Mattia Bellucci and Emilio Nava will clash against each other in the semifinal of the Malaga Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 1:30 pm on CENTER COURT. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Emilio Nava who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Emilio Nava is the pick to win this match.
Emilio Nava -> 1.88
Mattia Bellucci -> 1.88
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Prediction and head to head Mattia Bellucci vs. Emilio Nava
This will be the 2nd time that Mattia Bellucci and Emilio Nava fight against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Nava (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they squared off, Nava won 4-6 6-1 7-5 in the 1st round in the St. Tropez Challenger back in September 2023.
Mattia Bellucci
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 51-33 | 31-18 | 5-2 | 9-9 | 6-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 33-34 | 22-19 | 2-9 | 4-3 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 66-23 | 30-4 | 25-12 | 11-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 39-18 | 29-10 | 5-3 | 5-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 15-6 | 13-3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-1 |
Ranked no. 144, Mattia reached the semifinal after defeating Roberto Carballes Baena 4-6 6-3 6-2, Pablo Carreno-Busta 6-3 7-60 and Andrea Vavassori 6-3 7-5.
In the quarter, Bellucci had a good straight sets win against Vavassori (6-3 7-5). During the match, Bellucci scored 71 points vs Vavassori’s 50. Bellucci was quite aggressive to blast 30 winners.
Talking about the service games, Bellucci fired 5 aces and he was exceptionally consistent in conceding no double faults. Mattia Bellucci was very effective on serve to win 83% (30/36) of his 1st serve and 88% (15/17) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Bellucci broke Vavassori twice after converting 40% of his break points (2/5).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Bellucci has lost 1 set in this competition to win 56% of the points he played.
Bellucci has a solid record in the last 6 years having won 65% of his matches (181-98). 19-17 on hard in 2023. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Bellucci has a compiled99-42 record in the last 6 years on hard.
His best result of the current season was conquering the title the Cassis Challenger where he beat Tomas Machac in the final 6-3 6-4.
The Italian has a compiled 30-31 win-loss record in 2023, 19-17 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Malaga Challenger
Bellucci has never competed in this tournament before.
Emilio Nava
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 34-34 | 16-15 | 8-9 | 8-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 40-31 | 24-14 | 12-8 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 41-27 | 15-15 | 14-6 | 12-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 40-16 | 9-6 | 27-7 | 4-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 17-12 | 10-7 | 7-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 162, Nava got to the semifinal after beating Raul Brancaccio 6-4 6-4, Albert Ramos-Vinolas 6-3 7-64 and Alejandro Moro Canas 2-6 6-3 7-5.
In the quarter against Moro Canas, Emilio recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (2-6 6-3 7-5). During the match Nava scored 92 points vs Moro Canas’s 90. Emilio was exceptionally aggressive to blast 41 winners.
About the serving games, Nava managed to score 8 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Emilio Nava lost the serve 5 times and he saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Nava put 67% of his first serves in, winning 59% (41/69) of the points behind his 1st serve and 56% (19/34) on the 2nd serve. Nava broke Moro Canas 5 times after converting 56% of his break points (5/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Nava has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.
His best result of the current season was winning the title the Modena Challenger where he overcame Titouan Droguet in the final 6-7(5) 7-6(6) 6-4.
Nava has a composed 36-26 win-loss record in 2023, 24-12 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Malaga Challenger
Previously, his best result was reaching the 1st round in 2022. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Bellucci | Nava |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 7 | 7 |
| Tot Games | 70 | 71 |
| Pts | 246-193 | 228-198 |
| Total Points | 439 | 426 |
| Winners | 108 | 109 |
| %Winners | 44% | 48% |
Both Bellucci and Nava played 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Mattia Bellucci lost 1 set, while Emilio Nava surrendered 1 set. Talking about their workload, Bellucci and Nava have played the same amount of sets 7. However, Bellucci played 1 game less than Nava. Mattia scored 108 winners (44% of the total points). On the other side, Nava fired 109 winners (48%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Bellucci | Nava |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 14 | 28 |
| Avg per match | 4.7 | 9.3 |
| 1st in | 132/214 | 153/232 |
| %1st in | 62% | 66% |
| 1st pts | 108/132 | 109/153 |
| %1st pts | 82% | 71% |
| 2nd pts | 49/82 | 43/79 |
| %2nd pts | 60% | 54% |
Bellucci struck 14 aces (4.7 per match). Nava made 28 aces (9.3 per match). Bellucci won 82% points on his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 60% of the points. On the other side, Nava won 71% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 54% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Bellucci | Nava |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 7 | 11 |
| Converted | 7/19 | 11/17 |
| % Converted | 37% | 65% |
| Conceded | 17 | 21 |
| Saved | 15 | 13 |
| % Saved | 88% | 62% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 8 |
The Italian broke his opponents 7 times with a 37% conversion rate. Bellucci conceded his serve twice and he saved 88% of the break points that he conceded. Nava broke his opponents 11 times with a 65% conversion rate. Nava conceded his serve 8 times and he saved 62% of the break points that he conceded.
| Bellucci | |||||
| R1 Carballes Baena |
R2 Carreno-Busta |
1/4 Vavassori |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 4-6 6-3 6-2 | 6-3 7-60 | 6-3 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 27 | 22 | 21 | 70 | |
| pts | 100-85 | 75-58 | 71-50 | 246-193 | |
| Total points | 185 | 133 | 121 | 439 | |
| Winners | 44 | 34 | 30 | 108 | |
| %Winners | 44% | 45% | 42% | 44% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 5 | 4 | 5 | 14 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 51/91 | 45/70 | 36/53 | 132/214 | |
| % 1st in | 56% | 64% | 68% | 62% | |
| 1st pts | 44/51 | 34/45 | 30/36 | 108/132 | |
| % 1st pts | 86% | 76% | 83% | 82% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/40 | 18/25 | 15/17 | 49/82 | |
| % 2nd pts | 40% | 72% | 88% | 60% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 4 | 1 | 2 | 7 | |
| Converted | 4/12 | 1/2 | 2/5 | 7/19 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 50% | 40% | 37% | |
| Conceded | 14 | 1 | 2 | 17 | |
| Saved | 12/14 | 1/1 | 2/2 | 15 | |
| Saved % | 86% | 100% | 100% | 95% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| Nava | |||||
| R1 Brancaccio |
R2 Ramos-Vinolas |
1/4 Moro |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-4 | 6-3 7-64 | 2-6 6-3 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 22 | 29 | 71 | |
| pts | 60-51 | 76-57 | 92-90 | 228-198 | |
| Total points | 111 | 133 | 182 | 426 | |
| Winners | 25 | 43 | 41 | 109 | |
| %Winners | 42% | 57% | 45% | 48% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 6 | 14 | 8 | 28 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 4 | 3 | 8 | |
| 1st in | 34/59 | 50/70 | 69/103 | 153/232 | |
| % 1st in | 58% | 71% | 67% | 66% | |
| 1st pts | 25/34 | 43/50 | 41/69 | 109/153 | |
| % 1st pts | 74% | 86% | 59% | 71% | |
| 2nd pts | 14/25 | 10/20 | 19/34 | 43/79 | |
| % 2nd pts | 56% | 50% | 56% | 54% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 4 | 2 | 5 | 11 | |
| Converted | 4/5 | 2/3 | 5/9 | 11/17 | |
| Converted % | 80% | 67% | 56% | 65% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 5 | 11 | 21 | |
| Saved | 3/5 | 4/5 | 6/11 | 13 | |
| Saved % | 60% | 80% | 55% | 65% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8 | |
Head 2 Head
LLLWWWLWWW
LWLWWWLLWL Tennis Scores in Malaga Challenger
- Emilio NavaNava – Alejandro Moro CanasMoro Canas (2-6 6-3 7-5) – See score progression
- Mattia BellucciBellucci – Andrea VavassoriVavassori (6-3 7-5) – See score progression
- Ugo BlanchetBlanchet – Flavio CobolliCobolli (6-3 6-1) – See score progression
- Maxime JanvierJanvier – Billy HarrisHarris (7-65 6-3) – See score progression
- Andrew Harris/John-Patrick SmithHarris/John-Patrick Smith – Francisco Cabral/Henry PattenCabral/Henry Patten (1-6 6-4 10-8) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Maxime JanvierJanvier – Ugo BlanchetBlanchet (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Emilio NavaNava – (1-0) – H2H and prediction
