Jan-Lennard Struff and Matteo Arnaldi will face off in the 2nd round of the Shanghai Rolex Masters for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 12:30 pm on COURT 4. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jan-Lennard Struff who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Jan-Lennard Struff is the pick to win this match.
Jan-Lennard Struff -> 1.81
Matteo Arnaldi -> 2

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Prediction and head to head Jan-Lennard Struff vs. Matteo Arnaldi

This will be the 2nd time that Jan-Lennard Struff and Matteo Arnaldi clash against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Struff (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on hard.

The last time that they locked horns, Struff won 4-6 6-1 6-4 in the quarter in the Bergamo Challenger back in 2022.

Jan-Lennard Struff

Jan-Lennard Struff

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
84
High
21
LLWWWWWLWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 27-30 7-11 5-8 12-8 3-3 0-0
2024 30-21 4-8 15-5 5-6 6-2 0-0
2023 45-24 21-9 14-7 5-6 5-2 0-0
2022 23-22 3-10 7-4 12-4 1-4 0-0
2021 26-30 8-11 11-8 6-8 1-3 0-0

Ranked no. 27, Struff will start his run in Shanghai after he played his last match in Beijing where he lost 7-6(5) 6-3 to Ruud

in the 1st round on the 29th of September.

Struff has a compiled 42-19 win-loss record in 2023, 21-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Struff’s best result of the year was getting to the final in Madrid and Stuttgart.

Talking about his overall career, The German has an overall 525-384 record. He has a negative 93-94 record on hard.

Previously in Shanghai

Previously, his best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2017. See his history.

Shanghai
Struff's Record

Matteo Arnaldi

Matteo Arnaldi

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
61
High
30
LLWWWLLWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 23-26 11-14 7-6 5-4 0-2 0-0
2024 29-26 17-13 10-9 1-2 1-2 0-0
2023 51-26 21-15 23-7 4-3 3-1 0-0
2022 50-35 9-3 37-20 4-11 0-1 0-0
2021 56-24 2-1 51-18 3-5 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 42 (career-high), Matteo got to the 2nd round after beating Alexei Popyrin 4-6 6-3 6-4.

In the 1st round against Popyrin, Matteo recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-3 6-4). During the match Arnaldi scored 91 points vs Popyrin’s 83. The Italian was pretty aggressive to blast 34 winners.

About the serving games, Arnaldi made 2 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Matteo Arnaldi was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 76% (34/45) of his 1st serve and 52% (23/44) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve 3 times. The Italian broke Popyrin 4 times after converting 50% of his break points (4/8).

His best result of the current season was winning the title the Tenerife 2 Challenger where he beat Raul Brancaccio in the final 6-1 6-2 and the Murcia Challenger where he overcame Borna Gojo in the final 6-4 7-6(4) and the Heilbronn Challenger where he defeated Facundo Diaz Acosta in the final 7-6(4) 6-1.

The Italian has a compiled 48-23 win-loss record in 2023, 20-14 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Shanghai
Arnaldi's Record

Tennis Scores in Shanghai

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