Taylor Fritz and Shintaro Mochizuki will square off in the 2nd round of the Rakuten Japan Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 6:00 pm on COLOSSEUM. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Taylor Fritz who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Taylor Fritz is the pick to win this match.
Taylor Fritz -> 1.085
Shintaro Mochizuki -> 7.7
Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).
To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Â
Prediction and head to head Taylor Fritz vs. Shintaro Mochizuki
There is no head to head record between Taylor Fritz and Shintaro Mochizuki since this will be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.
Taylor Fritz
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 30-12 | 11-5 | 13-6 | 1-0 | 5-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 54-24 | 35-11 | 11-6 | 5-3 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 46-21 | 24-8 | 5-3 | 9-7 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 34-22 | 20-13 | 4-5 | 8-3 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 15-16 | 11-9 | 2-3 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 10, Fritz reached the 2nd round after defeating Cameron Norrie 6-4 6-3.
In the 1st round, Taylor had a good straight sets win against Norrie (6-4 6-3). During the match, Fritz scored 70 points vs Norrie’s 47. Fritz was exceptionally aggressive to blast 27 winners.
Regarding the service games, Fritz blasted 13 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Overall, Taylor Fritz was extremely effective on serve to win 79% (27/34) of his 1st serve and 68% (13/19) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Fritz broke Norrie 3 times after converting 38% of his break points (3/8).
Fritz has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 62% of his matches (350-214). 35-10 on hard in 2023. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Fritz has a composed 213-110 record in the last years on hard.
His best result of the current year was conquering the title in Australia where he overcame Matteo Berrettini in the final 7-6(4) 7-6(6) and in Delray Beach where he defeated Miomir Kecmanovic in the final 6-0 5-7 6-2 and in Atlanta where he defeated Aleksandar Vukic in the final 7-5 6-7(5) 6-4.
Taylor has a compiled 52-21 win-loss record in 2023, 35-10 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Tokyo
Shintaro Mochizuki
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 14-17 | 5-8 | 7-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 41-33 | 22-16 | 13-8 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 37-34 | 18-17 | 13-12 | 6-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 35-30 | 11-10 | 18-11 | 5-7 | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| 2020 | 20-14 | 14-12 | 6-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 215, Shintaro reached the 2nd round after beating Tomas Martin Etcheverry 6-4 7-65.
In the 1st round, Shintaro had a good straight sets win against Etcheverry (6-4 7-65). During the match Mochizuki scored 78 points vs Etcheverry’s 74. Mochizuki was quite aggressive to blast 32 winners.
Talking about serving, Mochizuki scored 2 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Shintaro Mochizuki lost the serve once and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Mochizuki put 62% of his first serves in, winning 65% (32/49) of the points behind his 1st serve and 67% (20/30) on the 2nd serve. Mochizuki broke Etcheverry twice after converting 25% of his break points (2/8).
His best result of the year was winning the title the Barletta Challenger where he overcame Santiago Rodriguez Taverna in the final 6-1 6-4.
Mochizuki has a compiled 34-29 win-loss record in 2023, 17-13 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Tokyo
Previously, his best result was reaching the 1st round in 2022. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Fritz | Mochizuki |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 19 | 23 |
| Pts | 70-47 | 78-74 |
| Total Points | 117 | 152 |
| Winners | 27 | 32 |
| %Winners | 39% | 41% |
Both Fritz and Mochizuki played 1 match. Both players have not lost a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Fritz and Mochizuki have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Fritz played 4 games less than Mochizuki. The American scored 27 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, The Japanese bagged 32 winners (41%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Fritz | Mochizuki |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 13 | 2 |
| Avg per match | 13 | 2 |
| 1st in | 34/53 | 49/79 |
| %1st in | 64% | 62% |
| 1st pts | 27/34 | 32/49 |
| %1st pts | 79% | 65% |
| 2nd pts | 13/19 | 20/30 |
| %2nd pts | 68% | 67% |
Fritz managed to score 13 aces . Mochizuki fired 2 aces . Fritz won 79% points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 68% of the points. On the other side, Mochizuki won 65% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 67% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Fritz | Mochizuki |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 3 | 2 |
| Converted | 3/8 | 2/8 |
| % Converted | 38% | 25% |
| Conceded | 3 | 4 |
| Saved | 2 | 3 |
| % Saved | 67% | 75% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 |
Fritz broke his opponent 3 times with a 38% conversion rate. Taylor lost his serve once and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded. Mochizuki broke his opponent twice with a 25% conversion rate. The Japanese conceded his serve once and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded.
| Fritz | |||
| R1 Norrie |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 19 | |
| pts | 70-47 | 70-47 | |
| Total points | 117 | 117 | |
| Winners | 27 | 27 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 39% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 13 | 13 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 34/53 | 34/53 | |
| % 1st in | 64% | 64% | |
| 1st pts | 27/34 | 27/34 | |
| % 1st pts | 79% | 79% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/19 | 13/19 | |
| % 2nd pts | 68% | 68% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/8 | 3/8 | |
| Converted % | 38% | 38% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 3 | |
| Saved | 2/3 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 67% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
| Mochizuki | |||
| R1 Etcheverry |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 7-65 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 23 | 23 | |
| pts | 78-74 | 78-74 | |
| Total points | 152 | 152 | |
| Winners | 32 | 32 | |
| %Winners | 41% | 41% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 2 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 49/79 | 49/79 | |
| % 1st in | 62% | 62% | |
| 1st pts | 32/49 | 32/49 | |
| % 1st pts | 65% | 65% | |
| 2nd pts | 20/30 | 20/30 | |
| % 2nd pts | 67% | 67% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 2 | 2 | |
| Converted | 2/8 | 2/8 | |
| Converted % | 25% | 25% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 4 | |
| Saved | 3/4 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 75% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
Head 2 Head
WWWLWWLWWW
LLLLWWLWWW Tennis Scores in Tokyo
- Tommy PaulPaul – Mackenzie McdonaldMcdonald (6-4 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Marcos GironGiron – Casper RuudRuud (6-3 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Felix Auger-AliassimeAuger-Aliassime – Sebastian OfnerOfner (6-4 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Christian GarinGarin – Alexei PopyrinPopyrin (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Zhizhen ZhangZhang – Aslan KaratsevKaratsev (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Diego Sebastian SchwartzmanSebastian Schwartzman (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime – Marcos GironGiron (3-0) – H2H and prediction
