Daniil Medvedev and Sebastian Korda will clash against each other in the 3rd round of the Shanghai Rolex Masters for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 3:00 pm on STADIUM COURT. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Daniil Medvedev who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Daniil Medvedev is the pick to win this match.
Daniil Medvedev -> 1.195
Sebastian Korda -> 4.65

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Prediction and head to head Daniil Medvedev vs. Sebastian Korda

This will be the 3rd time that Daniil Medvedev and Sebastian Korda clash against each other. The head to head is 1-1 (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.

The last time that they played, Korda won 7-6(7) 6-3 7-6(4) in the 3rd round in at the Australian Open back in January 2023.

Highlights Sebastian Korda vs Daniil Medvedev – Australian Open 20-January-2023

Daniil Medvedev

Daniil Medvedev

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
13
High
1
LWWLWWWWWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 41-23 20-12 6-4 10-4 5-3 0-0
2024 46-21 28-9 11-5 1-5 6-2 0-0
2023 66-18 38-8 10-3 11-4 7-3 0-0
2022 45-19 26-8 3-2 8-6 8-3 0-0
2021 63-13 33-5 5-3 18-3 7-2 0-0

Ranked no. 3, the Russian reached the 3rd round after beating Cristian Garin 6-3 6-3.

In the 2nd round, Daniil had a good straight sets win against Garin (6-3 6-3). During the match, Medvedev scored 66 points vs Garin’s 50. Medvedev was very aggressive to blast 29 winners.

Talking about the service games, Medvedev fired 7 aces and he committed only 6 double faults. Daniil Medvedev lost the serve twice and he saved 7 break points. Furthermore, Medvedev put 65% of his first serves in, winning 81% (29/36) of the points behind his 1st serve and 37% (7/19) on the 2nd serve. Medvedev broke Garin 5 times after converting 56% of his break points (5/9).

Medvedev has a fantastic win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 72% of his matches (483-191). 38-7 on hard in 2023. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Medvedev has an aggregate 219-69 match record in the last years on hard.

His best result of the year was winning the title in Rotterdam where he overcame Jannik Sinner in the final 5-7 6-2 6-2 and in Doha where he defeated Andy Murray in the final 6-4 6-4 and in Dubai where he beat Andrey Rublev in the final 6-2 6-2 and in Miami where he overcame Jannik Sinner in the final 7-5 6-3 and in Rome where he beat Holger Rune in the final 7-5 7-5.

Daniil has an aggregate 60-13 win-loss record in 2023, 38-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Shanghai

Shanghai
Medvedev's Record

Sebastian Korda

Sebastian Korda

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
48
High
15
LWWWLWWLLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 24-18 12-8 5-5 7-5 0-0 0-0
2024 31-19 17-9 5-5 2-2 7-3 0-0
2023 26-16 18-8 1-3 4-3 3-2 0-0
2022 34-22 13-9 8-6 12-5 1-2 0-0
2021 36-20 12-8 6-5 13-5 5-2 0-0

Ranked no. 26, Korda reached the 3rd round after beating Bu Yunchaokete 6-1 6-4.

In the 2nd round, Sebastian had a good straight sets win against Yunchaokete (6-1 6-4). During the match Korda scored 60 points vs Yunchaokete’s 45. Sebastian was pretty aggressive to blast 28 winners.

Talking about serving, Korda fired 9 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Sebastian Korda was extremely effective on serve to win 80% (28/35) of his 1st serve and 52% (12/23) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Korda broke Yunchaokete 3 times after converting 50% of his break points (3/6).

The American’s best result of the current season was getting to the final in Adelaide and Astana.

Sebastian has an overall 23-13 win-loss record in 2023, 15-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Shanghai
Korda's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

D.Medvedev
S.Korda
1h:31
1h:31
Time on court​
1h:12
1h:12
1h:31
1h:31
Last match​
1h:12
1h:12
1
1
Match played
1
1
18
18
Games Played​
17
17
2
2
Set played​​
2
2
66
66
Total points​
60
60
66
66
Avg point​
60
60
29
29
Winners
28
28
29
29
Avg Winners​
28
28
44%
44%
Ratio winners
47%
47%
-- Serve --
7
7
Aces
9
9
7
7
Avg Aces
9
9
6
6
Double Faults
2
2
!
6
6
Avg Double Faults
2
2
29/36
29/36
1st won total​
28/35
28/35
!
81%
81%
1st won %
!
80%
80%
7/19
7/19
2nd won total​
12/23
12/23
!
37%
37%
2nd won %
52%
52%
-- Break Points --
5/9
5/9
BP won
3/6
3/6
5/9
5/9
Avg BP won
3/6
3/6
!
56%
56%
Won
50%
50%
9
9
Conceded
0
0
9
9
Avg Conceded
0
0
2
2
Broken
0
0
2
2
Avg Broken
!
0
0
7
7
Saved
0
0

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Medvedev Korda
Match played 1 1
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 18 17
Pts 66-50 60-45
Total Points 116 105
Winners 29 28
%Winners 44% 47%

Both Medvedev and Korda played 1 match. Both players have not dropped a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Medvedev and Korda have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Medvedev played 1 game more than Korda. Medvedev scored 29 winners (44% of the total points). On the other side, The American scored 28 winners (47%).

Serve Performance

Serve Medvedev Korda
Aces 7 9
Avg per match 7 9
1st in 36/55 35/58
%1st in 65% 60%
1st pts 29/36 28/35
%1st pts 81% 80%
2nd pts 7/19 12/23
%2nd pts 37% 52%

Medvedev scored 7 aces . Korda made 9 aces . Medvedev won 81% points behind his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 37% of the points. On the other side, Korda won 80% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 52% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Medvedev Korda
Won 5 3
Converted 5/9 3/6
% Converted 56% 50%
Conceded 9 0
Saved 7 0
% Saved 78% 0%
Times Broken 2 0

Daniil broke his opponent 5 times with a 56% conversion rate. Medvedev conceded his serve twice and he saved 78% of the break points that he conceded. The American broke his opponent 3 times with a 50% conversion rate. The American was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 0 break points.

Medvedev
R2
Garin
Total
Score 6-3 6-3
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 18 18
pts 66-50 66-50
Total points 116 116
Winners 29 29
%Winners 44% 44%
SERVE
Aces 7 7
Double Faults 6 6
1st in 36/55 36/55
% 1st in 65% 65%
1st pts 29/36 29/36
% 1st pts 81% 81%
2nd pts 7/19 7/19
% 2nd pts 37% 37%
Breaks
Won 5 5
Converted 5/9 5/9
Converted % 56% 56%
Conceded 9 9
Saved 7/9 7
Saved % 78% 78%
Times Broken 2 2
Korda
R2
Yunchaokete
Total
Score 6-1 6-4
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 17 17
pts 60-45 60-45
Total points 105 105
Winners 28 28
%Winners 47% 47%
SERVE
Aces 9 9
Double Faults 2 2
1st in 35/58 35/58
% 1st in 60% 60%
1st pts 28/35 28/35
% 1st pts 80% 80%
2nd pts 12/23 12/23
% 2nd pts 52% 52%
Breaks
Won 3 3
Converted 3/6 3/6
Converted % 50% 50%
Conceded 0 0
Saved 0/0 0
Saved % 0%
Times Broken 0 0

Tennis Scores in Shanghai

Upcoming matches in the draw