H2H, prediction of Daniil Medvedev vs Jannik Sinner in Beijing with odds, preview, pick | 4th October 2023

PREVIEW. Beijing. Medvedev and Sinner will play each other in the final of the China Open. See the prediction, H2H stats, odds, and preview of their next match on Wednesday the 4th of October

Prediction and head to head Daniil Medvedev vs. Jannik Sinner

Daniil Medvedev and Jannik Sinner will play each other in the final of the China Open for the 7th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Wednesday at 7:30 pm on DIAMOND. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Daniil Medvedev who should win in 3 sets.

See updated oddsAs per the initial odds, Daniil Medvedev is the pick to win this match.
Daniil Medvedev -> 1.59
Jannik Sinner -> 2.36

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Soccer Tonic Predictions

Prediction and head to head Daniil Medvedev vs. Jannik Sinner

This will be the 7th time that Daniil Medvedev and Jannik Sinner clash against each other. The head to head is 6-0 for Medvedev (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.

The last time that they squared off, Medvedev won 7-5 6-3 in the final in Miami back in April 2023.

Highlights Daniil Medvedev vs Jannik Sinner – Miami 02-April-2023

Daniil Medvedev

Daniil Medvedev
Daniil Medvedev

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
6
High
1
LWWLWWLWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 6-4 3-2 0-0 3-2 0-0 0-0
2024 46-21 28-9 11-5 1-5 6-2 0-0
2023 66-18 38-8 10-3 11-4 7-3 0-0
2022 45-19 26-8 3-2 8-6 8-3 0-0
2021 63-13 33-5 5-3 18-3 7-2 0-0

Ranked no. 3, Medvedev got to the final after defeating Tommy Paul 6-2 6-1, Alex De Minaur 7-63 6-3, Ugo Humbert 6-4 3-6 6-1 and Alexander Zverev 6-4 6-3.

In the semifinal, The Russian had a good straight sets win against Zverev (6-4 6-3). During the match, Medvedev scored 62 points vs Zverev’s 46. Daniil was exceptionally aggressive to blast 33 winners.

Talking about the service games, Medvedev made 8 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Daniil Medvedev was quite effective on serve to win 80% (33/41) of his 1st serve and 69% (11/16) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Daniil broke Zverev twice after converting 50% of his break points (2/4).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Medvedev has surrendered 1 set in this event to conquer 56% of the points he played.

Medvedev has an impressive win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 72% of his matches (482-190). 37-6 on hard in 2023. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Medvedev has a compiled 218-68 win-loss record in the last years on hard.

His best result of the current season was winning the title in Rotterdam where he defeated Jannik Sinner in the final 5-7 6-2 6-2 and in Doha where he beat Andy Murray in the final 6-4 6-4 and in Dubai where he defeated Andrey Rublev in the final 6-2 6-2 and in Miami where he defeated Jannik Sinner in the final 7-5 6-3 and in Rome where he overcame Holger Rune in the final 7-5 7-5.

Daniil has a composed 59-12 win-loss record in 2023, 37-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Beijing

Medvedev has never competed in this tournament before.

Medvedev
Beijing
Medvedev's Record

Jannik Sinner

Jannik Sinner
Jannik Sinner

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
1
High
1
WWWWWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 7-0 7-0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
2024 73-8 40-5 11-2 13-0 9-1 0-0
2023 64-15 28-7 8-3 20-2 8-3 0-0
2022 47-16 21-6 15-4 7-4 4-2 0-0
2021 49-22 22-8 10-6 17-6 0-2 0-0

Ranked no. 7, the Italian reached the final after defeating Daniel Evans 6-4 6-72 6-3, Yoshihito Nishioka 6-2 6-0, Grigor Dimitrov 6-4 3-6 6-2 and Carlos Alcaraz 7-64 6-1.

In the semifinal, Jannik had a good straight sets win against Alcaraz (7-64 6-1). During the match Sinner scored 75 points vs Alcaraz’s 63. The Italian was quite aggressive to blast 29 winners.

About the serving games, Sinner scored just 1 ace during the entire match and he was quite solid in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Jannik Sinner lost the serve twice and he saved 7 break points. Furthermore, Sinner put 59% of his first serves in, winning 66% (29/44) of the points behind his 1st serve and 48% (15/31) on the 2nd serve. The Italian broke Alcaraz 5 times after converting 63% of his break points (5/8).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Sinner has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.

His best result of the current year was winning the title in Montpellier where he beat Maxime Cressy in the final 7-6(3) 6-3 and in Toronto where he overcame Alex De Minaur in the final 6-4 6-1.

Jannik has an aggregate 48-13 win-loss record in 2023, 25-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Sinner
Beijing
Sinner's Record
Bonus
Soccer Tonic Predictions

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

D.Medvedev
J.Sinner
6h:48
6h:48
Time on court​
8h:23
8h:23
1h:25
1h:25
Last match​
1h:55
1h:55
4
4
Match played
4
4
82
82
Games Played​
93
93
9
9
Set played​​
10
10
300
300
Total points​
333
333
75
75
Avg point​
83.3
83.3
134
134
Winners
119
119
33.5
33.5
Avg Winners​
29.8
29.8
45%
45%
Ratio winners
36%
36%
-- Serve --
27
27
Aces
23
23
6.8
6.8
Avg Aces
5.8
5.8
21
21
Double Faults
4
4
!
5.3
5.3
Avg Double Faults
1
1
134/176
134/176
1st won total​
119/170
119/170
!
76%
76%
1st won %
70%
70%
42/87
42/87
2nd won total​
77/133
77/133
48%
48%
2nd won %
58%
58%
-- Break Points --
16/36
16/36
BP won
18/40
18/40
4/9
4/9
Avg BP won
4.5/10
4.5/10
44%
44%
Won
45%
45%
16
16
Conceded
23
23
4
4
Avg Conceded
5.8
5.8
7
7
Broken
6
6
1.8
1.8
Avg Broken
1.5
1.5
9
9
Saved
17
17

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Medvedev Sinner
Match played 4 4
Tot Set 9 10
Tot Games 82 93
Pts 300-231 333-281
Total Points 531 614
Winners 134 119
%Winners 45% 36%

Both Medvedev and Sinner played 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Daniil Medvedev dropped 1 set, while Jannik Sinner surrendered 2 sets. Medvedev has played 1 set(s) less than Sinner (9 vs 10). Therefore, Medvedev played 11 games less than Sinner. Daniil scored 134 winners (45% of the total points). On the other side, Sinner fired 119 winners (36%).

Serve Performance

Serve Medvedev Sinner
Aces 27 23
Avg per match 6.8 5.8
1st in 176/263 170/303
%1st in 67% 56%
1st pts 134/176 119/170
%1st pts 76% 70%
2nd pts 42/87 77/133
%2nd pts 48% 58%

Medvedev struck 27 aces (6.8 per match). Sinner struck 23 aces (5.8 per match). Medvedev won 76% points behind his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 48% of the points. On the other side, Sinner won 70% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 58% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Medvedev Sinner
Won 16 18
Converted 16/36 18/40
% Converted 44% 45%
Conceded 16 23
Saved 9 17
% Saved 56% 74%
Times Broken 7 6

Daniil broke his opponents 16 times with a 44% conversion rate. Daniil surrendered his serve 7 times and he saved 56% of the break points that he conceded. The Italian broke his opponents 18 times with a 45% conversion rate. Jannik conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 74% of the break points that he conceded.

Medvedev
R1
Paul
R2
De Minaur
1/4
Humbert
1/2
Zverev
Total
Score 6-2 6-1 7-63 6-3 6-4 3-6 6-1 6-4 6-3
Tot Set 2 2 3 2 9
Tot Games 15 22 26 19 82
pts 66-37 83-74 89-74 62-46 300-231
Total points 103 157 163 108 531
Winners 29 35 37 33 134
%Winners 44% 42% 42% 53% 45%
SERVE
Aces 9 3 7 8 27
Double Faults 3 8 9 1 21
1st in 34/50 47/74 54/82 41/57 176/263
% 1st in 68% 64% 66% 72% 67%
1st pts 29/34 35/47 37/54 33/41 134/176
% 1st pts 85% 74% 69% 80% 76%
2nd pts 7/16 11/27 13/28 11/16 42/87
% 2nd pts 44% 41% 46% 69% 48%
Breaks
Won 5 3 6 2 16
Converted 5/11 3/9 6/12 2/4 16/36
Converted % 45% 33% 50% 50% 44%
Conceded 4 3 5 4 16
Saved 3/4 1/3 1/5 4/4 9
Saved % 75% 33% 20% 100% 57%
Times Broken 1 2 4 0 7
Sinner
R1
Evans
R2
Nishioka
1/4
Dimitrov
1/2
Alcaraz
Total
Score 6-4 6-72 6-3 6-2 6-0 6-4 3-6 6-2 7-64 6-1
Tot Set 3 2 3 2 10
Tot Games 32 14 27 20 93
pts 104-96 60-34 94-88 75-63 333-281
Total points 200 94 182 138 614
Winners 37 19 34 29 119
%Winners 36% 32% 36% 39% 36%
SERVE
Aces 11 8 3 1 23
Double Faults 2 1 1 0 4
1st in 55/100 21/43 50/85 44/75 170/303
% 1st in 55% 49% 59% 59% 56%
1st pts 37/55 19/21 34/50 29/44 119/170
% 1st pts 67% 90% 68% 66% 70%
2nd pts 28/45 11/22 23/35 15/31 77/133
% 2nd pts 62% 50% 66% 48% 58%
Breaks
Won 4 6 3 5 18
Converted 4/6 6/11 3/15 5/8 18/40
Converted % 67% 55% 20% 63% 45%
Conceded 4 2 8 9 23
Saved 2/4 1/2 7/8 7/9 17
Saved % 50% 50% 88% 78% 67%
Times Broken 2 1 1 2 6

Head 2 Head

Win Loss
Medvedev
LWWLWWLWLW
Sinner
WWWWWWW
2025 2024 2023
6 - 4
7 - 0
3-2
Hard
7-0
3-2
I Hard
0-0
See Updated Draw
Soccer Tonic Predictions
Bonus

Upcoming matches in the draw