Andrey Rublev and Ugo Humbert will fight against each other in the quarter of the Shanghai Rolex Masters for the 6th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 8:00 pm on STADIUM COURT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Andrey Rublev who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Andrey Rublev is the pick to win this match.
Andrey Rublev -> 1.45
Ugo Humbert -> 2.76
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Prediction and head to head Andrey Rublev vs. Ugo Humbert
This will be the 6th time that Andrey Rublev and Ugo Humbert face off. The head to head is 3-2 for Rublev (see full H2H stats),but they are 1-1 on hard.
The last time that they fought against each other, Humbert won 5-7 6-3 7-6(3) in the 2nd round in Beijing back in September 2023.
Highlights Ugo Humbert vs Andrey Rublev – Beijing 30-September-2023
Andrey Rublev
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 34-25 | 16-13 | 8-6 | 6-4 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 43-26 | 26-11 | 11-6 | 6-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 56-26 | 23-12 | 19-5 | 6-7 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 51-20 | 19-7 | 14-6 | 18-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 53-23 | 25-10 | 9-5 | 12-6 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 7, the Russian reached the quarter after beating Quentin Halys 6-4 7-5, Adrian Mannarino 6-3 6-0 and Tommy Paul 7-5 7-5.
In the 4th round, Andrey had a good straight sets win against Paul (7-5 7-5). During the match, Rublev scored 76 points vs Paul’s 59. Rublev was very aggressive to blast 29 winners.
Talking about the service games, Rublev fired 4 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Overall, Andrey Rublev was very effective on serve to win 81% (29/36) of his 1st serve and 73% (16/22) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Andrey broke Paul 3 times after converting 50% of his break points (3/6).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Andrey hasn’t dropped yet a set in this tournament to conquer 58% of the points he played.
Rublev has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 65% of his matches (410-225). 21-11 on hard in 2023. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Rublev has a composed 158-84 win-loss record in the last years on hard.
His best result of the season was winning the title in Carlo where he beat Holger Rune in the final 5-7 6-2 7-5 and in Bastad where he overcame Casper Ruud in the final 7-6(3) 6-0.
Andrey has an aggregate 48-20 win-loss record in 2023, 21-11 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Shanghai
Ugo Humbert
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 25-20 | 8-9 | 2-5 | 11-2 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 39-24 | 18-9 | 5-7 | 11-4 | 5-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 49-26 | 17-11 | 13-5 | 16-6 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 33-29 | 16-11 | 3-7 | 11-6 | 3-5 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 19-20 | 6-7 | 1-6 | 4-5 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 34, the French player reached the quarter after beating Botic Van De Zandschulp 6-4 1-6 6-2, Stefanos Tsitsipas 6-4 3-6 7-5 and Jeff Wolf 6-1 6-2.
In the 4th round, Humbert had a good straight sets win against Wolf (6-1 6-2). During the match Humbert scored 56 points vs Wolf’s 20. Humbert was extremely aggressive to blast 24 winners.
About the serving games, Humbert fired 6 aces and he was very consistent in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Ugo Humbert was quite efficient on serve to win 92% (24/26) of his 1st serve and 89% (8/9) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The French player broke Wolf 4 times after converting 67% of his break points (4/6).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Humbert has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.
His best result of the current year was winning the title the Cagliari Challenger where he overcame Laslo Djere in the final 4-6 7-5 6-4 and the Bordeaux Challenger where he overcame Tomas Martin Etcheverry in the final 7-6(3) 6-4.
Ugo has an overall 41-23 win-loss record in 2023, 17-10 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Rublev | Humbert |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 6 | 8 |
| Tot Games | 61 | 71 |
| Pts | 201-145 | 209-176 |
| Total Points | 346 | 385 |
| Winners | 91 | 96 |
| %Winners | 45% | 46% |
Both Rublev and Humbert played 3 matches. At the moment, Ugo Humbert surrendered 2 sets while Andrey Rublev hasn’t dropped a set so far. Rublev has played 2 set(s) less than Humbert (6 vs 8). Therefore, Rublev played 10 games less than Humbert. The Russian scored 91 winners (45% of the total points). On the other side, The French player managed to score 96 winners (46%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Rublev | Humbert |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 24 | 15 |
| Avg per match | 8 | 5 |
| 1st in | 108/164 | 125/195 |
| %1st in | 66% | 64% |
| 1st pts | 91/108 | 96/125 |
| %1st pts | 84% | 77% |
| 2nd pts | 34/56 | 37/70 |
| %2nd pts | 61% | 53% |
Rublev recorded 24 aces (8 per match). Humbert recorded 15 aces (5 per match). Rublev won 84% points on his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 61% of the points. On the other side, Humbert won 77% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 53% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Rublev | Humbert |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 9 | 12 |
| Converted | 9/15 | 12/20 |
| % Converted | 60% | 60% |
| Conceded | 3 | 17 |
| Saved | 2 | 10 |
| % Saved | 67% | 59% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 7 |
The Russian broke his opponents 9 times with a 60% conversion rate. Rublev surrendered his serve once and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded. Ugo broke his opponents 12 times with a 60% conversion rate. The French player conceded his serve 7 times and he saved 59% of the break points that he conceded.
| Rublev | |||||
| R2 Halys |
R3 Mannarino |
R4 Paul |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 7-5 | 6-3 6-0 | 7-5 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 15 | 24 | 61 | |
| pts | 68-52 | 57-34 | 76-59 | 201-145 | |
| Total points | 120 | 91 | 135 | 346 | |
| Winners | 35 | 27 | 29 | 91 | |
| %Winners | 51% | 47% | 38% | 45% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 14 | 6 | 4 | 24 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 38/55 | 34/51 | 36/58 | 108/164 | |
| % 1st in | 69% | 67% | 62% | 66% | |
| 1st pts | 35/38 | 27/34 | 29/36 | 91/108 | |
| % 1st pts | 92% | 79% | 81% | 84% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/17 | 9/17 | 16/22 | 34/56 | |
| % 2nd pts | 53% | 53% | 73% | 61% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 2 | 4 | 3 | 9 | |
| Converted | 2/4 | 4/5 | 3/6 | 9/15 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 80% | 50% | 60% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 2/2 | 0/1 | 2 | |
| Saved % | – | 100% | 0% | 33% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Humbert | |||||
| R2 Van De Zandschulp |
R3 Tsitsipas |
R4 Wolf |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 1-6 6-2 | 6-4 3-6 7-5 | 6-1 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 25 | 31 | 15 | 71 | |
| pts | 70-71 | 83-85 | 56-20 | 209-176 | |
| Total points | 141 | 168 | 76 | 385 | |
| Winners | 26 | 46 | 24 | 96 | |
| %Winners | 37% | 55% | 43% | 46% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 1 | 8 | 6 | 15 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 44/75 | 55/85 | 26/35 | 125/195 | |
| % 1st in | 59% | 65% | 74% | 64% | |
| 1st pts | 26/44 | 46/55 | 24/26 | 96/125 | |
| % 1st pts | 59% | 84% | 92% | 77% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/31 | 14/30 | 8/9 | 37/70 | |
| % 2nd pts | 48% | 47% | 89% | 53% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 5 | 3 | 4 | 12 | |
| Converted | 5/8 | 3/6 | 4/6 | 12/20 | |
| Converted % | 63% | 50% | 67% | 60% | |
| Conceded | 9 | 8 | 0 | 17 | |
| Saved | 4/9 | 6/8 | 0/0 | 10 | |
| Saved % | 44% | 75% | – | 40% | |
| Times Broken | 5 | 2 | 0 | 7 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWLLLLLWW
LWWWLWWWLW Tennis Scores in Shanghai
- Sadio Doumbia/Fabien ReboulDoumbia/Fabien Reboul – Wesley Koolhof/Neal SkupskiKoolhof/Neal Skupski (7-65 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Hubert HurkaczHurkacz – Fabian MarozsanMarozsan (4-6 6-1 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Rinky Hijikata/Cameron NorrieHijikata/Cameron Norrie – Maximo Gonzalez/Andres MolteniGonzalez/Andres Molteni (6-4 3-6 10-8) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Nicolas JarryJarry (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Ugo HumbertHumbert – Andrey RublevRublev (2-3) – H2H and prediction
