Iga Swiatek and Cori Gauff will face off in the semifinal of the China Open for the 9^th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 2:30 pm on Diamond. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Iga Swiatek who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Iga Swiatek is the pick to win this match.
Iga Swiatek -> 1.52
Cori Gauff -> 2.54

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Prediction and head to head Iga Swiatek vs. Cori Gauff

This will be the 9^th time that Iga Swiatek and Cori Gauff fight against each other. The head to head is 7-1 for Swiatek (see full H2H stats), 4-1 on hard.

The last time that they competed against each other, Gauff won 7-6(2) 3-6 6-4 in the semifinal in Cincinnati back in August 2023.

Highlights Cori Gauff vs Iga Swiatek – Cincinnati 19-August-2023

Iga Swiatek

Ranked no. 2, Iga got to the semifinal after beating Sara Sorribes Tormo 6-4 6-3, Varvara Gracheva 6-4 6-1, Magda Linette 6-1 6-1 and Caroline Garcia 6-7⁸ 7-6⁵ 6-1.

In the quarter against Garcia, Iga recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (6-7⁸ 7-6⁵ 6-1). During the match, Swiatek scored 113 points vs Garcia’s 96. The Pole was quite aggressive to blast 60 winners.

Regarding the service games, Swiatek bagged 4 aces and she committed only 1 double fault. Iga Swiatek lost the serve twice. Furthermore, Swiatek put 76% of her first serves in, winning 81% (60/74) of the points behind her 1st serve and 48% (11/23) on the 2nd serve. The Pole broke Garcia 4 times after converting 67% of her break points (4/6).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Pole has conceded 1 set in this tournament to win 58% of the points she played.

Swiatek has a fantastic match record in the last 8 years having won 81% of her matches (278-67). 35-8 on hard in 2023. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this competition, Swiatek has an overall126-37 match record in the last 8 years on hard.

Her best result of the current season was winning the title in Doha where she beat Jessica Pegula in the final 6-3 6-0 and in Stuttgart where she beat Aryna Sabalenka in the final 6-3 6-4 and at the French Open where she beat Karolina Muchova in the final 6-2 5-7 6-4 and in Warsaw where she defeated Laura Siegemund in the final 6-0 6-1.

The Pole has an overall 61-11 win-loss record in 2023, 35-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Beijing

The Pole has never competed in this tournament before.

Cori Gauff

Ranked no. 3 (career-high), the American reached the semifinal after defeating Ekaterina Alexandrova 7-5 6-3, Petra Martic 7-5 5-7 7-6², Veronika Kudermetova 7-6⁵ 6-2 and Maria Sakkari 6-2 6-4.

In the quarter, Cori had a good straight sets win against Sakkari (6-2 6-4). During the match Gauff scored 63 points vs Sakkari’s 47. Cori was exceptionally aggressive to blast 26 winners.

Talking about serving, Gauff struck 4 aces and she committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Cori Gauff was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 84% (26/31) of her 1st serve and 65% (11/17) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The American broke Sakkari 3 times after converting 30% of her break points (3/10).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The American has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points she played.

Her best result of the current season was conquering the title in Auckland where she defeated Rebeka Masarova in the final 6-1 6-1 and in Washington where she defeated Maria Sakkari in the final 6-2 6-3 and in Cincinnati where she defeated Karolina Muchova in the final 6-3 6-4 and at the U.S. Open where she overcame Aryna Sabalenka in the final 2-6 6-3 6-2.

Gauff has an aggregate 49-13 win-loss record in 2023, 38-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Swiatek	Gauff
Match played	4	4
Tot Set	9	9
Tot Games	83	97
Pts	288-212	322-280
Total Points	500	602
Winners	115	132
%Winners	40%	41%

Both Swiatek and Gauff played 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Iga Swiatek surrendered 1 set, while Cori Gauff surrendered 1 set. Talking about their workload, Swiatek and Gauff have played the same amount of sets 9. However, Swiatek played 14 games less than Gauff. Iga scored 115 winners (40% of the total points). On the other side, The American bagged 132 winners (41%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Swiatek	Gauff
Aces	6	15
Avg per match	1.5	3.8
1st in	155/222	186/308
%1st in	70%	60%
1st pts	115/155	132/186
%1st pts	74%	71%
2nd pts	39/67	60/122
%2nd pts	58%	49%

Swiatek fired 6 aces (1.5 per match). Gauff blasted 15 aces (3.8 per match). Swiatek won 74% points behind her first serve. She was rock solid on her second serve to win 58% of the points. On the other side, Gauff won 71% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 49% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Swiatek	Gauff
Won	21	18
Converted	21/36	18/34
% Converted	58%	53%
Conceded	8	26
Saved	1	15
% Saved	13%	58%
Times Broken	7	11

The Pole broke her opponents 21 times with a 58% conversion rate. The Pole surrendered her serve 7 times and she saved 13% of the break points that she conceded. Gauff broke her opponents 18 times with a 53% conversion rate. The American conceded her serve 11 times and she saved 58% of the break points that she conceded.

Swiatek
	R1 Sorribes Tormo	R2 Gracheva	R3 Linette	1/4 Garcia	Total
Score	6-4 6-3	6-4 6-1	6-1 6-1	6-78 7-65 6-1
Tot Set	2	2	2	3	9
Tot Games	19	17	14	33	83
pts	64-48	60-42	51-26	113-96	288-212
Total points	112	102	77	209	500
Winners	17	22	16	60	115
%Winners	27%	37%	31%	53%	40%
SERVE
Aces	0	2	0	4	6
Double Faults	1	0	0	1	2
1st in	32/45	30/44	19/36	74/97	155/222
% 1st in	71%	68%	53%	76%	70%
1st pts	17/32	22/30	16/19	60/74	115/155
% 1st pts	53%	73%	84%	81%	74%
2nd pts	7/13	9/14	12/17	11/23	39/67
% 2nd pts	54%	64%	71%	48%	58%
Breaks
Won	7	5	5	4	21
Converted	7/14	5/9	5/7	4/6	21/36
Converted %	50%	56%	71%	67%	58%
Conceded	5	1	0	2	8
Saved	1/5	0/1	0/0	0/2	1
Saved %	20%	0%	–	0%	5%
Times Broken	4	1	0	2	7

Gauff
	R1 Alexandrova	R2 Martic	R3 Kudermetova	1/4 Sakkari	Total
Score	7-5 6-3	7-5 5-7 7-62	7-65 6-2	6-2 6-4
Tot Set	2	3	2	2	9
Tot Games	21	37	21	18	97
pts	71-59	117-112	71-62	63-47	322-280
Total points	130	229	133	110	602
Winners	29	55	22	26	132
%Winners	41%	47%	31%	41%	41%
SERVE
Aces	3	5	3	4	15
Double Faults	4	7	2	1	14
1st in	39/71	82/123	34/66	31/48	186/308
% 1st in	55%	67%	52%	65%	60%
1st pts	29/39	55/82	22/34	26/31	132/186
% 1st pts	74%	67%	65%	84%	71%
2nd pts	15/32	17/41	17/32	11/17	60/122
% 2nd pts	47%	41%	53%	65%	49%
Breaks
Won	4	6	5	3	18
Converted	4/8	6/8	5/8	3/10	18/34
Converted %	50%	75%	63%	30%	53%
Conceded	5	15	6	0	26
Saved	3/5	9/15	3/6	0/0	15
Saved %	60%	60%	50%	–	43%
Times Broken	2	6	3	0	11

Tennis Scores in Beijing

• Cori GauffGauff – Maria SakkariSakkari (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
• Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Caroline GarciaGarcia (6-7⁸ 7-6⁵ 6-1) – See score progression
• Liudmila SamsonovaSamsonova – Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
• Magda Linette/Peyton StearnsLinette/Peyton Stearns – Beatriz Haddad Maia/Veronika KudermetovaHaddad Maia/Veronika Kudermetova (1-6 7-6³ 10-8) – See score progression
• Liudmila SamsonovaSamsonova – Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
• Cori GauffGauff – Maria SakkariSakkari (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
• Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Caroline GarciaGarcia (6-7(8) 7-6(5) 6-1) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Elena RybakinaRybakina (4-1) – H2H and prediction
• Cori GauffGauff – Iga SwiatekSwiatek (1-7) – H2H and prediction