Liudmila Samsonova and Marta Kostyuk will clash against each other in the 3rd round of the China Open for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Wednesday at 2:00 pm on LOTUS. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Liudmila Samsonova who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Liudmila Samsonova is the pick to win this match.
Liudmila Samsonova -> 1.533
Marta Kostyuk -> 2.5

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Prediction and head to head Liudmila Samsonova vs. Marta Kostyuk

This will be the 4th time that Liudmila Samsonova and Marta Kostyuk fight against each other. The head to head is 3-0 for Samsonova (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on hard.

The last time that they played, Samsonova won 6-4 6-2 in the quarter in Washington back in August 2023.

Highlights Liudmila Samsonova vs Marta Kostyuk – Washington 04-August-2023

Liudmila Samsonova

Liudmila Samsonova

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
27
High
12
LLLLWWWLWW
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 26-23 12-15 6-5 0-0 8-3 0-0
2023 34-24 25-15 4-4 1-1 4-4 0-0
2022 30-17 26-10 3-4 0-0 1-3 0-0
2021 39-22 15-9 6-9 8-3 10-1 0-0
2020 20-12 10-6 4-4 6-2 0-0 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 22, Samsonova reached the 3rd round after defeating Alycia Parks 6-4 7-64 and Petra Kvitova 6-4 7-5.

In the 2nd round, Samsonova had a good straight sets win against Kvitova (6-4 7-5). During the match, Samsonova scored 78 points vs Kvitova’s 63. Ludmilla was exceptionally aggressive to blast 31 winners.

Regarding the service games, Samsonova bagged 7 aces and she committed only 3 double faults. Liudmila Samsonova lost the serve twice and she saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Samsonova put 58% of her first serves in, winning 79% (31/39) of the points behind her 1st serve and 50% (14/28) on the 2nd serve. Samsonova broke Kvitova 4 times after converting 44% of her break points (4/9).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Samsonova hasn’t dropped yet a set in this event to win 54% of the points she played.

Samsonova has a solid record in the last 8 years having won 64% of her matches (263-149). 21-13 on hard in 2023. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Samsonova has an aggregate94-52 win-loss record in the last 8 years on hard.

The Russian’s best result of the current season was reaching the final in Abu Dhabi and Montreal.

The Russian has a composed 29-21 win-loss record in 2023, 21-13 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Beijing

The Russian has never competed in this tournament before.

Beijing
Samsonova's Record

Marta Kostyuk

Marta Kostyuk

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
18
High
16
LWLLWWLWWL
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 34-20 24-12 8-5 0-0 2-3 0-0
2023 26-22 22-16 2-4 0-0 2-2 0-0
2022 28-20 18-11 3-4 4-3 3-2 0-0
2021 25-17 8-9 10-4 3-1 4-3 0-0
2020 27-12 16-6 7-3 4-3 0-0 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 44, the Ukrainian got to the 3rd round after beating Elisabetta Cocciaretto 1-6 6-3 6-4 and Ons Jabeur 7-65 6-1.

In the 2nd round, Kostyuk had a good straight sets win against Jabeur (7-65 6-1). During the match Kostyuk scored 69 points vs Jabeur’s 52. Marta was exceptionally aggressive to blast 29 winners.

About the serving games, Kostyuk fired 5 aces and she committed only 7 double faults. Marta Kostyuk lost the serve twice and she saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Kostyuk put 61% of her first serves in, winning 76% (29/38) of the points behind her 1st serve and 46% (11/24) on the 2nd serve. Kostyuk broke Jabeur 5 times after converting 71% of her break points (5/7).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Kostyuk has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 52% of the points she played.

Her best result of the current season was conquering the title in Austin where she overcame Varvara Gracheva in the final 6-3 7-5.

The Ukrainian has a composed 26-21 win-loss record in 2023, 22-15 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Beijing
Kostyuk's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

L.Samsonova
M.Kostyuk
3h:35
3h:35
Time on court​
3h:43
3h:43
1h:35
1h:35
Last match​
1h:17
1h:17
2
2
Match played
2
2
45
45
Games Played​
46
46
4
4
Set played​​
5
5
160
160
Total points​
158
158
80
80
Avg point​
79
79
60
60
Winners
60
60
30
30
Avg Winners​
30
30
38%
38%
Ratio winners
38%
38%
-- Serve --
11
11
Aces
5
5
5.5
5.5
Avg Aces
2.5
2.5
10
10
Double Faults
16
16
5
5
Avg Double Faults
!
8
8
60/84
60/84
1st won total​
60/93
60/93
!
71%
71%
1st won %
65%
65%
36/71
36/71
2nd won total​
28/65
28/65
51%
51%
2nd won %
43%
43%
-- Break Points --
9/18
9/18
BP won
11/16
11/16
4.5/9
4.5/9
Avg BP won
5.5/8
5.5/8
50%
50%
Won
!
69%
69%
16
16
Conceded
15
15
8
8
Avg Conceded
7.5
7.5
6
6
Broken
8
8
3
3
Avg Broken
4
4
10
10
Saved
7
7
See Allstats

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Samsonova Kostyuk
Match played 2 2
Tot Set 4 5
Tot Games 45 46
Pts 160-137 158-144
Total Points 297 302
Winners 60 60
%Winners 38% 38%

Both Samsonova and Kostyuk played 2 matches. At the moment, Marta Kostyuk conceded 1 set while Liudmila Samsonova hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Samsonova has played 1 set(s) less than Kostyuk (4 vs 5). Therefore, Samsonova played 1 game less than Kostyuk. Ludmilla scored 60 winners (38% of the total points). On the other side, Kostyuk bagged 60 winners (38%).

Serve Performance

Serve Samsonova Kostyuk
Aces 11 5
Avg per match 5.5 2.5
1st in 84/155 93/158
%1st in 54% 59%
1st pts 60/84 60/93
%1st pts 71% 65%
2nd pts 36/71 28/65
%2nd pts 51% 43%

Samsonova scored 11 aces (5.5 per match). Kostyuk fired 5 aces (2.5 per match). Samsonova won 71% points on her first serve. She extremely effective on her second serve to win 51% of the points. On the other side, Kostyuk won 65% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 43% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Samsonova Kostyuk
Won 9 11
Converted 9/18 11/16
% Converted 50% 69%
Conceded 16 15
Saved 10 7
% Saved 63% 47%
Times Broken 6 8

Samsonova broke her opponents 9 times with a 50% conversion rate. The Russian conceded her serve 6 times and she saved 63% of the break points that she conceded. Marta broke her opponents 11 times with a 69% conversion rate. Kostyuk conceded her serve 8 times and she saved 47% of the break points that she conceded.

Samsonova
R1
Parks		 R2
Kvitova		 Total
Score 6-4 7-64 6-4 7-5
Tot Set 2 2 4
Tot Games 23 22 45
pts 82-74 78-63 160-137
Total points 156 141 297
Winners 29 31 60
%Winners 35% 40% 38%
SERVE
Aces 4 7 11
Double Faults 7 3 10
1st in 45/88 39/67 84/155
% 1st in 51% 58% 54%
1st pts 29/45 31/39 60/84
% 1st pts 64% 79% 71%
2nd pts 22/43 14/28 36/71
% 2nd pts 51% 50% 51%
Breaks
Won 5 4 9
Converted 5/9 4/9 9/18
Converted % 56% 44% 50%
Conceded 13 3 16
Saved 9/13 1/3 10
Saved % 69% 33% 51%
Times Broken 4 2 6
Kostyuk
R1
Cocciaretto		 R2
Jabeur		 Total
Score 1-6 6-3 6-4 7-65 6-1
Tot Set 3 2 5
Tot Games 26 20 46
pts 89-92 69-52 158-144
Total points 181 121 302
Winners 31 29 60
%Winners 35% 42% 38%
SERVE
Aces 0 5 5
Double Faults 9 7 16
1st in 55/96 38/62 93/158
% 1st in 57% 61% 59%
1st pts 31/55 29/38 60/93
% 1st pts 56% 76% 65%
2nd pts 17/41 11/24 28/65
% 2nd pts 41% 46% 43%
Breaks
Won 6 5 11
Converted 6/9 5/7 11/16
Converted % 67% 71% 69%
Conceded 10 5 15
Saved 4/10 3/5 7
Saved % 40% 60% 50%
Times Broken 6 2 8

Tennis Scores in Beijing

Upcoming matches in the draw

Samsonova
More Stats
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Kostyuk

Click for FULL STATS