Daniil Medvedev and Sebastian Korda will clash against each other in the 3rd round of the Shanghai Rolex Masters for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 3:00 pm on STADIUM COURT. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Daniil Medvedev who should win in 2 sets.
Daniil Medvedev -> 1.195
Sebastian Korda -> 4.65
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Prediction and head to head Daniil Medvedev vs. Sebastian Korda
This will be the 3rd time that Daniil Medvedev and Sebastian Korda clash against each other. The head to head is 1-1 (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they played, Korda won 7-6(7) 6-3 7-6(4) in the 3rd round in at the Australian Open back in January 2023.
Highlights Sebastian Korda vs Daniil Medvedev – Australian Open 20-January-2023
Daniil Medvedev
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 41-23 | 20-12 | 6-4 | 10-4 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 46-21 | 28-9 | 11-5 | 1-5 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 66-18 | 38-8 | 10-3 | 11-4 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 45-19 | 26-8 | 3-2 | 8-6 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 63-13 | 33-5 | 5-3 | 18-3 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 3, the Russian reached the 3rd round after beating Cristian Garin 6-3 6-3.
In the 2nd round, Daniil had a good straight sets win against Garin (6-3 6-3). During the match, Medvedev scored 66 points vs Garin’s 50. Medvedev was very aggressive to blast 29 winners.
Talking about the service games, Medvedev fired 7 aces and he committed only 6 double faults. Daniil Medvedev lost the serve twice and he saved 7 break points. Furthermore, Medvedev put 65% of his first serves in, winning 81% (29/36) of the points behind his 1st serve and 37% (7/19) on the 2nd serve. Medvedev broke Garin 5 times after converting 56% of his break points (5/9).
Medvedev has a fantastic win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 72% of his matches (483-191). 38-7 on hard in 2023. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Medvedev has an aggregate 219-69 match record in the last years on hard.
His best result of the year was winning the title in Rotterdam where he overcame Jannik Sinner in the final 5-7 6-2 6-2 and in Doha where he defeated Andy Murray in the final 6-4 6-4 and in Dubai where he beat Andrey Rublev in the final 6-2 6-2 and in Miami where he overcame Jannik Sinner in the final 7-5 6-3 and in Rome where he beat Holger Rune in the final 7-5 7-5.
Daniil has an aggregate 60-13 win-loss record in 2023, 38-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Shanghai
Sebastian Korda
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 24-18 | 12-8 | 5-5 | 7-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 31-19 | 17-9 | 5-5 | 2-2 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 26-16 | 18-8 | 1-3 | 4-3 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 34-22 | 13-9 | 8-6 | 12-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 36-20 | 12-8 | 6-5 | 13-5 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 26, Korda reached the 3rd round after beating Bu Yunchaokete 6-1 6-4.
In the 2nd round, Sebastian had a good straight sets win against Yunchaokete (6-1 6-4). During the match Korda scored 60 points vs Yunchaokete’s 45. Sebastian was pretty aggressive to blast 28 winners.
Talking about serving, Korda fired 9 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Sebastian Korda was extremely effective on serve to win 80% (28/35) of his 1st serve and 52% (12/23) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Korda broke Yunchaokete 3 times after converting 50% of his break points (3/6).
The American’s best result of the current season was getting to the final in Adelaide and Astana.
Sebastian has an overall 23-13 win-loss record in 2023, 15-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Medvedev | Korda |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 18 | 17 |
| Pts | 66-50 | 60-45 |
| Total Points | 116 | 105 |
| Winners | 29 | 28 |
| %Winners | 44% | 47% |
Both Medvedev and Korda played 1 match. Both players have not dropped a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Medvedev and Korda have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Medvedev played 1 game more than Korda. Medvedev scored 29 winners (44% of the total points). On the other side, The American scored 28 winners (47%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Medvedev | Korda |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 7 | 9 |
| Avg per match | 7 | 9 |
| 1st in | 36/55 | 35/58 |
| %1st in | 65% | 60% |
| 1st pts | 29/36 | 28/35 |
| %1st pts | 81% | 80% |
| 2nd pts | 7/19 | 12/23 |
| %2nd pts | 37% | 52% |
Medvedev scored 7 aces . Korda made 9 aces . Medvedev won 81% points behind his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 37% of the points. On the other side, Korda won 80% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 52% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Medvedev | Korda |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 5 | 3 |
| Converted | 5/9 | 3/6 |
| % Converted | 56% | 50% |
| Conceded | 9 | 0 |
| Saved | 7 | 0 |
| % Saved | 78% | 0% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 0 |
Daniil broke his opponent 5 times with a 56% conversion rate. Medvedev conceded his serve twice and he saved 78% of the break points that he conceded. The American broke his opponent 3 times with a 50% conversion rate. The American was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 0 break points.
| Medvedev | |||
| R2 Garin | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 18 | |
| pts | 66-50 | 66-50 | |
| Total points | 116 | 116 | |
| Winners | 29 | 29 | |
| %Winners | 44% | 44% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 7 | 7 | |
| Double Faults | 6 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 36/55 | 36/55 | |
| % 1st in | 65% | 65% | |
| 1st pts | 29/36 | 29/36 | |
| % 1st pts | 81% | 81% | |
| 2nd pts | 7/19 | 7/19 | |
| % 2nd pts | 37% | 37% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/9 | 5/9 | |
| Converted % | 56% | 56% | |
| Conceded | 9 | 9 | |
| Saved | 7/9 | 7 | |
| Saved % | 78% | 78% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
| Korda | |||
| R2 Yunchaokete | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 17 | |
| pts | 60-45 | 60-45 | |
| Total points | 105 | 105 | |
| Winners | 28 | 28 | |
| %Winners | 47% | 47% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 9 | 9 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 35/58 | 35/58 | |
| % 1st in | 60% | 60% | |
| 1st pts | 28/35 | 28/35 | |
| % 1st pts | 80% | 80% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/23 | 12/23 | |
| % 2nd pts | 52% | 52% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/6 | 3/6 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 0 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 0 | |
| Saved % | – | 0% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
Tennis Scores in Shanghai
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Marcos GironGiron (7-67 6-2) – See score progression
- Nicolas JarryJarry – Terence AtmaneAtmane (7-5 6-2) – See score progression
- Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Gregoire BarrereBarrere (6-2 7-5) – See score progression
- Tommy PaulPaul – Sebastian OfnerOfner (6-3 6-0) – See score progression
- Taylor FritzFritz – Yosuke WatanukiWatanuki (7-62 6-76 6-4) – See score progression
- Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas – Rinky HijikataHijikata (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – Cristian GarinGarin (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Matteo ArnaldiArnaldi – Jan-Lennard StruffStruff (6-3 3-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Yu Hsiou HsuHsiou Hsu – Lorenzo MusettiMusetti (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Marton FucsovicsFucsovics – Felix Auger-AliassimeAuger-Aliassime (7-63 4-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Sebastian KordaKorda – Bu YunchaoketeYunchaokete (6-1 6-4) – See score progression
- Casper RuudRuud – Yoshihito NishiokaNishioka (7-5 6-0) – See score progression
- Hubert HurkaczHurkacz – Thanasi KokkinakisKokkinakis (7-65 6-4) – See score progression
- Ben SheltonShelton – Jaume Antoni Munar ClarAntoni Munar Clar (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Sebastian BaezBaez – Dane SweenySweeny (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
- Dusan LajovicLajovic – Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor (6-4 3-2 ret.) – See score progression
- Brandon NakashimaNakashima – Holger RuneRune (6-0 6-2) – See score progression
- Zhizhen ZhangZhang – Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry (4-6 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – Mackenzie McdonaldMcdonald (7-64 7-65) – See score progression
- Roman SafiullinSafiullin – Alexander ZverevZverev (6-3 6-1) – See score progression
- Fabian MarozsanMarozsan – Alex De MinaurDe Minaur (6-3 7-5) – See score progression
- Christopher EubanksEubanks – Yannick HanfmannHanfmann (4-6 6-3 6-2) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Adrian MannarinoMannarino – Chun Hsin TsengHsin Tseng (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Mikhail KukushkinKukushkin – Daniel EvansEvans (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Aleksandar VukicVukic (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Dusan LajovicLajovic – Fabian MarozsanMarozsan (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Marton FucsovicsFucsovics – Francisco CerundoloCerundolo (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Botic Van De ZandschulpVan De Zandschulp – Ugo HumbertHumbert (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Quentin HalysHalys – Andrey RublevRublev (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Zhizhen ZhangZhang – Brandon NakashimaNakashima (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Hubert HurkaczHurkacz – Yu Hsiou HsuHsiou Hsu (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Frances TiafoeTiafoe – Lorenzo SonegoSonego (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Casper RuudRuud – Christopher EubanksEubanks (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Sebastian KordaKorda – Daniil MedvedevMedvedev (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Jeff WolfWolf – Cameron NorrieNorrie (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Sebastian BaezBaez (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Beibit ZhukayevZhukayev – Karen KhachanovKhachanov (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jiri LeheckaLehecka – Diego Sebastian SchwartzmanSebastian Schwartzman (0-0) – H2H and prediction