Federico Coria and Andrea Pellegrino will square off in the quarter of the Santa Fe 2 Challenger for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 12:00 pm on CANCHA CENTRAL. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Federico Coria who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Federico Coria is the pick to win this match.
Federico Coria -> 1.47
Andrea Pellegrino -> 2.59
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Prediction and head to head Federico Coria vs. Andrea Pellegrino
This will be the 3rd time that Federico Coria and Andrea Pellegrino face off. The head to head is 2-0 for Pellegrino (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on clay.
The last time that they competed against each other, Pellegrino won 7-6(2) 1-6 6-4 in the 2nd round in Italy F23 (Pontedera) back in 2017.
Federico Coria
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 29-28 | 0-3 | 29-24 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 38-29 | 3-8 | 35-20 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 41-32 | 2-5 | 39-26 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 43-31 | 2-7 | 40-20 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 20-22 | 3-5 | 15-13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 75, Federico got to the quarter after beating Nicolas Mejia 6-4 7-5 and Jozef Kovalik 4-6 7-65 7-62.
In the 2nd round against Kovalik, The Argentine recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 7-65 7-62). During the match, Coria scored 111 points vs Kovalik’s 104. Coria was very aggressive to blast 49 winners.
Talking about the service games, Coria couldn’t to score even 1 ace in the course of the match and he committed only 3 double faults. Federico Coria lost the serve 5 times and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Coria put 71% of his first serves in, winning 65% (49/75) of the points behind his 1st serve and 52% (16/31) on the 2nd serve. Federico broke Kovalik 4 times after converting 33% of his break points (4/12).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Coria has lost 1 set in this competition to win 52% of the points he played.
Coria has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 62% of his matches (457-281). 33-16 on clay in 2023. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Coria has a composed 441-236 win-loss record in the last years on clay.
His best result of the current season was conquering the title the Concepcion Challenger where he overcame Timofey Skatov in the final 6-4 6-3 and the Szczecin Challenger where he defeated Vit Kopriva in the final 6-1 7-6(4).
The Argentine has a compiled 36-25 win-loss record in 2023, 33-16 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Santa Fe 2 Challenger
Coria has never competed in this tournament before.
Andrea Pellegrino
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 21-25 | 0-2 | 21-22 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 30-29 | 2-2 | 28-26 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 30-28 | 0-3 | 27-20 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 24-29 | 2-3 | 22-23 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 17-14 | 0-1 | 14-6 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 169, Andrea reached the quarter after beating Jan Choinski 6-4 3-0 ret. and Marco Trungelliti 6-1 2-6 6-4.
In the 2nd round, Pellegrino defeated Trungelliti (6-1 2-6 6-4). During the match Pellegrino scored 80 points vs Trungelliti’s 78. Pellegrino was quite aggressive to blast 27 winners.
About the serving games, Pellegrino managed to score 2 aces and he was exceptionally steady in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Andrea Pellegrino lost the serve 4 times and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Pellegrino put 72% of his first serves in, winning 51% (27/53) of the points behind his 1st serve and 62% (13/21) on the 2nd serve. The Italian broke Trungelliti 6 times after converting 55% of his break points (6/11).
His best result of the season was winning the title the Bad Waltersdorf Challenger where he overcame Dennis Novak in the final 1-6 7-6(5) 6-3.
Pellegrino has a compiled 27-27 win-loss record in 2023, 25-24 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Coria | Pellegrino |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 5 | 6 |
| Tot Games | 58 | 38 |
| Pts | 187-171 | 128-109 |
| Total Points | 358 | 237 |
| Winners | 85 | 46 |
| %Winners | 45% | 36% |
Both Coria and Pellegrino played 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Federico Coria surrendered 1 set, while Andrea Pellegrino dropped 1 set. Coria has played 1 set(s) less than Pellegrino (5 vs 6). However, it’s interesting to notice that Coria played 20 games more than Pellegrino. Federico scored 85 winners (45% of the total points). On the other side, Pellegrino fired 46 winners (36%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Coria | Pellegrino |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 1 | 4 |
| Avg per match | 0.5 | 2 |
| 1st in | 125/178 | 77/109 |
| %1st in | 70% | 71% |
| 1st pts | 85/125 | 46/77 |
| %1st pts | 68% | 60% |
| 2nd pts | 31/53 | 20/32 |
| %2nd pts | 58% | 63% |
Coria fired 1 ace (0.5 per match). Pellegrino also struck 4 aces (2 per match). Coria won 68% points on his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 58% of the points. On the other side, Pellegrino won 60% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 63% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Coria | Pellegrino |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 6 | 9 |
| Converted | 6/18 | 9/17 |
| % Converted | 33% | 53% |
| Conceded | 10 | 7 |
| Saved | 5 | 3 |
| % Saved | 50% | 43% |
| Times Broken | 5 | 4 |
Federico broke his opponents 6 times with a 33% conversion rate. Coria dropped his serve 5 times and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded. Pellegrino broke his opponents 9 times with a 53% conversion rate. Pellegrino conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 43% of the break points that he conceded.
| Coria | ||||
| R1 Mejia |
R2 Kovalik |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 7-5 | 4-6 7-65 7-62 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 36 | 58 | |
| pts | 76-67 | 111-104 | 187-171 | |
| Total points | 143 | 215 | 358 | |
| Winners | 36 | 49 | 85 | |
| %Winners | 47% | 44% | 45% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 3 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 50/72 | 75/106 | 125/178 | |
| % 1st in | 69% | 71% | 70% | |
| 1st pts | 36/50 | 49/75 | 85/125 | |
| % 1st pts | 72% | 65% | 68% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/22 | 16/31 | 31/53 | |
| % 2nd pts | 68% | 52% | 58% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 2 | 4 | 6 | |
| Converted | 2/6 | 4/12 | 6/18 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 33% | 33% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 7 | 10 | |
| Saved | 3/3 | 2/7 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 29% | 65% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 5 | 5 | |
| Pellegrino | ||||
| R1 Choinski |
R2 Trungelliti |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 3-0 ret. | 6-1 2-6 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 13 | 25 | 38 | |
| pts | 48-31 | 80-78 | 128-109 | |
| Total points | 79 | 158 | 237 | |
| Winners | 19 | 27 | 46 | |
| %Winners | 40% | 34% | 36% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 24/35 | 53/74 | 77/109 | |
| % 1st in | 69% | 72% | 71% | |
| 1st pts | 19/24 | 27/53 | 46/77 | |
| % 1st pts | 79% | 51% | 60% | |
| 2nd pts | 7/11 | 13/21 | 20/32 | |
| % 2nd pts | 64% | 62% | 63% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 3 | 6 | 9 | |
| Converted | 3/6 | 6/11 | 9/17 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 55% | 53% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 7 | 7 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 3/7 | 3 | |
| Saved % | – | 43% | 22% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 4 | 4 | |
Head 2 Head
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