Tommy Paul and Mackenzie Mcdonald will fight against each other in the 2nd round of the Rakuten Japan Open for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Wednesday at 4:00 pm on COLOSSEUM. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Tommy Paul who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Tommy Paul is the pick to win this match.
Tommy Paul -> 1.53
Mackenzie Mcdonald -> 2.51
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Prediction and head to head Tommy Paul vs. Mackenzie Mcdonald
This will be the 3rd time that Tommy Paul and Mackenzie Mcdonald play each other. The head to head is 2-0 for Paul (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on hard.
The last time that they fought against each other, Paul won 6-2 6-2 in the quarter in Acapulco back in March 2023.
Highlights Tommy Paul vs Mackenzie Mcdonald – Acapulco 02-March-2023
Tommy Paul
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 27-10 | 10-6 | 7-3 | 4-0 | 6-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 46-29 | 29-13 | 5-6 | 3-5 | 9-5 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 39-27 | 21-12 | 2-6 | 9-5 | 7-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 33-23 | 12-12 | 9-7 | 12-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 21-14 | 12-6 | 5-4 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 12 (career-high), the American reached the 2nd round after defeating Daniel Altmaier 3-6 6-1 6-3.
In the 1st round against Altmaier, Tommy recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 6-1 6-3). During the match, Paul scored 94 points vs Altmaier’s 77. Tommy was quite aggressive to blast 37 winners.
Talking about the service games, Paul recorded 7 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Tommy Paul lost the serve twice and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Paul put 59% of his first serves in, winning 79% (37/47) of the points behind his 1st serve and 48% (16/33) on the 2nd serve. Tommy broke Altmaier 4 times after converting 44% of his break points (4/9).
Paul has a solid record in the last 9 years having won 63% of his matches (347-202). 28-12 on hard in 2023. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Paul has a compiled174-100 record in the last 9 years on hard.
The American’s best result of the current year was reaching the final in Acapulco,the Aix En Provence Challenger and Eastbourne.
The American has an overall 43-26 win-loss record in 2023, 28-12 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Tokyo
Tommy has never competed in this tournament before.
Mackenzie Mcdonald
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 3-11 | 0-3 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 35-30 | 23-15 | 0-6 | 4-3 | 8-6 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 27-31 | 16-16 | 4-6 | 4-5 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 42-26 | 15-12 | 12-5 | 9-6 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 15-16 | 10-11 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 37 (career-high), the American got to the 2nd round after beating Max Purcell 7-5 6-4.
In the 1st round, Mackenzie had a good straight sets win against Purcell (7-5 6-4). During the match Mcdonald scored 78 points vs Purcell’s 66. Mackenzie was exceptionally aggressive to blast 27 winners.
About the serving games, Mcdonald managed to score 4 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Mackenzie Mcdonald was extremely efficient on serve to win 79% (27/34) of his 1st serve and 54% (15/28) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Mcdonald broke Purcell 3 times after converting 30% of his break points (3/10).
The American’s best result of the current year was reaching the semifinal in Delray Beach and Eastbourne.
Mackenzie has a composed 34-28 win-loss record in 2023, 23-14 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Tokyo
Previously, his best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2022. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Paul | Mcdonald |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 25 | 22 |
| Pts | 94-77 | 78-66 |
| Total Points | 171 | 144 |
| Winners | 37 | 27 |
| %Winners | 39% | 35% |
Both Paul and Mcdonald played 1 match. At the moment, Tommy Paul lost 1 set while Mackenzie Mcdonald hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Paul has played 1 set more than Mcdonald (3 vs 2). Therefore, Paul played 3 games more than Mcdonald. Tommy scored 37 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, Mackenzie fired 27 winners (35%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Paul | Mcdonald |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 7 | 4 |
| Avg per match | 7 | 4 |
| 1st in | 47/80 | 34/62 |
| %1st in | 59% | 55% |
| 1st pts | 37/47 | 27/34 |
| %1st pts | 79% | 79% |
| 2nd pts | 16/33 | 15/28 |
| %2nd pts | 48% | 54% |
Paul struck 7 aces . Mcdonald fired 4 aces . Paul won 79% points behind his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 48% of the points. On the other side, Mcdonald won 79% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 54% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Paul | Mcdonald |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 4 | 3 |
| Converted | 4/9 | 3/10 |
| % Converted | 44% | 30% |
| Conceded | 4 | 3 |
| Saved | 2 | 2 |
| % Saved | 50% | 67% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 1 |
The American broke his opponent 4 times with a 44% conversion rate. The American surrendered his serve twice and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded. The American broke his opponent 3 times with a 30% conversion rate. The American conceded his serve once and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded.
| Paul | |||
| R1 Altmaier |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 3-6 6-1 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 25 | 25 | |
| pts | 94-77 | 94-77 | |
| Total points | 171 | 171 | |
| Winners | 37 | 37 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 39% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 7 | 7 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 47/80 | 47/80 | |
| % 1st in | 59% | 59% | |
| 1st pts | 37/47 | 37/47 | |
| % 1st pts | 79% | 79% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/33 | 16/33 | |
| % 2nd pts | 48% | 48% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/9 | 4/9 | |
| Converted % | 44% | 44% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 4 | |
| Saved | 2/4 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
| Mcdonald | |||
| R1 Purcell |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 22 | |
| pts | 78-66 | 78-66 | |
| Total points | 144 | 144 | |
| Winners | 27 | 27 | |
| %Winners | 35% | 35% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 4 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 34/62 | 34/62 | |
| % 1st in | 55% | 55% | |
| 1st pts | 27/34 | 27/34 | |
| % 1st pts | 79% | 79% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/28 | 15/28 | |
| % 2nd pts | 54% | 54% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/10 | 3/10 | |
| Converted % | 30% | 30% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 3 | |
| Saved | 2/3 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 67% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
Head 2 Head
WWWWWLWLWW
LLWLWLWLLL Tennis Scores in Tokyo
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Jack DraperDraper (4-6 7-64 7-61) – See score progression
- Ben SheltonShelton – Taro DanielDaniel (3-6 6-4 7-62) – See score progression
- Taylor FritzFritz – Cameron NorrieNorrie (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Casper RuudRuud – Yosuke WatanukiWatanuki (7-66 6-3) – See score progression
- Shintaro MochizukiMochizuki – Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry (6-4 7-65) – See score progression
- Aslan KaratsevKaratsev – Frances TiafoeTiafoe (6-3 7-64) – See score progression
- Diego SchwartzmanSchwartzman – Francisco CerundoloCerundolo (6-4 6-1) – See score progression
- Cristian GarinGarin – Sho ShimabukuroShimabukuro (6-4 3-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Alexei PopyrinPopyrin – Karen KhachanovKhachanov (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Felix Auger-AliassimeAuger-Aliassime – Aleksandar VukicVukic (7-63 6-72 6-2) – See score progression
- Jordan ThompsonThompson – Alexander ZverevZverev (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Tommy PaulPaul – Daniel AltmaierAltmaier (3-6 6-1 6-3) – See score progression
- Sebastian OfnerOfner – Christopher O ConnellO Connell (6-72 7-65 7-5) – See score progression
- Mackenzie McdonaldMcdonald – Max PurcellPurcell (7-5 6-4) – See score progression
- Marcos GironGiron – Yoshihito NishiokaNishioka (7-614 4-6 6-1) – See score progression
- Nathaniel Lammons/Jack WithrowLammons/Jack Withrow – Toshihide Matsui/Kaito UesugiMatsui/Kaito Uesugi (7-62 3-6 10-7) – See score progression
- Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz – Cameron NorrieNorrie (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Shintaro MochizukiMochizuki – Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry (6-4 7-6(5)) – See score progression
- Diego Sebastian SchwartzmanSebastian Schwartzman – Francisco CerundoloCerundolo (6-4 6-1) – See score progression
- Aslan KaratsevKaratsev – Frances TiafoeTiafoe (6-3 7-6(4)) – See score progression
- Ben SheltonShelton – Taro DanielDaniel (3-6 6-4 7-6(2)) – See score progression
- Casper RuudRuud – Yosuke WatanukiWatanuki (7-6(6) 6-3) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Marcos GironGiron – Casper RuudRuud (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Christian GarinGarin – Alexei PopyrinPopyrin (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Zhizhen ZhangZhang – Hubert HurkaczHurkacz (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Tommy PaulPaul – Mackenzie McdonaldMcdonald (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Diego Sebastian SchwartzmanSebastian Schwartzman (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime – Sebastian OfnerOfner (0-0) – H2H and prediction
