 | |
| Winners | 37 | 21 | 58 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 34% | 37% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 7 | 6 | 13 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 47/80 | 22/41 | 69/121 | |
| % 1st in | 59% | 54% | 57% | |
| 1st pts | 37/47 | 21/22 | 58/69 | |
| % 1st pts | 79% | 95% | 84% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/33 | 15/19 | 31/52 | |
| % 2nd pts | 48% | 79% | 60% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 3 | 7 | |
| Converted | 4/9 | 3/9 | 7/18 | |
| Converted % | 44% | 33% | 39% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 0 | 4 | |
| Saved | 2/4 | 0/0 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 50% | – | 25% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 0 | 2 | |
| Shelton | ||||
| R1 Daniel |
R2 Thompson |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 3-6 6-4 7-62 | 6-75 6-4 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 32 | 32 | 64 | |
| pts | 93-92 | 117-99 | 210-191 | |
| Total points | 185 | 216 | 401 | |
| Winners | 44 | 50 | 94 | |
| %Winners | 47% | 43% | 45% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 5 | 13 | 18 | |
| Double Faults | 7 | 4 | 11 | |
| 1st in | 60/90 | 62/96 | 122/186 | |
| % 1st in | 67% | 65% | 66% | |
| 1st pts | 44/60 | 50/62 | 94/122 | |
| % 1st pts | 73% | 81% | 77% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/30 | 19/34 | 35/64 | |
| % 2nd pts | 53% | 56% | 55% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Converted | 2/5 | 3/11 | 5/16 | |
| Converted % | 40% | 27% | 31% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 2 | 6 | |
| Saved | 2/4 | 1/2 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 50% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 1 | 3 | |
Head 2 Head
LWLWWLWWWW
LLWWLLWLWW Tennis Scores in Tokyo
- Marcelo Arevalo/Jean-Julien RojerArevalo/Jean-Julien Rojer – Ben Mclachlan/Yoshihito NishiokaMclachlan/Yoshihito Nishioka (6-3 7-63) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Jamie Murray/Michael VenusMurray/Michael Venus – Sander Gille/Joran VliegenGille/Joran Vliegen (4-6 7-5 10-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Zhizhen ZhangZhang – Aslan KaratsevKaratsev (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Tommy PaulPaul – (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime – Marcos GironGiron (3-0) – H2H and prediction
