Tomas Machac and Arthur Fery will fight against each other in the final of the Mouilleron for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 3:00 pm on CENTRAL. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Tomas Machac who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Tomas Machac is the pick to win this match.
Tomas Machac -> 1.46
Arthur Fery -> 2.62

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Prediction and head to head Tomas Machac vs. Arthur Fery

There is no head to head record between Tomas Machac and Arthur Fery since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.

Tomas Machac

Tomas Machac

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
32
High
20
LLLWLLWWWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 23-19 15-9 2-5 3-3 3-2 0-0
2024 37-24 22-11 9-5 5-6 1-2 0-0
2023 52-27 15-10 16-11 18-5 3-1 0-0
2022 47-19 24-6 5-2 18-10 0-0 0-1
2021 28-19 5-4 5-4 12-6 2-3 4-2

Ranked no. 96 (career-high), Tomas reached the final after defeating Gijs Brouwer 2-6 7-62 6-2, Pierre-Hugues Herbert 6-4 7-65, Luca Nardi 6-3 6-4 and Lucas Poullain 6-4 6-0.

In the semifinal, Machac had a good straight sets win against Poullain (6-4 6-0). During the match, Machac scored 59 points vs Poullain’s 33. Tomas was quite aggressive to blast 22 winners.

Talking about the service games, Machac struck 4 aces and he was quite steady in conceding no double faults. Tomas Machac was pretty efficient on serve to win 85% (22/26) of his 1st serve and 75% (12/16) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Machac broke Poullain 4 times after converting 44% of his break points (4/9).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Czech has dropped 1 set in this event to win 56% of the points he played.

Machac has a solid match record in the last 7 years having won 67% of his matches (213-103). 11-1 on indoor hard courts in 2023. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Machac has an aggregate74-31 win-loss record in the last 7 years on indoor hard courts.

His best result of the current season was conquering the title the Orleans Challenger where he beat Jack Draper in the final 6-4 4-6 6-3.

The Czech has a compiled 45-23 win-loss record in 2023, 11-1 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Le

Le
Machac's Record

Arthur Fery

Arthur Fery

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
192
High
192
LWWWWLWLWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 42-12 18-4 0-0 20-6 4-2 0-0
2024 18-14 12-7 0-0 5-2 1-5 0-0
2023 34-15 17-4 0-0 15-6 2-5 0-0
2022 24-13 4-3 0-0 14-5 6-5 0-0
2021 16-14 7-6 7-4 0-1 2-3 0-0

Ranked no. 319 (career-high), Fery got to the final after beating Robert Galloway 6-3 7-5, Eliakim Coulibaly 6-2 6-4, Robin Bertrand 6-2 6-3, David Goffin 6-4 3-6 6-2, Giulio Zeppieri 7-63 6-2 and Antoine Escoffier 6-4 1-6 6-4.

In the semifinal, Arthur defeated Escoffier (6-4 1-6 6-4). During the match Fery and Escoffier scored the same amount of points (86). However, the world no. 96 was stronger during the important points and that was the most significant difference in the match. The Brit was exceptionally aggressive to blast 36 winners.

Talking about serving, Fery made 3 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Arthur Fery lost the serve 3 times and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Fery put 68% of his first serves in, winning 69% (36/52) of the points behind his 1st serve and 54% (13/24) on the 2nd serve. Fery broke Escoffier 3 times after converting 33% of his break points (3/9).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Brit started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points he played.

Fery’s best result of the current year was reaching the final in M25 Malibu,M25 Aldershot and M25 Pozzuoli.

The Brit has an aggregate 29-10 win-loss record in 2023, 10-1 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Le

Fery has never competed in this tournament before.

Le
Fery's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

T.Machac
A.Fery
6h:14
6h:14
Time on court​
8h:49
8h:49
1h:14
1h:14
Last match​
1h:59
1h:59
4
4
Match played
!
6
6
87
87
Games Played​
131
131
9
9
Set played​​
14
14
304
304
Total points​
432
432
76
76
Avg point​
72
72
126
126
Winners
181
181
31.5
31.5
Avg Winners​
30.2
30.2
41%
41%
Ratio winners
42%
42%
-- Serve --
17
17
Aces
26
26
4.3
4.3
Avg Aces
4.3
4.3
4
4
Double Faults
8
8
1
1
Avg Double Faults
1.3
1.3
126/166
126/166
1st won total​
181/249
181/249
!
76%
76%
1st won %
!
73%
73%
62/85
62/85
2nd won total​
66/114
66/114
!
73%
73%
2nd won %
58%
58%
-- Break Points --
11/33
11/33
BP won
24/52
24/52
2.8/8.3
2.8/8.3
Avg BP won
4/8.7
4/8.7
33%
33%
Won
46%
46%
13
13
Conceded
17
17
3.3
3.3
Avg Conceded
2.8
2.8
4
4
Broken
10
10
1
1
Avg Broken
1.7
1.7
9
9
Saved
7
7

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Machac Fery
Match played 4 6
Tot Set 9 14
Tot Games 87 131
Pts 304-235 432-357
Total Points 539 789
Winners 126 181
%Winners 41% 42%

Machac played 4 matches while Fery competed in 6 matches. Fery started his run from the qualifications while Machac had a direct access to the main draw. Both players lost a set in the event. Tomas Machac lost 1 set, while Arthur Fery dropped 2 sets. Machac has played 5 set(s) less than Fery (9 vs 14). Therefore, Machac played 44 games less than Fery. Tomas scored 126 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, Arthur made 181 winners (42%).

Serve Performance

Serve Machac Fery
Aces 17 26
Avg per match 4.3 4.3
1st in 166/251 249/363
%1st in 66% 69%
1st pts 126/166 181/249
%1st pts 76% 73%
2nd pts 62/85 66/114
%2nd pts 73% 58%

Machac made 17 aces (4.3 per match). Fery blasted 26 aces (4.3 per match). Machac won 76% points on his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 73% of the points. On the other side, Fery won 73% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 58% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Machac Fery
Won 11 24
Converted 11/33 24/52
% Converted 33% 46%
Conceded 13 17
Saved 9 7
% Saved 69% 41%
Times Broken 4 10

Machac broke his opponents 11 times with a 33% conversion rate. Machac dropped his serve 4 times and he saved 69% of the break points that he conceded. Fery broke his opponents 24 times with a 46% conversion rate. Arthur conceded his serve 10 times and he saved 41% of the break points that he conceded.

Machac
R1
Brouwer
R2
Herbert
1/4
Nardi
1/2
Poullain
Total
Score 2-6 7-62 6-2 6-4 7-65 6-3 6-4 6-4 6-0
Tot Set 3 2 2 2 9
Tot Games 29 23 19 16 87
pts 98-87 74-58 73-57 59-33 304-235
Total points 185 132 130 92 539
Winners 43 33 28 22 126
%Winners 44% 45% 38% 37% 41%
SERVE
Aces 7 5 1 4 17
Double Faults 0 0 4 0 4
1st in 62/93 40/60 38/56 26/42 166/251
% 1st in 67% 67% 68% 62% 66%
1st pts 43/62 33/40 28/38 22/26 126/166
% 1st pts 69% 83% 74% 85% 76%
2nd pts 21/31 18/20 11/18 12/16 62/85
% 2nd pts 68% 90% 61% 75% 73%
Breaks
Won 3 1 3 4 11
Converted 3/9 1/3 3/12 4/9 11/33
Converted % 33% 33% 25% 44% 33%
Conceded 9 2 1 1 13
Saved 6/9 2/2 0/1 1/1 9
Saved % 67% 100% 0% 100% 67%
Times Broken 3 0 1 0 4
Fery
Q1
Galloway
Q3
Coulibaly
R1
Bertrand
R2
Goffin
1/4
Zeppieri
1/2
Escoffier
Total
Score 6-3 7-5 6-2 6-4 6-2 6-3 6-4 3-6 6-2 7-63 6-2 6-4 1-6 6-4
Tot Set 2 2 2 3 2 3 14
Tot Games 21 18 17 27 21 27 131
pts 70-52 57-40 58-40 85-81 76-58 86-86 432-357
Total points 122 97 98 166 134 172 789
Winners 33 25 25 32 30 36 181
%Winners 47% 44% 43% 38% 39% 42% 42%
SERVE
Aces 6 3 5 8 1 3 26
Double Faults 2 0 2 2 0 2 8
1st in 40/50 31/50 34/44 47/76 45/67 52/76 249/363
% 1st in 80% 62% 77% 62% 67% 68% 69%
1st pts 33/40 25/31 25/34 32/47 30/45 36/52 181/249
% 1st pts 83% 81% 74% 68% 67% 69% 73%
2nd pts 5/10 13/19 7/10 16/29 12/22 13/24 66/114
% 2nd pts 50% 68% 70% 55% 55% 54% 58%
Breaks
Won 4 3 4 5 5 3 24
Converted 4/10 3/5 4/6 5/13 5/9 3/9 24/52
Converted % 40% 60% 67% 38% 56% 33% 46%
Conceded 1 0 0 3 7 6 17
Saved 0/1 0/0 0/0 0/3 4/7 3/6 7
Saved % 0% 0% 57% 50% 27%
Times Broken 1 0 0 3 3 3 10

Upcoming matches in the draw