Mathias Bourgue and Francesco Forti will play each other in the 2nd round of the Olbia Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 10:30 am on CENTRALE. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Mathias Bourgue who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Mathias Bourgue is the pick to win this match.
Mathias Bourgue -> 1.57
Francesco Forti -> 2.29
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Prediction and head to head Mathias Bourgue vs. Francesco Forti
There is no head to head record between Mathias Bourgue and Francesco Forti since this will be the first time that they will face off in the main tour.
Mathias Bourgue
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 13-20 | 0-1 | 8-14 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 45-28 | 6-4 | 22-13 | 16-10 | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| 2022 | 22-19 | 5-5 | 7-10 | 10-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 29-25 | 6-7 | 11-9 | 12-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 18-14 | 2-2 | 7-7 | 9-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 272, the French player got to the 2nd round after defeating Luigi Castelletti 6-3 6-4, Ryan Nijboer 6-2 7-5 and Corentin Moutet 7-64 1-6 6-1.
In the 1st round, Bourgue defeated Moutet (7-64 1-6 6-1). During the match, Bourgue scored 89 points vs Moutet’s 87. The French player was exceptionally aggressive to blast 34 winners.
Regarding the service games, Bourgue scored just 1 ace in the encounter and he committed only 1 double fault. Mathias Bourgue lost the serve 4 times and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Bourgue put 65% of his first serves in, winning 64% (34/53) of the points behind his 1st serve and 46% (13/28) on the 2nd serve. Bourgue broke Moutet 4 times after converting 44% of his break points (4/9).
Bourgue has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 61% of his matches (365-238). 6-3 on hard in 2023. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Bourgue has a composed 75-49 win-loss record in the last years on hard.
Mathias’s best result of the current season was getting to the final in M25 Sabadell.
Mathias has a composed 40-24 win-loss record in 2023, 6-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Olbia Challenger
Mathias has never competed in this tournament before.
Francesco Forti
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 53-33 | 20-8 | 26-21 | 5-3 | 0-0 | 2-1 |
| 2022 | 31-22 | 1-1 | 29-18 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 42-29 | 1-1 | 35-20 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 20-13 | 8-4 | 4-5 | 8-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 351, Forti got to the 2nd round after defeating Andrea Bacaloni 6-1 6-4, Giovanni Oradini 6-4 6-3 and Ryan Peniston 3-6 6-4 6-4.
In the 1st round against Peniston, The Italian recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 6-4 6-4). During the match Forti scored 87 points vs Peniston’s 86. Forti was extremely aggressive to blast 38 winners.
Talking about serving, Forti scored 4 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Francesco Forti lost the serve 4 times and he saved 7 break points. Furthermore, Forti put 61% of his first serves in, winning 67% (38/57) of the points behind his 1st serve and 57% (21/37) on the 2nd serve. The Italian broke Peniston 4 times after converting 36% of his break points (4/11).
Francesco’s best result of the season was reaching the final in M25 Monastir and M25 Pozzuoli.
The Italian has an aggregate 48-29 win-loss record in 2023, 16-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Bourgue | Forti |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 7 | 7 |
| Tot Games | 66 | 65 |
| Pts | 227-189 | 212-184 |
| Total Points | 416 | 396 |
| Winners | 91 | 103 |
| %Winners | 40% | 49% |
Both Bourgue and Forti played 3 matches. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players lost a set in the event. Mathias Bourgue dropped 1 set, while Francesco Forti surrendered 1 set. Talking about their workload, Bourgue and Forti have played the same amount of sets 7. However, Bourgue played 1 game more than Forti. Mathias scored 91 winners (40% of the total points). On the other side, The Italian recorded 103 winners (49%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Bourgue | Forti |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 6 | 19 |
| Avg per match | 2 | 6.3 |
| 1st in | 129/194 | 144/224 |
| %1st in | 66% | 64% |
| 1st pts | 91/129 | 103/144 |
| %1st pts | 71% | 72% |
| 2nd pts | 38/65 | 43/80 |
| %2nd pts | 58% | 54% |
Bourgue blasted 6 aces (2 per match). Forti bagged 19 aces (6.3 per match). Bourgue won 71% points on his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 58% of the points. On the other side, Forti won 72% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 54% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Bourgue | Forti |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 11 | 10 |
| Converted | 11/18 | 10/20 |
| % Converted | 61% | 50% |
| Conceded | 13 | 21 |
| Saved | 7 | 16 |
| % Saved | 54% | 76% |
| Times Broken | 6 | 5 |
Mathias broke his opponents 11 times with a 61% conversion rate. Mathias conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 54% of the break points that he conceded. The Italian broke his opponents 10 times with a 50% conversion rate. Forti conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 76% of the break points that he conceded.
| Bourgue | |||||
| Q1 Castelletti |
Q3 Nijboer |
R1 Moutet |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-4 | 6-2 7-5 | 7-64 1-6 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 20 | 27 | 66 | |
| pts | 62-41 | 76-61 | 89-87 | 227-189 | |
| Total points | 103 | 137 | 176 | 416 | |
| Winners | 31 | 26 | 34 | 91 | |
| %Winners | 50% | 34% | 38% | 40% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 35/48 | 41/65 | 53/81 | 129/194 | |
| % 1st in | 73% | 63% | 65% | 66% | |
| 1st pts | 31/35 | 26/41 | 34/53 | 91/129 | |
| % 1st pts | 89% | 63% | 64% | 71% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/13 | 16/24 | 13/28 | 38/65 | |
| % 2nd pts | 69% | 67% | 46% | 58% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 2 | 5 | 4 | 11 | |
| Converted | 2/3 | 5/6 | 4/9 | 11/18 | |
| Converted % | 67% | 83% | 44% | 61% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 7 | 6 | 13 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 5/7 | 2/6 | 7 | |
| Saved % | – | 71% | 33% | 35% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | |
| Forti | |||||
| Q1 Bacaloni |
Q3 Oradini |
R1 Peniston |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-4 | 6-4 6-3 | 3-6 6-4 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 19 | 29 | 65 | |
| pts | 56-41 | 69-57 | 87-86 | 212-184 | |
| Total points | 97 | 126 | 173 | 396 | |
| Winners | 31 | 34 | 38 | 103 | |
| %Winners | 55% | 49% | 44% | 49% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 10 | 5 | 4 | 19 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 41/53 | 46/77 | 57/94 | 144/224 | |
| % 1st in | 77% | 60% | 61% | 64% | |
| 1st pts | 31/41 | 34/46 | 38/57 | 103/144 | |
| % 1st pts | 76% | 74% | 67% | 72% | |
| 2nd pts | 8/12 | 14/31 | 21/37 | 43/80 | |
| % 2nd pts | 67% | 45% | 57% | 54% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10 | |
| Converted | 3/5 | 3/4 | 4/11 | 10/20 | |
| Converted % | 60% | 75% | 36% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 10 | 11 | 21 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 9/10 | 7/11 | 16 | |
| Saved % | – | 90% | 64% | 51% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | |
Head 2 Head
LLLWLWLLWW
LLWLWW Tennis Scores in Olbia Challenger
- Constant LestienneConstant – Arthur CazauxArthur (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Marius CopilCopil – Alex MolcanMolcan (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Joris De LooreDe Loore – Lloyd HarrisHarris (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Alexandre MullerMuller – Ugo BlanchetBlanchet (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Francesco FortiForti – Mathias BourgueBourgue (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Kyrian JacquetJacquet – Pedro Martinez PorteroMartinez Portero (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Flavio CobolliCobolli – Federico GaioGaio (2-1) – H2H and prediction
