Carlos Alcaraz and Grigor Dimitrov will square off in the 4th round of the Shanghai Rolex Masters for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Wednesday at 6:30 pm on STADIUM COURT. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Carlos Alcaraz who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Carlos Alcaraz is the pick to win this match.
Carlos Alcaraz -> 1.17
Grigor Dimitrov -> 5.05
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Prediction and head to head Carlos Alcaraz vs. Grigor Dimitrov
This will be the 4th time that Carlos Alcaraz and Grigor Dimitrov square off. The head to head is 3-0 for Alcaraz (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on hard.
The last time that they squared off, Alcaraz won 6-4 6-4 in the quarter in London back in June 2023.
Highlights Carlos Alcaraz vs Grigor Dimitrov – London 23-June-2023
Carlos Alcaraz
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 52-11 | 22-5 | 17-4 | 5-1 | 8-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 65-12 | 26-6 | 25-3 | 2-3 | 12-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 57-13 | 21-4 | 27-4 | 6-4 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 48-19 | 15-8 | 22-7 | 10-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 39-7 | 10-0 | 29-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 2, the Spaniard reached the 4th round after beating Gregoire Barrere 6-2 7-5 and Daniel Evans 7-61 6-4.
In the 3rd round, The Spaniard had a good straight sets win against Evans (7-61 6-4). During the match, Alcaraz scored 94 points vs Evans’s 78. Alcaraz was quite aggressive to blast 29 winners.
Talking about the service games, Alcaraz made 6 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Overall, Carlos Alcaraz was quite effective on serve to win 71% (29/41) of his 1st serve and 67% (16/24) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. Carlos broke Evans 3 times after converting 20% of his break points (3/15).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Alcaraz hasn’t dropped yet a set in this competition to conquer 55% of the points he played.
Alcaraz has a fantastic win-loss record in the last 6 years having won 80% of his matches (231-59). 26-5 on hard in 2023. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Alcaraz has an aggregate75-19 win-loss record in the last 6 years on hard.
His best result of the season was conquering the title in Buenos Aires where he beat Cameron Norrie in the final 6-3 7-5 and in Indian Wells where he overcame Daniil Medvedev in the final 6-3 6-2 and in Barcelona where he defeated Stefanos Tsitsipas in the final 6-3 6-4 and in Madrid where he overcame Jan-Lennard Struff in the final 6-4 3-6 6-3 and in London where he defeated Alex De Minaur in the final 6-4 6-4 and at the Wimbledon where he defeated Novak Djokovic in the final 1-6 7-6(6) 6-1 3-6 6-4.
Carlos has a composed 63-8 win-loss record in 2023, 26-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Shanghai
The Spaniard has never competed in this tournament before.
Grigor Dimitrov
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 46-18 | 21-7 | 8-4 | 13-5 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 43-21 | 16-10 | 10-5 | 10-4 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 26-22 | 10-11 | 10-5 | 5-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 24-18 | 18-10 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 18-11 | 8-5 | 6-2 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 19, Dimitrov reached the 4th round after defeating Aleksandar Vukic 6-4 6-3 and Karen Khachanov 7-66 6-4.
In the 3rd round, Grigor had a good straight sets win against Khachanov (7-66 6-4). During the match Dimitrov scored 77 points vs Khachanov’s 68. Dimitrov was very aggressive to blast 40 winners.
Talking about serving, Dimitrov made 10 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Grigor Dimitrov was very efficient on serve to win 85% (40/47) of his 1st serve and 52% (12/23) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Grigor broke Khachanov once after converting 17% of his break points (1/6).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Bulgarian hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.
Dimitrov’s best result of the season was getting to the final in Geneva.
Grigor has a compiled 35-18 win-loss record in 2023, 14-9 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Alcaraz | Dimitrov |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Games | 43 | 42 |
| Pts | 173-144 | 146-124 |
| Total Points | 317 | 270 |
| Winners | 64 | 70 |
| %Winners | 37% | 48% |
Both Alcaraz and Dimitrov played 2 matches. Both players have not lost a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Alcaraz and Dimitrov have played the same amount of sets 4. However, Alcaraz played 1 game more than Dimitrov. The Spaniard scored 64 winners (37% of the total points). On the other side, Dimitrov managed to score 70 winners (48%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Alcaraz | Dimitrov |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 10 | 15 |
| Avg per match | 5 | 7.5 |
| 1st in | 91/131 | 82/118 |
| %1st in | 69% | 69% |
| 1st pts | 64/91 | 70/82 |
| %1st pts | 70% | 85% |
| 2nd pts | 24/40 | 19/36 |
| %2nd pts | 60% | 53% |
Alcaraz fired 10 aces (5 per match). Dimitrov scored 15 aces (7.5 per match). Alcaraz won 70% points on his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 60% of the points. On the other side, Dimitrov won 85% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 53% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Alcaraz | Dimitrov |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 7 | 4 |
| Converted | 7/21 | 4/14 |
| % Converted | 33% | 29% |
| Conceded | 13 | 2 |
| Saved | 10 | 2 |
| % Saved | 77% | 100% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 0 |
Carlos broke his opponents 7 times with a 33% conversion rate. Carlos surrendered his serve 3 times and he saved 77% of the break points that he conceded. Dimitrov broke his opponents 4 times with a 29% conversion rate. The Bulgarian was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 2 break points.
| Alcaraz | ||||
| R2 Barrere |
R3 Evans |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 7-5 | 7-61 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 23 | 43 | |
| pts | 79-66 | 94-78 | 173-144 | |
| Total points | 145 | 172 | 317 | |
| Winners | 35 | 29 | 64 | |
| %Winners | 44% | 31% | 37% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 4 | 6 | 10 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 1 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 50/66 | 41/65 | 91/131 | |
| % 1st in | 76% | 63% | 69% | |
| 1st pts | 35/50 | 29/41 | 64/91 | |
| % 1st pts | 70% | 71% | 70% | |
| 2nd pts | 8/16 | 16/24 | 24/40 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 67% | 60% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 3 | 7 | |
| Converted | 4/6 | 3/15 | 7/21 | |
| Converted % | 67% | 20% | 33% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 6 | 13 | |
| Saved | 6/7 | 4/6 | 10 | |
| Saved % | 86% | 67% | 77% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 2 | 3 | |
| Dimitrov | ||||
| R2 Vukic |
R3 Khachanov |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-3 | 7-66 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 23 | 42 | |
| pts | 69-56 | 77-68 | 146-124 | |
| Total points | 125 | 145 | 270 | |
| Winners | 30 | 40 | 70 | |
| %Winners | 43% | 52% | 48% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 5 | 10 | 15 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 35/48 | 47/70 | 82/118 | |
| % 1st in | 73% | 67% | 69% | |
| 1st pts | 30/35 | 40/47 | 70/82 | |
| % 1st pts | 86% | 85% | 85% | |
| 2nd pts | 7/13 | 12/23 | 19/36 | |
| % 2nd pts | 54% | 52% | 53% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 3 | 1 | 4 | |
| Converted | 3/8 | 1/6 | 4/14 | |
| Converted % | 38% | 17% | 29% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 2 | 2 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 2/2 | 2 | |
| Saved % | – | 100% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Head 2 Head
LWLWWWWWWW
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- Jannik SinnerSinner – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia – Grigor DimitrovDimitrov (3-0) – H2H and prediction
