Iga Swiatek and Cori Gauff will face off in the semifinal of the China Open for the 9th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 2:30 pm on Diamond. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Iga Swiatek who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Iga Swiatek is the pick to win this match.
Iga Swiatek -> 1.52
Cori Gauff -> 2.54
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Prediction and head to head Iga Swiatek vs. Cori Gauff
This will be the 9th time that Iga Swiatek and Cori Gauff fight against each other. The head to head is 7-1 for Swiatek (see full H2H stats), 4-1 on hard.
The last time that they competed against each other, Gauff won 7-6(2) 3-6 6-4 in the semifinal in Cincinnati back in August 2023.
Highlights Cori Gauff vs Iga Swiatek – Cincinnati 19-August-2023
Iga Swiatek
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 61-9 | 29-5 | 26-2 | 4-1 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 68-11 | 42-8 | 19-2 | 0-0 | 7-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 67-9 | 42-6 | 18-1 | 5-1 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 36-15 | 18-10 | 12-2 | 2-1 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 16-5 | 6-4 | 7-1 | 3-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 2, Iga got to the semifinal after beating Sara Sorribes Tormo 6-4 6-3, Varvara Gracheva 6-4 6-1, Magda Linette 6-1 6-1 and Caroline Garcia 6-78 7-65 6-1.
In the quarter against Garcia, Iga recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (6-78 7-65 6-1). During the match, Swiatek scored 113 points vs Garcia’s 96. The Pole was quite aggressive to blast 60 winners.
Regarding the service games, Swiatek bagged 4 aces and she committed only 1 double fault. Iga Swiatek lost the serve twice. Furthermore, Swiatek put 76% of her first serves in, winning 81% (60/74) of the points behind her 1st serve and 48% (11/23) on the 2nd serve. The Pole broke Garcia 4 times after converting 67% of her break points (4/6).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Pole has conceded 1 set in this tournament to win 58% of the points she played.
Swiatek has a fantastic match record in the last 8 years having won 81% of her matches (278-67). 35-8 on hard in 2023. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this competition, Swiatek has an overall126-37 match record in the last 8 years on hard.
Her best result of the current season was winning the title in Doha where she beat Jessica Pegula in the final 6-3 6-0 and in Stuttgart where she beat Aryna Sabalenka in the final 6-3 6-4 and at the French Open where she beat Karolina Muchova in the final 6-2 5-7 6-4 and in Warsaw where she defeated Laura Siegemund in the final 6-0 6-1.
The Pole has an overall 61-11 win-loss record in 2023, 35-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Beijing
The Pole has never competed in this tournament before.
Cori Gauff
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 54-17 | 31-9 | 14-5 | 4-1 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 51-16 | 40-9 | 7-4 | 0-0 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 38-23 | 23-16 | 10-4 | 0-1 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 36-16 | 16-10 | 16-4 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 12-8 | 7-5 | 2-2 | 3-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 3 (career-high), the American reached the semifinal after defeating Ekaterina Alexandrova 7-5 6-3, Petra Martic 7-5 5-7 7-62, Veronika Kudermetova 7-65 6-2 and Maria Sakkari 6-2 6-4.
In the quarter, Cori had a good straight sets win against Sakkari (6-2 6-4). During the match Gauff scored 63 points vs Sakkari’s 47. Cori was exceptionally aggressive to blast 26 winners.
Talking about serving, Gauff struck 4 aces and she committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Cori Gauff was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 84% (26/31) of her 1st serve and 65% (11/17) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The American broke Sakkari 3 times after converting 30% of her break points (3/10).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The American has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points she played.
Her best result of the current season was conquering the title in Auckland where she defeated Rebeka Masarova in the final 6-1 6-1 and in Washington where she defeated Maria Sakkari in the final 6-2 6-3 and in Cincinnati where she defeated Karolina Muchova in the final 6-3 6-4 and at the U.S. Open where she overcame Aryna Sabalenka in the final 2-6 6-3 6-2.
Gauff has an aggregate 49-13 win-loss record in 2023, 38-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Swiatek | Gauff |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 9 | 9 |
| Tot Games | 83 | 97 |
| Pts | 288-212 | 322-280 |
| Total Points | 500 | 602 |
| Winners | 115 | 132 |
| %Winners | 40% | 41% |
Both Swiatek and Gauff played 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Iga Swiatek surrendered 1 set, while Cori Gauff surrendered 1 set. Talking about their workload, Swiatek and Gauff have played the same amount of sets 9. However, Swiatek played 14 games less than Gauff. Iga scored 115 winners (40% of the total points). On the other side, The American bagged 132 winners (41%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Swiatek | Gauff |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 6 | 15 |
| Avg per match | 1.5 | 3.8 |
| 1st in | 155/222 | 186/308 |
| %1st in | 70% | 60% |
| 1st pts | 115/155 | 132/186 |
| %1st pts | 74% | 71% |
| 2nd pts | 39/67 | 60/122 |
| %2nd pts | 58% | 49% |
Swiatek fired 6 aces (1.5 per match). Gauff blasted 15 aces (3.8 per match). Swiatek won 74% points behind her first serve. She was rock solid on her second serve to win 58% of the points. On the other side, Gauff won 71% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 49% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Swiatek | Gauff |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 21 | 18 |
| Converted | 21/36 | 18/34 |
| % Converted | 58% | 53% |
| Conceded | 8 | 26 |
| Saved | 1 | 15 |
| % Saved | 13% | 58% |
| Times Broken | 7 | 11 |
The Pole broke her opponents 21 times with a 58% conversion rate. The Pole surrendered her serve 7 times and she saved 13% of the break points that she conceded. Gauff broke her opponents 18 times with a 53% conversion rate. The American conceded her serve 11 times and she saved 58% of the break points that she conceded.
| Swiatek | ||||||
| R1 Sorribes Tormo |
R2 Gracheva |
R3 Linette |
1/4 Garcia |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-3 | 6-4 6-1 | 6-1 6-1 | 6-78 7-65 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 17 | 14 | 33 | 83 | |
| pts | 64-48 | 60-42 | 51-26 | 113-96 | 288-212 | |
| Total points | 112 | 102 | 77 | 209 | 500 | |
| Winners | 17 | 22 | 16 | 60 | 115 | |
| %Winners | 27% | 37% | 31% | 53% | 40% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 32/45 | 30/44 | 19/36 | 74/97 | 155/222 | |
| % 1st in | 71% | 68% | 53% | 76% | 70% | |
| 1st pts | 17/32 | 22/30 | 16/19 | 60/74 | 115/155 | |
| % 1st pts | 53% | 73% | 84% | 81% | 74% | |
| 2nd pts | 7/13 | 9/14 | 12/17 | 11/23 | 39/67 | |
| % 2nd pts | 54% | 64% | 71% | 48% | 58% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 7 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 21 | |
| Converted | 7/14 | 5/9 | 5/7 | 4/6 | 21/36 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 56% | 71% | 67% | 58% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | |
| Saved | 1/5 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 0/2 | 1 | |
| Saved % | 20% | 0% | – | 0% | 5% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | |
| Gauff | ||||||
| R1 Alexandrova |
R2 Martic |
R3 Kudermetova |
1/4 Sakkari |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 6-3 | 7-5 5-7 7-62 | 7-65 6-2 | 6-2 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 21 | 37 | 21 | 18 | 97 | |
| pts | 71-59 | 117-112 | 71-62 | 63-47 | 322-280 | |
| Total points | 130 | 229 | 133 | 110 | 602 | |
| Winners | 29 | 55 | 22 | 26 | 132 | |
| %Winners | 41% | 47% | 31% | 41% | 41% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 3 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 15 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 14 | |
| 1st in | 39/71 | 82/123 | 34/66 | 31/48 | 186/308 | |
| % 1st in | 55% | 67% | 52% | 65% | 60% | |
| 1st pts | 29/39 | 55/82 | 22/34 | 26/31 | 132/186 | |
| % 1st pts | 74% | 67% | 65% | 84% | 71% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/32 | 17/41 | 17/32 | 11/17 | 60/122 | |
| % 2nd pts | 47% | 41% | 53% | 65% | 49% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 4 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 18 | |
| Converted | 4/8 | 6/8 | 5/8 | 3/10 | 18/34 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 75% | 63% | 30% | 53% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 15 | 6 | 0 | 26 | |
| Saved | 3/5 | 9/15 | 3/6 | 0/0 | 15 | |
| Saved % | 60% | 60% | 50% | – | 43% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 11 | |
Head 2 Head
WLWLWWWWLW
WWLWWLWWWW Tennis Scores in Beijing
- Cori GauffGauff – Maria SakkariSakkari (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Caroline GarciaGarcia (6-78 7-65 6-1) – See score progression
- Liudmila SamsonovaSamsonova – Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Magda Linette/Peyton StearnsLinette/Peyton Stearns – Beatriz Haddad Maia/Veronika KudermetovaHaddad Maia/Veronika Kudermetova (1-6 7-63 10-8) – See score progression
- Liudmila SamsonovaSamsonova – Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Cori GauffGauff – Maria SakkariSakkari (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Caroline GarciaGarcia (6-7(8) 7-6(5) 6-1) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Elena RybakinaRybakina (4-1) – H2H and prediction
- Cori GauffGauff – Iga SwiatekSwiatek (1-7) – H2H and prediction
