Qinwen Zheng and Jasmine Paolini will clash against each other in the semifinal of the Zhengzhou Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 6:30 pm on Center Court. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Qinwen Zheng who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Qinwen Zheng is the pick to win this match.
Qinwen Zheng -> 1.36
Jasmine Paolini -> 3.15

Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).

To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.

Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).

At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.

 

Prediction and head to head Qinwen Zheng vs. Jasmine Paolini

This will be the 2nd time that Qinwen Zheng and Jasmine Paolini play each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Zheng (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on hard.

The last time that they squared off, Zheng won 6-4 1-6 6-1 in the final in Palermo back in July 2023.

Highlights Qinwen Zheng vs Jasmine Paolini – Palermo 23-July-2023

Qinwen Zheng

Qinwen Zheng

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
24
High
4
LWLLWWLWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 20-12 8-6 10-4 0-0 2-2 0-0
2024 52-18 31-10 17-4 3-2 1-2 0-0
2023 37-19 23-11 11-4 3-1 0-3 0-0
2022 39-19 27-12 10-4 0-0 2-3 0-0
2021 34-11 7-1 16-6 11-4 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 24, Zheng reached the semifinal after beating Kateryna Volodko 6-4 6-3, Maria Sakkari 7-62 6-3 and Anhelina Kalinina 6-3 6-2.

In the quarter, Zheng had a good straight sets win against Kalinina (6-3 6-2). During the match, Zheng scored 70 points vs Kalinina’s 50. Qinwen was extremely aggressive to blast 26 winners.

Talking about the service games, Zheng fired 8 aces and she committed only 4 double faults. Qinwen Zheng lost the serve once and she saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Zheng put 60% of her first serves in, winning 87% (26/30) of the points behind her 1st serve and 45% (9/20) on the 2nd serve. Zheng broke Kalinina 4 times after converting 33% of her break points (4/12).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Qinwen hasn’t dropped yet a set in this tournament to win 56% of the points she played.

Zheng has a solid record in the last 7 years having won 69% of her matches (171-76). 21-11 on hard in 2023. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this event, Zheng has an overall84-43 win-loss record in the last 7 years on hard.

Her best result of the season was winning the title in Palermo where she beat Jasmine Paolini in the final 6-4 1-6 6-1.

The Chinese has an overall 32-18 win-loss record in 2023, 21-11 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Zhengzhou

Zheng has never competed in this tournament before.

Zhengzhou
Zheng's Record

Jasmine Paolini

Jasmine Paolini

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
8
High
4
LLLLWWLWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 46-21 27-12 13-3 3-3 3-3 0-0
2024 42-21 19-10 12-5 3-4 8-2 0-0
2023 43-30 20-16 16-8 5-3 2-3 0-0
2022 30-25 14-11 10-10 6-3 0-1 0-0
2021 34-24 17-13 12-7 5-3 0-1 0-0

Ranked no. 31 (career-high), the Italian reached the semifinal after beating Moyuka Uchijima 6-2 6-3, Caroline Garcia 3-6 6-4 7-5 and Laura Siegemund 6-0 7-5.

In the quarter, The Italian had a good straight sets win against Siegemund (6-0 7-5). During the match Paolini scored 71 points vs Siegemund’s 51. The Italian was very aggressive to blast 28 winners.

About the serving games, Paolini managed to score 2 aces and she was quite consistent in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Jasmine Paolini lost the serve once and she saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Paolini put 68% of her first serves in, winning 74% (28/38) of the points behind her 1st serve and 50% (9/18) on the 2nd serve. Paolini broke Siegemund 5 times after converting 33% of her break points (5/15).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Paolini has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points she played.

Her best result of the current year was winning the title the Florence where she overcame Taylor Townsend in the final 6-3 7-5.

The Italian has an overall 36-27 win-loss record in 2023, 16-14 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Zhengzhou
Paolini's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Q.Zheng
J.Paolini
4h:39
4h:39
Time on court​
5h:24
5h:24
1h:26
1h:26
Last match​
1h:44
1h:44
3
3
Match played
3
3
58
58
Games Played​
66
66
6
6
Set played​​
7
7
216
216
Total points​
241
241
72
72
Avg point​
80.3
80.3
85
85
Winners
97
97
28.3
28.3
Avg Winners​
32.3
32.3
39%
39%
Ratio winners
40%
40%
-- Serve --
32
32
Aces
5
5
!
10.7
10.7
Avg Aces
1.7
1.7
12
12
Double Faults
4
4
4
4
Avg Double Faults
1.3
1.3
85/101
85/101
1st won total​
97/138
97/138
!
84%
84%
1st won %
70%
70%
34/73
34/73
2nd won total​
37/67
37/67
47%
47%
2nd won %
55%
55%
-- Break Points --
11/30
11/30
BP won
12/34
12/34
3.7/10
3.7/10
Avg BP won
4/11.3
4/11.3
37%
37%
Won
35%
35%
13
13
Conceded
17
17
4.3
4.3
Avg Conceded
5.7
5.7
4
4
Broken
5
5
1.3
1.3
Avg Broken
1.7
1.7
9
9
Saved
12
12

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Zheng Paolini
Match played 3 3
Tot Set 6 7
Tot Games 58 66
Pts 216-167 241-199
Total Points 383 440
Winners 85 97
%Winners 39% 40%

Both Zheng and Paolini played 3 matches. At the moment, Jasmine Paolini surrendered 1 set while Qinwen Zheng hasn’t dropped a set so far. Zheng has played 1 set(s) less than Paolini (6 vs 7). Therefore, Zheng played 8 games less than Paolini. Zheng scored 85 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, The Italian managed to score 97 winners (40%).

Serve Performance

Serve Zheng Paolini
Aces 32 5
Avg per match 10.7 1.7
1st in 101/174 138/205
%1st in 58% 67%
1st pts 85/101 97/138
%1st pts 84% 70%
2nd pts 34/73 37/67
%2nd pts 47% 55%

Zheng recorded 32 aces (10.7 per match). Paolini recorded 5 aces (1.7 per match). Zheng won 84% points behind her first serve. She pretty solid on her second serve to win 47% of the points. On the other side, Paolini won 70% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 55% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Zheng Paolini
Won 11 12
Converted 11/30 12/34
% Converted 37% 35%
Conceded 13 17
Saved 9 12
% Saved 69% 71%
Times Broken 4 5

Qinwen broke her opponents 11 times with a 37% conversion rate. Zheng conceded her serve 4 times and she saved 69% of the break points that she conceded. Jasmine broke her opponents 12 times with a 35% conversion rate. The Italian conceded her serve 5 times and she saved 71% of the break points that she conceded.

Zheng
R1
Bondarenko
R2
Sakkari
1/4
Kalinina
Total
Score 6-4 6-3 7-62 6-3 6-3 6-2
Tot Set 2 2 2 6
Tot Games 19 22 17 58
pts 69-52 77-65 70-50 216-167
Total points 121 142 120 383
Winners 20 39 26 85
%Winners 29% 51% 37% 39%
SERVE
Aces 11 13 8 32
Double Faults 3 5 4 12
1st in 21/45 50/79 30/50 101/174
% 1st in 47% 63% 60% 58%
1st pts 20/21 39/50 26/30 85/101
% 1st pts 95% 78% 87% 84%
2nd pts 11/24 14/29 9/20 34/73
% 2nd pts 46% 48% 45% 47%
Breaks
Won 5 2 4 11
Converted 5/12 2/6 4/12 11/30
Converted % 42% 33% 33% 37%
Conceded 3 6 4 13
Saved 1/3 5/6 3/4 9
Saved % 33% 83% 75% 64%
Times Broken 2 1 1 4
Paolini
R1
Uchijima
R2
Garcia
1/4
Siegemund
Total
Score 6-2 6-3 3-6 6-4 7-5 6-0 7-5
Tot Set 2 3 2 7
Tot Games 17 31 18 66
pts 71-51 99-97 71-51 241-199
Total points 122 196 122 440
Winners 25 44 28 97
%Winners 35% 44% 39% 40%
SERVE
Aces 1 2 2 5
Double Faults 3 1 0 4
1st in 35/57 65/92 38/56 138/205
% 1st in 61% 71% 68% 67%
1st pts 25/35 44/65 28/38 97/138
% 1st pts 71% 68% 74% 70%
2nd pts 13/22 15/27 9/18 37/67
% 2nd pts 59% 56% 50% 55%
Breaks
Won 4 3 5 12
Converted 4/7 3/12 5/15 12/34
Converted % 57% 25% 33% 35%
Conceded 3 10 4 17
Saved 2/3 7/10 3/4 12
Saved % 67% 70% 75% 71%
Times Broken 1 3 1 5

Tennis Scores in Zhengzhou

  • Jasmine PaoliniPaoliniLaura SiegemundSiegemund (6-0 7-5) – See score progression
  • Qinwen ZhengZhengAnhelina KalininaKalinina (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
  • Barbora KrejcikovaKrejcikovaLesya TsurenkoTsurenko (6-3 ret.) – See score progression
  • Daria KasatkinaKasatkinaOns JabeurJabeur (w/o) – See score progression
  • Shuko Aoyama/Ena ShibaharaAoyama/Ena ShibaharaMaria Camila Osorio Serrano/Diana ShnaiderCamila Osorio Serrano/Diana Shnaider (3-6 6-2 10-7) – See score progression
  • Veronika Kudermetova/Liudmila SamsonovaKudermetova/Liudmila SamsonovaTimea Babos/Lyudmyla KichenokBabos/Lyudmyla Kichenok (6-75 6-3 11-9) – See score progression
  • Barbora KrejcikovaKrejcikovaLesya TsurenkoTsurenko (6-3 ret.) – See score progression
  • Qinwen ZhengZhengAnhelina KalininaKalinina (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
  • Jasmine PaoliniPaoliniLaura SiegemundSiegemund (6-0 7-5) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw