Nuno Borges and Aleksandar Kovacevic will clash against each other in the final of the Shenzhen 1 Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 1:30 pm on CENTER COURT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Nuno Borges who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Nuno Borges is the pick to win this match.
Nuno Borges -> 1.82
Aleksandar Kovacevic -> 1.94
Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).
To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Â
Prediction and head to head Nuno Borges vs. Aleksandar Kovacevic
There is no head to head record between Nuno Borges and Aleksandar Kovacevic since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.
Nuno Borges
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 33-33 | 17-14 | 9-11 | 3-4 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 33-26 | 20-12 | 13-7 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 37-26 | 20-11 | 8-7 | 6-4 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 49-26 | 7-5 | 28-13 | 11-5 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 52-21 | 6-4 | 46-17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 85, the Portuguese reached the final after defeating Steven Diez 7-5 6-2, Bu Yunchaokete 6-3 6-4, Yu Hsiou Hsu 7-60 6-0 and Egor Gerasimov 6-2 6-1.
In the semifinal, The Portuguese had a good straight sets win against Gerasimov (6-2 6-1). During the match, Borges scored 57 points vs Gerasimov’s 34. Borges was pretty aggressive to blast 16 winners.
Talking about the service games, Borges managed to score 5 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Nuno Borges was exceptionally effective on serve to win 80% (16/20) of his 1st serve and 65% (13/20) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Nuno broke Gerasimov 5 times after converting 56% of his break points (5/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Portuguese hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this competition to conquer 59% of the points he played.
Borges has a fantastic record in the last 9 years having won 70% of his matches (242-103). 20-10 on hard in 2023. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Borges has an overall116-39 match record in the last 9 years on hard.
His best result of the current season was conquering the title the Monterrey Challenger where he defeated Borna Gojo in the final 6-4 7-6(6) and the Phoenix Challenger where he beat Alexander Shevchenko in the final 4-6 6-2 6-1.
Nuno has an overall 29-22 win-loss record in 2023, 20-10 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Shenzhen 1 Challenger
The Portuguese has never competed in this tournament before.
Aleksandar Kovacevic
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 34-33 | 13-14 | 4-7 | 16-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 29-35 | 20-17 | 5-8 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 43-27 | 34-15 | 0-5 | 7-2 | 2-5 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 41-31 | 22-18 | 4-4 | 15-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 20-17 | 11-10 | 2-3 | 7-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 146, Aleksandar got to the final after beating Philip Sekulic 6-1 6-4, Alibek Kachmazov 6-1 6-4, Denis Yevseyev 6-2 6-4 and Pedro Cachin 6-4 7-67.
In the semifinal, The American had a good straight sets win against Cachin (6-4 7-67). During the match Kovacevic scored 75 points vs Cachin’s 67. Aleksandar was quite aggressive to blast 28 winners.
Talking about serving, Kovacevic scored 10 aces and he committed only 8 double faults. Aleksandar Kovacevic lost the serve twice and he saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Kovacevic put 45% of his first serves in, winning 85% (28/33) of the points behind his 1st serve and 46% (19/41) on the 2nd serve. Kovacevic broke Cachin 3 times after converting 50% of his break points (3/6).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Aleksandar hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 57% of the points he played.
His best result of the current year was winning the title the Cleveland Challenger where he beat Yibing Wu in the final 3-6 7-5 7-6(2) and the Waco Challenger where he defeated Alexandre Muller in the final 6-3 4-6 6-2.
The American has an overall 32-24 win-loss record in 2023, 25-14 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Borges | Kovacevic |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 8 | 8 |
| Tot Games | 73 | 75 |
| Pts | 262-179 | 269-206 |
| Total Points | 441 | 475 |
| Winners | 110 | 112 |
| %Winners | 42% | 42% |
Both Borges and Kovacevic played 4 matches. Both players have not lost a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Borges and Kovacevic have played the same amount of sets 8. However, Borges played 2 games less than Kovacevic. Borges scored 110 winners (42% of the total points). On the other side, The American scored 112 winners (42%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Borges | Kovacevic |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 31 | 40 |
| Avg per match | 7.8 | 10 |
| 1st in | 141/229 | 135/252 |
| %1st in | 62% | 54% |
| 1st pts | 110/141 | 112/135 |
| %1st pts | 78% | 83% |
| 2nd pts | 53/88 | 59/117 |
| %2nd pts | 60% | 50% |
Borges fired 31 aces (7.8 per match). Kovacevic made 40 aces (10 per match). Borges won 78% points behind his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 60% of the points. On the other side, Kovacevic won 83% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 50% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Borges | Kovacevic |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 14 | 13 |
| Converted | 14/19 | 13/22 |
| % Converted | 74% | 59% |
| Conceded | 13 | 21 |
| Saved | 12 | 18 |
| % Saved | 92% | 86% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 3 |
Nuno broke his opponents 14 times with a 74% conversion rate. Nuno dropped his serve once and he saved 92% of the break points that he conceded. Aleksandar broke his opponents 13 times with a 59% conversion rate. Aleksandar conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 86% of the break points that he conceded.
| Borges | ||||||
| R1 Diez |
R2 Yunchaokete |
1/4 Hsiou |
1/2 Gerasimov |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 6-2 | 6-3 6-4 | 7-60 6-0 | 6-2 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 19 | 19 | 15 | 73 | |
| pts | 68-49 | 67-52 | 70-44 | 57-34 | 262-179 | |
| Total points | 117 | 119 | 114 | 91 | 441 | |
| Winners | 28 | 35 | 31 | 16 | 110 | |
| %Winners | 41% | 52% | 44% | 28% | 42% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 5 | 10 | 11 | 5 | 31 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 9 | |
| 1st in | 33/51 | 50/75 | 38/63 | 20/40 | 141/229 | |
| % 1st in | 65% | 67% | 60% | 50% | 62% | |
| 1st pts | 28/33 | 35/50 | 31/38 | 16/20 | 110/141 | |
| % 1st pts | 85% | 70% | 82% | 80% | 78% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/18 | 13/25 | 15/25 | 13/20 | 53/88 | |
| % 2nd pts | 67% | 52% | 60% | 65% | 60% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 3 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 14 | |
| Converted | 3/4 | 3/3 | 3/3 | 5/9 | 14/19 | |
| Converted % | 75% | 100% | 100% | 56% | 74% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 13 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 8/9 | 4/4 | 0/0 | 12 | |
| Saved % | – | 89% | 100% | – | 47% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| Kovacevic | ||||||
| R1 Sekulic |
R2 Kachmazov |
1/4 Yevseyev |
1/2 Cachin |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-4 | 6-1 6-4 | 6-2 6-4 | 6-4 7-67 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 17 | 18 | 23 | 75 | |
| pts | 62-39 | 61-47 | 71-53 | 75-67 | 269-206 | |
| Total points | 101 | 108 | 124 | 142 | 475 | |
| Winners | 29 | 28 | 27 | 28 | 112 | |
| %Winners | 47% | 46% | 38% | 37% | 42% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 15 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 40 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 16 | |
| 1st in | 35/56 | 33/61 | 34/61 | 33/74 | 135/252 | |
| % 1st in | 63% | 54% | 56% | 45% | 54% | |
| 1st pts | 29/35 | 28/33 | 27/34 | 28/33 | 112/135 | |
| % 1st pts | 83% | 85% | 79% | 85% | 83% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/21 | 13/28 | 14/27 | 19/41 | 59/117 | |
| % 2nd pts | 62% | 46% | 52% | 46% | 50% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 3 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 13 | |
| Converted | 3/4 | 3/3 | 4/9 | 3/6 | 13/22 | |
| Converted % | 75% | 100% | 44% | 50% | 59% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 6 | 9 | 3 | 21 | |
| Saved | 3/3 | 6/6 | 8/9 | 1/3 | 18 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | 89% | 33% | 81% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWLLLWWWL
LLLWLWWLWL 
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Nuno BorgesBorges – Aleksandar KovacevicKovacevic (0-0) – H2H and prediction
