Grigor Dimitrov and Nicolas Jarry will clash against each other in the quarter of the Shanghai Rolex Masters for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 4:30 pm on STADIUM COURT. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Grigor Dimitrov who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Grigor Dimitrov is the pick to win this match.
Grigor Dimitrov -> 1.44
Nicolas Jarry -> 2.79

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Prediction and head to head Grigor Dimitrov vs. Nicolas Jarry

This will be the 3rd time that Grigor Dimitrov and Nicolas Jarry fight against each other. The head to head is 2-0 for Jarry (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on hard.

The last time that they played, Jarry won 7-6(1) 6-1 in the final in Geneva back in May 2023.

Highlights Nicolas Jarry vs Grigor Dimitrov – Geneva 27-May-2023

Grigor Dimitrov

Grigor Dimitrov

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
44
High
3
WLWWWLLLWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 18-11 9-6 5-4 1-0 3-1 0-0
2024 46-18 21-7 8-4 13-5 4-2 0-0
2023 43-21 16-10 10-5 10-4 7-2 0-0
2022 26-22 10-11 10-5 5-4 1-2 0-0
2021 24-18 18-10 3-5 2-2 1-1 0-0

Ranked no. 19, the Bulgarian reached the quarter after defeating Aleksandar Vukic 6-4 6-3, Karen Khachanov 7-66 6-4 and Carlos Alcaraz 5-7 6-2 6-4.

In the 4th round against Alcaraz, Dimitrov recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (5-7 6-2 6-4). During the match, Dimitrov scored 84 points vs Alcaraz’s 80. Dimitrov was quite aggressive to blast 45 winners.

Regarding the service games, Dimitrov scored 10 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Overall, Grigor Dimitrov was pretty efficient on serve to win 73% (45/62) of his 1st serve and 54% (13/24) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. The Bulgarian broke Alcaraz 4 times after converting 80% of his break points (4/5).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Dimitrov has conceded 1 set in this event to conquer 53% of the points he played.

Dimitrov has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 63% of his matches (324-194). 15-9 on hard in 2023. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Dimitrov has an aggregate 162-96 match record in the last years on hard.

Grigor’s best result of the season was getting to the final in Geneva.

Dimitrov has an aggregate 36-18 win-loss record in 2023, 15-9 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Shanghai

Shanghai
Dimitrov's Record

Nicolas Jarry

Nicolas Jarry

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
123
High
16
LLLLLLWWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 16-22 2-6 5-12 0-0 9-4 0-0
2024 19-24 8-11 9-9 2-3 0-1 0-0
2023 43-21 14-7 21-8 4-3 4-3 0-0
2022 38-23 8-5 30-16 0-2 0-0 0-0
2021 45-22 13-4 32-17 0-1 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 22 (career-high), the Chilean got to the quarter after beating Terence Atmane 7-5 6-2, Lorenzo Sonego 7-64 6-2 and Diego Schwartzman 6-3 5-7 6-3.

In the 4th round, Jarry defeated Schwartzman (6-3 5-7 6-3). During the match Jarry scored 98 points vs Schwartzman’s 79. Jarry was extremely aggressive to blast 41 winners.

Talking about serving, Jarry made 15 aces and he was pretty steady in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Overall, Nicolas Jarry was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 79% (41/52) of his 1st serve and 69% (20/29) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Jarry broke Schwartzman 3 times after converting 43% of his break points (3/7).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Jarry has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 57% of the points he played.

His best result of the current year was winning the title in Santiago where he beat Tomas Martin Etcheverry in the final 6-7(5) 7-6(5) 6-2 and in Geneva where he overcame Grigor Dimitrov in the final 7-6(1) 6-1.

Nicolas has an aggregate 41-18 win-loss record in 2023, 14-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Shanghai
Jarry's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

G.Dimitrov
N.Jarry
5h:32
5h:32
Time on court​
5h:48
5h:48
!
2h:10
2h:10
Last match​
!
2h:24
2h:24
3
3
Match played
3
3
72
72
Games Played​
71
71
7
7
Set played​​
7
7
230
230
Total points​
231
231
76.7
76.7
Avg point​
77
77
115
115
Winners
102
102
38.3
38.3
Avg Winners​
34
34
50%
50%
Ratio winners
44%
44%
-- Serve --
25
25
Aces
24
24
8.3
8.3
Avg Aces
8
8
6
6
Double Faults
2
2
2
2
Avg Double Faults
0.7
0.7
115/144
115/144
1st won total​
102/120
102/120
!
80%
80%
1st won %
!
85%
85%
32/60
32/60
2nd won total​
46/69
46/69
53%
53%
2nd won %
!
67%
67%
-- Break Points --
8/19
8/19
BP won
8/18
8/18
2.7/6.3
2.7/6.3
Avg BP won
2.7/6
2.7/6
42%
42%
Won
44%
44%
7
7
Conceded
5
5
2.3
2.3
Avg Conceded
1.7
1.7
2
2
Broken
1
1
!
0.7
0.7
Avg Broken
!
0.3
0.3
5
5
Saved
4
4

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Dimitrov Jarry
Match played 3 3
Tot Set 7 7
Tot Games 72 71
Pts 230-204 231-176
Total Points 434 407
Winners 115 102
%Winners 50% 44%

Both Dimitrov and Jarry played 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Grigor Dimitrov conceded 1 set, while Nicolas Jarry lost 1 set. Talking about their workload, Dimitrov and Jarry have played the same amount of sets 7. However, Dimitrov played 1 game more than Jarry. Dimitrov scored 115 winners (50% of the total points). On the other side, Nicolas scored 102 winners (44%).

Serve Performance

Serve Dimitrov Jarry
Aces 25 24
Avg per match 8.3 8
1st in 144/204 120/189
%1st in 71% 63%
1st pts 115/144 102/120
%1st pts 80% 85%
2nd pts 32/60 46/69
%2nd pts 53% 67%

Dimitrov recorded 25 aces (8.3 per match). Jarry fired 24 aces (8 per match). Dimitrov won 80% points behind his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 53% of the points. On the other side, Jarry won 85% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 67% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Dimitrov Jarry
Won 8 8
Converted 8/19 8/18
% Converted 42% 44%
Conceded 7 5
Saved 5 4
% Saved 71% 80%
Times Broken 2 1

The Bulgarian broke his opponents 8 times with a 42% conversion rate. Dimitrov dropped his serve twice and he saved 71% of the break points that he conceded. The Chilean broke his opponents 8 times with a 44% conversion rate. The Chilean conceded his serve once and he saved 80% of the break points that he conceded.

Dimitrov
R2
Vukic
R3
Khachanov
R4
Alcaraz
Total
Score 6-4 6-3 7-66 6-4 5-7 6-2 6-4
Tot Set 2 2 3 7
Tot Games 19 23 30 72
pts 69-56 77-68 84-80 230-204
Total points 125 145 164 434
Winners 30 40 45 115
%Winners 43% 52% 54% 50%
SERVE
Aces 5 10 10 25
Double Faults 1 1 4 6
1st in 35/48 47/70 62/86 144/204
% 1st in 73% 67% 72% 71%
1st pts 30/35 40/47 45/62 115/144
% 1st pts 86% 85% 73% 80%
2nd pts 7/13 12/23 13/24 32/60
% 2nd pts 54% 52% 54% 53%
Breaks
Won 3 1 4 8
Converted 3/8 1/6 4/5 8/19
Converted % 38% 17% 80% 42%
Conceded 0 2 5 7
Saved 0/0 2/2 3/5 5
Saved % 100% 60% 53%
Times Broken 0 0 2 2
Jarry
R2
Atmane
R3
Sonego
R4
Schwartzman
Total
Score 7-5 6-2 7-64 6-2 6-3 5-7 6-3
Tot Set 2 2 3 7
Tot Games 20 21 30 71
pts 64-41 69-56 98-79 231-176
Total points 105 125 177 407
Winners 30 31 41 102
%Winners 47% 45% 42% 44%
SERVE
Aces 3 6 15 24
Double Faults 1 1 0 2
1st in 32/47 36/61 52/81 120/189
% 1st in 68% 59% 64% 63%
1st pts 30/32 31/36 41/52 102/120
% 1st pts 94% 86% 79% 85%
2nd pts 11/15 15/25 20/29 46/69
% 2nd pts 73% 60% 69% 67%
Breaks
Won 3 2 3 8
Converted 3/4 2/7 3/7 8/18
Converted % 75% 29% 43% 44%
Conceded 0 1 4 5
Saved 0/0 1/1 3/4 4
Saved % 100% 75% 58%
Times Broken 0 0 1 1

Tennis Scores in Shanghai

  • Hubert HurkaczHurkaczFabian MarozsanMarozsan (4-6 6-1 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
  • Sadio Doumbia/Fabien ReboulDoumbia/Fabien ReboulWesley Koolhof/Neal SkupskiKoolhof/Neal Skupski (7-65 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
  • Rinky Hijikata/Cameron NorrieHijikata/Cameron NorrieMaximo Gonzalez/Andres MolteniGonzalez/Andres Molteni (6-4 3-6 10-8) – Stats, scores, rankings

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