Jasmine Paolini and Yue Yuan will fight against each other in the 2nd round of the China Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Monday at 3:00 pm on MOON. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jasmine Paolini who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Jasmine Paolini is the pick to win this match.
Jasmine Paolini -> 1.47
Yue Yuan -> 2.69
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Prediction and head to head Jasmine Paolini vs. Yue Yuan
There is no head to head record between Jasmine Paolini and Yue Yuan since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.
Jasmine Paolini
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 46-21 | 27-12 | 13-3 | 3-3 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 42-21 | 19-10 | 12-5 | 3-4 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 43-30 | 20-16 | 16-8 | 5-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 30-25 | 14-11 | 10-10 | 6-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 34-24 | 17-13 | 12-7 | 5-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 37, the Italian reached the 2nd round after defeating Beatriz Haddad Maia 3-6 6-4 6-4.
In the 1st round against Haddad Maia, The Italian recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 6-4 6-4). During the match, Paolini scored 113 points vs Haddad Maia’s 106. The Italian was pretty aggressive to blast 46 winners.
Regarding the service games, Paolini scored just 1 ace during the match and she committed only 1 double fault. Jasmine Paolini lost the serve 8 times and she saved 11 break points. Furthermore, Paolini put 76% of her first serves in, winning 52% (46/89) of the points behind her 1st serve and 46% (13/28) on the 2nd serve. Paolini broke Haddad Maia 8 times after converting 40% of her break points (8/20).
Paolini has good record in the last 10 years having won 57% of her matches (312-236). 12-13 on hard in 2023. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this event, Paolini has an overall 100-84 match record in the last years on hard.
Her best result of the current year was conquering the title the Florence where she beat Taylor Townsend in the final 6-3 7-5.
The Italian has an overall 32-26 win-loss record in 2023, 12-13 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Beijing
The Italian has never competed in this tournament before.
Yue Yuan
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 19-27 | 11-18 | 5-4 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 32-27 | 27-17 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 41-29 | 27-17 | 8-7 | 1-2 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 44-25 | 33-16 | 9-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 24-17 | 6-7 | 3-6 | 15-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 147, Yuan got to the 2nd round after beating Elise Mertens 3-6 6-1 6-4.
In the 1st round against Mertens, Yue recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 6-1 6-4). During the match Yuan scored 104 points vs Mertens’s 94. Yuan was exceptionally aggressive to blast 34 winners.
Talking about serving, Yuan struck 2 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Yue Yuan lost the serve 5 times and she saved 8 break points. Furthermore, Yuan put 57% of her first serves in, winning 63% (34/54) of the points behind her 1st serve and 39% (16/41) on the 2nd serve. Yue broke Mertens 7 times after converting 37% of her break points (7/19).
Yuan’s best result of the season was getting to the final in the W40 Mexico City.
Yue has an aggregate 25-25 win-loss record in 2023, 11-13 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Paolini | Yuan |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Games | 29 | 26 |
| Pts | 113-106 | 104-94 |
| Total Points | 219 | 198 |
| Winners | 46 | 34 |
| %Winners | 41% | 33% |
Both Paolini and Yuan played 1 match. Both players lost a set in the event. Jasmine Paolini dropped 1 set, while Yue Yuan lost 1 set. Talking about their workload, Paolini and Yuan have played the same amount of sets 3. However, Paolini played 3 games more than Yuan. The Italian scored 46 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, The Chinese fired 34 winners (33%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Paolini | Yuan |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 1 | 2 |
| Avg per match | 1 | 2 |
| 1st in | 89/117 | 54/95 |
| %1st in | 76% | 57% |
| 1st pts | 46/89 | 34/54 |
| %1st pts | 52% | 63% |
| 2nd pts | 13/28 | 16/41 |
| %2nd pts | 46% | 39% |
Paolini made 1 ace . Yuan also fired 2 aces . Paolini won 52% points on her first serve. She was rock solid on her second serve to win 46% of the points. On the other side, Yuan won 63% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 39% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Paolini | Yuan |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 8 | 7 |
| Converted | 8/20 | 7/19 |
| % Converted | 40% | 37% |
| Conceded | 19 | 13 |
| Saved | 11 | 8 |
| % Saved | 58% | 62% |
| Times Broken | 8 | 5 |
The Italian broke her opponent 8 times with a 40% conversion rate. The Italian dropped her serve 8 times and she saved 58% of the break points that she conceded. Yue broke her opponent 7 times with a 37% conversion rate. Yuan conceded her serve 5 times and she saved 62% of the break points that she conceded.
| Paolini | |||
| R1 Haddad Maia |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 3-6 6-4 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 29 | 29 | |
| pts | 113-106 | 113-106 | |
| Total points | 219 | 219 | |
| Winners | 46 | 46 | |
| %Winners | 41% | 41% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 1 | 1 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 89/117 | 89/117 | |
| % 1st in | 76% | 76% | |
| 1st pts | 46/89 | 46/89 | |
| % 1st pts | 52% | 52% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/28 | 13/28 | |
| % 2nd pts | 46% | 46% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 8 | 8 | |
| Converted | 8/20 | 8/20 | |
| Converted % | 40% | 40% | |
| Conceded | 19 | 19 | |
| Saved | 11/19 | 11 | |
| Saved % | 58% | 58% | |
| Times Broken | 8 | 8 | |
| Yuan | |||
| R1 Mertens |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 3-6 6-1 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 26 | 26 | |
| pts | 104-94 | 104-94 | |
| Total points | 198 | 198 | |
| Winners | 34 | 34 | |
| %Winners | 33% | 33% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 2 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 54/95 | 54/95 | |
| % 1st in | 57% | 57% | |
| 1st pts | 34/54 | 34/54 | |
| % 1st pts | 63% | 63% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/41 | 16/41 | |
| % 2nd pts | 39% | 39% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 7 | 7 | |
| Converted | 7/19 | 7/19 | |
| Converted % | 37% | 37% | |
| Conceded | 13 | 13 | |
| Saved | 8/13 | 8 | |
| Saved % | 62% | 62% | |
| Times Broken | 5 | 5 | |
Head 2 Head
LLLLWWLWWW
LLWLWLWLLL Tennis Scores in Beijing
- Anhelina KalininaKalinina – Marketa VondrousovaVondrousova (1-6 6-4 6-1) – See score progression
- Yulia PutintsevaPutintseva – Marie BouzkovaBouzkova (6-2 7-65) – See score progression
- Jennifer BradyBrady – Peyton StearnsStearns (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Jasmine PaoliniPaolini – Beatriz Haddad MaiaHaddad Maia (3-6 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Daria SavilleSaville – Katerina SiniakovaSiniakova (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
- Katie BoulterBoulter – Magdalena FrechFrech (6-4 3-6 6-2) – See score progression
- Tereza Mihalikova/Yifan XuMihalikova/Yifan Xu – Desirae Krawczyk/Demi SchuursKrawczyk/Demi Schuurs (6-4 1-6 10-6) – See score progression
- Petra KvitovaKvitova – Xiyu WangWang (6-76 7-5 6-3) – See score progression
- Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko – Eva LysLys (2-6 6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Linda FruhvirtovaFruhvirtova – Arantxa RusRus (6-0 6-3) – See score progression
- Liudmila SamsonovaSamsonova – Alycia ParksParks (6-4 7-64) – See score progression
- Mirra AndreevaAndreeva – Barbora KrejcikovaKrejcikova (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
- Linda NoskovaNoskova – Fangran TianTian (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Sofia KeninKenin (6-1 6-2) – See score progression
- Magda LinetteLinette – Victoria AzarenkaAzarenka (5-7 6-1 6-2) – See score progression
- Anna BlinkovaBlinkova – Donna VekicVekic (6-3 7-5) – See score progression
- Varvara GrachevaGracheva – Anastasia PotapovaPotapova (6-2 3-6 6-1) – See score progression
- Tatjana MariaMaria – Martina TrevisanTrevisan (6-3 7-62) – See score progression
- Marta KostyukKostyuk – Elisabetta CocciarettoCocciaretto (1-6 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Yue YuanYuan – Elise MertensMertens (3-6 6-1 6-4) – See score progression
- Petra MarticMartic – Sorana CirsteaCirstea (6-2 2-6 7-63) – See score progression
- Katie BoulterBoulter – Magdalena FrechFrech (6-4 3-6 6-2) – See score progression
- Mirra AndreevaAndreeva – Barbora KrejcikovaKrejcikova (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
- Linda NoskovaNoskova – Fangran TianTian (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko – Eva LysLys (2-6 6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Petra KvitovaKvitova – Xiyu WangWang (6-7(6) 7-5 6-3) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Qinwen ZhengZheng – Elena RybakinaRybakina (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Xin Yu WangYu Wang – Vera ZvonarevaZvonareva (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Mayar SherifSherif – Darya KasatkinaKasatkina (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Lesya TsurenkoTsurenko – Lin ZhuZhu (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova – Cori GauffGauff (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Kateryna KozlovaKozlova – Caroline GarciaGarcia (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Sara Sorribes TormoSorribes Tormo – Iga SwiatekSwiatek (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Katie BoulterBoulter (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Yue YuanYuan – Jasmine PaoliniPaolini (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jessica PegulaPegula – Anna BlinkovaBlinkova (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Petra KvitovaKvitova – Ludmilla SamsonovaSamsonova (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Maria SakkariSakkari – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Anhelina KalininaKalinina – Daria GavrilovaGavrilova (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Magda LinetteLinette – Jennifer BradyBrady (1-4) – H2H and prediction
