Aleksandar Kovacevic and Li Tu will clash against each other in the qualifications of the Shanghai Rolex Masters for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Tuesday at 3:00 pm on COURT 4. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Aleksandar Kovacevic who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Aleksandar Kovacevic is the pick to win this match.
Aleksandar Kovacevic -> 1.61
Li Tu -> 2.21
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Prediction and head to head Aleksandar Kovacevic vs. Li Tu
There is no head to head record between Aleksandar Kovacevic and Li Tu since this will be the first time that they will face off in the main tour.
Aleksandar Kovacevic
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 19-19 | 14-7 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 43-27 | 34-15 | 0-5 | 7-2 | 2-5 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 41-31 | 22-18 | 4-4 | 15-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 20-17 | 11-10 | 2-3 | 7-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 5-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 117, Aleksandar got to the qualifications after beating Alexey Zakharov 6-78 7-5 7-66.
In the qualifications against Zakharov, Kovacevic recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (6-78 7-5 7-66). During the match, Kovacevic scored 126 points vs Zakharov’s 112. The American was extremely aggressive to blast 47 winners.
Regarding the service games, Kovacevic recorded 13 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Aleksandar Kovacevic was quite effective on serve to win 78% (47/60) of his 1st serve and 72% (38/53) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Aleksandar broke Zakharov once after converting 33% of his break points (1/3).
Kovacevic has a winning match record in the last 7 years having won 55% of his matches (136-110). 20-13 on hard in 2023. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this competition, Kovacevic has a composed83-66 record in the last 7 years on hard.
His best result of the current season was winning the title the Cleveland Challenger where he beat Yibing Wu in the final 3-6 7-5 7-6(2) and the Waco Challenger where he defeated Alexandre Muller in the final 6-3 4-6 6-2.
Kovacevic has an aggregate 27-23 win-loss record in 2023, 20-13 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Shanghai
Kovacevic has never competed in this tournament before.
Li Tu
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 17-15 | 14-10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 38-32 | 29-19 | 0-3 | 3-6 | 6-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 50-25 | 34-16 | 15-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 41-7 | 28-4 | 0-0 | 13-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 201, Tu reached the qualifications after defeating Colin Sinclair 4-6 6-4 6-3.
In the qualifications against Sinclair, Tu recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-4 6-3). During the match Tu scored 104 points vs Sinclair’s 95. Tu was quite aggressive to blast 41 winners.
About the serving games, Tu made 11 aces and he committed only 5 double faults. Li Tu lost the serve 3 times and he saved 9 break points. Furthermore, Tu put 52% of his first serves in, winning 69% (41/59) of the points behind his 1st serve and 51% (28/55) on the 2nd serve. Li broke Sinclair 4 times after converting 80% of his break points (4/5).
Li’s best result of the current season was reaching the final in M15 Monastir.
Li has a compiled 28-24 win-loss record in 2023, 22-13 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Kovacevic | Tu |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Games | 38 | 29 |
| Pts | 126-112 | 104-95 |
| Total Points | 238 | 199 |
| Winners | 47 | 41 |
| %Winners | 37% | 39% |
Both Kovacevic and Tu played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players lost a set in the event. Aleksandar Kovacevic lost 1 set, while Li Tu surrendered 1 set. Talking about their workload, Kovacevic and Tu have played the same amount of sets 3. However, Kovacevic played 9 games more than Tu. The American scored 47 winners (37% of the total points). On the other side, Tu managed to score 41 winners (39%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Kovacevic | Tu |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 13 | 11 |
| Avg per match | 13 | 11 |
| 1st in | 60/113 | 59/114 |
| %1st in | 53% | 52% |
| 1st pts | 47/60 | 41/59 |
| %1st pts | 78% | 69% |
| 2nd pts | 38/53 | 28/55 |
| %2nd pts | 72% | 51% |
Kovacevic blasted 13 aces . Tu struck 11 aces . Kovacevic won 78% points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 72% of the points. On the other side, Tu won 69% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 51% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Kovacevic | Tu |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 1 | 4 |
| Converted | 1/3 | 4/5 |
| % Converted | 33% | 80% |
| Conceded | 2 | 12 |
| Saved | 2 | 9 |
| % Saved | 100% | 75% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 3 |
Aleksandar broke his opponent once with a 33% conversion rate. Aleksandar pretty effective on his serve as he has never surrendered a single service game after saving 2 break points. Li broke his opponent 4 times with a 80% conversion rate. Li conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded.
| Kovacevic | |||
| Q1 Zakharov |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-78 7-5 7-66 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 38 | 38 | |
| pts | 126-112 | 126-112 | |
| Total points | 238 | 238 | |
| Winners | 47 | 47 | |
| %Winners | 37% | 37% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 13 | 13 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 60/113 | 60/113 | |
| % 1st in | 53% | 53% | |
| 1st pts | 47/60 | 47/60 | |
| % 1st pts | 78% | 78% | |
| 2nd pts | 38/53 | 38/53 | |
| % 2nd pts | 72% | 72% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 1 | 1 | |
| Converted | 1/3 | 1/3 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 33% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 2 | |
| Saved | 2/2 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
| Tu | |||
| Q1 Sinclair |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 4-6 6-4 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 29 | 29 | |
| pts | 104-95 | 104-95 | |
| Total points | 199 | 199 | |
| Winners | 41 | 41 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 39% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 11 | 11 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 59/114 | 59/114 | |
| % 1st in | 52% | 52% | |
| 1st pts | 41/59 | 41/59 | |
| % 1st pts | 69% | 69% | |
| 2nd pts | 28/55 | 28/55 | |
| % 2nd pts | 51% | 51% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/5 | 4/5 | |
| Converted % | 80% | 80% | |
| Conceded | 12 | 12 | |
| Saved | 9/12 | 9 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 75% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 | |
Head 2 Head
LLLLLWWLLL
LWLLWLLWLW 
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