Edward Winter and Keegan Smith will square off in the qualifications of the Fairfield Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Monday at 12:30 pm on TAD TAUBE COURT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Keegan Smith who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Keegan Smith is the pick to win this match.
Keegan Smith -> 1.3
Edward Winter -> 3.3
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Prediction and head to head Edward Winter vs. Keegan Smith
There is no head to head record between Edward Winter and Keegan Smith since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.
Edward Winter
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 26-17 | 24-15 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 24-20 | 19-17 | 0-0 | 3-1 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 12-11 | 10-10 | 2-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 4-1 | 4-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 612, the Australian reached the qualifications after defeating Nathan Ponwith 6-2 6-2.
In the qualifications, Winter had a good straight sets win against Ponwith (6-2 6-2). During the match, Winter scored 60 points vs Ponwith’s 36. Edward was exceptionally aggressive to blast 18 winners.
Talking about the service games, Winter recorded 4 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Edward Winter was quite effective on serve to win 82% (18/22) of his 1st serve and 80% (12/15) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Australian broke Ponwith 5 times after converting 42% of his break points (5/12).
Winter has a winning match record in the last 4 years having won 55% of his matches (38-31). 17-15 on hard in 2023. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Winter has an overall31-27 win-loss record in the last 4 years on hard.
The Australian’s best result of the current year was getting to the semifinal in M15 Tacarigua,M15 Irvine and M25 Dallas.
Winter has an aggregate 22-18 win-loss record in 2023, 17-15 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Fairfield Challenger
Winter has never competed in this tournament before.
Keegan Smith
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 33-23 | 30-18 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 35-26 | 31-20 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 30-24 | 26-14 | 3-4 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 16-5 | 8-2 | 0-0 | 8-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 7-4 | 7-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 624, the American got to the qualifications after defeating Kris Van Wyk 6-4 6-2.
In the qualifications, Keegan had a good straight sets win against Van Wyk (6-4 6-2). During the match Smith scored 60 points vs Van Wyk’s 37. Smith was very aggressive to blast 26 winners.
About the serving games, Smith bagged 6 aces and he was extremely solid in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Overall, Keegan Smith was exceptionally effective on serve to win 84% (26/31) of his 1st serve and 64% (7/11) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Keegan broke Van Wyk 4 times after converting 67% of his break points (4/6).
The American’s best result of the current season was reaching the semifinal in M15 Rancho Santa Fe,M15 San Diego and M15 Albuquerque.
Keegan has a composed 29-18 win-loss record in 2023, 26-15 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Winter | Smith |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 16 | 18 |
| Pts | 60-36 | 60-37 |
| Total Points | 96 | 97 |
| Winners | 18 | 26 |
| %Winners | 30% | 43% |
Both Winter and Smith played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players have not lost a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Winter and Smith have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Winter played 2 games less than Smith. The Australian scored 18 winners (30% of the total points). On the other side, The American made 26 winners (43%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Winter | Smith |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 4 | 6 |
| Avg per match | 4 | 6 |
| 1st in | 22/37 | 31/42 |
| %1st in | 59% | 74% |
| 1st pts | 18/22 | 26/31 |
| %1st pts | 82% | 84% |
| 2nd pts | 12/15 | 7/11 |
| %2nd pts | 80% | 64% |
Winter managed to score 4 aces . Smith made 6 aces . Winter won 82% points on his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 80% of the points. On the other side, Smith won 84% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 64% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Winter | Smith |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 5 | 4 |
| Converted | 5/12 | 4/6 |
| % Converted | 42% | 67% |
| Conceded | 1 | 1 |
| Saved | 0 | 0 |
| % Saved | 0% | 0% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 |
The Australian broke his opponent 5 times with a 42% conversion rate. The Australian conceded his serve once and he saved 0% of the break points that he conceded. Keegan broke his opponent 4 times with a 67% conversion rate. Keegan conceded his serve once and he saved 0% of the break points that he conceded.
| Winter | |||
| Q1 Ponwith |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 16 | |
| pts | 60-36 | 60-36 | |
| Total points | 96 | 96 | |
| Winners | 18 | 18 | |
| %Winners | 30% | 30% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 4 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 22/37 | 22/37 | |
| % 1st in | 59% | 59% | |
| 1st pts | 18/22 | 18/22 | |
| % 1st pts | 82% | 82% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/15 | 12/15 | |
| % 2nd pts | 80% | 80% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/12 | 5/12 | |
| Converted % | 42% | 42% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1 | |
| Saved | 0/1 | 0 | |
| Saved % | 0% | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
| Smith | |||
| Q1 Van |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 18 | |
| pts | 60-37 | 60-37 | |
| Total points | 97 | 97 | |
| Winners | 26 | 26 | |
| %Winners | 43% | 43% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 6 | 6 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | |
| 1st in | 31/42 | 31/42 | |
| % 1st in | 74% | 74% | |
| 1st pts | 26/31 | 26/31 | |
| % 1st pts | 84% | 84% | |
| 2nd pts | 7/11 | 7/11 | |
| % 2nd pts | 64% | 64% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/6 | 4/6 | |
| Converted % | 67% | 67% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1 | |
| Saved | 0/1 | 0 | |
| Saved % | 0% | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
Head 2 Head
WLLLWWLWWW
LWLWLLWWLW 
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