Elias Ymer and Dennis Novak will fight against each other in the quarter of the Alicante Challenger for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 3:00 pm on PISTA CENTRAL. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Dennis Novak who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Dennis Novak is the pick to win this match.
Dennis Novak -> 1.63
Elias Ymer -> 2.21

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Prediction and head to head Elias Ymer vs. Dennis Novak

This will be the 3rd time that Elias Ymer and Dennis Novak clash against each other. The head to head is 1-1 for Ymer and Novak (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on hard.

The last time that they squared off, Ymer won 6-4 2-6 6-2 in the 1st round in the Prostejov Challenger back in June 2023.

Elias Ymer

Elias Ymer

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
326
High
105
LWLWLWWLWL
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 24-32 7-15 6-9 8-7 3-1 0-0
2023 42-41 10-13 24-17 7-10 1-1 0-0
2022 39-32 12-11 20-15 5-4 2-2 0-0
2021 35-29 9-9 20-11 6-8 0-1 0-0
2020 10-12 1-4 8-6 1-2 0-0 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 172, Ymer got to the quarter after beating Adrian Andreev 4-6 6-1 6-4 and Mattia Bellucci 3-6 7-65 6-3.

In the 2nd round against Bellucci, Ymer recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 7-65 6-3).During the match, Ymer scored less points (4) than Bellucci. In fact, the world no. 172 won 91 points vs Bellucci’s. That means that Ymer was more focused during the important points. The Swede was very aggressive to blast 42 winners.

Regarding the service games, Ymer bagged 7 aces and he committed only 8 double faults. Overall, Elias Ymer was very efficient on serve to win 76% (42/55) of his 1st serve and 55% (24/44) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. The Swede broke Bellucci once after converting 20% of his break points (1/5).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Elias has dropped 2 set in this competition to win 51% of the points he played.

Ymer has positive record in the last 10 years having won 55% of his matches (341-274). 10-11 on hard in 2023. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Ymer has a compiled 68-77 record in the last years on hard.

Elias’s best result of the season was reaching the semifinal in the Grodzisk Mazowiecki Challenger.

Elias has a composed 35-33 win-loss record in 2023, 10-11 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Alicante Challenger

Alicante Challenger
Ymer's Record

Dennis Novak

Dennis Novak

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
352
High
85
LWLWLLWWWW
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 28-26 5-6 18-15 5-4 0-1 0-0
2023 38-23 12-3 12-10 10-8 4-2 0-0
2022 33-27 2-2 21-14 6-9 4-1 0-1
2021 26-29 1-3 9-12 14-11 2-3 0-0
2020 16-14 8-6 0-2 8-6 0-0 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 196, the Austrian got to the quarter after defeating Alex Molcan 6-1 6-3 and Frederico Ferreira Silva 7-5 7-67.

In the 2nd round, The Austrian had a good straight sets win against Ferreira Silva (7-5 7-67). During the match Novak scored 83 points vs Ferreira Silva’s 68. Dennis was quite aggressive to blast 36 winners.

Talking about serving, Novak fired 12 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Dennis Novak was very efficient on serve to win 78% (36/46) of his 1st serve and 68% (17/25) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Dennis broke Ferreira Silva twice after converting 29% of his break points (2/7).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Dennis hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 57% of the points he played.

His best result of the season was conquering the title the Nonthaburi 1 Challenger where he beat Tung-Lin Wu in the final 6-4 6-4.

Novak has a compiled 30-18 win-loss record in 2023, 11-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Alicante Challenger
Novak's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

E.Ymer
D.Novak
4h:13
4h:13
Time on court​
2h:59
2h:59
!
2h:26
2h:26
Last match​
1h:59
1h:59
2
2
Match played
2
2
58
58
Games Played​
41
41
6
6
Set played​​
4
4
172
172
Total points​
142
142
86
86
Avg point​
71
71
84
84
Winners
57
57
42
42
Avg Winners​
28.5
28.5
49%
49%
Ratio winners
40%
40%
-- Serve --
22
22
Aces
22
22
!
11
11
Avg Aces
!
11
11
11
11
Double Faults
7
7
!
5.5
5.5
Avg Double Faults
3.5
3.5
84/106
84/106
1st won total​
57/72
57/72
!
79%
79%
1st won %
!
79%
79%
38/69
38/69
2nd won total​
29/47
29/47
55%
55%
2nd won %
!
62%
62%
-- Break Points --
4/9
4/9
BP won
7/15
7/15
2/4.5
2/4.5
Avg BP won
3.5/7.5
3.5/7.5
44%
44%
Won
47%
47%
9
9
Conceded
7
7
4.5
4.5
Avg Conceded
3.5
3.5
3
3
Broken
2
2
1.5
1.5
Avg Broken
1
1
6
6
Saved
5
5
See Allstats

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Ymer Novak
Match played 2 2
Tot Set 6 4
Tot Games 58 41
Pts 172-162 142-105
Total Points 334 247
Winners 84 57
%Winners 49% 40%

Both Ymer and Novak played 2 matches. At the moment, Elias Ymer dropped 2 sets while Dennis Novak hasn’t dropped a set so far. Ymer has played 2 sets more than Novak (6 vs 4). Therefore, Ymer played 17 games more than Novak. The Swede scored 84 winners (49% of the total points). On the other side, Dennis fired 57 winners (40%).

Serve Performance

Serve Ymer Novak
Aces 22 22
Avg per match 11 11
1st in 106/175 72/119
%1st in 61% 61%
1st pts 84/106 57/72
%1st pts 79% 79%
2nd pts 38/69 29/47
%2nd pts 55% 62%

Ymer struck 22 aces (11 per match). Novak fired 22 aces (11 per match). Ymer won 79% points on his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 55% of the points. On the other side, Novak won 79% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 62% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Ymer Novak
Won 4 7
Converted 4/9 7/15
% Converted 44% 47%
Conceded 9 7
Saved 6 5
% Saved 67% 71%
Times Broken 3 2

The Swede broke his opponents 4 times with a 44% conversion rate. Ymer dropped his serve 3 times and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded. The Austrian broke his opponents 7 times with a 47% conversion rate. The Austrian conceded his serve twice and he saved 71% of the break points that he conceded.

Ymer
R1
Andreev		 R2
Bellucci		 Total
Score 4-6 6-1 6-4 3-6 7-65 6-3
Tot Set 3 3 6
Tot Games 27 31 58
pts 81-67 91-95 172-162
Total points 148 186 334
Winners 42 42 84
%Winners 52% 46% 49%
SERVE
Aces 15 7 22
Double Faults 3 8 11
1st in 51/76 55/99 106/175
% 1st in 67% 56% 61%
1st pts 42/51 42/55 84/106
% 1st pts 82% 76% 79%
2nd pts 14/25 24/44 38/69
% 2nd pts 56% 55% 55%
Breaks
Won 3 1 4
Converted 3/4 1/5 4/9
Converted % 75% 20% 44%
Conceded 1 8 9
Saved 0/1 6/8 6
Saved % 0% 75% 38%
Times Broken 1 2 3
Novak
R1
Molcan		 R2
Ferreira Silva		 Total
Score 6-1 6-3 7-5 7-67
Tot Set 2 2 4
Tot Games 16 25 41
pts 59-37 83-68 142-105
Total points 96 151 247
Winners 21 36 57
%Winners 36% 43% 40%
SERVE
Aces 10 12 22
Double Faults 4 3 7
1st in 26/48 46/71 72/119
% 1st in 54% 65% 61%
1st pts 21/26 36/46 57/72
% 1st pts 81% 78% 79%
2nd pts 12/22 17/25 29/47
% 2nd pts 55% 68% 62%
Breaks
Won 5 2 7
Converted 5/8 2/7 7/15
Converted % 63% 29% 47%
Conceded 4 3 7
Saved 3/4 2/3 5
Saved % 75% 67% 71%
Times Broken 1 1 2

Tennis Scores in Alicante Challenger

  • Nick Chappell/Martin DammChappell/Martin Damm – Nicolas Barrientos/Andre GoranssonBarrientos/Andre Goransson (7-5 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

Ymer
More Stats
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Novak

Click for FULL STATS