Grigor Dimitrov and Nicolas Jarry will clash against each other in the quarter of the Shanghai Rolex Masters for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 4:30 pm on STADIUM COURT. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Grigor Dimitrov who should win in 2 sets.
Grigor Dimitrov -> 1.44
Nicolas Jarry -> 2.79
Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Prediction and head to head Grigor Dimitrov vs. Nicolas Jarry
This will be the 3rd time that Grigor Dimitrov and Nicolas Jarry fight against each other. The head to head is 2-0 for Jarry (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on hard.
The last time that they played, Jarry won 7-6(1) 6-1 in the final in Geneva back in May 2023.
Highlights Nicolas Jarry vs Grigor Dimitrov – Geneva 27-May-2023
Grigor Dimitrov
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 18-11 | 9-6 | 5-4 | 1-0 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 46-18 | 21-7 | 8-4 | 13-5 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 43-21 | 16-10 | 10-5 | 10-4 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 26-22 | 10-11 | 10-5 | 5-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 24-18 | 18-10 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 19, the Bulgarian reached the quarter after defeating Aleksandar Vukic 6-4 6-3, Karen Khachanov 7-66 6-4 and Carlos Alcaraz 5-7 6-2 6-4.
In the 4th round against Alcaraz, Dimitrov recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (5-7 6-2 6-4). During the match, Dimitrov scored 84 points vs Alcaraz’s 80. Dimitrov was quite aggressive to blast 45 winners.
Regarding the service games, Dimitrov scored 10 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Overall, Grigor Dimitrov was pretty efficient on serve to win 73% (45/62) of his 1st serve and 54% (13/24) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. The Bulgarian broke Alcaraz 4 times after converting 80% of his break points (4/5).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Dimitrov has conceded 1 set in this event to conquer 53% of the points he played.
Dimitrov has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 63% of his matches (324-194). 15-9 on hard in 2023. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Dimitrov has an aggregate 162-96 match record in the last years on hard.
Grigor’s best result of the season was getting to the final in Geneva.
Dimitrov has an aggregate 36-18 win-loss record in 2023, 15-9 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Shanghai
Nicolas Jarry
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 16-22 | 2-6 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 9-4 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 19-24 | 8-11 | 9-9 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 43-21 | 14-7 | 21-8 | 4-3 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 38-23 | 8-5 | 30-16 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 45-22 | 13-4 | 32-17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 22 (career-high), the Chilean got to the quarter after beating Terence Atmane 7-5 6-2, Lorenzo Sonego 7-64 6-2 and Diego Schwartzman 6-3 5-7 6-3.
In the 4th round, Jarry defeated Schwartzman (6-3 5-7 6-3). During the match Jarry scored 98 points vs Schwartzman’s 79. Jarry was extremely aggressive to blast 41 winners.
Talking about serving, Jarry made 15 aces and he was pretty steady in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Overall, Nicolas Jarry was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 79% (41/52) of his 1st serve and 69% (20/29) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Jarry broke Schwartzman 3 times after converting 43% of his break points (3/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Jarry has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 57% of the points he played.
His best result of the current year was winning the title in Santiago where he beat Tomas Martin Etcheverry in the final 6-7(5) 7-6(5) 6-2 and in Geneva where he overcame Grigor Dimitrov in the final 7-6(1) 6-1.
Nicolas has an aggregate 41-18 win-loss record in 2023, 14-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Dimitrov | Jarry |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 7 | 7 |
| Tot Games | 72 | 71 |
| Pts | 230-204 | 231-176 |
| Total Points | 434 | 407 |
| Winners | 115 | 102 |
| %Winners | 50% | 44% |
Both Dimitrov and Jarry played 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Grigor Dimitrov conceded 1 set, while Nicolas Jarry lost 1 set. Talking about their workload, Dimitrov and Jarry have played the same amount of sets 7. However, Dimitrov played 1 game more than Jarry. Dimitrov scored 115 winners (50% of the total points). On the other side, Nicolas scored 102 winners (44%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Dimitrov | Jarry |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 25 | 24 |
| Avg per match | 8.3 | 8 |
| 1st in | 144/204 | 120/189 |
| %1st in | 71% | 63% |
| 1st pts | 115/144 | 102/120 |
| %1st pts | 80% | 85% |
| 2nd pts | 32/60 | 46/69 |
| %2nd pts | 53% | 67% |
Dimitrov recorded 25 aces (8.3 per match). Jarry fired 24 aces (8 per match). Dimitrov won 80% points behind his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 53% of the points. On the other side, Jarry won 85% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 67% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Dimitrov | Jarry |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 8 | 8 |
| Converted | 8/19 | 8/18 |
| % Converted | 42% | 44% |
| Conceded | 7 | 5 |
| Saved | 5 | 4 |
| % Saved | 71% | 80% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 1 |
The Bulgarian broke his opponents 8 times with a 42% conversion rate. Dimitrov dropped his serve twice and he saved 71% of the break points that he conceded. The Chilean broke his opponents 8 times with a 44% conversion rate. The Chilean conceded his serve once and he saved 80% of the break points that he conceded.
| Dimitrov | |||||
| R2 Vukic | R3 Khachanov | R4 Alcaraz | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-3 | 7-66 6-4 | 5-7 6-2 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 23 | 30 | 72 | |
| pts | 69-56 | 77-68 | 84-80 | 230-204 | |
| Total points | 125 | 145 | 164 | 434 | |
| Winners | 30 | 40 | 45 | 115 | |
| %Winners | 43% | 52% | 54% | 50% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 5 | 10 | 10 | 25 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 35/48 | 47/70 | 62/86 | 144/204 | |
| % 1st in | 73% | 67% | 72% | 71% | |
| 1st pts | 30/35 | 40/47 | 45/62 | 115/144 | |
| % 1st pts | 86% | 85% | 73% | 80% | |
| 2nd pts | 7/13 | 12/23 | 13/24 | 32/60 | |
| % 2nd pts | 54% | 52% | 54% | 53% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8 | |
| Converted | 3/8 | 1/6 | 4/5 | 8/19 | |
| Converted % | 38% | 17% | 80% | 42% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 2/2 | 3/5 | 5 | |
| Saved % | – | 100% | 60% | 53% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | |
| Jarry | |||||
| R2 Atmane | R3 Sonego | R4 Schwartzman | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 6-2 | 7-64 6-2 | 6-3 5-7 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 21 | 30 | 71 | |
| pts | 64-41 | 69-56 | 98-79 | 231-176 | |
| Total points | 105 | 125 | 177 | 407 | |
| Winners | 30 | 31 | 41 | 102 | |
| %Winners | 47% | 45% | 42% | 44% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 3 | 6 | 15 | 24 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 32/47 | 36/61 | 52/81 | 120/189 | |
| % 1st in | 68% | 59% | 64% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 30/32 | 31/36 | 41/52 | 102/120 | |
| % 1st pts | 94% | 86% | 79% | 85% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/15 | 15/25 | 20/29 | 46/69 | |
| % 2nd pts | 73% | 60% | 69% | 67% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8 | |
| Converted | 3/4 | 2/7 | 3/7 | 8/18 | |
| Converted % | 75% | 29% | 43% | 44% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 1/1 | 3/4 | 4 | |
| Saved % | – | 100% | 75% | 58% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
Tennis Scores in Shanghai
- Hubert HurkaczHurkacz – Fabian MarozsanMarozsan (4-6 6-1 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Sadio Doumbia/Fabien ReboulDoumbia/Fabien Reboul – Wesley Koolhof/Neal SkupskiKoolhof/Neal Skupski (7-65 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Rinky Hijikata/Cameron NorrieHijikata/Cameron Norrie – Maximo Gonzalez/Andres MolteniGonzalez/Andres Molteni (6-4 3-6 10-8) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Nicolas JarryJarry (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Ugo HumbertHumbert – Andrey RublevRublev (2-3) – H2H and prediction