Liudmila Samsonova and Marta Kostyuk will clash against each other in the 3rd round of the China Open for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Wednesday at 2:00 pm on LOTUS. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Liudmila Samsonova who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Liudmila Samsonova is the pick to win this match.
Liudmila Samsonova -> 1.533
Marta Kostyuk -> 2.5
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Prediction and head to head Liudmila Samsonova vs. Marta Kostyuk
This will be the 4th time that Liudmila Samsonova and Marta Kostyuk fight against each other. The head to head is 3-0 for Samsonova (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on hard.
The last time that they played, Samsonova won 6-4 6-2 in the quarter in Washington back in August 2023.
Highlights Liudmila Samsonova vs Marta Kostyuk – Washington 04-August-2023
Liudmila Samsonova
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 26-23 | 12-15 | 6-5 | 0-0 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 34-24 | 25-15 | 4-4 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 30-17 | 26-10 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 39-22 | 15-9 | 6-9 | 8-3 | 10-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 20-12 | 10-6 | 4-4 | 6-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 22, Samsonova reached the 3rd round after defeating Alycia Parks 6-4 7-64 and Petra Kvitova 6-4 7-5.
In the 2nd round, Samsonova had a good straight sets win against Kvitova (6-4 7-5). During the match, Samsonova scored 78 points vs Kvitova’s 63. Ludmilla was exceptionally aggressive to blast 31 winners.
Regarding the service games, Samsonova bagged 7 aces and she committed only 3 double faults. Liudmila Samsonova lost the serve twice and she saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Samsonova put 58% of her first serves in, winning 79% (31/39) of the points behind her 1st serve and 50% (14/28) on the 2nd serve. Samsonova broke Kvitova 4 times after converting 44% of her break points (4/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Samsonova hasn’t dropped yet a set in this event to win 54% of the points she played.
Samsonova has a solid record in the last 8 years having won 64% of her matches (263-149). 21-13 on hard in 2023. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Samsonova has an aggregate94-52 win-loss record in the last 8 years on hard.
The Russian’s best result of the current season was reaching the final in Abu Dhabi and Montreal.
The Russian has a composed 29-21 win-loss record in 2023, 21-13 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Beijing
The Russian has never competed in this tournament before.
Marta Kostyuk
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 34-20 | 24-12 | 8-5 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 26-22 | 22-16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 28-20 | 18-11 | 3-4 | 4-3 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 25-17 | 8-9 | 10-4 | 3-1 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 27-12 | 16-6 | 7-3 | 4-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 44, the Ukrainian got to the 3rd round after beating Elisabetta Cocciaretto 1-6 6-3 6-4 and Ons Jabeur 7-65 6-1.
In the 2nd round, Kostyuk had a good straight sets win against Jabeur (7-65 6-1). During the match Kostyuk scored 69 points vs Jabeur’s 52. Marta was exceptionally aggressive to blast 29 winners.
About the serving games, Kostyuk fired 5 aces and she committed only 7 double faults. Marta Kostyuk lost the serve twice and she saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Kostyuk put 61% of her first serves in, winning 76% (29/38) of the points behind her 1st serve and 46% (11/24) on the 2nd serve. Kostyuk broke Jabeur 5 times after converting 71% of her break points (5/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Kostyuk has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 52% of the points she played.
Her best result of the current season was conquering the title in Austin where she overcame Varvara Gracheva in the final 6-3 7-5.
The Ukrainian has a composed 26-21 win-loss record in 2023, 22-15 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Samsonova | Kostyuk |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 5 |
| Tot Games | 45 | 46 |
| Pts | 160-137 | 158-144 |
| Total Points | 297 | 302 |
| Winners | 60 | 60 |
| %Winners | 38% | 38% |
Both Samsonova and Kostyuk played 2 matches. At the moment, Marta Kostyuk conceded 1 set while Liudmila Samsonova hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Samsonova has played 1 set(s) less than Kostyuk (4 vs 5). Therefore, Samsonova played 1 game less than Kostyuk. Ludmilla scored 60 winners (38% of the total points). On the other side, Kostyuk bagged 60 winners (38%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Samsonova | Kostyuk |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 11 | 5 |
| Avg per match | 5.5 | 2.5 |
| 1st in | 84/155 | 93/158 |
| %1st in | 54% | 59% |
| 1st pts | 60/84 | 60/93 |
| %1st pts | 71% | 65% |
| 2nd pts | 36/71 | 28/65 |
| %2nd pts | 51% | 43% |
Samsonova scored 11 aces (5.5 per match). Kostyuk fired 5 aces (2.5 per match). Samsonova won 71% points on her first serve. She extremely effective on her second serve to win 51% of the points. On the other side, Kostyuk won 65% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 43% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Samsonova | Kostyuk |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 9 | 11 |
| Converted | 9/18 | 11/16 |
| % Converted | 50% | 69% |
| Conceded | 16 | 15 |
| Saved | 10 | 7 |
| % Saved | 63% | 47% |
| Times Broken | 6 | 8 |
Samsonova broke her opponents 9 times with a 50% conversion rate. The Russian conceded her serve 6 times and she saved 63% of the break points that she conceded. Marta broke her opponents 11 times with a 69% conversion rate. Kostyuk conceded her serve 8 times and she saved 47% of the break points that she conceded.
| Samsonova | ||||
| R1 Parks |
R2 Kvitova |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 7-64 | 6-4 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 23 | 22 | 45 | |
| pts | 82-74 | 78-63 | 160-137 | |
| Total points | 156 | 141 | 297 | |
| Winners | 29 | 31 | 60 | |
| %Winners | 35% | 40% | 38% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 4 | 7 | 11 | |
| Double Faults | 7 | 3 | 10 | |
| 1st in | 45/88 | 39/67 | 84/155 | |
| % 1st in | 51% | 58% | 54% | |
| 1st pts | 29/45 | 31/39 | 60/84 | |
| % 1st pts | 64% | 79% | 71% | |
| 2nd pts | 22/43 | 14/28 | 36/71 | |
| % 2nd pts | 51% | 50% | 51% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 5 | 4 | 9 | |
| Converted | 5/9 | 4/9 | 9/18 | |
| Converted % | 56% | 44% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 13 | 3 | 16 | |
| Saved | 9/13 | 1/3 | 10 | |
| Saved % | 69% | 33% | 51% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 2 | 6 | |
| Kostyuk | ||||
| R1 Cocciaretto |
R2 Jabeur |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 1-6 6-3 6-4 | 7-65 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 26 | 20 | 46 | |
| pts | 89-92 | 69-52 | 158-144 | |
| Total points | 181 | 121 | 302 | |
| Winners | 31 | 29 | 60 | |
| %Winners | 35% | 42% | 38% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 0 | 5 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 9 | 7 | 16 | |
| 1st in | 55/96 | 38/62 | 93/158 | |
| % 1st in | 57% | 61% | 59% | |
| 1st pts | 31/55 | 29/38 | 60/93 | |
| % 1st pts | 56% | 76% | 65% | |
| 2nd pts | 17/41 | 11/24 | 28/65 | |
| % 2nd pts | 41% | 46% | 43% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 6 | 5 | 11 | |
| Converted | 6/9 | 5/7 | 11/16 | |
| Converted % | 67% | 71% | 69% | |
| Conceded | 10 | 5 | 15 | |
| Saved | 4/10 | 3/5 | 7 | |
| Saved % | 40% | 60% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 6 | 2 | 8 | |
Head 2 Head
LLLLWWWLWW
LWLLWWLWWL Tennis Scores in Beijing
- Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Katie BoulterBoulter (7-5 7-62) – See score progression
- Caroline GarciaGarcia – Yulia PutintsevaPutintseva (6-3 3-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Jessica PegulaPegula – Anna BlinkovaBlinkova (6-72 6-2 6-1) – See score progression
- Marta KostyukKostyuk – Ons JabeurJabeur (7-65 6-1) – See score progression
- Elena RybakinaRybakina – Tatjana MariaMaria (7-5 6-0) – See score progression
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Varvara GrachevaGracheva (6-4 6-1) – See score progression
- Xinyu WangWang – Daria KasatkinaKasatkina (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Hao-Ching Chan/Giuliana OlmosChan/Giuliana Olmos – Storm Hunter/Elise MertensHunter/Elise Mertens (6-1 6-2) – See score progression
- Veronika KudermetovaKudermetova – Lesya TsurenkoTsurenko (3-6 6-0 6-0) – See score progression
- Cori GauffGauff – Petra MarticMartic (7-5 5-7 7-62) – See score progression
- Magda Linette/Peyton StearnsLinette/Peyton Stearns – Gabriela Dabrowski/Erin RoutliffeDabrowski/Erin Routliffe (6-2 7-63) – See score progression
- Mirra AndreevaAndreeva – Anastasia PavlyuchenkovaPavlyuchenkova (6-2 6-1) – See score progression
- Anhelina KalininaKalinina – Daria SavilleSaville (6-2 7-65) – See score progression
- Jasmine PaoliniPaolini – Yue YuanYuan (2-6 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko – Linda NoskovaNoskova (w/o) – See score progression
- Liudmila SamsonovaSamsonova – Petra KvitovaKvitova (6-4 7-5) – See score progression
- Magda LinetteLinette – Jennifer BradyBrady (3-1 ret.) – See score progression
- Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Katie BoulterBoulter (7-5 7-6(2)) – See score progression
- Mirra AndreevaAndreeva – Anastasia PavlyuchenkovaPavlyuchenkova (6-2 6-1) – See score progression
- Elena RybakinaRybakina – Tatjana MariaMaria (7-5 6-0) – See score progression
- Jessica PegulaPegula – Anna BlinkovaBlinkova (6-7(2) 6-2 6-1) – See score progression
- Marta KostyukKostyuk – Ons JabeurJabeur (7-6(5) 6-1) – See score progression
- Xinyu WangWang – Daria KasatkinaKasatkina (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Veronika KudermetovaKudermetova – Lesya TsurenkoTsurenko (3-6 6-0 6-0) – See score progression
- Cori GauffGauff – Petra MarticMartic (7-5 5-7 7-6(2)) – See score progression
- Caroline GarciaGarcia – Yulia PutintsevaPutintseva (6-3 3-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Varvara GrachevaGracheva (6-4 6-1) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Maria SakkariSakkari – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Jasmine PaoliniPaolini (1-2) – H2H and prediction
- Jessica PegulaPegula – Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko (3-1) – H2H and prediction
- Ludmilla SamsonovaSamsonova – Marta KostyukKostyuk (3-0) – H2H and prediction
- Veronika KudermetovaKudermetova – Cori GauffGauff (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Anhelina KalininaKalinina – Caroline GarciaGarcia (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Magda LinetteLinette – Iga SwiatekSwiatek (0-0) – H2H and prediction
