Mathias Bourgue and Ryan Nijboer will fight against each other in the qualifications of the Olbia Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Monday at 12:30 pm on CAMPO 1. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Mathias Bourgue who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Mathias Bourgue is the pick to win this match.
Mathias Bourgue -> 1.3
Ryan Nijboer -> 3.3
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Prediction and head to head Mathias Bourgue vs. Ryan Nijboer
There is no head to head record between Mathias Bourgue and Ryan Nijboer since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.
Mathias Bourgue
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 13-20 | 0-1 | 8-14 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 45-28 | 6-4 | 22-13 | 16-10 | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| 2022 | 22-19 | 5-5 | 7-10 | 10-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 29-25 | 6-7 | 11-9 | 12-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 18-14 | 2-2 | 7-7 | 9-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 264, Bourgue got to the qualifications after defeating Luigi Castelletti 6-3 6-4.
In the qualifications, Bourgue had a good straight sets win against Castelletti (6-3 6-4). During the match, Bourgue scored 62 points vs Castelletti’s 41. Mathias was very aggressive to blast 31 winners.
Regarding the service games, Bourgue fired 3 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Mathias Bourgue was extremely effective on serve to win 89% (31/35) of his 1st serve and 69% (9/13) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Mathias broke Castelletti twice after converting 67% of his break points (2/3).
Bourgue has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 60% of his matches (363-238). 4-3 on hard in 2023. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Bourgue has an aggregate 73-49 record in the last years on hard.
Mathias’s best result of the year was getting to the final in M25 Sabadell.
Bourgue has an aggregate 38-24 win-loss record in 2023, 4-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Olbia Challenger
The French player has never competed in this tournament before.
Ryan Nijboer
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 26-20 | 8-3 | 18-14 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 55-32 | 12-9 | 41-21 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 23-23 | 1-6 | 22-17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 27-28 | 9-13 | 18-13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 21-17 | 13-7 | 5-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3-2 |
Ranked no. 496 (career-high), Nijboer reached the qualifications after defeating Oscar Weightman 2-6 7-65 6-4.
In the qualifications against Weightman, Ryan recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (2-6 7-65 6-4). During the match Nijboer scored 96 points vs Weightman’s 92. Ryan was very aggressive to blast 44 winners.
About the serving games, Nijboer made 5 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Ryan Nijboer lost the serve 4 times and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Nijboer put 64% of his first serves in, winning 70% (44/63) of the points behind his 1st serve and 49% (17/35) on the 2nd serve. Nijboer broke Weightman 3 times after converting 75% of his break points (3/4).
Ryan’s best result of the year was reaching the final in M15 Monastir,M25 Oviedo and M15 Madrid.
The Dutch has an overall 47-25 win-loss record in 2023, 9-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Bourgue | Nijboer |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 |
| Tot Games | 19 | 31 |
| Pts | 62-41 | 96-92 |
| Total Points | 103 | 188 |
| Winners | 31 | 44 |
| %Winners | 50% | 46% |
Both Bourgue and Nijboer played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.At the moment, Ryan Nijboer surrendered 1 set while Mathias Bourgue hasn’t dropped a set so far. Bourgue has played 1 set(s) less than Nijboer (2 vs 3). Therefore, Bourgue played 12 games less than Nijboer. The French player scored 31 winners (50% of the total points). On the other side, The Dutch fired 44 winners (46%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Bourgue | Nijboer |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 3 | 5 |
| Avg per match | 3 | 5 |
| 1st in | 35/48 | 63/98 |
| %1st in | 73% | 64% |
| 1st pts | 31/35 | 44/63 |
| %1st pts | 89% | 70% |
| 2nd pts | 9/13 | 17/35 |
| %2nd pts | 69% | 49% |
Bourgue bagged 3 aces . Nijboer fired 5 aces . Bourgue won 89% points on his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 69% of the points. On the other side, Nijboer won 70% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 49% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Bourgue | Nijboer |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 2 | 3 |
| Converted | 2/3 | 3/4 |
| % Converted | 67% | 75% |
| Conceded | 0 | 9 |
| Saved | 0 | 5 |
| % Saved | 0% | 56% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 4 |
The French player broke his opponent twice with a 67% conversion rate. Mathias had a solid display on his serve as he has never lost a single service game after saving 0 break points. The Dutch broke his opponent 3 times with a 75% conversion rate. Nijboer conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 56% of the break points that he conceded.
| Bourgue | |||
| Q1 Castelletti |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 19 | |
| pts | 62-41 | 62-41 | |
| Total points | 103 | 103 | |
| Winners | 31 | 31 | |
| %Winners | 50% | 50% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 3 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 35/48 | 35/48 | |
| % 1st in | 73% | 73% | |
| 1st pts | 31/35 | 31/35 | |
| % 1st pts | 89% | 89% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/13 | 9/13 | |
| % 2nd pts | 69% | 69% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 2 | 2 | |
| Converted | 2/3 | 2/3 | |
| Converted % | 67% | 67% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 0 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 0 | |
| Saved % | – | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
| Nijboer | |||
| Q1 Weightman |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 2-6 7-65 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 31 | 31 | |
| pts | 96-92 | 96-92 | |
| Total points | 188 | 188 | |
| Winners | 44 | 44 | |
| %Winners | 46% | 46% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 5 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 63/98 | 63/98 | |
| % 1st in | 64% | 64% | |
| 1st pts | 44/63 | 44/63 | |
| % 1st pts | 70% | 70% | |
| 2nd pts | 17/35 | 17/35 | |
| % 2nd pts | 49% | 49% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/4 | 3/4 | |
| Converted % | 75% | 75% | |
| Conceded | 9 | 9 | |
| Saved | 5/9 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 56% | 56% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 4 | |
Head 2 Head
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