Zhizhen Zhang and Brandon Nakashima will clash against each other in the 3rd round of the Shanghai Rolex Masters for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 9:00 pm on STADIUM COURT. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Brandon Nakashima who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Brandon Nakashima is the pick to win this match.
Brandon Nakashima -> 1.54
Zhizhen Zhang -> 2.48

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Prediction and head to head Zhizhen Zhang vs. Brandon Nakashima

There is no head to head record between Zhizhen Zhang and Brandon Nakashima since this will be the first time that they will face off in the main tour.

Zhizhen Zhang

Zhizhen Zhang

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
411
High
31
LLLWLLLLWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 4-12 2-10 0-0 2-2 0-0 0-0
2024 24-28 9-12 9-7 2-5 4-4 0-0
2023 30-29 12-13 15-10 1-2 2-4 0-0
2022 52-28 11-5 31-11 9-11 1-1 0-0
2021 15-12 1-1 9-6 0-1 5-4 0-0

Ranked no. 60, the Chinese got to the 3rd round after defeating Richard Gasquet 6-1 6-2 and Tomas Martin Etcheverry 4-6 6-3 6-4.

In the 2nd round against Etcheverry, Zhang recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-3 6-4). During the match, Zhang scored 85 points vs Etcheverry’s 81. Zhang was very aggressive to blast 47 winners.

Talking about the service games, Zhang blasted 6 aces and he was pretty steady in conceding no double faults. Overall, Zhizhen Zhang was very effective on serve to win 75% (47/63) of his 1st serve and 54% (14/26) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Chinese broke Etcheverry twice after converting 67% of his break points (2/3).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Chinese has conceded 1 set in this tournament to conquer 57% of the points he played.

Zhang has favorable record in the last 10 years having won 56% of his matches (260-201). 10-11 on hard in 2023. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Zhang has a composed 134-110 record in the last years on hard.

Zhizhen’s best result of the year was getting to the semifinal in Hamburg.

Zhang has a compiled 28-27 win-loss record in 2023, 10-11 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Shanghai

Shanghai
Zhang's Record

Brandon Nakashima

Brandon Nakashima

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
33
High
29
LLLWLWLLWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 33-30 19-14 6-8 2-5 6-3 0-0
2024 61-32 24-12 13-7 15-8 9-5 0-0
2023 21-26 9-15 3-4 8-3 1-4 0-0
2022 41-26 17-13 5-5 9-4 10-4 0-0
2021 45-25 17-10 4-7 20-5 4-3 0-0

Ranked no. 122, Nakashima reached the 3rd round after beating Bernabe Zapata Miralles 6-1 7-63 and Holger Rune 6-0 6-2.

In the 2nd round, Nakashima had a good straight sets win against Rune (6-0 6-2). During the match Nakashima scored 61 points vs Rune’s 37. Nakashima was extremely aggressive to blast 26 winners.

Talking about serving, Nakashima scored 5 aces and he was pretty steady in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Brandon Nakashima conceded no breaks for the entire match to save 1 break points. Furthermore, Nakashima put 73% of his first serves in, winning 81% (26/32) of the points behind his 1st serve and 42% (5/12) on the 2nd serve. Nakashima broke Rune 5 times after converting 36% of his break points (5/14).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Brandon hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 61% of the points he played.

Brandon’s best result of the year was getting to the semifinal in Lyon.

Nakashima has a composed 13-21 win-loss record in 2023, 9-13 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Shanghai
Nakashima's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Z.Zhang
B.Nakashima
3h:21
3h:21
Time on court​
2h:43
2h:43
!
2h:27
2h:27
Last match​
1h:09
1h:09
2
2
Match played
2
2
44
44
Games Played​
34
34
5
5
Set played​​
4
4
144
144
Total points​
126
126
72
72
Avg point​
63
63
69
69
Winners
61
61
34.5
34.5
Avg Winners​
30.5
30.5
48%
48%
Ratio winners
48%
48%
-- Serve --
17
17
Aces
14
14
8.5
8.5
Avg Aces
7
7
1
1
Double Faults
1
1
0.5
0.5
Avg Double Faults
0.5
0.5
69/86
69/86
1st won total​
61/69
61/69
!
80%
80%
1st won %
!
88%
88%
20/36
20/36
2nd won total​
14/29
14/29
56%
56%
2nd won %
48%
48%
-- Break Points --
7/14
7/14
BP won
7/16
7/16
3.5/7
3.5/7
Avg BP won
3.5/8
3.5/8
50%
50%
Won
44%
44%
6
6
Conceded
1
1
3
3
Avg Conceded
0.5
0.5
1
1
Broken
0
0
!
0.5
0.5
Avg Broken
!
0
0
5
5
Saved
1
1

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Zhang Nakashima
Match played 2 2
Tot Set 5 4
Tot Games 44 34
Pts 144-110 126-79
Total Points 254 205
Winners 69 61
%Winners 48% 48%

Both Zhang and Nakashima played 2 matches. At the moment, Zhizhen Zhang lost 1 set while Brandon Nakashima hasn’t dropped a set so far. Zhang has played 1 set more than Nakashima (5 vs 4). Therefore, Zhang played 10 games more than Nakashima. The Chinese scored 69 winners (48% of the total points). On the other side, Nakashima scored 61 winners (48%).

Serve Performance

Serve Zhang Nakashima
Aces 17 14
Avg per match 8.5 7
1st in 86/122 69/98
%1st in 70% 70%
1st pts 69/86 61/69
%1st pts 80% 88%
2nd pts 20/36 14/29
%2nd pts 56% 48%

Zhang struck 17 aces (8.5 per match). Nakashima managed to score 14 aces (7 per match). Zhang won 80% points behind his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 56% of the points. On the other side, Nakashima won 88% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 48% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Zhang Nakashima
Won 7 7
Converted 7/14 7/16
% Converted 50% 44%
Conceded 6 1
Saved 5 1
% Saved 83% 100%
Times Broken 1 0

Zhang broke his opponents 7 times with a 50% conversion rate. Zhizhen lost his serve once and he saved 83% of the break points that he conceded. Nakashima broke his opponents 7 times with a 44% conversion rate. The American was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 1 break points.

Zhang
R1
Gasquet
R2
Etcheverry
Total
Score 6-1 6-2 4-6 6-3 6-4
Tot Set 2 3 5
Tot Games 15 29 44
pts 59-29 85-81 144-110
Total points 88 166 254
Winners 22 47 69
%Winners 37% 55% 48%
SERVE
Aces 11 6 17
Double Faults 1 0 1
1st in 23/33 63/89 86/122
% 1st in 70% 71% 70%
1st pts 22/23 47/63 69/86
% 1st pts 96% 75% 80%
2nd pts 6/10 14/26 20/36
% 2nd pts 60% 54% 56%
Breaks
Won 5 2 7
Converted 5/11 2/3 7/14
Converted % 45% 67% 50%
Conceded 0 6 6
Saved 0/0 5/6 5
Saved % 83% 42%
Times Broken 0 1 1
Nakashima
R1
Zapata Miralles
R2
Rune
Total
Score 6-1 7-63 6-0 6-2
Tot Set 2 2 4
Tot Games 20 14 34
pts 65-42 61-37 126-79
Total points 107 98 205
Winners 35 26 61
%Winners 54% 43% 48%
SERVE
Aces 9 5 14
Double Faults 1 0 1
1st in 37/54 32/44 69/98
% 1st in 69% 73% 70%
1st pts 35/37 26/32 61/69
% 1st pts 95% 81% 88%
2nd pts 9/17 5/12 14/29
% 2nd pts 53% 42% 48%
Breaks
Won 2 5 7
Converted 2/2 5/14 7/16
Converted % 100% 36% 44%
Conceded 0 1 1
Saved 0/0 1/1 1
Saved % 100% 50%
Times Broken 0 0 0

Tennis Scores in Shanghai

Upcoming matches in the draw