Daria Kasatkina and Zhuoxuan Bai will square off in the 2nd round of the Zhengzhou Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 6:30 pm on Center Court. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Daria Kasatkina who should win in 2 sets.
Daria Kasatkina -> 1.165
Zhuoxuan Bai -> 5.15
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Prediction and head to head Daria Kasatkina vs. Zhuoxuan Bai
There is no head to head record between Daria Kasatkina and Zhuoxuan Bai since this will be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.
Daria Kasatkina
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 19-22 | 12-13 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 40-23 | 24-16 | 8-4 | 0-1 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 39-25 | 19-15 | 12-6 | 2-1 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 41-22 | 24-14 | 12-5 | 1-1 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 38-19 | 19-10 | 5-5 | 7-1 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 12, the Russian got to the 2nd round after defeating Timea Babos 6-1 7-67.
In the 1st round, Kasatkina had a good straight sets win against Babos (6-1 7-67). During the match, Kasatkina scored 79 points vs Babos’s 61. Darya was pretty aggressive to blast 30 winners.
Talking about the service games, Kasatkina couldn’t to score even 1 ace throughout the match and she committed only 3 double faults. Daria Kasatkina lost the serve 4 times. Furthermore, Kasatkina put 81% of her first serves in, winning 63% (30/48) of the points behind her 1st serve and 36% (4/11) on the 2nd serve. Darya broke Babos 7 times after converting 44% of her break points (7/16).
Kasatkina has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 64% of her matches (338-190). 18-14 on hard in 2023. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this competition, Kasatkina has an aggregate 147-105 record in the last years on hard.
Kasatkina’s best result of the season was getting to the final in Adelaide and Eastbourne.
Kasatkina has a composed 36-23 win-loss record in 2023, 18-14 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Zhengzhou
Kasatkina has never competed in this tournament before.
Zhuoxuan Bai
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 10-19 | 3-5 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 53-22 | 39-13 | 3-4 | 5-2 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 35-8 | 35-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 26-3 | 26-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 117 (career-high), Bai got to the 2nd round after beating Tamara Korpatsch 1-6 7-63 6-1.
In the 1st round against Korpatsch, The Chinese recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (1-6 7-63 6-1). During the match Bai scored 91 points vs Korpatsch’s 90. The Chinese was quite aggressive to blast 37 winners.
Talking about serving, Bai scored just 1 ace during the entire match and she committed only 6 double faults. Zhuoxuan Bai lost the serve 3 times and she saved 8 break points. Furthermore, Bai put 63% of her first serves in, winning 67% (37/55) of the points behind her 1st serve and 41% (13/32) on the 2nd serve. Zhuoxuan broke Korpatsch 4 times after converting 36% of her break points (4/11).
Her best result of the current season was conquering the title the W25 Jakarta where she defeated Ankita Raina in the final 3-6 6-0 6-2 and the W25 Kachreti where she beat Valeria Savinykh in the final 6-4 7-5.
Zhuoxuan has a compiled 43-20 win-loss record in 2023, 29-11 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Kasatkina | Bai |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 |
| Tot Games | 20 | 27 |
| Pts | 79-61 | 91-90 |
| Total Points | 140 | 181 |
| Winners | 30 | 37 |
| %Winners | 38% | 41% |
Both Kasatkina and Bai played 1 match. At the moment, Zhuoxuan Bai dropped 1 set while Daria Kasatkina hasn’t conceded a set so far. Kasatkina has played 1 set(s) less than Bai (2 vs 3). Therefore, Kasatkina played 7 games less than Bai. The Russian scored 30 winners (38% of the total points). On the other side, Bai fired 37 winners (41%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Kasatkina | Bai |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 0 | 1 |
| Avg per match | 0 | 1 |
| 1st in | 48/59 | 55/87 |
| %1st in | 81% | 63% |
| 1st pts | 30/48 | 37/55 |
| %1st pts | 63% | 67% |
| 2nd pts | 4/11 | 13/32 |
| %2nd pts | 36% | 41% |
Kasatkina didn’t manage to fire a single ace to far. Bai managed to score 1 ace . Kasatkina won 63% points on her first serve. She very solid her second serve to win 36% of the points. On the other side, Bai won 67% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 41% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Kasatkina | Bai |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 7 | 4 |
| Converted | 7/16 | 4/11 |
| % Converted | 44% | 36% |
| Conceded | 4 | 11 |
| Saved | 0 | 8 |
| % Saved | 0% | 73% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 3 |
Kasatkina broke her opponent 7 times with a 44% conversion rate. Darya surrendered her serve 4 times and she saved 0% of the break points that she conceded. The Chinese broke her opponent 4 times with a 36% conversion rate. The Chinese conceded her serve 3 times and she saved 73% of the break points that she conceded.
| Kasatkina | |||
| R1 Babos | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 7-67 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 20 | |
| pts | 79-61 | 79-61 | |
| Total points | 140 | 140 | |
| Winners | 30 | 30 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 38% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 0 | 0 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 48/59 | 48/59 | |
| % 1st in | 81% | 81% | |
| 1st pts | 30/48 | 30/48 | |
| % 1st pts | 63% | 63% | |
| 2nd pts | 4/11 | 4/11 | |
| % 2nd pts | 36% | 36% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 7 | 7 | |
| Converted | 7/16 | 7/16 | |
| Converted % | 44% | 44% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 4 | |
| Saved | 0/4 | 0 | |
| Saved % | 0% | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 4 | |
| Bai | |||
| R1 Korpatsch | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 1-6 7-63 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 27 | 27 | |
| pts | 91-90 | 91-90 | |
| Total points | 181 | 181 | |
| Winners | 37 | 37 | |
| %Winners | 41% | 41% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 1 | 1 | |
| Double Faults | 6 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 55/87 | 55/87 | |
| % 1st in | 63% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 37/55 | 37/55 | |
| % 1st pts | 67% | 67% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/32 | 13/32 | |
| % 2nd pts | 41% | 41% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/11 | 4/11 | |
| Converted % | 36% | 36% | |
| Conceded | 11 | 11 | |
| Saved | 8/11 | 8 | |
| Saved % | 73% | 73% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 | |
Tennis Scores in Zhengzhou
- Lesya TsurenkoTsurenko – Donna VekicVekic (7-64 7-62) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Jasmine PaoliniPaolini – Caroline GarciaGarcia (3-6 6-4 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Anhelina KalininaKalinina – Vera ZvonarevaZvonareva (7-5 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Qinwen ZhengZheng – Maria SakkariSakkari (7-62 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Barbora KrejcikovaKrejcikova – Petra MarticMartic (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Ons JabeurJabeur – Lucia BronzettiBronzetti (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Ludmilla SamsonovaSamsonova – Laura SiegemundSiegemund (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Anhelina KalininaKalinina – Qinwen ZhengZheng (2-0) – H2H and prediction