Iga Swiatek and Caroline Garcia will face off in the quarter of the China Open for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 12:30 pm on Diamond. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Iga Swiatek who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Iga Swiatek is the pick to win this match.
Iga Swiatek -> 1.138
Caroline Garcia -> 5.75
Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).
To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Â
Prediction and head to head Iga Swiatek vs. Caroline Garcia
This will be the 4th time that Iga Swiatek and Caroline Garcia face off. The head to head is 2-1 for Swiatek (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on hard.
The last time that they played, Swiatek won 6-3 6-2 in the R in Fort Worth back in 2022.
Highlights Iga Swiatek vs Caroline Garcia – Fort Worth 03-November-2022
Iga Swiatek
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 61-9 | 29-5 | 26-2 | 4-1 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 68-11 | 42-8 | 19-2 | 0-0 | 7-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 67-9 | 42-6 | 18-1 | 5-1 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 36-15 | 18-10 | 12-2 | 2-1 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 16-5 | 6-4 | 7-1 | 3-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 2, the Pole got to the quarter after defeating Sara Sorribes Tormo 6-4 6-3, Varvara Gracheva 6-4 6-1 and Magda Linette 6-1 6-1.
In the 3rd round, Swiatek had a good straight sets win against Linette (6-1 6-1). During the match, Swiatek scored 51 points vs Linette’s 26. Swiatek was pretty aggressive to blast 16 winners.
Talking about the service games, Swiatek was unable to score even 1 ace in the course of the match and she was very consistent in conceding no double faults. Iga Swiatek was extremely effective on serve to win 84% (16/19) of her 1st serve and 71% (12/17) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Swiatek broke Linette 5 times after converting 71% of her break points (5/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Iga hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this tournament to conquer 60% of the points she played.
Swiatek has a fantastic match record in the last 8 years having won 81% of her matches (277-67). 34-8 on hard in 2023. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Swiatek has an aggregate125-37 match record in the last 8 years on hard.
Her best result of the year was winning the title in Doha where she defeated Jessica Pegula in the final 6-3 6-0 and in Stuttgart where she beat Aryna Sabalenka in the final 6-3 6-4 and at the French Open where she beat Karolina Muchova in the final 6-2 5-7 6-4 and in Warsaw where she beat Laura Siegemund in the final 6-0 6-1.
The Pole has a compiled 60-11 win-loss record in 2023, 34-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Beijing
The Pole has never competed in this tournament before.
Caroline Garcia
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 17-17 | 10-10 | 6-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 40-27 | 23-17 | 4-4 | 7-3 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 46-21 | 21-13 | 11-4 | 4-1 | 10-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 27-26 | 15-14 | 8-6 | 3-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 11-11 | 5-6 | 4-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 10, Caroline got to the quarter after beating Kateryna Baindl 6-2 6-4, Yulia Putintseva 6-3 3-6 6-3 and Anhelina Kalinina 6-3 6-2.
In the 3rd round, The French player had a good straight sets win against Kalinina (6-3 6-2). During the match Garcia scored 73 points vs Kalinina’s 58. Caroline was pretty aggressive to blast 32 winners.
Talking about serving, Garcia fired 6 aces and she committed only 5 double faults. Caroline Garcia lost the serve once and she saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Garcia put 64% of her first serves in, winning 76% (32/42) of the points behind her 1st serve and 42% (10/24) on the 2nd serve. Caroline broke Kalinina 4 times after converting 29% of her break points (4/14).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The French player has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points she played.
Caroline’s best result of the current season was getting to the final in Lyon and Monterrey.
Caroline has a compiled 39-23 win-loss record in 2023, 23-15 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Swiatek | Garcia |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 6 | 7 |
| Tot Games | 50 | 62 |
| Pts | 175-116 | 231-189 |
| Total Points | 291 | 420 |
| Winners | 55 | 106 |
| %Winners | 31% | 46% |
Both Swiatek and Garcia played 3 matches. At the moment, Caroline Garcia dropped 1 set while Iga Swiatek hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Swiatek has played 1 set(s) less than Garcia (6 vs 7). Therefore, Swiatek played 12 games less than Garcia. Iga scored 55 winners (31% of the total points). On the other side, Garcia made 106 winners (46%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Swiatek | Garcia |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 2 | 20 |
| Avg per match | 0.7 | 6.7 |
| 1st in | 81/125 | 141/216 |
| %1st in | 65% | 65% |
| 1st pts | 55/81 | 106/141 |
| %1st pts | 68% | 75% |
| 2nd pts | 28/44 | 36/75 |
| %2nd pts | 64% | 48% |
Swiatek scored 2 aces (0.7 per match). Garcia blasted 20 aces (6.7 per match). Swiatek won 68% points behind her first serve. She very solid her second serve to win 64% of the points. On the other side, Garcia won 75% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 48% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Swiatek | Garcia |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 17 | 11 |
| Converted | 17/30 | 11/32 |
| % Converted | 57% | 34% |
| Conceded | 6 | 21 |
| Saved | 1 | 17 |
| % Saved | 17% | 81% |
| Times Broken | 5 | 4 |
The Pole broke her opponents 17 times with a 57% conversion rate. The Pole surrendered her serve 5 times and she saved 17% of the break points that she conceded. Caroline broke her opponents 11 times with a 34% conversion rate. Garcia conceded her serve 4 times and she saved 81% of the break points that she conceded.
| Swiatek | |||||
| R1 Sorribes Tormo |
R2 Gracheva |
R3 Linette |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-3 | 6-4 6-1 | 6-1 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 17 | 14 | 50 | |
| pts | 64-48 | 60-42 | 51-26 | 175-116 | |
| Total points | 112 | 102 | 77 | 291 | |
| Winners | 17 | 22 | 16 | 55 | |
| %Winners | 27% | 37% | 31% | 31% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 32/45 | 30/44 | 19/36 | 81/125 | |
| % 1st in | 71% | 68% | 53% | 65% | |
| 1st pts | 17/32 | 22/30 | 16/19 | 55/81 | |
| % 1st pts | 53% | 73% | 84% | 68% | |
| 2nd pts | 7/13 | 9/14 | 12/17 | 28/44 | |
| % 2nd pts | 54% | 64% | 71% | 64% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 7 | 5 | 5 | 17 | |
| Converted | 7/14 | 5/9 | 5/7 | 17/30 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 56% | 71% | 57% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 1 | 0 | 6 | |
| Saved | 1/5 | 0/1 | 0/0 | 1 | |
| Saved % | 20% | 0% | – | 7% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | |
| Garcia | |||||
| R1 Kozlova |
R2 Putintseva |
R3 Kalinina |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-4 | 6-3 3-6 6-3 | 6-3 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 27 | 17 | 62 | |
| pts | 61-45 | 97-86 | 73-58 | 231-189 | |
| Total points | 106 | 183 | 131 | 420 | |
| Winners | 30 | 44 | 32 | 106 | |
| %Winners | 49% | 45% | 44% | 46% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 6 | 8 | 6 | 20 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 0 | 5 | 7 | |
| 1st in | 35/50 | 64/100 | 42/66 | 141/216 | |
| % 1st in | 70% | 64% | 64% | 65% | |
| 1st pts | 30/35 | 44/64 | 32/42 | 106/141 | |
| % 1st pts | 86% | 69% | 76% | 75% | |
| 2nd pts | 5/15 | 21/36 | 10/24 | 36/75 | |
| % 2nd pts | 33% | 58% | 42% | 48% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 4 | 3 | 4 | 11 | |
| Converted | 4/9 | 3/9 | 4/14 | 11/32 | |
| Converted % | 44% | 33% | 29% | 34% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 13 | 6 | 21 | |
| Saved | 1/2 | 11/13 | 5/6 | 17 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 85% | 83% | 73% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | |
Head 2 Head
WLWLWWWWLW
LWLLLWLWLW Tennis Scores in Beijing
- Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Jasmine PaoliniPaolini (6-4 7-64) – See score progression
- Caroline GarciaGarcia – Anhelina KalininaKalinina (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Cori GauffGauff – Veronika KudermetovaKudermetova (7-65 6-2) – See score progression
- Maria SakkariSakkari – Xinyu WangWang (6-4 2-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Magda LinetteLinette (6-1 6-1) – See score progression
- Liudmila SamsonovaSamsonova – Marta KostyukKostyuk (6-4 6-74 7-5) – See score progression
- Elena RybakinaRybakina – Mirra AndreevaAndreeva (2-6 6-4 6-1) – See score progression
- Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko – Jessica PegulaPegula (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Jasmine PaoliniPaolini (6-4 7-6(4)) – See score progression
- Maria SakkariSakkari – Xinyu WangWang (6-4 2-6 6-3) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Elena RybakinaRybakina (4-1) – H2H and prediction
- Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko – Ludmilla SamsonovaSamsonova (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Maria SakkariSakkari – Cori GauffGauff (4-2) – H2H and prediction
- Caroline GarciaGarcia – Iga SwiatekSwiatek (1-2) – H2H and prediction
