Elise Mertens and Sofya Lansere will clash against each other in the 2nd round of the Hong Kong Tennis Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 5:00 pm on Court 1. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Elise Mertens who should win in 2 sets.
Elise Mertens -> 1.163
Sofya Lansere -> 5.2
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Prediction and head to head Elise Mertens vs. Sofya Lansere
There is no head to head record between Elise Mertens and Sofya Lansere since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.
Elise Mertens
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 27-25 | 17-15 | 6-5 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 30-22 | 24-16 | 5-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 29-23 | 19-14 | 4-3 | 2-2 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 33-20 | 20-10 | 9-5 | 2-2 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 34-13 | 17-7 | 9-4 | 8-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 41, Elise reached the 2nd round after defeating Daria Saville 6-1 6-4.
In the 1st round, The Belgian had a good straight sets win against Gavrilova (6-1 6-4). During the match, Mertens scored 58 points vs Gavrilova’s 34. Mertens was very aggressive to blast 23 winners.
Talking about the service games, Mertens fired 3 aces and she was pretty consistent in conceding no double faults. Overall, Elise Mertens was pretty efficient on serve to win 88% (23/26) of her 1st serve and 60% (12/20) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve once. Elise was clinical in her return game without wasting any break point and break Gavrilova 4 times.
Mertens has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 63% of her matches (381-228). 18-15 on hard in 2023. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this event, Mertens has a compiled 212-116 record in the last years on hard.
Mertens’s best result of the season was reaching the semifinal in Monterrey.
Elise has an overall 24-21 win-loss record in 2023, 18-15 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Hong Kong
The Belgian has never competed in this tournament before.
Sofya Lansere
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 8-20 | 6-9 | 2-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| 2023 | 48-30 | 14-7 | 9-13 | 25-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 18-20 | 14-13 | 2-3 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 5-19 | 1-7 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| 2020 | 13-6 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 12-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 271, the Russian reached the 2nd round after defeating Man Ying Maggie Ng 6-1 6-2, Ya-Yi Yang 6-3 4-6 6-4 and Hong Yi Cody Wong 6-4 6-0.
In the 1st round, Lansere had a good straight sets win against Yi Cody Wong (6-4 6-0). During the match Lansere scored 61 points vs Yi Cody Wong’s 37. Lansere was extremely aggressive to blast 15 winners.
Talking about serving, Lansere bagged 4 aces and she committed only 4 double faults. Sofya Lansere lost the serve twice and she saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Lansere put 56% of her first serves in, winning 63% (15/24) of the points behind her 1st serve and 68% (13/19) on the 2nd serve. The Russian broke Yi Cody Wong 6 times after converting 67% of her break points (6/9).
Her best result of the current season was winning the title the W25 Kyoto where she overcame Hiroko Kuwata in the final 6-0 6-1.
The Russian has an overall 42-26 win-loss record in 2023, 11-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Mertens | Lansere |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 7 |
| Tot Games | 17 | 60 |
| Pts | 58-34 | 226-157 |
| Total Points | 92 | 383 |
| Winners | 23 | 80 |
| %Winners | 40% | 35% |
Mertens played 1 match while Lansere competed in 3 matches. Lansere started her run from the qualifications while Mertens had a direct access to the main draw. At the moment, Sofya Lansere dropped 1 set while Elise Mertens hasn’t dropped a set so far. Mertens has played 5 set(s) less than Lansere (2 vs 7). Therefore, Mertens played 43 games less than Lansere. The Belgian scored 23 winners (40% of the total points). On the other side, The Russian bagged 80 winners (35%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Mertens | Lansere |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 3 | 11 |
| Avg per match | 3 | 3.7 |
| 1st in | 26/46 | 109/177 |
| %1st in | 57% | 62% |
| 1st pts | 23/26 | 80/109 |
| %1st pts | 88% | 73% |
| 2nd pts | 12/20 | 43/68 |
| %2nd pts | 60% | 63% |
Mertens scored 3 aces . Lansere recorded 11 aces (3.7 per match). Mertens won 88% points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 60% of the points. On the other side, Lansere won 73% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 63% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Mertens | Lansere |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 4 | 14 |
| Converted | 4/4 | 14/26 |
| % Converted | 100% | 54% |
| Conceded | 2 | 15 |
| Saved | 1 | 10 |
| % Saved | 50% | 67% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 5 |
Mertens broke her opponent 4 times with a 100% conversion rate. Elise dropped her serve once and she saved 50% of the break points that she conceded. Sofya broke her opponents 14 times with a 54% conversion rate. Lansere conceded her serve 5 times and she saved 67% of the break points that she conceded.
| Mertens | |||
| R1 Gavrilova | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 17 | |
| pts | 58-34 | 58-34 | |
| Total points | 92 | 92 | |
| Winners | 23 | 23 | |
| %Winners | 40% | 40% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 3 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | |
| 1st in | 26/46 | 26/46 | |
| % 1st in | 57% | 57% | |
| 1st pts | 23/26 | 23/26 | |
| % 1st pts | 88% | 88% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/20 | 12/20 | |
| % 2nd pts | 60% | 60% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/4 | 4/4 | |
| Converted % | 100% | 100% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 2 | |
| Saved | 1/2 | 1 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
| Lansere | |||||
| Q1 Ying Maggie Ng | Q3 Yang | R1 Yi Cody Wong | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-2 | 6-3 4-6 6-4 | 6-4 6-0 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 15 | 29 | 16 | 60 | |
| pts | 61-35 | 104-85 | 61-37 | 226-157 | |
| Total points | 96 | 189 | 98 | 383 | |
| Winners | 18 | 47 | 15 | 80 | |
| %Winners | 30% | 45% | 25% | 35% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 4 | 3 | 4 | 11 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 4 | 4 | 12 | |
| 1st in | 20/39 | 65/95 | 24/43 | 109/177 | |
| % 1st in | 51% | 68% | 56% | 62% | |
| 1st pts | 18/20 | 47/65 | 15/24 | 80/109 | |
| % 1st pts | 90% | 72% | 63% | 73% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/19 | 17/30 | 13/19 | 43/68 | |
| % 2nd pts | 68% | 57% | 68% | 63% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 4 | 4 | 6 | 14 | |
| Converted | 4/7 | 4/10 | 6/9 | 14/26 | |
| Converted % | 57% | 40% | 67% | 54% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 12 | 3 | 15 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 9/12 | 1/3 | 10 | |
| Saved % | – | 75% | 33% | 108% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
Tennis Scores in Hong Kong
- Katerina SiniakovaSiniakova – Kamilla RakhimovaRakhimova (6-73 6-3 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Anna BlinkovaBlinkova – Priscilla HonHon (6-1 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Leylah Annie FernandezAnnie Fernandez – (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Xin Yu WangYu Wang – Sara Sorribes TormoSorribes Tormo (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Martina TrevisanTrevisan – Magdalena FrechFrech (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Sofya LansereLansere – Elise MertensMertens (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Anastasia PavlyuchenkovaPavlyuchenkova – Beatriz Haddad MaiaHaddad Maia (0-0) – H2H and prediction