Mattia Bellucci and Ugo Blanchet will play each other in the final of the Malaga Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 10:30 am on CENTER COURT. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Mattia Bellucci who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Mattia Bellucci is the pick to win this match.
Mattia Bellucci -> 1.31
Ugo Blanchet -> 3.3
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Prediction and head to head Mattia Bellucci vs. Ugo Blanchet
This will be the 2nd time that Mattia Bellucci and Ugo Blanchet face off. The head to head is 1-0 for Bellucci (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they played each other, Bellucci won 6-1 5-7 7-5 in the 1st round in M15 Monastir back in 2022.
Mattia Bellucci
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 51-33 | 31-18 | 5-2 | 9-9 | 6-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 33-34 | 22-19 | 2-9 | 4-3 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 66-23 | 30-4 | 25-12 | 11-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 39-18 | 29-10 | 5-3 | 5-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 15-6 | 13-3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-1 |
Ranked no. 144, Bellucci got to the final after beating Roberto Carballes Baena 4-6 6-3 6-2, Pablo Carreno-Busta 6-3 7-60, Andrea Vavassori 6-3 7-5 and Emilio Nava 7-64 6-4.
In the semifinal, Bellucci had a good straight sets win against Nava (7-64 6-4). During the match, Bellucci scored 85 points vs Nava’s 72. Bellucci was pretty aggressive to blast 33 winners.
Regarding the service games, Bellucci bagged 5 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Mattia Bellucci was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 80% (33/41) of his 1st serve and 77% (20/26) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Italian broke Nava once after converting 11% of his break points (1/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Bellucci has lost 1 set in this event to win 56% of the points he played.
Bellucci has a solid win-loss record in the last 6 years having won 65% of his matches (182-98). 20-17 on hard in 2023. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Bellucci has an aggregate100-42 win-loss record in the last 6 years on hard.
His best result of the year was winning the title the Cassis Challenger where he overcame Tomas Machac in the final 6-3 6-4.
Mattia has a composed 31-31 win-loss record in 2023, 20-17 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Malaga Challenger
The Italian has never competed in this tournament before.
Ugo Blanchet
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 21-28 | 4-10 | 14-12 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 42-28 | 15-7 | 23-16 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 47-24 | 15-4 | 27-13 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 49-21 | 35-12 | 6-6 | 8-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 14-10 | 5-3 | 0-0 | 6-4 | 0-0 | 3-3 |
Ranked no. 324, Ugo got to the final after beating Ergi Kirkin 6-3 4-0 ret., Daniel Rincon 6-4 7-5, Sumit Nagal 6-1 3-0 ret., Constant Lestienne 6-1 6-4, Flavio Cobolli 6-3 6-1 and Maxime Janvier 6-1 7-64.
In the semifinal, Ugo had a good straight sets win against Janvier (6-1 7-64). During the match Blanchet scored 75 points vs Janvier’s 57. Blanchet was pretty aggressive to blast 32 winners.
Talking about serving, Blanchet made 7 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Ugo Blanchet was very effective on serve to win 73% (32/44) of his 1st serve and 66% (19/29) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The French player broke Janvier twice after converting 33% of his break points (2/6).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The French player started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he hasn’t conceded yet a set in this event to win 57% of the points he played.
Ugo’s best result of the current year was reaching the final in M25 Uriage and M25 Monastir.
The French player has an aggregate 37-24 win-loss record in 2023, 12-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Bellucci | Blanchet |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 6 |
| Tot Set | 9 | 14 |
| Tot Games | 93 | 98 |
| Pts | 331-265 | 364-253 |
| Total Points | 596 | 617 |
| Winners | 141 | 143 |
| %Winners | 43% | 39% |
Bellucci played 4 matches while Blanchet competed in 6 matches. Blanchet started his run from the qualifications while Bellucci had a direct access to the main draw. At the moment, Mattia Bellucci conceded 1 set while Ugo Blanchet hasn’t conceded a set so far. Bellucci has played 5 set(s) less than Blanchet (9 vs 14). Therefore, Bellucci played 5 games less than Blanchet. Bellucci scored 141 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, The French player fired 143 winners (39%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Bellucci | Blanchet |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 19 | 30 |
| Avg per match | 4.8 | 5 |
| 1st in | 173/281 | 174/303 |
| %1st in | 62% | 57% |
| 1st pts | 141/173 | 143/174 |
| %1st pts | 82% | 82% |
| 2nd pts | 69/108 | 75/129 |
| %2nd pts | 64% | 58% |
Bellucci made 19 aces (4.8 per match). Blanchet managed to score 30 aces (5 per match). Bellucci won 82% points behind his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 64% of the points. On the other side, Blanchet won 82% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 58% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Bellucci | Blanchet |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 8 | 20 |
| Converted | 8/28 | 20/41 |
| % Converted | 29% | 49% |
| Conceded | 18 | 12 |
| Saved | 16 | 10 |
| % Saved | 89% | 83% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 |
The Italian broke his opponents 8 times with a 29% conversion rate. Bellucci lost his serve twice and he saved 89% of the break points that he conceded. The French player broke his opponents 20 times with a 49% conversion rate. Blanchet conceded his serve twice and he saved 83% of the break points that he conceded.
| Bellucci | ||||||
| R1 Carballes Baena |
R2 Carreno-Busta |
1/4 Vavassori |
1/2 Nava |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 4-6 6-3 6-2 | 6-3 7-60 | 6-3 7-5 | 7-64 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 27 | 22 | 21 | 23 | 93 | |
| pts | 100-85 | 75-58 | 71-50 | 85-72 | 331-265 | |
| Total points | 185 | 133 | 121 | 157 | 596 | |
| Winners | 44 | 34 | 30 | 33 | 141 | |
| %Winners | 44% | 45% | 42% | 39% | 43% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 5 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 19 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 51/91 | 45/70 | 36/53 | 41/67 | 173/281 | |
| % 1st in | 56% | 64% | 68% | 61% | 62% | |
| 1st pts | 44/51 | 34/45 | 30/36 | 33/41 | 141/173 | |
| % 1st pts | 86% | 76% | 83% | 80% | 82% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/40 | 18/25 | 15/17 | 20/26 | 69/108 | |
| % 2nd pts | 40% | 72% | 88% | 77% | 64% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | |
| Converted | 4/12 | 1/2 | 2/5 | 1/9 | 8/28 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 50% | 40% | 11% | 29% | |
| Conceded | 14 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 18 | |
| Saved | 12/14 | 1/1 | 2/2 | 1/1 | 16 | |
| Saved % | 86% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 97% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| Blanchet | ||||||||
| Q1 Kirkin |
Q3 Rincon |
R1 Nagal |
R2 Lestienne |
1/4 Cobolli |
1/2 Janvier |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 4-0 ret. | 6-4 7-5 | 6-1 3-0 ret. | 6-1 6-4 | 6-3 6-1 | 6-1 7-64 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 12 | |
| Tot Games | 13 | 22 | 10 | 17 | 16 | 20 | 98 | |
| pts | 54-32 | 60-51 | 43-20 | 74-51 | 58-42 | 75-57 | 364-253 | |
| Total points | 86 | 111 | 63 | 125 | 100 | 132 | 617 | |
| Winners | 23 | 33 | 12 | 25 | 18 | 32 | 143 | |
| %Winners | 43% | 55% | 28% | 34% | 31% | 43% | 39% | |
| SERVE | ||||||||
| Aces | 6 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 30 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 12 | |
| 1st in | 25/40 | 39/56 | 15/31 | 29/55 | 22/48 | 44/73 | 174/303 | |
| % 1st in | 63% | 70% | 48% | 53% | 46% | 60% | 57% | |
| 1st pts | 23/25 | 33/39 | 12/15 | 25/29 | 18/22 | 32/44 | 143/174 | |
| % 1st pts | 92% | 85% | 80% | 86% | 82% | 73% | 82% | |
| 2nd pts | 7/15 | 11/17 | 8/16 | 16/26 | 14/26 | 19/29 | 75/129 | |
| % 2nd pts | 47% | 65% | 50% | 62% | 54% | 66% | 58% | |
| Breaks | ||||||||
| Won | 3 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 20 | |
| Converted | 3/7 | 2/4 | 5/7 | 3/10 | 5/7 | 2/6 | 20/41 | |
| Converted % | 43% | 50% | 71% | 30% | 71% | 33% | 49% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 12 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 0/0 | 1/2 | 3/3 | 3/4 | 3/3 | 10 | |
| Saved % | – | – | 50% | 100% | 75% | 100% | 81% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
Head 2 Head
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LWLLLLLWWW Tennis Scores in Malaga Challenger
- Julian Cash/Robert GallowayCash/Robert Galloway – Andrew Harris/John-Patrick SmithHarris/John-Patrick Smith (7-5 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Ugo BlanchetBlanchet – (0-1) – H2H and prediction
