Tomas Machac and Lucas Poullain will clash against each other in the semifinal of the Mouilleron for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 6:30 pm on CENTRAL. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Tomas Machac who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Tomas Machac is the pick to win this match.
Tomas Machac -> 1.32
Lucas Poullain -> 3.24
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Prediction and head to head Tomas Machac vs. Lucas Poullain
There is no head to head record between Tomas Machac and Lucas Poullain since this will be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.
Tomas Machac
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 37-24 | 22-11 | 9-5 | 5-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 52-27 | 15-10 | 16-11 | 18-5 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 47-19 | 24-6 | 5-2 | 18-10 | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| 2021 | 28-19 | 5-4 | 5-4 | 12-6 | 2-3 | 4-2 |
| 2020 | 27-12 | 0-0 | 12-6 | 15-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 |
Ranked no. 96 (career-high), the Czech got to the semifinal after beating Gijs Brouwer 2-6 7-62 6-2, Pierre-Hugues Herbert 6-4 7-65 and Luca Nardi 6-3 6-4.
In the quarter, The Czech had a good straight sets win against Nardi (6-3 6-4). During the match, Machac scored 73 points vs Nardi’s 57. The Czech was exceptionally aggressive to blast 28 winners.
Talking about the service games, Machac scored just 1 ace in the encounter and he committed only 4 double faults. Overall, Tomas Machac was extremely effective on serve to win 74% (28/38) of his 1st serve and 61% (11/18) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Machac broke Nardi 3 times after converting 25% of his break points (3/12).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Machac has conceded 1 set in this event to win 55% of the points he played.
Machac has a solid record in the last 7 years having won 67% of his matches (212-103). 10-1 on indoor hard courts in 2023. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Machac has a composed73-31 record in the last 7 years on indoor hard courts.
His best result of the current year was winning the title the Orleans Challenger where he defeated Jack Draper in the final 6-4 4-6 6-3.
Tomas has an overall 44-23 win-loss record in 2023, 10-1 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Le
Lucas Poullain
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 38-24 | 21-13 | 6-3 | 11-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 63-26 | 29-11 | 8-2 | 26-13 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 15-10 | 8-4 | 5-2 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 22-6 | 8-3 | 0-1 | 14-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 15-9 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 12-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 282 (career-high), Lucas got to the semifinal after beating Jules Marie 1-1 ret., Matteo Martineau 6-4 5-7 6-3 and Jack Draper 7-64 6-2.
In the quarter, Lucas had a good straight sets win against Draper (7-64 6-2). During the match Poullain scored 71 points vs Draper’s 58. The French player was very aggressive to blast 39 winners.
Talking about serving, Poullain wasn’t able to score even 1 ace for the entire match and he was pretty consistent in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Lucas Poullain was exceptionally effective on serve to win 80% (39/49) of his 1st serve and 59% (10/17) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Poullain broke Draper twice after converting 40% of his break points (2/5).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Poullain has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.
Poullain’s best result of the season was reaching the final in M15 Bressuire,M25 Faro,M25 Loule,M25 Nottingham,M25 Carnac,M25 Bakio and M25+H Ajaccio.
Lucas has an overall 57-20 win-loss record in 2023, 22-9 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Le
Previously, his best result was reaching the qualifications in 2014 and 2015. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Machac | Poullain |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 7 | 7 |
| Tot Games | 71 | 54 |
| Pts | 245-202 | 186-167 |
| Total Points | 447 | 353 |
| Winners | 104 | 95 |
| %Winners | 42% | 51% |
Both Machac and Poullain played 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Tomas Machac surrendered 1 set, while Lucas Poullain conceded 1 set. Talking about their workload, Machac and Poullain have played the same amount of sets 7. However, Machac played 17 games more than Poullain. Machac scored 104 winners (42% of the total points). On the other side, Lucas recorded 95 winners (51%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Machac | Poullain |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 13 | 2 |
| Avg per match | 4.3 | 0.7 |
| 1st in | 140/209 | 131/181 |
| %1st in | 67% | 72% |
| 1st pts | 104/140 | 95/131 |
| %1st pts | 74% | 73% |
| 2nd pts | 50/69 | 26/50 |
| %2nd pts | 72% | 52% |
Machac scored 13 aces (4.3 per match). Poullain blasted 2 aces (0.7 per match). Machac won 74% points behind his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 72% of the points. On the other side, Poullain won 73% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 52% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Machac | Poullain |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 7 | 7 |
| Converted | 7/24 | 7/15 |
| % Converted | 29% | 47% |
| Conceded | 12 | 15 |
| Saved | 8 | 12 |
| % Saved | 67% | 80% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 3 |
Machac broke his opponents 7 times with a 29% conversion rate. The Czech dropped his serve 4 times and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded. The French player broke his opponents 7 times with a 47% conversion rate. The French player conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 80% of the break points that he conceded.
| Machac | |||||
| R1 Brouwer |
R2 Herbert |
1/4 Nardi |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 2-6 7-62 6-2 | 6-4 7-65 | 6-3 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 29 | 23 | 19 | 71 | |
| pts | 98-87 | 74-58 | 73-57 | 245-202 | |
| Total points | 185 | 132 | 130 | 447 | |
| Winners | 43 | 33 | 28 | 104 | |
| %Winners | 44% | 45% | 38% | 42% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 7 | 5 | 1 | 13 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 62/93 | 40/60 | 38/56 | 140/209 | |
| % 1st in | 67% | 67% | 68% | 67% | |
| 1st pts | 43/62 | 33/40 | 28/38 | 104/140 | |
| % 1st pts | 69% | 83% | 74% | 74% | |
| 2nd pts | 21/31 | 18/20 | 11/18 | 50/69 | |
| % 2nd pts | 68% | 90% | 61% | 72% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 3 | 1 | 3 | 7 | |
| Converted | 3/9 | 1/3 | 3/12 | 7/24 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 33% | 25% | 29% | |
| Conceded | 9 | 2 | 1 | 12 | |
| Saved | 6/9 | 2/2 | 0/1 | 8 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 100% | 0% | 56% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | |
| Poullain | |||||
| R1 Marie |
R2 Martineau |
1/4 Draper |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 1-1 ret. | 6-4 5-7 6-3 | 7-64 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 2 | 31 | 21 | 54 | |
| pts | 14-13 | 101-96 | 71-58 | 186-167 | |
| Total points | 27 | 197 | 129 | 353 | |
| Winners | 9 | 47 | 39 | 95 | |
| %Winners | 64% | 47% | 55% | 51% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| 1st in | 15/19 | 67/96 | 49/66 | 131/181 | |
| % 1st in | 79% | 70% | 74% | 72% | |
| 1st pts | 9/15 | 47/67 | 39/49 | 95/131 | |
| % 1st pts | 60% | 70% | 80% | 73% | |
| 2nd pts | 0/4 | 16/29 | 10/17 | 26/50 | |
| % 2nd pts | 0% | 55% | 59% | 52% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 | |
| Converted | 1/2 | 4/8 | 2/5 | 7/15 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 50% | 40% | 47% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 6 | 5 | 15 | |
| Saved | 3/4 | 4/6 | 5/5 | 12 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 67% | 100% | 81% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | |
Head 2 Head
LLWWLWLWWW
WWWWWLLWWW Tennis Scores in Le
- Antoine EscoffierEscoffier – Hugo GastonGaston (6-1 6-4) – See score progression
- Tomas MachacMachac – Luca NardiNardi (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Lucas PoullainPoullain – Jack DraperDraper (7-64 6-2) – See score progression
- Arthur FeryFery – Giulio ZeppieriZeppieri (7-63 6-2) – See score progression
- Julian Cash/Robert GallowayCash/Robert Galloway – Roman Jebavy/Petr NouzaJebavy/Petr Nouza (6-3 7-62) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Antoine EscoffierEscoffier – (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Tomas MachacMachac – Lucas PoullainPoullain (0-0) – H2H and prediction
