Andrey Rublev and Hubert Hurkacz will square off in the final of the Shanghai Rolex Masters for the 5th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 4:30 pm on Stadium Court. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Andrey Rublev who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Andrey Rublev is the pick to win this match.
Andrey Rublev -> 1.69
Hubert Hurkacz -> 2.17
Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).
To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Â
Prediction and head to head Andrey Rublev vs. Hubert Hurkacz
This will be the 5th time that Andrey Rublev and Hubert Hurkacz face off. The head to head is 2-2 (see full H2H stats), 2-1 on hard.
The last time that they competed against each other, Rublev won 7-6(5) 6-4 in the 4th round in Indian wells back in 2022.
Highlights Andrey Rublev vs Hubert Hurkacz – Indian wells 16-March-2022
Andrey Rublev
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 24-12 | 13-5 | 9-4 | 2-1 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 56-26 | 23-12 | 19-5 | 6-7 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 51-20 | 19-7 | 14-6 | 18-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 53-23 | 25-10 | 9-5 | 12-6 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 41-10 | 17-4 | 10-2 | 14-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 7, Rublev got to the final after beating Quentin Halys 6-4 7-5, Adrian Mannarino 6-3 6-0, Tommy Paul 7-5 7-5, Ugo Humbert 6-2 6-3 and Grigor Dimitrov 7-67 6-3.
In the semifinal, Rublev had a good straight sets win against Dimitrov (7-67 6-3). During the match, Rublev scored 80 points vs Dimitrov’s 67. The Russian was pretty aggressive to blast 40 winners.
Regarding the service games, Rublev fired 9 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Andrey Rublev lost the serve twice and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Rublev put 74% of his first serves in, winning 71% (40/56) of the points behind his 1st serve and 50% (10/20) on the 2nd serve. Andrey broke Dimitrov 3 times after converting 75% of his break points (3/4).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Andrey hasn’t conceded yet a set in this tournament to win 57% of the points he played.
Rublev has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 65% of his matches (412-225). 23-11 on hard in 2023. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Rublev has an overall 160-84 match record in the last years on hard.
His best result of the year was winning the title in Carlo where he defeated Holger Rune in the final 5-7 6-2 7-5 and in Bastad where he beat Casper Ruud in the final 7-6(3) 6-0.
Andrey has a composed 50-20 win-loss record in 2023, 23-11 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Shanghai
Hubert Hurkacz
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 34-13 | 11-6 | 14-4 | 4-2 | 5-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 47-24 | 23-11 | 5-5 | 13-5 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 41-21 | 18-9 | 9-4 | 9-6 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 36-23 | 22-9 | 1-4 | 8-7 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 15-13 | 8-5 | 3-3 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 17, the Pole reached the final after defeating Thanasi Kokkinakis 7-65 6-4, Yu Hsiou Hsu 6-4 6-4, Zhizhen Zhang 7-66 4-6 7-64, Fabian Marozsan 4-6 6-1 6-3 and Sebastian Korda 6-3 6-4.
In the semifinal, Hubert had a good straight sets win against Korda (6-3 6-4). During the match Hurkacz scored 67 points vs Korda’s 53. Hubert was very aggressive to blast 40 winners.
Talking about serving, Hurkacz made 14 aces and he was very consistent in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Hubert Hurkacz conceded no breaks for the entire match to put 75% of his first serves in, win 85% (40/47) of the points behind his 1st serve and 38% (6/16) on the 2nd serve. The Pole broke Korda twice after converting 50% of his break points (2/4).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Pole has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.
His best result of the current year was winning the title in Marseille where he overcame Benjamin Bonzi in the final 6-3 7-6(4).
Hubert has a compiled 38-20 win-loss record in 2023, 22-10 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Rublev | Hurkacz |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 5 | 5 |
| Tot Set | 10 | 12 |
| Tot Games | 100 | 124 |
| Pts | 352-263 | 410-348 |
| Total Points | 615 | 758 |
| Winners | 154 | 214 |
| %Winners | 44% | 52% |
Both Rublev and Hurkacz played 5 matches. At the moment, Hubert Hurkacz dropped 2 sets while Andrey Rublev hasn’t lost a set so far. Rublev has played 2 set(s) less than Hurkacz (10 vs 12). Therefore, Rublev played 24 games less than Hurkacz. Andrey scored 154 winners (44% of the total points). On the other side, Hubert recorded 214 winners (52%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Rublev | Hurkacz |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 35 | 77 |
| Avg per match | 7 | 15.4 |
| 1st in | 196/291 | 258/363 |
| %1st in | 67% | 71% |
| 1st pts | 154/196 | 214/258 |
| %1st pts | 79% | 83% |
| 2nd pts | 56/95 | 51/105 |
| %2nd pts | 59% | 49% |
Rublev bagged 35 aces (7 per match). Hurkacz scored 77 aces (15.4 per match). Rublev won 79% points behind his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 59% of the points. On the other side, Hurkacz won 83% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 49% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Rublev | Hurkacz |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 17 | 12 |
| Converted | 17/29 | 12/25 |
| % Converted | 59% | 48% |
| Conceded | 13 | 15 |
| Saved | 9 | 10 |
| % Saved | 69% | 67% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 5 |
Andrey broke his opponents 17 times with a 59% conversion rate. Andrey lost his serve 4 times and he saved 69% of the break points that he conceded. Hurkacz broke his opponents 12 times with a 48% conversion rate. Hurkacz conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded.
| Rublev | |||||||
| R2 Halys |
R3 Mannarino |
R4 Paul |
1/4 Humbert |
1/2 Dimitrov |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 7-5 | 6-3 6-0 | 7-5 7-5 | 6-2 6-3 | 7-67 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 15 | 24 | 17 | 22 | 100 | |
| pts | 68-52 | 57-34 | 76-59 | 71-51 | 80-67 | 352-263 | |
| Total points | 120 | 91 | 135 | 122 | 147 | 615 | |
| Winners | 35 | 27 | 29 | 23 | 40 | 154 | |
| %Winners | 51% | 47% | 38% | 32% | 50% | 44% | |
| SERVE | |||||||
| Aces | 14 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 35 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 38/55 | 34/51 | 36/58 | 32/51 | 56/76 | 196/291 | |
| % 1st in | 69% | 67% | 62% | 63% | 74% | 67% | |
| 1st pts | 35/38 | 27/34 | 29/36 | 23/32 | 40/56 | 154/196 | |
| % 1st pts | 92% | 79% | 81% | 72% | 71% | 79% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/17 | 9/17 | 16/22 | 12/19 | 10/20 | 56/95 | |
| % 2nd pts | 53% | 53% | 73% | 63% | 50% | 59% | |
| Breaks | |||||||
| Won | 2 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 17 | |
| Converted | 2/4 | 4/5 | 3/6 | 5/10 | 3/4 | 17/29 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 80% | 50% | 50% | 75% | 59% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 13 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 2/2 | 0/1 | 3/4 | 4/6 | 9 | |
| Saved % | – | 100% | 0% | 75% | 67% | 48% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | |
| Hurkacz | |||||||
| R2 Kokkinakis |
R3 Hsiou |
R4 Zhang |
1/4 Marozsan |
1/2 Korda |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-65 6-4 | 6-4 6-4 | 7-66 4-6 7-64 | 4-6 6-1 6-3 | 6-3 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12 | |
| Tot Games | 23 | 20 | 36 | 26 | 19 | 124 | |
| pts | 69-65 | 73-63 | 113-99 | 88-68 | 67-53 | 410-348 | |
| Total points | 134 | 136 | 212 | 156 | 120 | 758 | |
| Winners | 42 | 33 | 58 | 41 | 40 | 214 | |
| %Winners | 61% | 45% | 51% | 47% | 60% | 52% | |
| SERVE | |||||||
| Aces | 17 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 14 | 77 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 49/70 | 46/62 | 66/94 | 50/74 | 47/63 | 258/363 | |
| % 1st in | 70% | 74% | 70% | 68% | 75% | 71% | |
| 1st pts | 42/49 | 33/46 | 58/66 | 41/50 | 40/47 | 214/258 | |
| % 1st pts | 86% | 72% | 88% | 82% | 85% | 83% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/21 | 10/16 | 14/28 | 10/24 | 6/16 | 51/105 | |
| % 2nd pts | 52% | 63% | 50% | 42% | 38% | 49% | |
| Breaks | |||||||
| Won | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 12 | |
| Converted | 1/1 | 2/5 | 2/4 | 5/11 | 2/4 | 12/25 | |
| Converted % | 100% | 40% | 50% | 45% | 50% | 48% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 15 | |
| Saved | 1/1 | 4/4 | 3/6 | 2/4 | 0/0 | 10 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | 50% | 50% | – | 60% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5 | |
Head 2 Head
LLLWWLWWWW
WLWWWWLWWW 
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Andrey RublevRublev – Hubert HurkaczHurkacz (2-2) – H2H and prediction
