H2H, prediction of Mathias Bourgue vs Francesco Forti in Olbia Challenger with odds, preview, pick | 19th October 2023

PREVIEW. Olbia Challenger. Bourgue and Forti will clash against each other in the 2nd round of the Olbia Challenger. See the prediction, H2H stats, odds, and preview of their upcoming match on Thursday the 19th of October

Prediction and head to head Mathias Bourgue vs. Francesco Forti

Mathias Bourgue and Francesco Forti will play each other in the 2nd round of the Olbia Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 10:30 am on CENTRALE. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Mathias Bourgue who should win in 3 sets.

See updated oddsAs per the initial odds, Mathias Bourgue is the pick to win this match.
Mathias Bourgue -> 1.57
Francesco Forti -> 2.29

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Soccer Tonic Predictions

Prediction and head to head Mathias Bourgue vs. Francesco Forti

There is no head to head record between Mathias Bourgue and Francesco Forti since this will be the first time that they will face off in the main tour.

Mathias Bourgue

Mathias Bourgue
Mathias Bourgue

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
485
High
140
LLWWWLWWLL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 21-28 3-4 11-16 7-8 0-0 0-0
2023 45-28 6-4 22-13 16-10 0-0 1-1
2022 22-19 5-5 7-10 10-4 0-0 0-0
2021 29-25 6-7 11-9 12-8 0-1 0-0
2020 18-14 2-2 7-7 9-5 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 272, the French player got to the 2nd round after defeating Luigi Castelletti 6-3 6-4, Ryan Nijboer 6-2 7-5 and Corentin Moutet 7-64 1-6 6-1.

In the 1st round, Bourgue defeated Moutet (7-64 1-6 6-1). During the match, Bourgue scored 89 points vs Moutet’s 87. The French player was exceptionally aggressive to blast 34 winners.

Regarding the service games, Bourgue scored just 1 ace in the encounter and he committed only 1 double fault. Mathias Bourgue lost the serve 4 times and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Bourgue put 65% of his first serves in, winning 64% (34/53) of the points behind his 1st serve and 46% (13/28) on the 2nd serve. Bourgue broke Moutet 4 times after converting 44% of his break points (4/9).

Bourgue has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 61% of his matches (365-238). 6-3 on hard in 2023. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Bourgue has a composed 75-49 win-loss record in the last years on hard.

Mathias’s best result of the current season was getting to the final in M25 Sabadell.

Mathias has a composed 40-24 win-loss record in 2023, 6-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Olbia Challenger

Mathias has never competed in this tournament before.

Bourgue
Olbia Challenger
Bourgue's Record

Francesco Forti

Francesco Forti
Francesco Forti

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
678
High
303
LLLLWLWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 3-5 0-0 3-5 0-0 0-0 0-0
2023 53-33 20-8 26-21 5-3 0-0 2-1
2022 31-22 1-1 29-18 1-3 0-0 0-0
2021 42-29 1-1 35-20 6-8 0-0 0-0
2020 20-13 8-4 4-5 8-4 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 351, Forti got to the 2nd round after defeating Andrea Bacaloni 6-1 6-4, Giovanni Oradini 6-4 6-3 and Ryan Peniston 3-6 6-4 6-4.

In the 1st round against Peniston, The Italian recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 6-4 6-4). During the match Forti scored 87 points vs Peniston’s 86. Forti was extremely aggressive to blast 38 winners.

Talking about serving, Forti scored 4 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Francesco Forti lost the serve 4 times and he saved 7 break points. Furthermore, Forti put 61% of his first serves in, winning 67% (38/57) of the points behind his 1st serve and 57% (21/37) on the 2nd serve. The Italian broke Peniston 4 times after converting 36% of his break points (4/11).

Francesco’s best result of the season was reaching the final in M25 Monastir and M25 Pozzuoli.

The Italian has an aggregate 48-29 win-loss record in 2023, 16-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Forti
Olbia Challenger
Forti's Record
Bonus
Soccer Tonic Predictions

H2H Performance in the tournament

M.Bourgue
F.Forti
5h:42
5h:42
Time on court​
5h:20
5h:20
!
2h:33
2h:33
Last match​
!
2h:39
2h:39
3
3
Match played
3
3
66
66
Games Played​
65
65
7
7
Set played​​
7
7
227
227
Total points​
212
212
75.7
75.7
Avg point​
70.7
70.7
91
91
Winners
103
103
30.3
30.3
Avg Winners​
34.3
34.3
40%
40%
Ratio winners
49%
49%
-- Serve --
6
6
Aces
19
19
2
2
Avg Aces
6.3
6.3
6
6
Double Faults
5
5
2
2
Avg Double Faults
1.7
1.7
91/129
91/129
1st won total​
103/144
103/144
!
71%
71%
1st won %
!
72%
72%
38/65
38/65
2nd won total​
43/80
43/80
58%
58%
2nd won %
54%
54%
-- Break Points --
11/18
11/18
BP won
10/20
10/20
3.7/6
3.7/6
Avg BP won
3.3/6.7
3.3/6.7
!
61%
61%
Won
50%
50%
13
13
Conceded
21
21
4.3
4.3
Avg Conceded
7
7
6
6
Broken
5
5
2
2
Avg Broken
1.7
1.7
7
7
Saved
16
16

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Bourgue Forti
Match played 3 3
Tot Set 7 7
Tot Games 66 65
Pts 227-189 212-184
Total Points 416 396
Winners 91 103
%Winners 40% 49%

Both Bourgue and Forti played 3 matches. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players lost a set in the event. Mathias Bourgue dropped 1 set, while Francesco Forti surrendered 1 set. Talking about their workload, Bourgue and Forti have played the same amount of sets 7. However, Bourgue played 1 game more than Forti. Mathias scored 91 winners (40% of the total points). On the other side, The Italian recorded 103 winners (49%).

Serve Performance

Serve Bourgue Forti
Aces 6 19
Avg per match 2 6.3
1st in 129/194 144/224
%1st in 66% 64%
1st pts 91/129 103/144
%1st pts 71% 72%
2nd pts 38/65 43/80
%2nd pts 58% 54%

Bourgue blasted 6 aces (2 per match). Forti bagged 19 aces (6.3 per match). Bourgue won 71% points on his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 58% of the points. On the other side, Forti won 72% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 54% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Bourgue Forti
Won 11 10
Converted 11/18 10/20
% Converted 61% 50%
Conceded 13 21
Saved 7 16
% Saved 54% 76%
Times Broken 6 5

Mathias broke his opponents 11 times with a 61% conversion rate. Mathias conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 54% of the break points that he conceded. The Italian broke his opponents 10 times with a 50% conversion rate. Forti conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 76% of the break points that he conceded.

Bourgue
Q1
Castelletti
Q3
Nijboer
R1
Moutet
Total
Score 6-3 6-4 6-2 7-5 7-64 1-6 6-1
Tot Set 2 2 3 7
Tot Games 19 20 27 66
pts 62-41 76-61 89-87 227-189
Total points 103 137 176 416
Winners 31 26 34 91
%Winners 50% 34% 38% 40%
SERVE
Aces 3 2 1 6
Double Faults 3 2 1 6
1st in 35/48 41/65 53/81 129/194
% 1st in 73% 63% 65% 66%
1st pts 31/35 26/41 34/53 91/129
% 1st pts 89% 63% 64% 71%
2nd pts 9/13 16/24 13/28 38/65
% 2nd pts 69% 67% 46% 58%
Breaks
Won 2 5 4 11
Converted 2/3 5/6 4/9 11/18
Converted % 67% 83% 44% 61%
Conceded 0 7 6 13
Saved 0/0 5/7 2/6 7
Saved % 71% 33% 35%
Times Broken 0 2 4 6
Forti
Q1
Bacaloni
Q3
Oradini
R1
Peniston
Total
Score 6-1 6-4 6-4 6-3 3-6 6-4 6-4
Tot Set 2 2 3 7
Tot Games 17 19 29 65
pts 56-41 69-57 87-86 212-184
Total points 97 126 173 396
Winners 31 34 38 103
%Winners 55% 49% 44% 49%
SERVE
Aces 10 5 4 19
Double Faults 1 3 1 5
1st in 41/53 46/77 57/94 144/224
% 1st in 77% 60% 61% 64%
1st pts 31/41 34/46 38/57 103/144
% 1st pts 76% 74% 67% 72%
2nd pts 8/12 14/31 21/37 43/80
% 2nd pts 67% 45% 57% 54%
Breaks
Won 3 3 4 10
Converted 3/5 3/4 4/11 10/20
Converted % 60% 75% 36% 50%
Conceded 0 10 11 21
Saved 0/0 9/10 7/11 16
Saved % 90% 64% 51%
Times Broken 0 1 4 5

Head 2 Head

Win Loss
Bourgue
LLWWWLWWLL
Forti
LLLLWLWW
2024 2023 2022
21 - 28
3 - 5
3-4
Hard
0-0
7-8
I Hard
0-0
11-16
Clay
3-5

Tennis Scores in Olbia Challenger

See Updated Draw
Soccer Tonic Predictions
Bonus

Upcoming matches in the draw