Cori Gauff and Maria Sakkari will square off in the quarter of the China Open for the 7th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 2:30 pm on Diamond. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Cori Gauff who should win in 3 sets.
Cori Gauff -> 1.61
Maria Sakkari -> 2.32
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Prediction and head to head Cori Gauff vs. Maria Sakkari
This will be the 7th time that Cori Gauff and Maria Sakkari square off. The head to head is 4-2 for Sakkari (see full H2H stats), 3-1 on hard.
The last time that they played each other, Gauff won 6-2 6-3 in the final in Washington back in August 2023.
Highlights Cori Gauff vs Maria Sakkari – Washington 06-August-2023
Cori Gauff
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 48-16 | 29-9 | 18-3 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 54-18 | 31-10 | 14-5 | 4-1 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 51-16 | 40-9 | 7-4 | 0-0 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 38-23 | 23-16 | 10-4 | 0-1 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 36-16 | 16-10 | 16-4 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 3 (career-high), Cori got to the quarter after beating Ekaterina Alexandrova 7-5 6-3, Petra Martic 7-5 5-7 7-62 and Veronika Kudermetova 7-65 6-2.
In the 3rd round, Gauff had a good straight sets win against Kudermetova (7-65 6-2). During the match, Gauff scored 71 points vs Kudermetova’s 62. Cori was pretty aggressive to blast 22 winners.
Talking about the service games, Gauff struck 3 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Cori Gauff lost the serve 3 times and she saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Gauff put 52% of her first serves in, winning 65% (22/34) of the points behind her 1st serve and 53% (17/32) on the 2nd serve. The American broke Kudermetova 5 times after converting 63% of her break points (5/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Gauff has surrendered 1 set in this tournament to conquer 53% of the points she played.
Gauff has a solid record in the last 7 years having won 69% of her matches (172-79). 37-6 on hard in 2023. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Gauff has a compiled96-45 record in the last 7 years on hard.
Her best result of the year was conquering the title in Auckland where she beat Rebeka Masarova in the final 6-1 6-1 and in Washington where she overcame Maria Sakkari in the final 6-2 6-3 and in Cincinnati where she overcame Karolina Muchova in the final 6-3 6-4 and at the U.S. Open where she overcame Aryna Sabalenka in the final 2-6 6-3 6-2.
Cori has a compiled 48-13 win-loss record in 2023, 37-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Beijing
Gauff has never competed in this tournament before.
Maria Sakkari
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 25-29 | 14-19 | 7-5 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 25-17 | 12-8 | 11-6 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 38-25 | 26-17 | 5-4 | 3-1 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 40-23 | 21-12 | 8-5 | 4-2 | 7-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 38-20 | 23-13 | 9-4 | 5-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 6, Sakkari reached the quarter after defeating Linda Fruhvirtova 6-4 6-2 and Xinyu Wang 6-4 2-6 6-3.
In the 3rd round, Maria defeated Wang (6-4 2-6 6-3). During the match Sakkari scored 103 points vs Wang’s 98. Sakkari was extremely aggressive to blast 38 winners.
About the serving games, Sakkari struck 3 aces and she committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Maria Sakkari lost the serve 3 times and she saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Sakkari put 64% of her first serves in, winning 58% (38/65) of the points behind her 1st serve and 65% (24/37) on the 2nd serve. Maria broke Wang 3 times after converting 21% of her break points (3/14).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Sakkari has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points she played.
Her best result of the year was winning the title in Guadalajara where she beat Caroline Dolehide in the final 7-5 6-3.
The Greek has a composed 38-20 win-loss record in 2023, 26-12 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Gauff | Sakkari |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 7 | 5 |
| Tot Games | 79 | 45 |
| Pts | 259-233 | 171-151 |
| Total Points | 492 | 322 |
| Winners | 106 | 63 |
| %Winners | 41% | 37% |
Gauff played 3 matches while Sakkari competed in 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Cori Gauff lost 1 set, while Maria Sakkari conceded 1 set. Gauff has played 2 sets more than Sakkari (7 vs 5). Therefore, Gauff played 34 games more than Sakkari. Cori scored 106 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, Maria made 63 winners (37%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Gauff | Sakkari |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 11 | 6 |
| Avg per match | 3.7 | 3 |
| 1st in | 155/260 | 97/160 |
| %1st in | 60% | 61% |
| 1st pts | 106/155 | 63/97 |
| %1st pts | 68% | 65% |
| 2nd pts | 49/105 | 35/63 |
| %2nd pts | 47% | 56% |
Gauff struck 11 aces (3.7 per match). Sakkari bagged 6 aces (3 per match). Gauff won 68% points on her first serve. She was rock solid on her second serve to win 47% of the points. On the other side, Sakkari won 65% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 56% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Gauff | Sakkari |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 15 | 8 |
| Converted | 15/24 | 8/24 |
| % Converted | 63% | 33% |
| Conceded | 26 | 13 |
| Saved | 15 | 8 |
| % Saved | 58% | 62% |
| Times Broken | 11 | 5 |
The American broke her opponents 15 times with a 63% conversion rate. Gauff lost her serve 11 times and she saved 58% of the break points that she conceded. The Greek broke her opponents 8 times with a 33% conversion rate. The Greek conceded her serve 5 times and she saved 62% of the break points that she conceded.
| Gauff | |||||
| R1 Alexandrova | R2 Martic | R3 Kudermetova | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 6-3 | 7-5 5-7 7-62 | 7-65 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 21 | 37 | 21 | 79 | |
| pts | 71-59 | 117-112 | 71-62 | 259-233 | |
| Total points | 130 | 229 | 133 | 492 | |
| Winners | 29 | 55 | 22 | 106 | |
| %Winners | 41% | 47% | 31% | 41% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 3 | 5 | 3 | 11 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 7 | 2 | 13 | |
| 1st in | 39/71 | 82/123 | 34/66 | 155/260 | |
| % 1st in | 55% | 67% | 52% | 60% | |
| 1st pts | 29/39 | 55/82 | 22/34 | 106/155 | |
| % 1st pts | 74% | 67% | 65% | 68% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/32 | 17/41 | 17/32 | 49/105 | |
| % 2nd pts | 47% | 41% | 53% | 47% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 4 | 6 | 5 | 15 | |
| Converted | 4/8 | 6/8 | 5/8 | 15/24 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 75% | 63% | 63% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 15 | 6 | 26 | |
| Saved | 3/5 | 9/15 | 3/6 | 15 | |
| Saved % | 60% | 60% | 50% | 57% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 6 | 3 | 11 | |
| Sakkari | |||||
| R2 Fruhvirtova | R3 Wang | Total | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-2 | 6-4 2-6 6-3 | |||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 5 | ||
| Tot Games | 18 | 27 | 45 | ||
| pts | 68-53 | 103-98 | 171-151 | ||
| Total points | 121 | 201 | 322 | ||
| Winners | 25 | 38 | 63 | ||
| %Winners | 37% | 37% | 37% | ||
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 3 | 3 | 6 | ||
| Double Faults | 0 | 1 | 1 | ||
| 1st in | 32/58 | 65/102 | 97/160 | ||
| % 1st in | 55% | 64% | 61% | ||
| 1st pts | 25/32 | 38/65 | 63/97 | ||
| % 1st pts | 78% | 58% | 65% | ||
| 2nd pts | 11/26 | 24/37 | 35/63 | ||
| % 2nd pts | 42% | 65% | 56% | ||
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 5 | 3 | 8 | ||
| Converted | 5/10 | 3/14 | 8/24 | ||
| Converted % | 50% | 21% | 33% | ||
| Conceded | 5 | 8 | 13 | ||
| Saved | 3/5 | 5/8 | 8 | ||
| Saved % | 60% | 63% | 41% | ||
| Times Broken | 2 | 3 | 5 | ||
Tennis Scores in Beijing
- Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Jasmine PaoliniPaolini (6-4 7-64) – See score progression
- Caroline GarciaGarcia – Anhelina KalininaKalinina (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Cori GauffGauff – Veronika KudermetovaKudermetova (7-65 6-2) – See score progression
- Maria SakkariSakkari – Xinyu WangWang (6-4 2-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Liudmila SamsonovaSamsonova – Marta KostyukKostyuk (6-4 6-74 7-5) – See score progression
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Magda LinetteLinette (6-1 6-1) – See score progression
- Elena RybakinaRybakina – Mirra AndreevaAndreeva (2-6 6-4 6-1) – See score progression
- Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko – Jessica PegulaPegula (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Jasmine PaoliniPaolini (6-4 7-6(4)) – See score progression
- Maria SakkariSakkari – Xinyu WangWang (6-4 2-6 6-3) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Elena RybakinaRybakina (4-1) – H2H and prediction
- Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko – Ludmilla SamsonovaSamsonova (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Maria SakkariSakkari – Cori GauffGauff (4-2) – H2H and prediction
- Caroline GarciaGarcia – Iga SwiatekSwiatek (1-2) – H2H and prediction