Matteo Arnaldi and Jeff Wolf will play each other in the 3rd round of the Shanghai Rolex Masters for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Monday at 8:00 pm on SHOW COURT 3. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Matteo Arnaldi who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Matteo Arnaldi is the pick to win this match.
Matteo Arnaldi -> 1.84
Jeff Wolf -> 1.97
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Prediction and head to head Matteo Arnaldi vs. Jeff Wolf
This will be the 2nd time that Matteo Arnaldi and Jeff Wolf fight against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Arnaldi (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they squared off, Arnaldi won 6-2 6-2 in the 1st round in Beijing back in September 2023.
Matteo Arnaldi
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 20-15 | 10-8 | 9-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 51-26 | 21-15 | 23-7 | 4-3 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 50-35 | 9-3 | 37-20 | 4-11 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 56-24 | 2-1 | 51-18 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 17-9 | 16-4 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 |
Ranked no. 42 (career-high), the Italian got to the 3rd round after defeating Alexei Popyrin 4-6 6-3 6-4 and Jan-Lennard Struff 6-3 3-6 6-4.
In the 2nd round, Arnaldi defeated Struff (6-3 3-6 6-4). During the match, Arnaldi scored 94 points vs Struff’s 82. The Italian was very aggressive to blast 41 winners.
Talking about the service games, Arnaldi fired 8 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Matteo Arnaldi was quite efficient on serve to win 71% (41/58) of his 1st serve and 56% (19/34) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve 3 times. Matteo broke Struff 4 times after converting 44% of his break points (4/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Italian has conceded 2 set in this tournament to conquer 53% of the points he played.
Arnaldi has a solid record in the last 6 years having won 64% of his matches (185-105). 21-14 on hard in 2023. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Arnaldi has an aggregate57-27 match record in the last 6 years on hard.
His best result of the current season was winning the title the Tenerife 2 Challenger where he defeated Raul Brancaccio in the final 6-1 6-2 and the Murcia Challenger where he defeated Borna Gojo in the final 6-4 7-6(4) and the Heilbronn Challenger where he overcame Facundo Diaz Acosta in the final 7-6(4) 6-1.
Matteo has a compiled 49-23 win-loss record in 2023, 21-14 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Shanghai
Arnaldi has never competed in this tournament before.
Jeff Wolf
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 7-15 | 1-6 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 31-26 | 16-13 | 5-5 | 6-4 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 43-29 | 23-15 | 8-4 | 12-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 16-11 | 7-7 | 0-0 | 9-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 22-10 | 11-3 | 0-1 | 11-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 51, Wolf reached the 3rd round after beating Pedro Cachin 3-6 6-3 6-4 and Cameron Norrie 6-3 5-7 7-64.
In the 2nd round, Wolf defeated Norrie (6-3 5-7 7-64). During the match Wolf scored 112 points vs Norrie’s 107. The American was exceptionally aggressive to blast 43 winners.
About the serving games, Wolf made 13 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Jeff Wolf lost the serve 4 times and he saved 7 break points. Furthermore, Wolf put 58% of his first serves in, winning 68% (43/63) of the points behind his 1st serve and 48% (22/46) on the 2nd serve. Wolf broke Norrie 5 times after converting 26% of his break points (5/19).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The American has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 52% of the points he played.
Wolf’s best result of the current year was reaching the semifinal in Dallas and Atlanta.
The American has an aggregate 27-22 win-loss record in 2023, 15-12 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Arnaldi | Wolf |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 6 | 6 |
| Tot Games | 57 | 62 |
| Pts | 185-165 | 203-189 |
| Total Points | 350 | 392 |
| Winners | 75 | 85 |
| %Winners | 41% | 42% |
Both Arnaldi and Wolf played 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Matteo Arnaldi conceded 2 sets, while Jeff Wolf surrendered 2 sets. Talking about their workload, Arnaldi and Wolf have played the same amount of sets 6. However, Arnaldi played 5 games less than Wolf. Matteo scored 75 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, Jeff bagged 85 winners (42%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Arnaldi | Wolf |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 10 | 25 |
| Avg per match | 5 | 12.5 |
| 1st in | 103/181 | 112/200 |
| %1st in | 57% | 56% |
| 1st pts | 75/103 | 85/112 |
| %1st pts | 73% | 76% |
| 2nd pts | 42/78 | 41/88 |
| %2nd pts | 54% | 47% |
Arnaldi fired 10 aces (5 per match). Wolf fired 25 aces (12.5 per match). Arnaldi won 73% points behind his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 54% of the points. On the other side, Wolf won 76% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 47% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Arnaldi | Wolf |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 8 | 8 |
| Converted | 8/17 | 8/24 |
| % Converted | 47% | 33% |
| Conceded | 16 | 20 |
| Saved | 10 | 14 |
| % Saved | 63% | 70% |
| Times Broken | 6 | 6 |
Arnaldi broke his opponents 8 times with a 47% conversion rate. Matteo dropped his serve 6 times and he saved 63% of the break points that he conceded. Wolf broke his opponents 8 times with a 33% conversion rate. Jeff conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 70% of the break points that he conceded.
| Arnaldi | ||||
| R1 Popyrin |
R2 Struff |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 4-6 6-3 6-4 | 6-3 3-6 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 29 | 28 | 57 | |
| pts | 91-83 | 94-82 | 185-165 | |
| Total points | 174 | 176 | 350 | |
| Winners | 34 | 41 | 75 | |
| %Winners | 37% | 44% | 41% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 2 | 8 | 10 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 45/89 | 58/92 | 103/181 | |
| % 1st in | 51% | 63% | 57% | |
| 1st pts | 34/45 | 41/58 | 75/103 | |
| % 1st pts | 76% | 71% | 73% | |
| 2nd pts | 23/44 | 19/34 | 42/78 | |
| % 2nd pts | 52% | 56% | 54% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 4 | 8 | |
| Converted | 4/8 | 4/9 | 8/17 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 44% | 47% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 11 | 16 | |
| Saved | 2/5 | 8/11 | 10 | |
| Saved % | 40% | 73% | 57% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| Wolf | ||||
| R1 Cachin |
R2 Norrie |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 3-6 6-3 6-4 | 6-3 5-7 7-64 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 28 | 34 | 62 | |
| pts | 91-82 | 112-107 | 203-189 | |
| Total points | 173 | 219 | 392 | |
| Winners | 42 | 43 | 85 | |
| %Winners | 46% | 38% | 42% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 12 | 13 | 25 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 4 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 49/91 | 63/109 | 112/200 | |
| % 1st in | 54% | 58% | 56% | |
| 1st pts | 42/49 | 43/63 | 85/112 | |
| % 1st pts | 86% | 68% | 76% | |
| 2nd pts | 19/42 | 22/46 | 41/88 | |
| % 2nd pts | 45% | 48% | 47% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 3 | 5 | 8 | |
| Converted | 3/5 | 5/19 | 8/24 | |
| Converted % | 60% | 26% | 33% | |
| Conceded | 9 | 11 | 20 | |
| Saved | 7/9 | 7/11 | 14 | |
| Saved % | 78% | 64% | 71% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 4 | 6 | |
Head 2 Head
LWLWWWLWLW
LLWWLWWLLW Tennis Scores in Shanghai
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Upcoming matches in the draw
- Adrian MannarinoMannarino – Andrey RublevRublev (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Karen KhachanovKhachanov (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Diego Sebastian SchwartzmanSebastian Schwartzman – Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Hubert HurkaczHurkacz – Zhizhen ZhangZhang (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Tommy PaulPaul – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Ugo HumbertHumbert (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Lorenzo SonegoSonego – Nicolas JarryJarry (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Casper RuudRuud – Fabian MarozsanMarozsan (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jannik SinnerSinner – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – Sebastian KordaKorda (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia – Daniel EvansEvans (3-0) – H2H and prediction
