H2H, prediction of Mattia Bellucci vs Pablo Carreno-Busta in Malaga Challenger with odds, preview, pick | 12th October 2023

PREVIEW. Malaga Challenger. Bellucci and Carreno-Busta will square off in the 2nd round of the Malaga Challenger. See the prediction, H2H stats, odds, and preview of their upcoming match on Thursday the 12th of October

Prediction and head to head Mattia Bellucci vs. Pablo Carreno-Busta

Mattia Bellucci and Pablo Carreno-Busta will face off in the 2nd round of the Malaga Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 12:30 pm on CENTER COURT. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Pablo Carreno-Busta who should win in 3 sets.

See updated oddsAs per the initial odds, Pablo Carreno-Busta is the pick to win this match.
Pablo Carreno-Busta -> 1.57
Mattia Bellucci -> 2.29

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Soccer Tonic Predictions

Prediction and head to head Mattia Bellucci vs. Pablo Carreno-Busta

There is no head to head record between Mattia Bellucci and Pablo Carreno-Busta since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.

Mattia Bellucci

Mattia Bellucci
Mattia Bellucci

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
103
High
100
LLLWWWLWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 51-33 31-18 5-2 9-9 6-4 0-0
2023 33-34 22-19 2-9 4-3 5-3 0-0
2022 66-23 30-4 25-12 11-7 0-0 0-0
2021 39-18 29-10 5-3 5-4 0-1 0-0
2020 15-6 13-3 0-1 0-1 0-0 2-1

Ranked no. 144, Mattia got to the 2nd round after beating Roberto Carballes Baena 4-6 6-3 6-2.

In the 1st round against Carballes Baena, The Italian recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-3 6-2). During the match, Bellucci scored 100 points vs Carballes Baena’s 85. Bellucci was extremely aggressive to blast 44 winners.

Talking about the service games, Bellucci scored 5 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Mattia Bellucci lost the serve twice and he saved 12 break points. Furthermore, Bellucci put 56% of his first serves in, winning 86% (44/51) of the points behind his 1st serve and 40% (16/40) on the 2nd serve. The Italian broke Carballes Baena 4 times after converting 33% of his break points (4/12).

Bellucci has a solid win-loss record in the last 6 years having won 65% of his matches (179-98). 17-17 on hard in 2023. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Bellucci has a compiled97-42 win-loss record in the last 6 years on hard.

His best result of the year was conquering the title the Cassis Challenger where he defeated Tomas Machac in the final 6-3 6-4.

Mattia has an overall 28-31 win-loss record in 2023, 17-17 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Malaga Challenger

The Italian has never competed in this tournament before.

Bellucci
Malaga Challenger
Bellucci's Record

Pablo Carreno-Busta

Pablo Carreno-Busta
Pablo Carreno-Busta

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
196
High
10
LWLLLWLLWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 10-12 7-6 2-4 1-1 0-1 0-0
2023 2-5 2-4 0-0 0-1 0-0 0-0
2022 37-25 19-8 11-9 5-5 2-3 0-0
2021 38-18 14-8 17-4 5-4 2-2 0-0
2020 20-12 9-5 4-2 7-5 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 195, Pablo got to the 2nd round after beating Arthur Cazaux 2-6 6-4 6-3.

In the 1st round against Cazaux, Carreno-Busta recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (2-6 6-4 6-3).During the match Carreno-Busta scored less points (4) than Cazaux. In fact, the world no. 144 won 87 points vs Cazaux’s. That means that Carreno-Busta was more focused during the important points. Pablo was extremely aggressive to blast 50 winners.

About the serving games, Carreno-Busta struck 2 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Pablo Carreno-Busta lost the serve 3 times and he saved 7 break points. Furthermore, Carreno-Busta put 70% of his first serves in, winning 68% (50/74) of the points behind his 1st serve and 32% (10/31) on the 2nd serve. Pablo broke Cazaux 4 times after converting 67% of his break points (4/6).

The Spaniard has an aggregate 2-4 win-loss record in 2023, 2-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Carreno-Busta
Malaga Challenger
Carreno-Busta's Record
Bonus
Soccer Tonic Predictions

H2H Performance in the tournament

M.Bellucci
P.Carreno-Busta
2h:38
2h:38
Time on court​
2h:35
2h:35
!
2h:38
2h:38
Last match​
!
2h:35
2h:35
1
1
Match played
1
1
27
27
Games Played​
27
27
3
3
Set played​​
3
3
100
100
Total points​
87
87
100
100
Avg point​
87
87
44
44
Winners
50
50
44
44
Avg Winners​
50
50
44%
44%
Ratio winners
57%
57%
-- Serve --
5
5
Aces
2
2
5
5
Avg Aces
2
2
3
3
Double Faults
5
5
3
3
Avg Double Faults
5
5
44/51
44/51
1st won total​
50/74
50/74
!
86%
86%
1st won %
68%
68%
16/40
16/40
2nd won total​
10/31
10/31
40%
40%
2nd won %
!
32%
32%
-- Break Points --
4/12
4/12
BP won
4/6
4/6
4/12
4/12
Avg BP won
4/6
4/6
33%
33%
Won
!
67%
67%
14
14
Conceded
10
10
14
14
Avg Conceded
10
10
2
2
Broken
3
3
2
2
Avg Broken
3
3
12
12
Saved
7
7

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Bellucci Carreno-Busta
Match played 1 1
Tot Set 3 3
Tot Games 27 27
Pts 100-85 87-91
Total Points 185 178
Winners 44 50
%Winners 44% 57%

Both Bellucci and Carreno-Busta played 1 match. Both players lost a set in the event. Mattia Bellucci dropped 1 set, while Pablo Carreno-Busta conceded 1 set. Talking about their workload, Bellucci and Carreno-Busta have played the same amount of sets 3. They also played the same amount of games (27). The Italian scored 44 winners (44% of the total points). On the other side, The Spaniard made 50 winners (57%).

Serve Performance

Serve Bellucci Carreno-Busta
Aces 5 2
Avg per match 5 2
1st in 51/91 74/105
%1st in 56% 70%
1st pts 44/51 50/74
%1st pts 86% 68%
2nd pts 16/40 10/31
%2nd pts 40% 32%

Bellucci made 5 aces . Carreno-Busta scored 2 aces . Bellucci won 86% points on his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 40% of the points. On the other side, Carreno-Busta won 68% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 32% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Bellucci Carreno-Busta
Won 4 4
Converted 4/12 4/6
% Converted 33% 67%
Conceded 14 10
Saved 12 7
% Saved 86% 70%
Times Broken 2 3

The Italian broke his opponent 4 times with a 33% conversion rate. Bellucci conceded his serve twice and he saved 86% of the break points that he conceded. Pablo broke his opponent 4 times with a 67% conversion rate. Carreno-Busta conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 70% of the break points that he conceded.

Bellucci
R1
Carballes Baena
Total
Score 4-6 6-3 6-2
Tot Set 3 3
Tot Games 27 27
pts 100-85 100-85
Total points 185 185
Winners 44 44
%Winners 44% 44%
SERVE
Aces 5 5
Double Faults 3 3
1st in 51/91 51/91
% 1st in 56% 56%
1st pts 44/51 44/51
% 1st pts 86% 86%
2nd pts 16/40 16/40
% 2nd pts 40% 40%
Breaks
Won 4 4
Converted 4/12 4/12
Converted % 33% 33%
Conceded 14 14
Saved 12/14 12
Saved % 86% 86%
Times Broken 2 2
Carreno-Busta
R1
Cazaux
Total
Score 2-6 6-4 6-3
Tot Set 3 3
Tot Games 27 27
pts 87-91 87-91
Total points 178 178
Winners 50 50
%Winners 57% 57%
SERVE
Aces 2 2
Double Faults 5 5
1st in 74/105 74/105
% 1st in 70% 70%
1st pts 50/74 50/74
% 1st pts 68% 68%
2nd pts 10/31 10/31
% 2nd pts 32% 32%
Breaks
Won 4 4
Converted 4/6 4/6
Converted % 67% 67%
Conceded 10 10
Saved 7/10 7
Saved % 70% 70%
Times Broken 3 3

Head 2 Head

Win Loss
Bellucci
LLLWWWLWWW
Carreno-Busta
LWLLLWLLWW
2024 2023 2022
51 - 33
9 - 12
31-18
Hard
7-6
9-9
I Hard
0-1
5-2
Clay
2-4
6-4
Grass
0-1

Tennis Scores in Malaga Challenger

See Updated Draw
Soccer Tonic Predictions
Bonus

Upcoming matches in the draw