Qinwen Zheng and Jasmine Paolini will clash against each other in the semifinal of the Zhengzhou Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 6:30 pm on Center Court. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Qinwen Zheng who should win in 2 sets.
Qinwen Zheng -> 1.36
Jasmine Paolini -> 3.15
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Prediction and head to head Qinwen Zheng vs. Jasmine Paolini
This will be the 2nd time that Qinwen Zheng and Jasmine Paolini play each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Zheng (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on hard.
The last time that they squared off, Zheng won 6-4 1-6 6-1 in the final in Palermo back in July 2023.
Highlights Qinwen Zheng vs Jasmine Paolini – Palermo 23-July-2023
Qinwen Zheng
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 20-12 | 8-6 | 10-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 52-18 | 31-10 | 17-4 | 3-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 37-19 | 23-11 | 11-4 | 3-1 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 39-19 | 27-12 | 10-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 34-11 | 7-1 | 16-6 | 11-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 24, Zheng reached the semifinal after beating Kateryna Volodko 6-4 6-3, Maria Sakkari 7-62 6-3 and Anhelina Kalinina 6-3 6-2.
In the quarter, Zheng had a good straight sets win against Kalinina (6-3 6-2). During the match, Zheng scored 70 points vs Kalinina’s 50. Qinwen was extremely aggressive to blast 26 winners.
Talking about the service games, Zheng fired 8 aces and she committed only 4 double faults. Qinwen Zheng lost the serve once and she saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Zheng put 60% of her first serves in, winning 87% (26/30) of the points behind her 1st serve and 45% (9/20) on the 2nd serve. Zheng broke Kalinina 4 times after converting 33% of her break points (4/12).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Qinwen hasn’t dropped yet a set in this tournament to win 56% of the points she played.
Zheng has a solid record in the last 7 years having won 69% of her matches (171-76). 21-11 on hard in 2023. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this event, Zheng has an overall84-43 win-loss record in the last 7 years on hard.
Her best result of the season was winning the title in Palermo where she beat Jasmine Paolini in the final 6-4 1-6 6-1.
The Chinese has an overall 32-18 win-loss record in 2023, 21-11 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Zhengzhou
Zheng has never competed in this tournament before.
Jasmine Paolini
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 46-21 | 27-12 | 13-3 | 3-3 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 42-21 | 19-10 | 12-5 | 3-4 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 43-30 | 20-16 | 16-8 | 5-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 30-25 | 14-11 | 10-10 | 6-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 34-24 | 17-13 | 12-7 | 5-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 31 (career-high), the Italian reached the semifinal after beating Moyuka Uchijima 6-2 6-3, Caroline Garcia 3-6 6-4 7-5 and Laura Siegemund 6-0 7-5.
In the quarter, The Italian had a good straight sets win against Siegemund (6-0 7-5). During the match Paolini scored 71 points vs Siegemund’s 51. The Italian was very aggressive to blast 28 winners.
About the serving games, Paolini managed to score 2 aces and she was quite consistent in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Jasmine Paolini lost the serve once and she saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Paolini put 68% of her first serves in, winning 74% (28/38) of the points behind her 1st serve and 50% (9/18) on the 2nd serve. Paolini broke Siegemund 5 times after converting 33% of her break points (5/15).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Paolini has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points she played.
Her best result of the current year was winning the title the Florence where she overcame Taylor Townsend in the final 6-3 7-5.
The Italian has an overall 36-27 win-loss record in 2023, 16-14 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Zheng | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 6 | 7 |
| Tot Games | 58 | 66 |
| Pts | 216-167 | 241-199 |
| Total Points | 383 | 440 |
| Winners | 85 | 97 |
| %Winners | 39% | 40% |
Both Zheng and Paolini played 3 matches. At the moment, Jasmine Paolini surrendered 1 set while Qinwen Zheng hasn’t dropped a set so far. Zheng has played 1 set(s) less than Paolini (6 vs 7). Therefore, Zheng played 8 games less than Paolini. Zheng scored 85 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, The Italian managed to score 97 winners (40%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Zheng | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 32 | 5 |
| Avg per match | 10.7 | 1.7 |
| 1st in | 101/174 | 138/205 |
| %1st in | 58% | 67% |
| 1st pts | 85/101 | 97/138 |
| %1st pts | 84% | 70% |
| 2nd pts | 34/73 | 37/67 |
| %2nd pts | 47% | 55% |
Zheng recorded 32 aces (10.7 per match). Paolini recorded 5 aces (1.7 per match). Zheng won 84% points behind her first serve. She pretty solid on her second serve to win 47% of the points. On the other side, Paolini won 70% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 55% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Zheng | Paolini |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 11 | 12 |
| Converted | 11/30 | 12/34 |
| % Converted | 37% | 35% |
| Conceded | 13 | 17 |
| Saved | 9 | 12 |
| % Saved | 69% | 71% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 5 |
Qinwen broke her opponents 11 times with a 37% conversion rate. Zheng conceded her serve 4 times and she saved 69% of the break points that she conceded. Jasmine broke her opponents 12 times with a 35% conversion rate. The Italian conceded her serve 5 times and she saved 71% of the break points that she conceded.
| Zheng | |||||
| R1 Bondarenko | R2 Sakkari | 1/4 Kalinina | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-3 | 7-62 6-3 | 6-3 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 22 | 17 | 58 | |
| pts | 69-52 | 77-65 | 70-50 | 216-167 | |
| Total points | 121 | 142 | 120 | 383 | |
| Winners | 20 | 39 | 26 | 85 | |
| %Winners | 29% | 51% | 37% | 39% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 11 | 13 | 8 | 32 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 5 | 4 | 12 | |
| 1st in | 21/45 | 50/79 | 30/50 | 101/174 | |
| % 1st in | 47% | 63% | 60% | 58% | |
| 1st pts | 20/21 | 39/50 | 26/30 | 85/101 | |
| % 1st pts | 95% | 78% | 87% | 84% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/24 | 14/29 | 9/20 | 34/73 | |
| % 2nd pts | 46% | 48% | 45% | 47% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 5 | 2 | 4 | 11 | |
| Converted | 5/12 | 2/6 | 4/12 | 11/30 | |
| Converted % | 42% | 33% | 33% | 37% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 6 | 4 | 13 | |
| Saved | 1/3 | 5/6 | 3/4 | 9 | |
| Saved % | 33% | 83% | 75% | 64% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | |
| Paolini | |||||
| R1 Uchijima | R2 Garcia | 1/4 Siegemund | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-3 | 3-6 6-4 7-5 | 6-0 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 31 | 18 | 66 | |
| pts | 71-51 | 99-97 | 71-51 | 241-199 | |
| Total points | 122 | 196 | 122 | 440 | |
| Winners | 25 | 44 | 28 | 97 | |
| %Winners | 35% | 44% | 39% | 40% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 35/57 | 65/92 | 38/56 | 138/205 | |
| % 1st in | 61% | 71% | 68% | 67% | |
| 1st pts | 25/35 | 44/65 | 28/38 | 97/138 | |
| % 1st pts | 71% | 68% | 74% | 70% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/22 | 15/27 | 9/18 | 37/67 | |
| % 2nd pts | 59% | 56% | 50% | 55% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 4 | 3 | 5 | 12 | |
| Converted | 4/7 | 3/12 | 5/15 | 12/34 | |
| Converted % | 57% | 25% | 33% | 35% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 10 | 4 | 17 | |
| Saved | 2/3 | 7/10 | 3/4 | 12 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 70% | 75% | 71% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5 | |
Tennis Scores in Zhengzhou
- Jasmine PaoliniPaolini – Laura SiegemundSiegemund (6-0 7-5) – See score progression
- Qinwen ZhengZheng – Anhelina KalininaKalinina (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Barbora KrejcikovaKrejcikova – Lesya TsurenkoTsurenko (6-3 ret.) – See score progression
- Daria KasatkinaKasatkina – Ons JabeurJabeur (w/o) – See score progression
- Shuko Aoyama/Ena ShibaharaAoyama/Ena Shibahara – Maria Camila Osorio Serrano/Diana ShnaiderCamila Osorio Serrano/Diana Shnaider (3-6 6-2 10-7) – See score progression
- Veronika Kudermetova/Liudmila SamsonovaKudermetova/Liudmila Samsonova – Timea Babos/Lyudmyla KichenokBabos/Lyudmyla Kichenok (6-75 6-3 11-9) – See score progression
- Barbora KrejcikovaKrejcikova – Lesya TsurenkoTsurenko (6-3 ret.) – See score progression
- Qinwen ZhengZheng – Anhelina KalininaKalinina (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Jasmine PaoliniPaolini – Laura SiegemundSiegemund (6-0 7-5) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Barbora KrejcikovaKrejcikova – Darya KasatkinaKasatkina (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Qinwen ZhengZheng – Jasmine PaoliniPaolini (1-0) – H2H and prediction