Tomas Machac and Arthur Fery will fight against each other in the final of the Mouilleron for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 3:00 pm on CENTRAL. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Tomas Machac who should win in 3 sets.
Tomas Machac -> 1.46
Arthur Fery -> 2.62
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Prediction and head to head Tomas Machac vs. Arthur Fery
There is no head to head record between Tomas Machac and Arthur Fery since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.
Tomas Machac
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 23-19 | 15-9 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 37-24 | 22-11 | 9-5 | 5-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 52-27 | 15-10 | 16-11 | 18-5 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 47-19 | 24-6 | 5-2 | 18-10 | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| 2021 | 28-19 | 5-4 | 5-4 | 12-6 | 2-3 | 4-2 |
Ranked no. 96 (career-high), Tomas reached the final after defeating Gijs Brouwer 2-6 7-62 6-2, Pierre-Hugues Herbert 6-4 7-65, Luca Nardi 6-3 6-4 and Lucas Poullain 6-4 6-0.
In the semifinal, Machac had a good straight sets win against Poullain (6-4 6-0). During the match, Machac scored 59 points vs Poullain’s 33. Tomas was quite aggressive to blast 22 winners.
Talking about the service games, Machac struck 4 aces and he was quite steady in conceding no double faults. Tomas Machac was pretty efficient on serve to win 85% (22/26) of his 1st serve and 75% (12/16) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Machac broke Poullain 4 times after converting 44% of his break points (4/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Czech has dropped 1 set in this event to win 56% of the points he played.
Machac has a solid match record in the last 7 years having won 67% of his matches (213-103). 11-1 on indoor hard courts in 2023. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Machac has an aggregate74-31 win-loss record in the last 7 years on indoor hard courts.
His best result of the current season was conquering the title the Orleans Challenger where he beat Jack Draper in the final 6-4 4-6 6-3.
The Czech has a compiled 45-23 win-loss record in 2023, 11-1 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Le
Arthur Fery
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 42-12 | 18-4 | 0-0 | 20-6 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 18-14 | 12-7 | 0-0 | 5-2 | 1-5 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 34-15 | 17-4 | 0-0 | 15-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 24-13 | 4-3 | 0-0 | 14-5 | 6-5 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 16-14 | 7-6 | 7-4 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 319 (career-high), Fery got to the final after beating Robert Galloway 6-3 7-5, Eliakim Coulibaly 6-2 6-4, Robin Bertrand 6-2 6-3, David Goffin 6-4 3-6 6-2, Giulio Zeppieri 7-63 6-2 and Antoine Escoffier 6-4 1-6 6-4.
In the semifinal, Arthur defeated Escoffier (6-4 1-6 6-4). During the match Fery and Escoffier scored the same amount of points (86). However, the world no. 96 was stronger during the important points and that was the most significant difference in the match. The Brit was exceptionally aggressive to blast 36 winners.
Talking about serving, Fery made 3 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Arthur Fery lost the serve 3 times and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Fery put 68% of his first serves in, winning 69% (36/52) of the points behind his 1st serve and 54% (13/24) on the 2nd serve. Fery broke Escoffier 3 times after converting 33% of his break points (3/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Brit started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points he played.
Fery’s best result of the current year was reaching the final in M25 Malibu,M25 Aldershot and M25 Pozzuoli.
The Brit has an aggregate 29-10 win-loss record in 2023, 10-1 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Le
Fery has never competed in this tournament before.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Machac | Fery |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 6 |
| Tot Set | 9 | 14 |
| Tot Games | 87 | 131 |
| Pts | 304-235 | 432-357 |
| Total Points | 539 | 789 |
| Winners | 126 | 181 |
| %Winners | 41% | 42% |
Machac played 4 matches while Fery competed in 6 matches. Fery started his run from the qualifications while Machac had a direct access to the main draw. Both players lost a set in the event. Tomas Machac lost 1 set, while Arthur Fery dropped 2 sets. Machac has played 5 set(s) less than Fery (9 vs 14). Therefore, Machac played 44 games less than Fery. Tomas scored 126 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, Arthur made 181 winners (42%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Machac | Fery |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 17 | 26 |
| Avg per match | 4.3 | 4.3 |
| 1st in | 166/251 | 249/363 |
| %1st in | 66% | 69% |
| 1st pts | 126/166 | 181/249 |
| %1st pts | 76% | 73% |
| 2nd pts | 62/85 | 66/114 |
| %2nd pts | 73% | 58% |
Machac made 17 aces (4.3 per match). Fery blasted 26 aces (4.3 per match). Machac won 76% points on his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 73% of the points. On the other side, Fery won 73% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 58% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Machac | Fery |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 11 | 24 |
| Converted | 11/33 | 24/52 |
| % Converted | 33% | 46% |
| Conceded | 13 | 17 |
| Saved | 9 | 7 |
| % Saved | 69% | 41% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 10 |
Machac broke his opponents 11 times with a 33% conversion rate. Machac dropped his serve 4 times and he saved 69% of the break points that he conceded. Fery broke his opponents 24 times with a 46% conversion rate. Arthur conceded his serve 10 times and he saved 41% of the break points that he conceded.
| Machac | ||||||
| R1 Brouwer | R2 Herbert | 1/4 Nardi | 1/2 Poullain | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 2-6 7-62 6-2 | 6-4 7-65 | 6-3 6-4 | 6-4 6-0 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 29 | 23 | 19 | 16 | 87 | |
| pts | 98-87 | 74-58 | 73-57 | 59-33 | 304-235 | |
| Total points | 185 | 132 | 130 | 92 | 539 | |
| Winners | 43 | 33 | 28 | 22 | 126 | |
| %Winners | 44% | 45% | 38% | 37% | 41% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 7 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 17 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 62/93 | 40/60 | 38/56 | 26/42 | 166/251 | |
| % 1st in | 67% | 67% | 68% | 62% | 66% | |
| 1st pts | 43/62 | 33/40 | 28/38 | 22/26 | 126/166 | |
| % 1st pts | 69% | 83% | 74% | 85% | 76% | |
| 2nd pts | 21/31 | 18/20 | 11/18 | 12/16 | 62/85 | |
| % 2nd pts | 68% | 90% | 61% | 75% | 73% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 3 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 11 | |
| Converted | 3/9 | 1/3 | 3/12 | 4/9 | 11/33 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 33% | 25% | 44% | 33% | |
| Conceded | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 13 | |
| Saved | 6/9 | 2/2 | 0/1 | 1/1 | 9 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 100% | 0% | 100% | 67% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | |
| Fery | ||||||||
| Q1 Galloway | Q3 Coulibaly | R1 Bertrand | R2 Goffin | 1/4 Zeppieri | 1/2 Escoffier | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 7-5 | 6-2 6-4 | 6-2 6-3 | 6-4 3-6 6-2 | 7-63 6-2 | 6-4 1-6 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 14 | |
| Tot Games | 21 | 18 | 17 | 27 | 21 | 27 | 131 | |
| pts | 70-52 | 57-40 | 58-40 | 85-81 | 76-58 | 86-86 | 432-357 | |
| Total points | 122 | 97 | 98 | 166 | 134 | 172 | 789 | |
| Winners | 33 | 25 | 25 | 32 | 30 | 36 | 181 | |
| %Winners | 47% | 44% | 43% | 38% | 39% | 42% | 42% | |
| SERVE | ||||||||
| Aces | 6 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 26 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | |
| 1st in | 40/50 | 31/50 | 34/44 | 47/76 | 45/67 | 52/76 | 249/363 | |
| % 1st in | 80% | 62% | 77% | 62% | 67% | 68% | 69% | |
| 1st pts | 33/40 | 25/31 | 25/34 | 32/47 | 30/45 | 36/52 | 181/249 | |
| % 1st pts | 83% | 81% | 74% | 68% | 67% | 69% | 73% | |
| 2nd pts | 5/10 | 13/19 | 7/10 | 16/29 | 12/22 | 13/24 | 66/114 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 68% | 70% | 55% | 55% | 54% | 58% | |
| Breaks | ||||||||
| Won | 4 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 24 | |
| Converted | 4/10 | 3/5 | 4/6 | 5/13 | 5/9 | 3/9 | 24/52 | |
| Converted % | 40% | 60% | 67% | 38% | 56% | 33% | 46% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 17 | |
| Saved | 0/1 | 0/0 | 0/0 | 0/3 | 4/7 | 3/6 | 7 | |
| Saved % | 0% | – | – | 0% | 57% | 50% | 27% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10 | |