Mattia Bellucci and Andrea Vavassori will fight against each other in the quarter of the Malaga Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 4:00 pm on CENTER COURT. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Mattia Bellucci who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Mattia Bellucci is the pick to win this match.
Mattia Bellucci -> 1.72
Andrea Vavassori -> 2.06
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Prediction and head to head Mattia Bellucci vs. Andrea Vavassori
This will be the 2nd time that Mattia Bellucci and Andrea Vavassori clash against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Vavassori (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on hard.
The last time that they locked horns, Vavassori won 2-6 7-6(5) 4-1 ret. in the quarter in the Cordenons Challenger back in 2022.
Mattia Bellucci
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 51-32 | 31-17 | 5-2 | 9-9 | 6-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 33-34 | 22-19 | 2-9 | 4-3 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 66-23 | 30-4 | 25-12 | 11-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 39-18 | 29-10 | 5-3 | 5-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 15-6 | 13-3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-1 |
Ranked no. 144, the Italian reached the quarter after beating Roberto Carballes Baena 4-6 6-3 6-2 and Pablo Carreno-Busta 6-3 7-60.
In the 2nd round, Mattia had a good straight sets win against Carreno-Busta (6-3 7-60). During the match, Bellucci scored 75 points vs Carreno-Busta’s 58. The Italian was exceptionally aggressive to blast 34 winners.
Regarding the service games, Bellucci struck 4 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Mattia Bellucci was extremely effective on serve to win 76% (34/45) of his 1st serve and 72% (18/25) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Mattia broke Carreno-Busta once after converting 50% of his break points (1/2).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Mattia has dropped 1 set in this event to conquer 55% of the points he played.
Bellucci has a solid win-loss record in the last 6 years having won 65% of his matches (180-98). 18-17 on hard in 2023. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Bellucci has an overall98-42 win-loss record in the last 6 years on hard.
His best result of the current year was winning the title the Cassis Challenger where he overcame Tomas Machac in the final 6-3 6-4.
Bellucci has a compiled 29-31 win-loss record in 2023, 18-17 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Malaga Challenger
The Italian has never competed in this tournament before.
Andrea Vavassori
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 19-15 | 11-6 | 8-8 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 34-26 | 3-3 | 28-15 | 2-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 33-23 | 2-3 | 20-13 | 8-4 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 19-14 | 4-3 | 11-5 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| 2020 | 9-8 | 5-3 | 3-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 145, Vavassori reached the quarter after beating Pablo Llamas Ruiz 7-64 6-1 and Pedro Martinez Portero 7-67 6-72 6-2.
In the 2nd round, The Italian defeated Martinez Portero (7-67 6-72 6-2). During the match Vavassori scored 115 points vs Martinez Portero’s 108. Vavassori was very aggressive to blast 47 winners.
About the serving games, Vavassori struck 15 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Overall, Andrea Vavassori was pretty effective on serve to win 76% (47/62) of his 1st serve and 53% (28/53) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Vavassori broke Martinez Portero 3 times after converting 43% of his break points (3/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Vavassori has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.
Andrea’s best result of the current season was getting to the semifinal in the Vina del Mar Challenger and the Genova Challenger.
Vavassori has an aggregate 30-19 win-loss record in 2023, 3-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Bellucci | Vavassori |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 5 | 5 |
| Tot Games | 49 | 54 |
| Pts | 175-143 | 188-161 |
| Total Points | 318 | 349 |
| Winners | 78 | 76 |
| %Winners | 45% | 40% |
Both Bellucci and Vavassori played 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Mattia Bellucci surrendered 1 set, while Andrea Vavassori dropped 1 set. Talking about their workload, Bellucci and Vavassori have played the same amount of sets 5. However, Bellucci played 5 games less than Vavassori. Mattia scored 78 winners (45% of the total points). On the other side, The Italian blasted 76 winners (40%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Bellucci | Vavassori |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 9 | 22 |
| Avg per match | 4.5 | 11 |
| 1st in | 96/161 | 100/178 |
| %1st in | 60% | 56% |
| 1st pts | 78/96 | 76/100 |
| %1st pts | 81% | 76% |
| 2nd pts | 34/65 | 47/78 |
| %2nd pts | 52% | 60% |
Bellucci scored 9 aces (4.5 per match). Vavassori fired 22 aces (11 per match). Bellucci won 81% points on his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 52% of the points. On the other side, Vavassori won 76% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 60% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Bellucci | Vavassori |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 5 | 5 |
| Converted | 5/14 | 5/11 |
| % Converted | 36% | 45% |
| Conceded | 15 | 5 |
| Saved | 13 | 4 |
| % Saved | 87% | 80% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 1 |
Bellucci broke his opponents 5 times with a 36% conversion rate. The Italian surrendered his serve twice and he saved 87% of the break points that he conceded. Andrea broke his opponents 5 times with a 45% conversion rate. Vavassori conceded his serve once and he saved 80% of the break points that he conceded.
| Bellucci | ||||
| R1 Carballes Baena |
R2 Carreno-Busta |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 4-6 6-3 6-2 | 6-3 7-60 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 27 | 22 | 49 | |
| pts | 100-85 | 75-58 | 175-143 | |
| Total points | 185 | 133 | 318 | |
| Winners | 44 | 34 | 78 | |
| %Winners | 44% | 45% | 45% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 5 | 4 | 9 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 51/91 | 45/70 | 96/161 | |
| % 1st in | 56% | 64% | 60% | |
| 1st pts | 44/51 | 34/45 | 78/96 | |
| % 1st pts | 86% | 76% | 81% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/40 | 18/25 | 34/65 | |
| % 2nd pts | 40% | 72% | 52% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 1 | 5 | |
| Converted | 4/12 | 1/2 | 5/14 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 50% | 36% | |
| Conceded | 14 | 1 | 15 | |
| Saved | 12/14 | 1/1 | 13 | |
| Saved % | 86% | 100% | 93% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 0 | 2 | |
| Vavassori | ||||
| R1 Llamas |
R2 Martinez Portero |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-64 6-1 | 7-67 6-72 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 34 | 54 | |
| pts | 73-53 | 115-108 | 188-161 | |
| Total points | 126 | 223 | 349 | |
| Winners | 29 | 47 | 76 | |
| %Winners | 40% | 41% | 40% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 7 | 15 | 22 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 4 | 8 | |
| 1st in | 38/63 | 62/115 | 100/178 | |
| % 1st in | 60% | 54% | 56% | |
| 1st pts | 29/38 | 47/62 | 76/100 | |
| % 1st pts | 76% | 76% | 76% | |
| 2nd pts | 19/25 | 28/53 | 47/78 | |
| % 2nd pts | 76% | 53% | 60% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Converted | 2/4 | 3/7 | 5/11 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 43% | 45% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 5 | 5 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 4/5 | 4 | |
| Saved % | – | 80% | 40% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
Head 2 Head
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