Sebastian Korda and Adrian Mannarino will face off in the final of the Astana Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Tuesday at 3:30 pm on CENTER COURT. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Sebastian Korda who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Sebastian Korda is the pick to win this match.
Sebastian Korda -> 1.56
Adrian Mannarino -> 2.43

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Prediction and head to head Sebastian Korda vs. Adrian Mannarino

There is no head to head record between Sebastian Korda and Adrian Mannarino since this will be the first time that they will fight against each other in the main tour.

Sebastian Korda

Sebastian Korda

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
23
High
15
LWLLWWWWWW
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 31-19 17-9 5-5 2-2 7-3 0-0
2023 26-16 18-8 1-3 4-3 3-2 0-0
2022 34-22 13-9 8-6 12-5 1-2 0-0
2021 36-20 12-8 6-5 13-5 5-2 0-0
2020 22-10 6-4 6-1 3-4 0-0 7-1
See all years

Ranked no. 28, Sebastian reached the final after defeating Alexei Popyrin 7-65 6-74 6-4, Nuno Borges 6-4 7-64, Tallon Griekspoor 6-4 4-6 6-3 and Hamad Medjedovic 6-78 7-62 7-63.

In the semifinal against Medjedovic, Sebastian recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (6-78 7-62 7-63). During the match, Korda scored 123 points vs Medjedovic’s 112. Sebastian was pretty aggressive to blast 66 winners.

Talking about the service games, Korda fired 18 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Sebastian Korda was quite effective on serve to win 87% (66/76) of his 1st serve and 61% (23/38) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match.

Overall Performance in this tournament

The American has conceded 3 set in this event to win 52% of the points he played.

Korda has a solid win-loss record in the last 8 years having won 61% of his matches (207-133). 4-0 on indoor hard courts in 2023. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Korda has an aggregate39-20 win-loss record in the last 8 years on indoor hard courts.

Sebastian’s best result of the season was getting to the final in Adelaide.

The American has a compiled 22-12 win-loss record in 2023, 4-0 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Astana

Korda has never competed in this tournament before.

Astana
Korda's Record

Adrian Mannarino

Adrian Mannarino

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
67
High
17
LLWWLLWLLW
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 17-33 9-17 0-5 7-6 1-5 0-0
2023 44-29 15-13 2-8 15-4 12-4 0-0
2022 31-32 18-14 1-6 8-7 4-5 0-0
2021 14-26 5-7 0-7 5-8 4-4 0-0
2020 19-17 8-7 0-3 11-7 0-0 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 34, Adrian reached the final after beating Arthur Rinderknech 7-64 6-2, Alibek Kachmazov 6-2 5-7 6-3, Jurij Rodionov 6-1 7-66 and Sebastian Ofner 6-4 6-2.

In the semifinal, Mannarino had a good straight sets win against Ofner (6-4 6-2). During the match Mannarino scored 58 points vs Ofner’s 44. The French player was very aggressive to blast 24 winners.

About the serving games, Mannarino recorded 6 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Adrian Mannarino was exceptionally effective on serve to win 75% (24/32) of his 1st serve and 52% (11/21) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The French player was clinical in his return game without wasting any break point and break Ofner 4 times.

Overall Performance in this tournament

The French player has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.

His best result of the current year was winning the title in Newport where he overcame Alex Michelsen in the final 6-2 6-4.

Adrian has a compiled 37-25 win-loss record in 2023, 9-1 on indoor hard courts (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Astana

Previously, his best result was reaching the final in 2020. See his history.

Astana
Mannarino's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

S.Korda
A.Mannarino
8h:51
8h:51
Time on court​
7h:09
7h:09
!
2h:52
2h:52
Last match​
1h:10
1h:10
4
4
Match played
4
4
127
127
Games Played​
88
88
11
11
Set played​​
9
9
401
401
Total points​
306
306
100.3
100.3
Avg point​
76.5
76.5
201
201
Winners
121
121
50.3
50.3
Avg Winners​
30.3
30.3
50%
50%
Ratio winners
40%
40%
-- Serve --
61
61
Aces
12
12
!
15.3
15.3
Avg Aces
3
3
9
9
Double Faults
14
14
2.3
2.3
Avg Double Faults
3.5
3.5
201/250
201/250
1st won total​
121/172
121/172
!
80%
80%
1st won %
70%
70%
76/126
76/126
2nd won total​
64/124
64/124
60%
60%
2nd won %
52%
52%
-- Break Points --
6/16
6/16
BP won
19/30
19/30
1.5/4
1.5/4
Avg BP won
4.8/7.5
4.8/7.5
38%
38%
Won
!
63%
63%
16
16
Conceded
29
29
4
4
Avg Conceded
7.3
7.3
3
3
Broken
9
9
!
0.8
0.8
Avg Broken
2.3
2.3
13
13
Saved
20
20
See Allstats

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Korda Mannarino
Match played 4 4
Tot Set 11 9
Tot Games 127 88
Pts 401-364 306-256
Total Points 765 562
Winners 201 121
%Winners 50% 40%

Both Korda and Mannarino played 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Sebastian Korda surrendered 3 sets, while Adrian Mannarino surrendered 1 set. Korda has played 2 sets more than Mannarino (11 vs 9). Therefore, Korda played 39 games more than Mannarino. Sebastian scored 201 winners (50% of the total points). On the other side, Mannarino bagged 121 winners (40%).

Serve Performance

Serve Korda Mannarino
Aces 61 12
Avg per match 15.3 3
1st in 250/376 172/296
%1st in 66% 58%
1st pts 201/250 121/172
%1st pts 80% 70%
2nd pts 76/126 64/124
%2nd pts 60% 52%

Korda made 61 aces (15.3 per match). Mannarino blasted 12 aces (3 per match). Korda won 80% points behind his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 60% of the points. On the other side, Mannarino won 70% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 52% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Korda Mannarino
Won 6 19
Converted 6/16 19/30
% Converted 38% 63%
Conceded 16 29
Saved 13 20
% Saved 81% 69%
Times Broken 3 9

Korda broke his opponents 6 times with a 38% conversion rate. Korda surrendered his serve 3 times and he saved 81% of the break points that he conceded. Adrian broke his opponents 19 times with a 63% conversion rate. The French player conceded his serve 9 times and he saved 69% of the break points that he conceded.

Korda
R1
Popyrin		 R2
Borges		 1/4
Griekspoor		 1/2
Medjedovic		 Total
Score 7-65 6-74 6-4 6-4 7-64 6-4 4-6 6-3 6-78 7-62 7-63
Tot Set 3 2 3 3 11
Tot Games 36 23 29 39 127
pts 127-117 70-57 81-78 123-112 401-364
Total points 244 127 159 235 765
Winners 65 30 40 66 201
%Winners 51% 43% 49% 54% 50%
SERVE
Aces 19 12 12 18 61
Double Faults 4 2 2 1 9
1st in 83/118 37/62 54/82 76/114 250/376
% 1st in 70% 60% 66% 67% 66%
1st pts 65/83 30/37 40/54 66/76 201/250
% 1st pts 78% 81% 74% 87% 80%
2nd pts 15/35 18/25 20/28 23/38 76/126
% 2nd pts 43% 72% 71% 61% 60%
Breaks
Won 2 2 2 0 6
Converted 2/3 2/3 2/7 0/3 6/16
Converted % 67% 67% 29% 0% 38%
Conceded 8 3 3 2 16
Saved 7/8 2/3 2/3 2/2 13
Saved % 88% 67% 67% 100% 81%
Times Broken 1 1 1 0 3
Mannarino
R1
Rinderknech		 R2
Kachmazov		 1/4
Rodionov		 1/2
Ofner		 Total
Score 7-64 6-2 6-2 5-7 6-3 6-1 7-66 6-4 6-2
Tot Set 2 3 2 2 9
Tot Games 21 29 20 18 88
pts 79-67 96-86 73-59 58-44 306-256
Total points 146 182 132 102 562
Winners 34 35 28 24 121
%Winners 43% 36% 38% 41% 40%
SERVE
Aces 1 2 3 6 12
Double Faults 3 3 5 3 14
1st in 47/78 55/94 38/71 32/53 172/296
% 1st in 60% 59% 54% 60% 58%
1st pts 34/47 35/55 28/38 24/32 121/172
% 1st pts 72% 64% 74% 75% 70%
2nd pts 17/31 19/39 17/33 11/21 64/124
% 2nd pts 55% 49% 52% 52% 52%
Breaks
Won 3 8 4 4 19
Converted 3/9 8/13 4/4 4/4 19/30
Converted % 33% 62% 100% 100% 63%
Conceded 7 10 10 2 29
Saved 6/7 5/10 8/10 1/2 20
Saved % 86% 50% 80% 50% 67%
Times Broken 1 5 2 1 9

Upcoming matches in the draw

Korda
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Mannarino

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